***** Sound of Freedom

POSTED BY: JEWELSTAITEFAN
UPDATED: Tuesday, January 23, 2024 03:13
VIEWED: 17421
PAGE 24 of 47

Friday's Numbers:

1. M3GAN - 1,475% [FINAL]
2. Super Mario Bros - 1,358% (+0%)
3. Sound of Freedom - 1,279% (+0%)
4. Insidious: The Red Door - 1,163% (+0%)
5. Talk to Me - 1,133% (+22%)
6. Barbie - 893% (+3%)

SoF needs 80% to beat SMB. (About $12 Million)
SoF needs 197% to beat M3GAN. (About $28 Million)
SoF is 146% above Talk to Me.
SoF is 386% above Barbie.

SMB will get no help from the 1,451 theaters it's playing in this week for National Cinema Day. It still only managed $62k in projections for Friday. With this movie bouncing up and down 1 to 3% points every two or three days, a few tens of thousands of actual Domestic Box Office isn't going to move the needle here.

Insidious' numbers haven't come in for Friday, but they won't matter either. It's only showing in 92 theaters as of this weekend, and it only pulled in $10k to $64k per day in the last 7 days. It needs $424k to go up another percentage point. The only way that's happening this weekend is if it still has a good deal of unreported international numbers that get added.

Talk To Me pulls in $609k on Friday and gets a 22% bump in one day, which matches the 22% bump it got for Monday-Thursday combined. Talk To Me still has a chance of catching up with SoF unless good international SoF numbers start rolling in. It's only a 146% difference between them now.

Barbie only gets a 3% bump with a $4 Million Friday. We knew it was completely out of the running here once the $145 Million budget came to light, but I didn't realize just how quickly we'd see this thing dropping to and even below less than 10% gains per week.

Barbie crushed Blue Beetle by $1.4 Million on Friday. I guess it's still raining inside all of the theaters showing BB in LA then?




Bruce finally updated Wednesday-Thursday numbers for Sound of Freedom. No numbers on his site for Friday yet though, even though BoxOfficeMojo shows it made $382,003 on Friday and is still showing in 1,602 theaters this week.

I said earlier this week if it's lucky it could still see two more percentage bumps Domestically by Sunday night. That still holds true, but isn't super likely. Right now it's at $179,417,925, which means easy percentage bump on Saturday night, but it would need to gross $1,083,000 by Sunday to get the 2nd bump, and with only $382k on Friday that's probably not very likely to happen. But with National Cinema Day on Sunday, anything is possible.

If Bruce were to put the international numbers that BOM already has up by Monday morning, it probably gets the 2nd bump right there. It would mean that SoF only needs to make $408k per day the next two days to secure the 2nd bump, and that would put it just one bump behind 1,300%.

--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

Wow. Cinema Day Weekend might have been really good to Sound of Freedom.

Weekend Projections for SoF this morning are $2,001,292.

It's still not enough to take the weekend from MI7, Talk To Me or Haunted Mansion, but all 4 movies are projected to be within $99k of each other and it appears that SoF beat all 3 of those movies on Sunday.

So...


Saturday/Sunday's Numbers (Pre-International):

1. M3GAN - 1,475% [FINAL]
2. Super Mario Bros - 1,359% (+1%)
3. Sound of Freedom - 1,293% (+14%)
4. Insidious: The Red Door - 1,163% (+0%)
5. Talk to Me - 1,156% (+23%)
6. Barbie - 924% (+31%)

SoF needs 67% to beat SMB. (About $10 Million)
SoF needs 183% to beat M3GAN. (About $26 Million)
SoF is 137% above Talk to Me.
SoF is 369% above Barbie.


No new numbers for Insidious all weekend, but it's making so little now that not even Cinema Day can get it to the next percentage bump.

Talk to Me should overtake Insidious before the weekend.

There should be no worry that SoF goes down any percentage gain after the real numbers come in. It would have to lose $537k of those studio projections for that to happen. It needs $463k for its next percentage bump though, and it won't get that from the international numbers that BoxOfficeMojo has had up most of the week. I haven't added those yet and I'll just wait for Bruce to put them up before I do.

At least some if not all of Barbie's International figures must have come in early. After making only 3% on Friday night, it makes 31% on Saturday/Sunday. The additional $13 Million it made Domestically would have only accounted for 9% of that gain.

