***** Sound of Freedom
POSTED BY: JEWELSTAITEFAN
UPDATED: Tuesday, January 23, 2024 03:13
VIEWED: 17421
PAGE 29 of 47
Thursday's Numbers:
1. M3GAN - 1,508% [FINAL]
2. Talk to Me - 1,378% (+22)
3. Super Mario Bros - 1,360% (+0%)
4. Sound of Freedom - 1,310% (+0%)
5. Insidious: The Red Door - 1,163% [FINAL]
SoF needs 51% to beat SMB. (About $8 Million)
SoF needs 69% to beat Talk To Me (About $10 Million)
SoF needs 152% to beat M3GAN. (About $29 Million)
Talk to Me only got $98,266 on Thursday, so it's falling right around SoF numbers in the US. (We still didn't get SoF's Thursday numbers, but SoF made $90k on Wednesday). That being said, it looks like some more international numbers came in so it got another 22% bump. It needs $966k for its next bump. It really should be slowing down at this point, but with how huge a percentage bump it gets with every Million it makes, it can probably still beat M3GAN pretty easily.
Talk to me overtakes SMB for 2nd place in 2023.
I put the list up without SoF's numbers in today because there's no chance Thursday's numbers were going to give it a bump with another $242k needed. Unless some more international numbers come in first, it's not getting a domestic bump until Friday or Saturday.
Barbie had its first ever 0% day.
As of today, I'm retiring Barbie from the daily lists now. There's no way it's joining the 1,000% club.
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Updating:
Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
But I have still been noticing trends, and I'll make a table to help show this.
I fully expect most folk will not have interest in this, but I think it is curious. Not only because Sound of Freedom is such a wonderful film, but also because it is breaking the mold, much like Maverick did last year.
Barbie has been benefitting from strong summer weekday sales, which SMB did not have. (SMB is a Seth Rogan film?) SoF has had strong Saturday and Sunday figures, the days when honest working folk are not working.
Over the weekend, Barbie made 53.0% of it's Production Budget. Sound of Freedom made 54.0% of it's Production Budget.
I m using $14M as the Production Budget figure for Sof, and $100M for Barbie. Barbie's international balances may bounce around, but this table is using the stated observation of 47.5% Domestic and 52.5% International.
All figures not tagged with % are Millions of Dollars.
For Barbie figures, the same figures are both $Millions, but also % of Production Budget.
1st column is Date.
2nd column is SoF Single Day BO.
3rd column is Single Day BO % of Budget.
4th and 5th are Total Cummulative Box Office, and then % of Budget.
6th and 7th are Last 7 Days of Box Office, and then % of Budget. All for Sound of Freedom.
8th column is Barbie single Day Domestic Box Office.
9th column is the % of Budget gain on SoF % for the same day.
10th column is the Total of Barbie's Domestic Box Office.
11th column is the total of the Last 7 Days of Barbie's Domestic Box Office.
12th is the % gain on SoF for the same Last 7 Day period.
13th column - 18th columns are the same things, but for Worldwide Box Office.
0000________Sound of Freedom_______ | _______________Barbie_______________________
