The predictions thread
POSTED BY: kpo
UPDATED: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 18:54
VIEWED: 144481
PAGE 28 of 127
I rate it excellent. How did you know?
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DUZ XaT SEM RiT TQ YQ? - Jubal Early
http://www.nooalf.com
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Quote:
Originally posted by JO753:
I rate it excellent. How did you know?
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DUZ XaT SEM RiT TQ YQ? - Jubal Early
http://www.nooalf.com
Prior to Obamanomics, the trigger hit end of Jan.
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Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:Quote:
Originally posted by JO753:
I rate it excellent. How did you know?
Prior to Obamanomics, the trigger hit end of Jan.
Sorry, I was running out of time.
For the century prior to Obamanomics ruining the US Economy, there was an excellent triggering indicator for significant Bear market. I was highly interested in this during the late 80s and all of the 90s, since I wanted to know when to time the market to avoid Bear. I wanted to partake in Bull, and avoid Bear.
Take the high market closing price of DJIA. Whenever a Bear market is about to hit, it will be predicated by a 15% drop from the high of the cycle. Then, at least historically, there will be a profit-taking bump, followed by the Bear.
During the 80s, before the juggernaut of Reaganomics took full effect, DJIA was at 777.
By early 2001 the DJIA had already hit a high of about 12,000. I think it was about April 2001 when the Dow dropped to about 10,200 - or at least 15% below it's high. I didn't notice until May or June, and at the time I had restrictions on my retirement account with something like a 2 month delay before interfund transfers could take effect. Plus I was away from home for a month, and my passwords were at home. However, I did inform friends and coworkers that a Bear market was imminent. Those that took my advice got out in July. My sellout took effect in August, with Dow still above 10,000. I forget how high the bump was, something like 8%, which I missed out on. By September 10th, Dow was dropping rapidly and under 10,000.
Those who took my advice did not lose the 45% of their life's savings like most did. I got a lot of free dinners in 2002 and 03.
In October 2007 the Rock the Vote Congress' first budget took effect, Dow peaked at 14,000.
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Interesting stuff. In sum other universe in wich I moved to Wall Street wen I wuz 18, I'm all about that shiz. Here, I'm just a poor working chump with the foolish notion that making real products shoud be a lucrativ endevour. Therefor, I never had any money to invest.
You say 'Obamanomics'. Do you mean your 15% formula duznt work anymore?
Back in 07 or 8, I correctly predicted that the price uv gas woud drop below 2$ per gallon and won a bet agenst a fend who had gotten pulled in by the Fox Newz vortex. If you recall, Glen Beck wuz frothing at the mouth with predictionz uv 5, 8 10$ gas!!!
Its not too hard to tell the difference between actual value in a commodity and a bubble. The problem iz that our financial system iz not based on reality, so both bubblez and real stuff can get deflated equally.
----------------------------
DUZ XaT SEM RiT TQ YQ? - Jubal Early
http://www.nooalf.com
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Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:Quote:
Originally posted by JO753:
I rate it excellent. How did you know?
Prior to Obamanomics, the trigger hit end of Jan.
Sorry, I was running out of time.
For the century prior to Obamanomics ruining the US Economy, there was an excellent triggering indicator for significant Bear market. I was highly interested in this during the late 80s and all of the 90s, since I wanted to know when to time the market to avoid Bear. I wanted to partake in Bull, and avoid Bear.
Take the high market closing price of DJIA. Whenever a Bear market is about to hit, it will be predicated by a 15% drop from the high of the cycle. Then, at least historically, there will be a profit-taking bump, followed by the Bear.
During the 80s, before the juggernaut of Reaganomics took full effect, DJIA was at 777.
By early 2001 the DJIA had already hit a high of about 12,000. I think it was about April 2001 when the Dow dropped to about 10,200 - or at least 15% below it's high. I didn't notice until May or June, and at the time I had restrictions on my retirement account with something like a 2 month delay before interfund transfers could take effect. Plus I was away from home for a month, and my passwords were at home. However, I did inform friends and coworkers that a Bear market was imminent. Those that took my advice got out in July. My sellout took effect in August, with Dow still above 10,000. I forget how high the bump was, something like 8%, which I missed out on. By September 10th, Dow was dropping rapidly and under 10,000.
Those who took my advice did not lose the 45% of their life's savings like most did. I got a lot of free dinners in 2002 and 03.
In October 2007 the Rock the Vote Congress' first budget took effect, Dow peaked at 14,000.
Ran out of time again.
At the end of Jan 2008, like 28th or so, DJIA dropped to about 12,460 - or a 15% drop.
Now, the concern for me was, this was now the era of computer trading, and programs. Previously the bump and subsequent Bear took months, but could this all happen in a matter of weeks or days? So I got out around 4 or 6 Feb, and missed out on the profits of 6-8% during Feb and March.
So, me and the friends who listened to me in 2001 saved about 40% of our money (actually, we earned that 40% when we got back in at the bottom of Bear), and rode the wave from about 7,400 up to 14,000 - and then again saved in 2008 about 55% of our money, and again rode the wave from about 5 or 6,000 in 2009 up to, what, 17,000 now?
But under Obamanomics, the market is no longer a US economy, and may never be again.
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Funny that only you and George Soros knew when the market was gonna tank.
"A hundred million miracles,
a hundred million miracles,
are happening every day."
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Quote:
Originally posted by Jongsstraw:
Funny that only you and George Soros knew when the market was gonna tank.
"A hundred million miracles,
a hundred million miracles,
are happening every day."
I never told Soros anything.
Funny?
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Quote:
Originally posted by JO753:
Interesting stuff. In sum other universe in wich I moved to Wall Street wen I wuz 18, I'm all about that shiz. Here, I'm just a poor working chump with the foolish notion that making real products shoud be a lucrativ endevour. Therefor, I never had any money to invest.
You say 'Obamanomics'. Do you mean your 15% formula duznt work anymore?
Correct. Except it was not "my" formula.
Obamanomics has destroyed the American Economy. The Markets used to be an indicator of the economy, the tail wagged by the dog of economic power. Under Obamanomics, the US economy is the tiny dog being wagged by the giant tail of markets - we now hear that huge changes in the market, tripping the market circuit breakers over and over again, are caused not by some real world event, but somebody burped in Athens, and then another passed wind in Amsterdam, etc, etc, etc.
Under the cycle from Mar 2009 to I think it was July 2011, the peak had dropped to a 15% trough on July 2 of that year (maybe it was 2010, I forget now). Under the 100-year formuls, that would have been the onset of Bear, but under obamanomics, it has become a false flag.
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Damn it JSF - stop giving yourself credit for predictions you allegedly made and make new ones.
Signy - "but -when all is said and done- eventually we'll probably find out that it was USA-hired mercs who sniped the Maidan, Kiev neo-Nazis who killed people in Odessa, and neo-Nazis who brought down MH17."
It's not personal. It's just war.
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With respect to Arctic sea ice, Auraptor asserts repeatedly:
Auraptor - "It's growing, not melting."
http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=58555&p=1
It's not personal. It's just war.
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