Real World Event Discussions

The predictions thread

POSTED BY: kpo
UPDATED: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 18:54
VIEWED: 144481
PAGE 25 of 127

Friday, April 18, 2014 5:21 AM

I'll predict that the number of uninsured in America will miraculously drop, if it wasn't already announced today - haven't checked news yet.
After Obamination White House massages numbers, anybody who does not heartily believe the fiction will be known as racists.

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KPO
Friday, April 18, 2014 6:39 AM

The Obamacare trutherism is just so laughably predictable.

It's not personal. It's just war.

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KPO
Wednesday, April 23, 2014 10:51 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by NewOldBrownCoat:
Quote:

Originally posted by kpo:

Paul Krugman predicts a Greek exit from the Euro within months ('very possibly next month'), and possibly, the end of the Euro.


http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/13/eurodammerung-2/

It's not personal. It's just war.



Jumped back into this thread to see the new posts in the last few days and found this one. Heard a piece on the radio the other night-- the Euro is still going strong, somebody else is now predicted about to bail out, Greece is still in, and has recovered.

Isn't Krugman, once he gets over his conservative bias, supposed to actually be an economist?


Yes Krugman is an economist but no, not a conservative - he's solidly liberal. I find his predictions are generally good when they're purely economics; where he falls down (sometimes) is on his judgment of the politics. In the above quote he made the mistake (like a lot of American commentators) of underestimating European politicians' commitment to make the Euro work, and European countries willingness to suffer the pain of austerity.

Here's his latest prediction:


Krugman predicts that Sweden is going to find it 'very hard' to get out of its deflation trap.




It's not personal. It's just war.

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Thursday, April 24, 2014 3:09 AM

This is my favorite thread on the whole site, by the way. For all the mountains of bullshit the right heaps on us - its nice to have a running record of how consistently they are proven wrong.

Its also just purely amusing that they avoid this thread like the plague.




"Goram it kid, let's frak this thing and go home! Engage!"

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Friday, May 9, 2014 5:35 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by kpo:
Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Which is?




Well what better way to test the validity and accuracy of someone's worldview, than by their predictions?

When Auraptor, Whozit, Hero etc. predicted that Obama would be crushed in 2012, and that Romney would win in a landslide, etc., etc., that was a prediction that came out of their worldview - that Obama is a marxist, an AlQaeda sympathiser, an America hater, a race-baiter, etc., and that the country had gone halfway to hell in his first 4 years. The ONLY prediction that can come out of such a worldview is that Obama would never be re-elected. Hence their complete disbelief when he won.

When I hear a poster claiming things like 'Benghazi will be Obama's Watergate', I think to myself this person has been whipped up into a frenzy by her partisan media. She's not living in the real world. So I post the prediction here, and it's stored for posterity, and people can see how the prediction bears out.

My aim was to show a thoroughly terrible track record of conservative predictions, pointing to the fact that modern conservatives have hyper-ideological, partisan media-warped worldviews. And that they don't live in the real world.

It's not personal. It's just war.


OK. How valid to have a pre-drawn conclusion to cherry pick your evaluations to support. How unbiased, neutral, balanced, and scientific.

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KPO
Friday, May 9, 2014 6:48 AM

Post accidentally deleted.

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KPO
Monday, May 12, 2014 4:22 AM

A Signy post, from March 14th:

Quote:

Plausible future news... with additions


KIEV AND THE WEST CALL CRIMEAN VOTE A "SHAM"
The government in Kiev called the Crimean referendum a "sham". Citing territorial integrity, the government in Kiev - which has yet to stand for election- said it would refuse to recognize the vote, and that Crimea should be returned to the Ukraine.


KIEV SEEKS CONTROL OF EASTERN UKRAINE
Through a series of coordinated actions by the far-right Kiev government security appointees, the Secretary of National Security and Defence Parubiy (Svoboda), The Secretary of National Security Yarsoh (Right Sector), Deputy Rrime Minister Sych (Svoboda), Acting Chief Prosecutor Makhnitskyy (Svoboda), Security Services Chief Nalyvaichencko, and Minister of Defence Tenhyuk (Svoboda) have embarked on a prgram of troop repositioning and preventive indictments against potential pro-Russian movements.
http://www.channel4.com/news/svoboda-ministers-ukraine-new-government-
far-right

MORE RUSSIAN-SPEAKING PROVINCES ARRANGE FOR REFERENDA
Russian-speaking Ukrainian troops battle Ukrainian-speaking troops from Kiev and take control of government buildings in Donetsk and other eastern Urkainian cities. Newly appointed "people's governors" arrange for referenda on thefuture of their city, or province.

KIEV CLAIMS RUSSIAN INTERFERENCE IN DONETSK AND OTHER EASTERN CITIES, SENDS IN MORE TROOPS
Kiev has claimed that Russian troops, disguised as pro-Russian militants, have taken over government buildings and have shot several Ukrainian citizens. Kiev sends in additional troops from western Ukraine to quell these disturbances and oust the invaders.

ON REQUEST FROM PROVISIONAL GOVERNMENTS OF EAST UKRAINE, RUSSIA SENDS IN TROOPS
These troops cross the border to "protect Russian citizens".

THE WEST PLACES ADDITIONAL SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA
In addition to visa restrictions and asset freezes, the West places a general banking freeze on Russian transactions.

RUSSIA PLACES COUNTER-SANCTIONS ON THE WEST
The sale of natural gas is restricted. Russian businesses owing money to western banks and enterprises default. Russia begins a massive US Treasury sale.

KIEV DELAYS NATIONAL ELECTIONS
Citing national security, the transitional government of Kiev has canceled national elections indefinitely. When asked whether this would effect aid and loan guarantees from the West, and IMF loans, western sources and IMF head Christine Lagarde said they did not foresee any difficulty with the Ukrainian government being able to maintain its financial authority over the nation. There are many upcoming agreements to be signed with the EU.

KIEV ANNOUNCES AUSTERITY
Because of the cutoff of natural gas deliveries and the subsequent price hike, the transitional Prime Minister, Arseniy Yatseniuk, has announced that natural gas subsidies would be cut back significantly. The IMF has insisted, as it has done with most of its governmental loans, that subsidies be cut in order to shore up governmental finances. Yatseniuk, himself a banker and favored by the United States to head the transitional government, has full authority to obtain loans and sign international agreements, according to the EU and the USA.

MAIDAN SQUARE ERUPTS AGAIN

THE SVOBODA-PARTY IN CHARGE OF INTERNAL SECURITY BEGINS THE ROUNDUP OF DISAFFECTED UKRAINIANS



It's not personal. It's just war.

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KPO
Monday, May 12, 2014 4:22 AM

double

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Monday, May 12, 2014 4:45 AM

Thank you, at least it's here.

How many of you thought that Saddam had WMD?
Who among you thought that Assad used chemical weapons in Syria?
How many of you were surprised by 9-11?
Did any of you predict the meltdown of 2008?
Who thought that Russia invaded Georgia unprovoked?

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KPO
Thursday, June 19, 2014 5:19 AM


Jongstraw: "If Barry loses the Senate, he will be impeached, convicted, and removed from office. Holder and Rice will be right behind him. Could all be wrapped up by February or March."


It's not personal. It's just war.

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