Real World Event Discussions

Elections; 2024

POSTED BY: THG
UPDATED: Friday, November 21, 2025 00:12
VIEWED: 206031
PAGE 126 of 514

Monday, January 8, 2024 11:58 AM

CNN: Biden’s plea to save democracy faces harsh democratic reality

https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/06/politics/biden-democracy-january-6-what
-matters/index.html



The hard democratic truth is Trump could win


Hehe... Trump will win. Swallow that pill now.




NEWSWEEK: Donald Trump Poised to Win More Black Votes Than Any Republican in History

https://www.newsweek.com/trump-black-votes-presidential-election-repub
licans-1857699


Quote:

According to national and swing state polls reviewed by Bloomberg, the former president and GOP front runner has between 14 percent and 30 percent of the Black vote share as the country heads into an election year.

This is far beyond the 8 percent of the Black vote the Pew Research Center said the Republican won in the 2020 presidential election and more than any Republican candidate before him.



Yup. Just one of the many, many, many reasons why Trump wins in November.





DeSantis: Do Republicans Want The 2024 Election To Be About January 6 And Trump's Criminal Cases?

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2024/01/07/desantis_do_republi
cans_want_the_2024_election_to_be_about_january_6_and_trumps_criminal_cases.html


That's not what it's about at all, Ron.

Go. Fuck. Yourself.

All you had to do was wait 4 years and the job was yours.

After what you pulled this last year, I will never vote for you. You don't have a chance to ever be President of the United States anymore.

In fact, I'm doubting whether or not you can even manage to keep your current job.

I have no idea who was whispering in your ear that now was your time, but they led you so far astray it's almost inconceivable and the fact that you listened to that voice when I know that you knew better just goes to prove that you never really had it in you in the first place.

You fucked up big time, and there's no coming back from it now.

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Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

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THG
Tuesday, January 9, 2024 6:11 AM

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Pulls Out of Troubled Fundraiser

Afundraiser for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. – having falsely been billed as an event attended by a world-renowned tenor and several high-profile celebrities – won't include the candidate himself, the independent presidential hopeful's campaign said Monday.

A super PAC backing Kennedy, who is the son of the slain former Democratic presidential candidate of the same name, promoted a Jan. 22 fundraiser in Indian Wells, California. The promotion on social media said singer Andrea Bocelli would perform and that actor Martin Sheen, Grammy Award-winning singer Dionne Warwick and former prizefighter Mike Tyson would be there as "well-wishers."

That seemed to come as a surprise to the high-profile alleged invitees. Warwick said she didn't know anything about the event, meant to also serve as a celebration of Kennedy's 70th birthday, and "certainly won't be there."

Continue reading
Sheen, through the social media account of several of his former "West Wing" costars, said he "wholeheartedly support[s] President Joe Biden and the Democratic ticket in 2024." Bocelli's representative told Rolling Stone the tenor would not be there. His performance schedule does not even have Bocelli coming to the United States until mid-February.

Kennedy's campaign last week said they didn't have anything to do with the event, saying it was put together by the PAC, American Values 2024.

And Monday, the candidate himself joined the list of will-not-attends.

"Mr. Kennedy will not be attending the PAC event in Indian Wells on Jan. 22nd," his campaign said in an email.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/robert-f-kennedy-jr-pulls-out-
of-troubled-fundraiser/ar-AA1mExaY?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=9f81bd190db14bc8a1e82af24879c018&ei=145




He tried to pull a Trump.

T

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THG
Tuesday, January 9, 2024 7:04 AM

Trump’s leads over Biden in key swing states narrow: Survey

The poll found that the margins between Trump and Biden grew closer in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina and Pennsylvania, but that the former president still maintains an edge in all six states surveyed. Neither candidate received more than 50 percent of support in any state, signaling that the swing states remain divided on who they will likely support in the general election.
The closest battleground state appears to be Pennsylvania, with Trump holding just a 1-point lead over Biden. Trump secured 40 percent of support in the state, while Biden had 39 percent. Trump’s lead in Pennsylvania has diminished since November, according to the poll, when he had a 7-point lead over Biden.

Trump’s lead over Biden in Arizona dropped from 7 points in November to 6 points in the new poll. He now has 41 percent support in the state, the poll found.

The poll found Trump has an 8-point lead over Biden in Georgia, which is slightly down from the 10-point lead recorded in the previous poll. His lead also diminished in North Carolina, where he now only leads by 4 percentage points, compared to his 9-point lead in November. The North Carolina poll shows Trump with 37 percent of support and Biden with 33 percent.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/trump-s-leads-over-biden-in-ke
y-swing-states-narrow-survey/ar-AA1mEdku?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=99595833e86849599b81ab64dd1ec1d1&ei=28




I told you people were going to start paying attention and sentiment would change. Well, people's views and attitudes are changing.

