***** Sound of Freedom

6IXSTRINGJACK

Saturday, September 30, 2023 10:07 PM

September 17th:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
It appears that SoF was going to be released online on the 15th, but that has been postponed to "Coming Soon".

https://www.geo.tv/latest/510272-sound-of-freedom-faces-online-release
-delay

But just like the Blue Beetle online release date, I'm not seeing any mainstream articles about this, so take it with a grain of salt.

It's a good move by Angel Studios if they did that though. I'm sure it will get an online release, but no reason to do it before it has at least a few weeks in Brazil first. With $10 to $20 million incoming from Brazil, why would anybody risk losing that profit by releasing it online ahead of time unless they were Warner Bros who always seems to make poor financial decisions.

Quote:

---

I'd expect an online release for SoF sometime in mid to late October.

---

---

???
Before Spain, France, Germany?

---

I guess. I didn't even know it was getting released there. It's not up on the-numbers or BOM.

Quote:

---

Do folk think there is no interwebs in those countries?

---

I don't think it really matters. Europe hasn't done shit for SoF. Spaniards from Spain have about as much in common with people from Central and South America as Samuel L. Jackson has in common with some 80 year old African lady with a foot long neck living in a mud hut and communicating in tongue clicks. Those box offices are going to be small.

---

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

6IXSTRINGJACK

Saturday, September 30, 2023 10:57 PM

Well... It appears that Brazil won't be the bump that SOF needed.

A little bit of digging on Brazilian Yahoo and I eventually got confirmation that while SoF did do $5,762,000 in Brazil last weekend, that was actually "R$" (Brazilian Real) and not "$". (The original graph I posted here stated as such in the top of the column "Box Office (R$)", but I either didn't notice it or I thought nothing of it at the time.

R$5,762,000 is only $1,145,500.

My guess worldwide up through last Sunday with all the numbers reconciled was $227,559,747. It's now $4,616,857 less than that, since SoF apparently did worse in Brazil than Blue Beetle did opening weekend, so we're at only $222,942,889, or 1,538%.

So there's not only the $4.6M loss of what I expected in Brazil, but the implied future loss of much smaller week to week box office numbers than what would have been if it actually generated $5.8M opening weekend.

There's almost zero chance now that SoF is coming out on top of Talk To Me now unless info comes out that proves it cost less than $14.5 Million to make.

Oh well. 2nd place isn't bad in 2023, the year of the Indie and Horror Genre.



So, based off of this new info, here's my new theoretical* chart going into the weekend.

Thursday's (Theoretical) Numbers:

1. Talk to Me - 1,600% ()
2. Sound of Freedom - 1,538% ()
3. M3GAN - 1,508% [FINAL]
4. Super Mario Bros - 1,360% [FINAL]
5. Insidious: The Red Door - 1,163% [FINAL]

SoF needs 63% to beat Talk to Me. (About $10 Million)

*NOTE: SoF is theoretical, while the above is what BOM is currently showing for TTM.

SoF's ACTUAL at The-Numbers remains 1,455%, where it's been for weeks. The theoretical 1,538% above reflects the $6,474,415 BOM shows that Bruce doesn't, my estimates for all the missing Domestic money through last Sunday, and the missing international money for unreported and under-reported countries up through last Sunday as theorized in my post from late Thursday night, and does not include any estimates between Monday and Thursday of this week.



ALSO: TTM is only about $100k away from another percentage bump of 22%. SoF would need to make an additional $3 Million to overcome that bump on top of the $10 Million it already needs to make 1st place. And although it's very late-stage box office for Talk To Me, there could easily be another $1 Million or more in uncounted international figures to put it even further out of reach at 1,644% or higher.

Once the two movies are done, of course we'll stop rounding, and with 22% bumps every time TTM gains another $1 Million, that could be a huge subtraction of up to 11%, but really, at 1,622% being a sure thing and the easy possibility of 1,666% being real, I don't see SoF coming out on top here after the Brazil currency conversion discovery.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Sunday, October 1, 2023 1:29 AM

Updating:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
I was wondering what the International Box Office would be, using only the first week in each country, and then maybe all of the second weeks.

So, as if the international releases were at the same time as Domestic - but obviously bot counting the Summer/School factors.


Sound of Freedom International Box Office.


I think I need to start a new table for this. Data is hard to come by, is not transparent, and seems to fluctuate a bunch. I will need to use Box Office Mojo for source data, and work from there. If other data becomes available, I will try to reconcile that.


Legend:
Each nation's entry is comprised of 2 lines.
In the first Identifier places, the order is by the stated Release Date. Next is the Country Abbreviation.
In the line below that, the Maximum number of theaters I could find for a film in that country. Then the day which they start their weekend, according to their Box Office Results. This is either Thursday or Friday.
The remainder of the columns have weekday figures in the top line, and weekend figures in the 2nd line, plus the subtotals.
The column labeled Date Range has the range of dates for those figures.
Next column is Box Office for those dates.
Next is the Rank of that Box Office figure.
Next is Theater Count.
Next is $ per Theater Average.
Next is the Rank of the $ per Theater figure.
Next is the Total, for weekdays only.
Next is the 7 Day Totals, which is both lines added together.
Next is the Rank of that 7 Day Total Box Office (when available, or calculated).
Next is the Cumulative Total for that Country.

Then are selected figures from the Prior week, to reference for comparison.

Data is culled from Box Office Mojo. Countries with Asterisks are using data from The Numbers - mostly because that data is not available on BOM.

Fields highlighted green are values greater than the prior week. Box Office, rank, theater count, $ per theater, rank, weekly total or subtotal.
Figures highlighted red are intended to be placeholders for fields which are waiting for updated or current data.

---