The predictions thread
POSTED BY: kpo
UPDATED: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 18:54
VIEWED: 144481
PAGE 24 of 127
Which is? 
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To show that many posters here are clairvoyant?
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OONJ: Hahahaha!!
Anyway, saw this... in Slaviansk
Quote:http://www.cnn.com/2014/04/12/world/europe/ukraine-crisis/index.html?h
Armed pro-Russian activists carrying riot shields occupy a police station on Saturday, April 12.... Ukraine has seen a sharp rise in tensions since a new pro-European government took charge of the country in February.
pt=hp_t2
This is in addition to Donetsk, Luhansk, and Kharkiv.
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Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Which is?
Well what better way to test the validity and accuracy of someone's worldview, than by their predictions?
When Auraptor, Whozit, Hero etc. predicted that Obama would be crushed in 2012, and that Romney would win in a landslide, etc., etc., that was a prediction that came out of their worldview - that Obama is a marxist, an AlQaeda sympathiser, an America hater, a race-baiter, etc., and that the country had gone halfway to hell in his first 4 years. The ONLY prediction that can come out of such a worldview is that Obama would never be re-elected. Hence their complete disbelief when he won.
When I hear a poster claiming things like 'Benghazi will be Obama's Watergate', I think to myself this person has been whipped up into a frenzy by her partisan media. She's not living in the real world. So I post the prediction here, and it's stored for posterity, and people can see how the prediction bears out.
My aim was to show a thoroughly terrible track record of conservative predictions, pointing to the fact that modern conservatives have hyper-ideological, partisan media-warped worldviews. And that they don't live in the real world.
It's not personal. It's just war.
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Well I agree. The best way to test someone's "mental model" is to see how well it predicts what happens next. Sorry to say I've not been following this thread, it's so very long. I like the idea, though, and I have to say- Hat's off to you for your persistence.
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I like experiments, in case you hadn't noticed 
It's not personal. It's just war.
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Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:
My aim was to show a thoroughly terrible track record of conservative predictions, pointing to the fact that modern conservatives have hyper-ideological, partisan media-warped worldviews. And that they don't live in the real world.
I would accept that as an axiom at this point.
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Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:
Paul Krugman predicts a Greek exit from the Euro within months ('very possibly next month'), and possibly, the end of the Euro.
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/13/eurodammerung-2/
It's not personal. It's just war.
Jumped back into this thread to see the new posts in the last few days and found this one. Heard a piece on the radio the other night-- the Euro is still going strong, somebody else is now predicted about to bail out, Greece is still in, and has recovered.
Isn't Krugman, once he gets over his conservative bias, supposed to actually be an economist?
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Quote:
Originally posted by MAL4PREZ:Quote:
Originally posted by Jongstraw:
Besides, Republicans are gonna be in real good shape with Hispanics for the next national election with popular Hispanic politicians like Rubio and Cruz, and Martinez. Even Jeb Bush, 'cause Hispanics love him and his Mexican-American wife. Think about that...Jeb Bush winning the Presidency....the next phase of the Bush dynasty! The ultimate payback for the Obama debacle.
http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=55492&p=1#9
41421
I don't know though. I suspect that River/Jong posted this with full knowledge of how ironic/ridiculous it is. Cause really, it is so over the top, and even River isn't that stupid.
Oh my, that's a good one. Saw a piece somewhere the other day comparing Ol' Jeb to Hillary-- as in, they're both the closet favorites of the party members, and they'd both be the leaders right now if they were announced candidates.
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Quote KPO: "Well what better way to test the validity and accuracy
of someone's worldview, than by their predictions?"
And to show that some posters here are Not clairvoyant.
OK. We all know people who are like that ... People who
know everything, and know it so well, so solid ... that
the Truth can never catch them with their mind open.
Since it is futile to discuss reality with them, you let
their own predictions show the way.
====================== :>
All I suggest is a man hears what he wants to hear and disregards the rest. ~Paul Simon
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