The Blue Beetle Failure Thread

POSTED BY: 6ixStringJack
UPDATED: Friday, October 20, 2023 10:03
VIEWED: 4841
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JEWELSTAITEFAN

Friday, August 25, 2023 6:55 AM

Blu Booger has been beaten by a doll domestically since it was released.

From 17 Aug to 22 Aug Booger made $30.412M, Barbie Made $30.9M
From 18 Aug to 22 Aug Booger made $27.112M, Barbie made $27.08M

From 17 Aug to 23 Aug Booger made $32.192M
From 18 Aug to 23 Aug Booger made $28.992M

6IXSTRINGJACK

Friday, August 25, 2023 8:05 AM

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Blu Booger has been beaten by a doll domestically since it was released.

From 17 Aug to 22 Aug Booger made $30.412M, Barbie Made $30.9M
From 18 Aug to 22 Aug Booger made $27.112M, Barbie made $27.08M

From 17 Aug to 23 Aug Booger made $32.192M
From 18 Aug to 23 Aug Booger made $28.992M

Every superhero movie that has and will come out this year will be beaten by a doll.

Every movie that came out and will come out in 2023 will be beaten by a doll.

There are much more impressive losses for the Blue Beetle than pointing out that the number 1 Box Office winner for both the Domestic and the International market in 2023 beat it.

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How you do anything is how you do everything.

6IXSTRINGJACK

Sunday, August 27, 2023 10:19 PM

Blue Beetle makes only $82 Million worldwide in first 10 days.

After 10 days, The Flash had already made $87 Million in the US alone. And where Blue Beetle has a 56% Domestic vs. 44% International take, The Flash ended its run with a 40% Domestic vs 60% International take, so it's likely The Flash had already made over $200 Million of its $268 Million total by day 10.

After 10 Days, Shazam II came just $400k shy of where Blue Beetle stands Domestically right now. The only difference is that Shazam II has the numbers flipped and ended with a 44% Domestic vs. 56% International take.

Unless the international numbers fall off a cliff immediately, I'm going to guess that Blue Beetle is going to do slightly better than Shazam II did, just because there is little new competition coming out with summer winding down and that will make the Studio's decision not to yank a "BIPOC" superhero flick out of theaters when it should a lot easier to justify.

Expect Blue Beetle to post a sub $1 Million day or two this upcoming week.

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How you do anything is how you do everything.

WHOZIT

Monday, August 28, 2023 12:13 AM

'Indy 5' is now in 20th place as of this writing, just putting that out there.

6IXSTRINGJACK

Monday, August 28, 2023 1:25 AM

Quote:
Originally posted by whozit:
'Indy 5' is now in 20th place as of this writing, just putting that out there.

Indy 5?

There were only 3 Indiana Jones movies.

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How you do anything is how you do everything.

WHOZIT

Monday, August 28, 2023 2:47 AM

Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Quote:
Originally posted by whozit:
'Indy 5' is now in 20th place as of this writing, just putting that out there.

Indy 5?

There were only 3 Indiana Jones movies.

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How you do anything is how you do everything.

Many people believe there were only 6 Star Wars movies.

6IXSTRINGJACK

Monday, August 28, 2023 4:16 AM

Quote:
Originally posted by whozit:
Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Quote:
Originally posted by whozit:
'Indy 5' is now in 20th place as of this writing, just putting that out there.

Indy 5?

There were only 3 Indiana Jones movies.

--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

Many people believe there were only 6 Star Wars movies.

Those people are wrong though...

There were only 3 Star Wars movies.

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How you do anything is how you do everything.

6IXSTRINGJACK

Wednesday, August 30, 2023 3:44 AM

Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Blue Beetle makes only $82 Million worldwide in first 10 days.

After 10 days, The Flash had already made $87 Million in the US alone. And where Blue Beetle has a 56% Domestic vs. 44% International take, The Flash ended its run with a 40% Domestic vs 60% International take, so it's likely The Flash had already made over $200 Million of its $268 Million total by day 10.

After 10 Days, Shazam II came just $400k shy of where Blue Beetle stands Domestically right now. The only difference is that Shazam II has the numbers flipped and ended with a 44% Domestic vs. 56% International take.

Unless the international numbers fall off a cliff immediately, I'm going to guess that Blue Beetle is going to do slightly better than Shazam II did, just because there is little new competition coming out with summer winding down and that will make the Studio's decision not to yank a "BIPOC" superhero flick out of theaters when it should a lot easier to justify.

Expect Blue Beetle to post a sub $1 Million day or two this upcoming week.

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How you do anything is how you do everything.

Did I say sub-$1 Million a day or two?

Try 3.

It couldn't even get a Million on Monday.

It should get $1 Million today with Cheap Seat Tuesday almost always outperforming the rest of the week, but don't expect a Million on Wednesday or Thursday.

I saw an article yesterday claiming that they still think Blue Beetle is going to make $120-$140 Million.

I highly doubt that now.

