The Blue Beetle Failure Thread
POSTED BY: 6ixStringJack
UPDATED: Friday, October 20, 2023 10:03
VIEWED: 4841
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I never heard of Blue Beetle, but it is comic book series you can read for free at https://getcomics.org/?s=Blue+Beetle
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Quote:
Originally posted by whozit:
'Blue Bug' will beat 'Barbie' this weekend...barely, it'll make around $25 mill. 'Indy 5' made $120,000 on Friday and is out of the top ten
I was hesitant to come straight out and say the $25 Million figure. I'd read articles that said this was the upper limit for the movie, and although I knew this would end up being a flop for WB by the end I thought putting it down to only $25 Million was too bold a prediction.
Looks like you were right though...
Studio projections for Blue Beetle's Opening Weekend are $25,400,000.
I suspect the actual numbers will be as high as $28 Million by the time we get them on Monday afternoon though. Just like I didn't want to be embarrassed by predicting $25 and it coming up with $30 to $32 Million, the studios don't like to project high and get embarrassed when it comes up $5 or $6 Million short. They tend to care a lot less 4 or 5 weeks later when all eyes aren't on the film anymore, but usually the first 3 weeks at least they are pretty conservative with their projections.
With an opening weekend like this, unless it pulls off some sort of miracle like Elemental did, this flick is doomed.
If you want a laugh, Google "Blue Beetle" and under "Tools" put it at "last hour" or "last 24 hours" and just read the headlines. So much cope!
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If projections hold all the way down the line, the failure of Blue Beetle might mean the end of a 19 weekend run in the Domestic Box office of making over $100M.
Looks like Bruce has international numbers for Blue Beetle and it did even worse overseas with just $18 Million.
I said it wasn't going to get more than $60 Million worldwide, which was about $5 Million less than Shazam II. If the projections aren't off by a whole lot, it won't even break $50 Million with just $43 Million Worldwide projected.
Where would that put us on our lists.......?
LIST 1: WORLDWIDE OPENING VS. PRODUCTION BUDGET
35. Blue Beetle / Budget: $120,000,000 / WWO: $43,000,000 / 36%
(Between Plane at 34 and 65 at 35).
LIST 2: WINNERS AND LOSERS (ACCORDING TO 2X RULE OF THUMB):
LOSERS:
2. Blue Beetle made 36% of its production budget of $120 Million.
(Between Renfield at 1 and Guy Ritchie's The Covenant at 3.)
LIST 3: TOTAL STUDIO PROFITS AFTER MOVIE EXITS BOX OFFICE (BASED OFF 2X RULE OF THUMB):
Way to early to tell on this one. It will lose money, but the question is how much money?
Anywhere from $100 Million to $200 Million would be my guess at this point.
LIST 4: DAYS IT TOOK FOR THE FILM TO BREAK EVEN (FOR 2.0X RULE OF THUMB):
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I will not be surprised if 'Barbie' retakes the #1 spot soon. If you go to YOUTUBE some of the nerds (Who hate Woke crap) are saying 'The Blue Booger' is not bad, not great, but not bad.
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Quote:
Originally posted by whozit:
I will not be surprised if 'Barbie' retakes the #1 spot soon. If you go to YOUTUBE some of the nerds (Who hate Woke crap) are saying 'The Blue Booger' is not bad, not great, but not bad.
I predicted that if Blue Beetle won the weekend that it wouldn't win next weekend.
We'll have to see if we were right. With just 123 bucks shy of $4 Million between the two of them this weekend, I think our chances of being right are much more than a coin flip.
WB must be super disappointed right now. They projected $25 Million for the weekend and it only made $30k more than that. I honestly thought it was going to come in somewhere around $28 Million after that projection. They also projected $18 Million overseas and it only came in $600k higher.
$43,630,225 for Opening weekend on a $120 Million Production Budget is a bonifide disaster for Warner Bros.
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:Quote:
Originally posted by whozit:
I will not be surprised if 'Barbie' retakes the #1 spot soon. If you go to YOUTUBE some of the nerds (Who hate Woke crap) are saying 'The Blue Booger' is not bad, not great, but not bad.
I predicted that if Blue Beetle won the weekend that it wouldn't win next weekend.
We'll have to see if we were right. With just 123 bucks shy of $4 Million between the two of them this weekend, I think our chances of being right are much more than a coin flip.
Well... That didn't take long, did it?
Barbie beats Blue Beetle by $466,703 on Day 4.
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
If projections hold all the way down the line, the failure of Blue Beetle might mean the end of a 19 weekend run in the Domestic Box office of making over $100M.
And with the dual underperformance of Strays on top of Blue Beetle's disappointment, that's exactly what happened.
19 week streak of $100 Million Plus weekends ended with only $96,865,309.
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Blu Booger got beat by a doll on 4th and 5th day in release.
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Quote:The weekend had every film but Barbie, Oppy, SoF earn less than predictions. Talk To Me has projections which are higher than prediction.
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:Quote:And with the dual underperformance of Strays on top of Blue Beetle's disappointment, that's exactly what happened.
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
If projections hold all the way down the line, the failure of Blue Beetle might mean the end of a 19 weekend run in the Domestic Box office of making over $100M.
19 week streak of $100 Million Plus weekends ended with only $96,865,309.
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How you do anything is how you do everything.
Blu Booger can be proud that it had larger Box Office first weekend than Sound Of Freedom did.
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Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:Quote:The weekend had every film but Barbie, Oppy, SoF earn less than predictions. Talk To Me has projections which are higher than prediction.
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:Quote:And with the dual underperformance of Strays on top of Blue Beetle's disappointment, that's exactly what happened.
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
If projections hold all the way down the line, the failure of Blue Beetle might mean the end of a 19 weekend run in the Domestic Box office of making over $100M.
19 week streak of $100 Million Plus weekends ended with only $96,865,309.
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How you do anything is how you do everything.
Yeah... but I don't blame unheard of low budget movies or movies that are at the end of their box office run.
The weekend only fell $3 Million short of a 20 week streak of $100 Million in the theaters. Either one of them could have done that. Both of them combined should have done that.
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