T

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THG
Tuesday, January 9, 2024 7:04 AM


T

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Tuesday, January 9, 2024 7:06 AM



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Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

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Tuesday, January 9, 2024 7:27 PM

Trump’s statements are loaded with cruelty, self-interest, and abandonment of allies. He used his most violent followers to override the voters’ will in a failed attempt to keep himself in power.

Many of the exclusive details come from the questioning of Trump's former deputy chief of staff, Dan Scavino, who first started working for Trump as a teenager three decades ago and is now a paid senior adviser to Trump's reelection campaign. Scavino wouldn't speak with the House select committee that conducted its own probe related to Jan. 6, but -- after a judge overruled claims of executive privilege last year -- he did speak with Smith's team, and key portions of what he said were described to ABC News.

https://abcnews.go.com/US/special-counsel-probe-uncovers-new-details-t
rumps-inaction/story?id=106131854


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Tuesday, January 9, 2024 8:50 PM

Trump and Republican politicians want you to pay high interest rates so that he can be elected.

Don’t Be Surprised if Trump Starts Attacking the Federal Reserve

Jan. 8, 2024, 7:00 p.m. ET

Why? Because there are very good reasons for the Federal Reserve, which controls short-term interest rates — that’s how it makes monetary policy — to start reversing the sharp rate hikes it carried out beginning in March 2022. There’s a vigorous debate about whether those rate hikes were excessive, which I’m not going to litigate here. Whatever you think about past policy, the case for cuts going forward is very strong, and I hope the Fed will act on that case.

What I don’t know is whether the Fed is ready for the political firestorm it’s about to face, and whether it will stand up to the pressure to keep rates too high for too long. Because it’s a safe prediction that Donald Trump and his supporters will scream that the coming rate cuts are part of a deep-state conspiracy to re-elect President Biden.

Let’s talk first about the economics, which should — but might not — be the only thing guiding the Fed’s decisions.

The Fed raised rates in an attempt to rein in inflation, which was running hot at the time — its preferred measure of underlying inflation was running far above its target rate of 2 percent. It kept raising rates until the middle of 2023, trying to cool off the economy and ensure that inflation came down.

As it turns out, the economy still hasn’t cooled much, at least by the usual measures; the unemployment rate remains near a 50-year low. But inflation has plunged. Over the past six months, the core personal consumption expenditures deflator — try saying that five times fast — has risen at an annual rate of only 1.9 percent, below the Fed’s target, and more complex measures are close to 2 percent. Basically, the war on inflation is more or less over, and we won.

So why keep interest rates this high? Right now the labor market looks a lot like it did on the eve of the pandemic, with both unemployment and other measures of market heat, like the rate at which workers are quitting, similar to what they were in late 2019. The Fed is projecting higher inflation over the next year than it was in 2019, but only slightly higher.

Back then, however, the federal funds rate — the interest rate the Fed controls — was 1.75 percent. Now it’s 5.5 percent. It’s really hard to come up with a good reason it should stay that high.

True, high rates haven’t produced a recession — yet. But there are hints of economic weakness, and the Fed is supposed to try to get ahead of the curve. So it’s time to start cutting rates.

But rate cuts will have political implications. They will be good for Biden, although not exactly for the reasons you might think.

I don’t know what the unemployment rate or the rate of economic growth will be in November, but because monetary policy works with a lag, what the Fed does in the next few months won’t have much effect on these numbers.

Biden, however, is already presiding over a very good economy by normal standards, with solid job growth and plunging inflation. What he needs is for more Americans to accept the good news. And Fed rate cuts will help him with that. They will signal to the public that inflation really is under control; they will lead, other things being equal, to higher stock prices and lower mortgage rates.

So we can expect howls from Trump and his allies that politics, not economics, is driving the coming rate cuts — even though Trump himself appointed Jerome Powell, the Fed’s chair.

Why do we know this will happen? Partly because paranoia is MAGAworld’s normal condition: It sees sinister conspiracies everywhere.

Beyond that, Trump and his allies constantly engage in projection, assuming that their opponents are doing or will do what they themselves would do or have done, like weaponizing the Justice Department for Trump’s own political ends.

And when it comes to interest rate policy, Trump has a track record of doing exactly what I’m sure he wi

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Tuesday, January 9, 2024 9:33 PM



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Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

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THG
Tuesday, January 9, 2024 11:54 PM

T

The Breakdown of the Republican Coalition (Trump's Fault?)

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THG
Wednesday, January 10, 2024 12:38 AM

T

Trump's Disqualification: How We Got Here

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