BB's still nearly $38 Million away from $120 Million. This weekend it pulls in $5-$6 Million tops. Next week it pulls in $5 Million in 7 days. It's doing even worse internationally, so in two weeks it should still be about $20 Million short of the low end of that prediction with no gas left in the tank.

My new prediction is that Blue Beetle doesn't even come close to beating Shazam II's pathetic $132,192,362 Worldwide Box Office.

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How you do anything is how you do everything.

JAYNEZTOWN

Monday, September 4, 2023 1:53 AM

Getting a boost from Labor Day Weekend 2023?

It seems to have staying power, I'm not sure you're wrong but

Seems to be doing better than Black Adam, The Flash and new 'Shazam! Fury of the Gods.'

56 million

Overseas Worldwide, it's passed the $95 million mark

I will quote your 'rule' from another thread

Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
probably is actually a loser with the 2.5x Rule of Thumb.

Budget $100+ million

Can it get another 100 Million, now it is in contest with another film The Equalizer 3 a horror movie Birth/Rebirth and Gran Turismo Starts Strong, Columbia Pictures and Sony

Domestic Box Office $30,630,000
Worldwide Box Office $80,930,000 +
https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Gran-Turismo-Based-on-a-True-Story-(
2023)#tab=summary

$30,630,000
Worldwide
$80,930,000
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt4495098/

6IXSTRINGJACK

Monday, September 4, 2023 5:08 AM

Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
Getting a boost from Labor Day Weekend 2023?

It seems to have staying power, I'm not sure you're wrong but

Seems to be doing better than Black Adam, The Flash and new 'Shazam! Fury of the Gods.'

Not really...

Blue Beetle's 3rd weekend (PROJECTED):
Friday: $1,550,000
Saturday: $2,720,000
Sunday: $3,000,000
TOTAL: $7,270,000

Shazam II's 3rd weekend:
Friday: $1,204,548
Saturday: $2,098,281
Sunday: $1,302,107
TOTAL: $4,604,936 ($2,665,064 less than Blue Beetle)

Black Adam's 3rd weekend:
Friday: $4,704,648
Saturday: $8,296,544
Sunday: $5,270,433
TOTAL: $18,271,625 ($11,001,625 more than Blue Beetle)

And yes... It is being helped out by the holiday weekend. Sunday takes are almost always lower than Saturday's take except for holiday weekends. It would have grossed only about $1 to $1.3 Million more than Shazam II did on Weekend 3 if it weren't for that. (Or about half as much less than it beat Shazam II by in the 3rd weekend)

Blue Beetle also benefited from the first week being out when Summer Break was still going on as well, so it got an extra $4 Million or so on Monday-Thursday (The 21st-24th) than Shazam II did on its first week during the middle of March.

If you look at both of their 2nd weeks in theaters, they were much closer together with both of them having 3 Sub-$1 Million days, and Blue Beetle making only about $800k more than Shazam II did on those 4 days.

Quote:
56 million

Overseas Worldwide, it's passed the $95 million mark

It's got nearly $102 Million worldwide right now, and that's without any projections added for Monday yet.

So it's almost made as much as Shazam II did in the US right now, but unlike Shazam II, that had a 44% Domestic vs 56% International split, it's got a 56% Domestic vs 44% International split and it's doing much poorer overseas. (Which, BTW, remains completely unchanged since the first time I observed this split and posted about it in this thread on August 27th).

And Black Adam, which did better just with Domestic Box Office numbers than both of these flicks will end up pulling in worldwide at $168,152,111 out of its $391,261,706 total, had a 43% Domestic vs 57% International box office split.

What Black Adam had going against it was its monstrous $200 Million budget. And because of that it still fell nearly $9 Million short of breaking even with 2.0Rot and $109 Million short of breaking even with 2.5RoT.

Quote:
I will quote your 'rule' from another thread

Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
probably is actually a loser with the 2.5x Rule of Thumb.

That's not quoting my rule. That's quoting my observation that in 2023 we're likely to be on the 2.5x Rule of Thumb now rather than the 2.0x Rule of Thumb.

Quote:
Budget $100+ million

The Budget was $120 Million.

Source: https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Blue-Beetle#tab=summary

Also IMDB: https://m.imdb.com/news/ni64198444/?ref_=nws_nwr_li

This $104 Million is a nonsense number they fed Deadline on August 18th. It's one thing for Warner Bros. to come out and admit after Barbie was a huge hit that the budget was actually $145 Million rather than the $100 Million it initially claimed, but you don't get to lie and make your budget $18 Million smaller than you told respected media news outlets 3 weeks into your run when your movie is flopping.

Quote:
Can it get another 100 Million, now it is in contest with another film The Equalizer 3 a horror movie Birth/Rebirth and Gran Turismo Starts Strong, Columbia Pictures and Sony

With the old 2.0x Rule of Thumb, Blue Beetle needs $240 Million to break even. That's another $138 Million it needs.

No. It cannot do this. It should consider itself EXTREMELY lucky if it makes another $38 Million.

With the 2.5x Rule of Thumb, Blue Beetle needs $300 Million to break even. That'

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