000/00000 Domestic Box Office 00000\ / Domestic Box Office 0 Worldwide Box Office \
00000000 1 Day Acuml Total Last L 7D 0000 Gain 00000Lst Gain0000 Gain000000Lst Gain
00001Day %Budg Total %Budg 7Day %Bdg 1Day onSoF Ttl 7Dy SoF 1Day onSoF Ttl 7Dy SoF
27J 2.57 18.4% 136.5 0975% 31.9 228% 21.2 +2.8% 258 236 +8% 44.5 26.1% 542 496 268%
28J 3.77 26.9% 140.3 1002% 30.0 214% 29.0 +2.1% 287 239 25% 60.9 34.0% 603 502 288%
29J 4.81 34.4% 145.1 1036% 27.4 196% 34.5 +0.1% 322 204 +8% 72.5 38.1% 676 428 232%
30J 4.23 30.2% 149.3 1066% 24.9 178% 29.4 -0.8% 351 189 11% 61.7 31.5% 737 397 219%
31J 2.00 14.3% 151.3 1081% 23.7 169% 15.0 +0.7% 366 178 +9% 31.5 17.2% 769 374 205%
1 A 2.06 14.7% 153.4 1096% 22.4 160% 15.3 +0.6% 381 167 +7% 32.1 17.4% 800 351 191%
2 A 1.56 11.1% 155.0 1107% 21.0 150% 12.8 +1.7% 394 157 +7% 26.9 15.8% 827 330 180%
3 A 1.44 10.3% 156.4 1117% 19.9 142% 11.8 +1.5% 406 148 +6% 24.8 14.5% 853 311 169% 185
4 A 2.21 15.8% 158.6 1133% 18.3 131% 16.5 +0.7% 423 135 +4% 34.7 18.9% 888 284 153% 218
5 A 2.87 20.5% 161.5 1154% 16.4 117% 19.5 -1.0% 442 120 +3% 40.9 20.4% 928 252 135% 176
6 A 2.48 17.7% 164.0 1171% 14.6 104% 17.0 -0.7% 459 108 +4% 35.7 18.0% 964 227 123% 170
7 A 1.08 07.7% 165.1 1179% 13.7 098% 09.1 +1.4% 468 102 +4% 19.1 11.4% 983 214 116% 160
8 A 1.17 08.4% 166.2 1187% 12.8 091% 09.6 +1.2% 478 096 +5% 20.2 11.8% A04 202 111% 149
9 A 0.90 06.4% 167.1 1194% 12.1 086% 07.4 +1.0% 485 091 +5% 15.5 09.1% A19 191 105% 139
10A 0.82 05.9% 168.0 1200% 11.5 082% 07.1 +1.2% 492 086 +4% 14.9 09.0% A33 181 099% 130
11A 1.35 09.7% 169.3 1209% 10.7 076% 10.0 +0.3% 502 080 +4% 21.0 11.3% A54 168 092% 116
12A 1.96 14.0% 171.3 1224% 09.8 070% 13.2 -0.8% 516 073 +3% 27
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Yesterday the UK numbers at The Numbers jumped up over $1K, while the report date remained the same. Brandon must be overseas working to devalue the Dollar again.
Last night there was no UK figures at BOM, but this morning there was.
Seems the only country missing from BOM is Australia. For 2 weeks now.
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Updating:
Quote:let's see...
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
I think the green numbers at The Numbers is prelim or estimated figures, and black are the real figures.
They just turned black for the weekend.
Sunday SoF jumped up to highest take per screen, beating Indy5 and Red Door. It was estimated behind Red Door.
Also, every single day since release, SoF has more $ per screen that Indy5.
Even when it added more than 13% more theaters for the weekend.
For the days when working folk are not working...
Date | DBO Rnk /Scrn Rnk
04Jul 14.24 1 $5,407 1
08Jul 7.176 3 $2,431 2
09Jul 7.295 3 $2,471 1
15Jul 10.22 2 $3,132 2
16Jul 9.563 2 $2,929 2
22Jul 7,434 4 $2,263 3
23Jul 6,684 3 $2,035 3
29Jul 4.813 4 $1,411 4
30Jul 4.233 4 $1,241 4
5 Aug 2.870 6 $ 0965 7
6 Aug 2.487 6 $ 0836 6
12Aug 1.965 8 $ 0701 9
13Aug 1.551 7 $ 0554 9
19Aug 1.040 10 $ 693 8
20Aug 0.859 09 $ 399 9
26Aug 0.600 13 $ 375 15
27Aug 0.550 14 $ 344 15
2 Sep 0.352 16 $ 321 14
3 Sep 0.371 16 $ 337 14
4 Sep 0.337 16 $ 307 13
other days...
