Guess the October Surprise -
POSTED BY: Righteous9
UPDATED: Sunday, November 12, 2006 15:16
VIEWED: 11708
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What will Rove and the GOP roll out just a couple weeks before election day? Figured I'd steal some of their lightles thunder before we hear about whatever 'revelation' it is in the context of some distorted reality rather than political timeliness, and manipulation.
Come up with your own, but here are a few that I think could happen...
Terrorist attack! - don't know how this would play after all the rhetoric about how we haven't been hit since 9/11, but fear is always a seller.
Major terrorist attack thwarted - not playing so well any more...they'd need something big here, like actually finding a person who was in possession of a dirty bomb.
Bin Laden Killed - I expect this one.
or my personal favorite, because I thought of it -- Weapons of Mass destruction found in Iraq after all...these long years. I would never put such machinations past this administration, but I don't know whether it would be too risky to attempt to stage. If such a find was bought by the American people though, it would appear to vindicate this administration. I'm not sure whether the American people will buy anything Bush is selling ever again, but liberals would hear forever from talking heads, how they owe this administration an apology for accusing it of either lying, or grave incompetence.
Any others?
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Well, I was going to go with bin Laden dead. I really think they floated it to see what effect it would have - it was a trial announcement. They will then 'confirm' it later on.
You know what I find weird? In the last two elections cycles Democrats lead 3 - 5% in the polls. Then they lost by that amount in key states - leading people to tell election officials "you got some 'splainin' to do". Now you don't heard news about ANY polls. No polls - no strange discrepancies - no awkward questions after the elections. Problem solved.
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How about an assasination attempt on Bush?
He gets shot in the head but the bullet misses his brain by three feet.
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Ruse,
What is the average margin of error in most polls? When they tell you it's a poll of "likely voters" they are lying. They just try to get some wind under the sails of a failed party. They are always trying to stack the results against the GOP...never works.
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Yeah, the polls are being downplayed. You can find them though. They were looking great for dems, but the closer we get to the election the closer the numbers get within the margin of error -- go figure. Harder to steal an election that is nowhere close in the polls I guess.
The assasination thing is also scary. It would be a horrible thing for this county if he were assasinated or shot at. The whole grenade thing didn't seem to help him much though - but as a martyr? I thought of this before I heard about the movie. The powers that be have basically gotten all the use out of him they could. He's damaged goods now. He'd be much more useful to them dead, you'd think. Good thing for him for his dad I guess.
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I think you can fairly well guarantee we'll have an increase in terror alerts, as Republicans try desperately to steer the public's attention away from their biggest failure: the Iraq War. If they're able to round up a few suspected terrorists, even better.
Also, count on religion to be played up, so they can divide the country on social issues. Already there's talk of reintroducing the constitutional amendment to ban gay marriage (I believe this will make the third time). They know there's still not enough votes, but why not cater to certain people's prejudices and hatred of homosexuals. That's always a good tactic for driving right-wing Christians to the polls.
And of course they'll attempt to portray Democrats as weak on defense ( i.e. the War on Terror). This is, of course, aside from the fact that the Democrats have nine Iraq War veterans running for seats in this election, one of whom is a retired Navy admiral.
My point is it'll be more of the same tired, old stuff they drag out every election. The really sad part is the number of Americans who'll buy into it.
Buy the ticket. Take the ride.
-Hunter S. Thompson
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Hey canker sore - you didn't read the statistical analyses I guess. Probably beyond you anyway.
Quote:
What is the average margin of error in most polls?
"I gave him the book but he just chews on the covers."
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Quote:
Originally posted by Righteous9:
What will Rove and the GOP roll out just a couple weeks before election day? Figured I'd steal some of their lightles thunder before we hear about whatever 'revelation' it is in the context of some distorted reality rather than political timeliness, and manipulation.
Come up with your own, but here are a few that I think could happen...
Terrorist attack! - don't know how this would play after all the rhetoric about how we haven't been hit since 9/11, but fear is always a seller.
Major terrorist attack thwarted - not playing so well any more...they'd need something big here, like actually finding a person who was in possession of a dirty bomb.
Bin Laden Killed - I expect this one.
or my personal favorite, because I thought of it -- Weapons of Mass destruction found in Iraq after all...these long years. I would never put such machinations past this administration, but I don't know whether it would be too risky to attempt to stage. If such a find was bought by the American people though, it would appear to vindicate this administration. I'm not sure whether the American people will buy anything Bush is selling ever again, but liberals would hear forever from talking heads, how they owe this administration an apology for accusing it of either lying, or grave incompetence.
Any others?
I guess you forgot to watch the news this year. Lets see...Bin Ladden dead, check. Thanks France for leaking that one. Hmm...Terrorist attack thwarted, you missed the whole 'plot to blow up the airliners' from August or the attempted car bombing of the US embassy in Syria, check. Terrorist attack, well somebody forgot to read the news from pick one: (Iraq, Afganistan, India, Korea, Thailand, the Phillipines, Saudi Arabia, Isreal, Lebanon, Syria, or the country of your choice), check. WMD's found by Rick Santorum a few months ago buried in a classified Pentagon report from a couple years ago, check.
So I guess you prediction is: MORE OF THE SAME. Way to go out on a limb...
Here's mine. The liberals and Defeatacrats will: deflact blame for 9/11 away from Clinton, say Iraq was (wrong, badly handled, needs to be surrendered, a war crime, or bad for the overall war on terror effort), claim corruption or racisim about a Republican, ignore corruption or racisim by a Democrat, capitalize on a convienantly leaked and beneficial partial secret document, undermine the President, make sweet love to Hugo Chavez's ass, hate the troops, obstruct everything, propose nothing,and do their best to avoid winning the mid-term elections despite all of their advantages this season.
Just because the sky is blue in October, doesn't mean there's electoral signifgance...turns out its blue most of the time...you just don't always notice.
H
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Quote:
Originally posted by rue:
You know what I find weird? In the last two elections cycles Democrats lead 3 - 5% in the polls. Then they lost by that amount in key states - leading people to tell election officials "you got some 'splainin' to do". Now you don't heard news about ANY polls. No polls - no strange discrepancies - no awkward questions after the elections. Problem solved.
I noticed last weekend an unranked NCAA football team beat a ranked football team. This was contrary to all the polls. Polls aren't always right...thats why they play the game.
Perhaps if the Demcrats focused more on getting votes and less on winning polls, then they'd do a little better. Most major polls are slanted in one direction or another (actually its most to the left and a couple to the right). I find the ones that aren't slanted tended to be the most correct in predicting outcomes. Funny how that worked out.
H
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