05Jul 4.047 2 $1,537 1
06Jul 3.697 3 $1,404 2
07Jul 5.208 3 $1,764 2
10Jul 4.000 1 $1,355 1
11Jul 3.829 1 $1,297 1
12Jul 4.424 2 $1,499 2
13Jul 4.576 2 $1,550 2
14Jul 7.491 2 $2,294 2
17Jul 4.954 2 $1,518 1
18Jul 5.449 2 $1,669 2
19Jul 4.722 2 $1,446 1
20Jul 3.702 1 $1,134 1
21Jul 5.706 3 $1,737 3
24Jul 3.168 3 $ 0965 3
25Jul 3.391 3 $1,032 3
26Jul 3.001 3 $ 0914 3
27Jul 2.568 3 $ 0782 3
28Jul 3.766 5 $1,104 5
31Jul 2.001 4 $ 0587 4
1 Aug 2.061 4 $ 0604 4
2 Aug 1.561 5 $ 0458 6
3 Aug 1.440 5 $ 0442 7
4 Aug 2.212 6 $ 0744 6
7 Aug 1.077 6 $ 0362 7
8 Aug 1.170 6 $ 0393 8
9 Aug 0.900 8 $ 0303 7
10Aug 0.822 7 $ 0276 9
11Aug 1.351 8 $ 0482 9
14Aug 0.590 8 $ 0211 9
15Aug 0.732 9 $ 0261 9
16Aug 0.562 7 $ 0201 8
17Aug 0.438 7 $ 0156 8
18Aug 0.700 11 $ 326 10
21Aug 0.311 10 $ 145 9
22Aug 0.390 10 $ 181 10
23Aug 0.314 09 $ 146 9
24Aug 0.246 10 $ 114 10
25Aug 0.401 15 $ 250 15
28Aug 0.157 15 $0 99 15
29Aug 0.180 16 $ 113 16
30Aug 0.158 13 $0 99 14
31Aug 0.119 13 $0 75 14
1 Sep 0.210 16 $ 191 13
5 Sep 0.103 16 $0 94 13
6 Sep 0.090 14 $0 82 10
Quote:
If trends continue, I expect SoF to gain another 50% this week (end 20 Aug), and another 30% the next week (end 27 Aug), making it about 1315%.
Using Oppy as a guide, 1/5 of the International Box Office comes from UK, Australia, Mexico. i expect $18M from these 3, which would make it about 1445% when these are tallied. Australia starts trickling in after 24 Aug, and UK/Mexico after 1 Sep.
----------------------------
Bruce's predictions for the weekend do not show SoF in the Top Ten.
------------------
Today is the 57th day of release for SoF. 8 weeks.
No figures yet posted for Monday night SoF.
Sunday my local theater did not have any showings of SoF, but did for Fri, Sat, and the rest of this week. Theater counts did not change as listed.
I have "targets" that I expect from International, due to various factors. These are a reminder for me. They are likely to be wrong.
$14 M for UK
$7 M for Mexico, Australia, Brazil
$5 M for Peru
$3 M from NZ, Colombia, Argentina
These add up to $49 M. If they make half of that, plus another $4M from the rest of the world, then that would be $29M, and SoF would pass by Megan's 1505%.
I am not sure about some releases. Which countries are English speaking? I'll conjure that Spanish speaking countries will get a dubbed version of the film. Some countries with other languages, I don't know if they are being dubbed, or just released as "Foreign Language" film, like in art houses.
Updates from Bruce for International, plus BOM International are incomplete, missing, or conflict.
For 6 Sept, SoF is back in the Top Ten for $ per theater.
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Sound of Freedom International Box Office.
I think I need to start a new table for this. Data is hard to come by, is not transparent, and seems to fluctuate a bunch. I will need to use Box Office Mojo for source data, and work from there. If other data becomes available, I will try to reconcile that.
Legend:
Each nation's entry is comprised of 2 lines.
In the first Identifier places, the order is by the stated Release Date. Next is the Country Abbreviation.
In the line below that, the Maximum number of theaters I could find for a film in that country. Then the day which they start their weekend, according to their Box Office Results. This is either Thursday or Friday.
The remainder of the columns have weekday figures in the top line, and weekend figures in the 2nd line, plus the subtotals.
The column labeled Date Range has the range of dates for those figures.
Next column is Box Office for those dates.
Next is the Rank of that Box Office figure.
Next is Theater Count.
Next is $ per Theater Average.
Next is the Rank of the $ per Theater figure.
Next is the Total, for weekdays only.
Next is the 7 Day Totals, which is both lines added together.
Next is the Rank of that 7 Day Total Box Office (when available, or calculated).
Next is the Cumulative Total for that Country.
Then are selected figures from the Prior week, to reference for comparison.
Week of 14-20 August:
Nation0 DateRng _____________________This Week_______________________
Rel Thtr Weekdy BoxOffc Rk Thtr $ per Rnk Total 0 7 Day Rnk Cummultiv
Dte Cont Weeknd00000000000 Cnt Theatr0000Weekday SbTotal0000Total BO
18A Icel 14-17A $ 2,854 __ ___ ______ __ $ 2,854
000014/F 18-20A $11,914 #3 0 8 $1,489 #3 00000000$14,768 #5 $0 14,768
17A UAE- 14-16A
000200/T 17-20A 153,695 #8 039 $3,940 #7 00000000153,695 __ $ 153,695
18A SAfr 14-17A
000117/F 18-20A $87,927 #2 060 $1,465 #1 00000000$87,927 __ $0 87,927
18A Lith 14-17A
000177/F 18-20A $ 5,654 #8 016 $0 353 #2 00000000$ 5,654 __ $ 0 5,654
24A N Z- 14-16A
000123/T 17-20A $ 5,626 18 0 3 $1,875 #5 00000000$ 5,626 __ $ 0 5,626
00000000000000000000000000000000000000000$ 2,854 267,6700000$ 267,670
Week of 21-27 August:
Nation0 DateRng _____________________This Week______________________ ___________Last Week___________
Rel Thtr Weekdy BoxOffc Rk Thtr $ per Rnk Total 0 7 Day Rnk Cummultv BoxOffc Rk Thtr 7 Day Cummultiv
Dte Cont Weeknd00000000000 Cnt Theatr0000Weekday SbTotal0000Total BO00000000000 Cnt SbTotal0Total BO
18A Icel 21-24A $11,469 __ 0 8 $1,434 __ $11,469 0000000000000000000 $ 2,854 __ ___
000014/F 25-27A $13,749 #3 0 6 $2,291 #4 00000000$25,218 __ $ 39,986 $11,914 #3 0 80$14,768 $0 14,768
17A UAE- 21-23A $74,806 __ 039 $1,918 __ $74,806
000200/T 24-27A $91,780 #9 019 $4,830 #5 00000000<
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I was wondering what the International Box Office would be, using only the first week in each country, and then maybe all of the second weeks.
So, as if the international releases were at the same time as Domestic - but obviously bot counting the Summer/School factors.
Sound of Freedom International Box Office.
I think I need to start a new table for this. Data is hard to come by, is not transparent, and seems to fluctuate a bunch. I will need to use Box Office Mojo for source data, and work from there. If other data becomes available, I will try to reconcile that.
Updating:Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
All figures not tagged with % are Millions of Dollars.
For Barbie figures, the same figures are both $Millions, but also % of Production Budget.
1st column is Date.
2nd column is SoF Single Day BO.
3rd column is Single Day BO % of Budget.
4th and 5th are Total Cummulative Box Office, and then % of Budget.
6th and 7th are Last 7 Days of Box Office, and then % of Budget. All for Sound of Freedom.
8th column is Barbie single Day Domestic Box Office.
9th column is the % of Budget gain on SoF % for the same day.
10th column is the Total of Barbie's Domestic Box Office.
11th column is the total of the Last 7 Days of Barbie's Domestic Box Office.
12th is the % gain on SoF for the same Last 7 Day period.
13th column - 18th columns are the same things, but for Worldwide Box Office.
0000________Sound of Freedom_______ | _______________Barbie_______________________
000/00000 Domestic Box Office 00000\ / Domestic Box Office 0 Worldwide Box Office \
00000000 1 Day Acuml Total Last L 7D 0000 Gain 00000Lst Gain0000 Gain000000Lst Gain
00001Day %Budg Total %Budg 7Day %Bdg 1Day onSoF Ttl 7Dy SoF 1Day onSoF Ttl 7Dy SoF
27J 2.57 18.4% 136.5 0975% 31.9 228% 21.2 +2.8% 258 236 +8% 44.5 26.1% 542 496 268%
28J 3.77 26.9% 140.3 1002% 30.0 214% 29.0 +2.1% 287 239 25% 60.9 34.0% 603 502 288%
Week of 14-20 August:
Nation0 DateRng _____________________This Week_______________________
Rel Thtr Weekdy BoxOffc Rk Thtr $ per Rnk Total 0 7 Day Rnk Cummultiv
Dte Cont Weeknd00000000000 Cnt Theatr0000Weekday SbTotal0000Total BO
18A Icel 14-17A $ 2,854 __ ___ ______ __ $ 2,854
000014/F 18-20A $11,914 #3 0 8 $1,489 #3 00000000$14,768 #5 $0 14,768
17A UAE- 14-16A
000200/T 17-20A 153,695 #8 039 $3,940 #7 00000000153,695 __ $ 153,695
18A SAfr 14-17A
000117/F 18-20A $87,927 #2 060 $1,465 #1 00000000$87,927 __ $0 87,927
18A Lith 14-17A
000177/F 18-20A $ 5,654 #8 016 $0 353 #2 00000000$ 5,654 __ $ 0 5,654
24A N Z- 14-16A
000123/T 17-20A $ 5,626 18 0 3 $1,875 #5 00000000$ 5,626 __ $ 0 5,626
00000000000000000000000000000000000000000$ 2,854000000000000$ 267,670
Week of 21-27 August:
24A N Z-
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I hardly ever look at the worldwide box office, so I didn't even notice that Sound of Freedom is the 9th highest grossing movie in the US this year.
Here's an interesting stat. If you just count the top 10 flicks and their US gross minus the production budget, here's what that top 10 Domestic looks like.
1. Super Mario Bros - $575M - $100M = $475M
2. Barbie - $615M - $145M = $470M
3. Oppenheimer - $312M = $100M = $212M
4. Miles Morales 2 - $381M - $100M = $200M
5. Sound of Freedom - $183M - $14M = $169M
6. Guardians of the Galaxy 3 - $359M = $250M = $109M
7. John Wick: Chapter 4 - $187M - $100M = $87M
8. The Little Mermaid - $298M - $250M = $48M
9. Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania $215M - $200M = $15M
10. Indiana Jones 5 - $174M - $300M = -$126M
Did you notice how the 4 Disney movies on the list are in the bottom 5? Also notice how Indy5 did so bad that the $126M it lost eliminates the profits from Antman, TLM and all but $46 Million of what Guardians made over the production budget here in the states.
Then notice that the $169M that SoF alone made domestically over its budget is just $3M shy of what Guardians, Mermaid and Antman made over budget in the US combined.
And then laugh when you realize that it could have been Disney pocketing that money if they released it and hadn't shelved the flick for 4 years.
Notable movies that haven't even made the Top 10 in the US though they did worldwide were MI7 & Fast X.
Newsweek actually wrote a good article about SoF and how well it's performing outside of the US right now. I'm not going to bother linking it though because not only did they claim it's in 10th place in the US when it's actually quite comfortably above Indy 5 in 9th place, but they also raised the budget of SoF again and are putting out the word that it was $15 Million now.
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Here's another funny stat.
Total production budget for the top 10 movies in the US Box office on 9/8/2023:
$1,559,000,000
Total share of Sound of Freedom's budget in the Top 10 movies in the US Box Office:
0.898%
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Friday's Numbers:
1. M3GAN - 1,508% [FINAL]
2. Talk to Me - 1,378% (+0)
3. Super Mario Bros - 1,360% (+0%)
4. Sound of Freedom - 1,310% (+0%) Maybe it made enough for the bump?
5. Insidious: The Red Door - 1,163% [FINAL]
SoF needs 51% to beat SMB. (About $8 Million)
SoF needs 69% to beat Talk To Me (About $10 Million)
SoF needs 152% to beat M3GAN. (About $29 Million)
Nothing really to report for today.
Talk To Me only made $249k on Friday. It needs $335k for the next bump, which it [probably] gets tonight.
No numbers on Sound of Freedom in for today. I can't even say with confidence if it hit that tonight or not either. It only needs around $107k, but with the very poor $60k it pulled in on Friday I'm not sure whether or not it can make it.
SoF will get a 7% bump by the end of the weekend and Talk To Me will get a 22% bump. Then we see on Monday what the international numbers were for both of them.
I'm still confident that SoF beats Super Mario Bros, but 3rd place is probably going to be the end result for the year unless there is compelling evidence found that its budget was only $14 Million or less (Which still ultimately might not get it to first anyhow). I know there are probably a lot of countries that it is showing in that we haven't been privy to yet, but it still needs $29 Million to beat M3GAN and there's a fairly good chance it would need even more to beat Talk To Me, and the Domestic run is all but dead now, especially since it's only showing in 730 theaters this week and could get slashed to somewhere around 300 by next weekend.
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Supposedly, Sound of Freedom was 1st place in something like 14 Latin American countries this weekend. No word from either of the tracking sites, but that's what I've heard.
There's no point in updating Saturday/Sunday numbers at all right now since we still don't have SoF's numbers for Friday or the weekend. Hopefully we get some big international numbers this weekend too. We probably won't see anything until Monday.
Talk To Me got its next bump on Saturday like I thought it would. It's now 1,400% even.
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