Barbie crushed the Blue beetle by almost $4.5 Million this weekend. According to projections, it's only $200k behind Gran Turismo, so though not likely it's possible it actually took 1st place back this weekend.

--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

Barbie crushed the Blue beetle by almost $4.5 Million this weekend. According to projections, it's only $200k behind Gran Turismo, so though not likely it's possible it actually took 1st place back this weekend.

---

I've never seen them do this before, but it appears WB severely downgraded their expectations for Barbie on Cinema Day weekend, placing it at only $15,100,000.

It's still nearly $3 Million above Blue Beetle's projections, but probably won't come close to Gran Turismo for first place now.


--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

It would appear that they have the same type of George Soros funded child rapists working in the media in Australia as they do here.

At least, according to top Google search results, here are the stories that Australians were greeted with before and while SoF finally got its release date there.


Sound of Freedom: An anti-trafficking movie plagued by controversy has just landed in Australia

Protecting children from traffickers is a dignified cause. But this movie has been caught in a web of controversy.

https://www.sbs.com.au/news/the-feed/article/sound-of-freedom-an-anti-
trafficking-plagued-by-controversy-has-just-landed-in-australia/t15hym935



What is Sound Of Freedom about? The controversial anti-sex trafficking film is storming the US box office

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-08-28/what-is-sound-of-freedom-about-
jim-caviezel-tim-ballard/102746796




SPOILER ALERT: It's two articles that sound almost identical, and are basically each just a compilation of anything that our two resident child rapists Ted and Second have popped in the thread with over the last few months.

Seriously... Has anybody even met somebody IRL that identifies as QAnon or have been able to get a definition of what the hell QAnon is other than some vague "I Hate Trump and he lives inside my brain" explanation from idiots toward thinking people.

--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

Saturday/Sunday's Numbers (Post-International):

1. M3GAN - 1,475% [FINAL]
2. Super Mario Bros - 1,358% (-1%)
3. Sound of Freedom - 1,300% (+7%)
4. Talk to Me - 1,178% (+22%)
5. Insidious: The Red Door - 1,163% (+0%)
6. Barbie - 923% (-1%)

SoF needs 59% to beat SMB. (About $9 Million)
SoF needs 176% to beat M3GAN. (About $25 Million)
SoF is 122% above Talk to Me.
SoF is 377% above Barbie.

For the first time, Bruce has some international numbers up for SoF. (But not from quite a few countries that were up on BoxOfficeMojo days ago).

$1,438,397 in Australia and New Zealand combined, reported on 8/28 after their 8/24 opening.

Maximum screens for Australia were 352, and 101 for New Zealand. Nowhere near the 812/123 screens Barbie got. I'm still not sure what "Theatrical Engagements" means, but Barbie had 4,011 in Australia and 711 in Newzealand. Those numbers match the Maximum Screens for SoF, so now I'm thinking that this is how Bruce keeps track of how many theaters showed a movie per screen each week. (If I'm right, I expect the numbers to rise from 352/101 next week when the numbers are updated, with them being doubled if they showed in the same amount of screens and less than double if it lost screens).

Not a great showing for SoF in one of the biggest countries it's going to be seen in, and probably not good news for anyone hoping it would take 1st place this year for Worldwide Box Office vs. Production Budget either. They appear to be pretty Leftist out there in banned-gun territory (see the articles above), and I think the media did a great job shaming people out of going to see it.

Hopefully it gets much better showings in Brazil and Mexico, because Australia and New Zealand probably aren't going to account for more than about $4 Million maximum before they stop showing it.


In any event, that was enough to put Sound of Freedom up to 1,300%, and if the weekend Domestic projections weren't too low, it's only less than $25k away from going up another percentage bump tomorrow.

Super Mario Bros. went down another 1% today.

Barbie went down 1% as well after Warner Bros. downgraded their projection.

Talk To Me takes 4th place from Insidious. It's only 122% behind SoF now. Unless it slows down drastically, it will probably overtake Sound of Freedom at least until any real international numbers come in.

--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

On Friday, DR finally rose above $13M behind SoF, according to projections. Then almost lost that edge on Sunday.


Heard that SoF was having great Box Office in CA. Apparently disruption in CA due to something called "rain" and also 5.1 Earthquake in Counties of L.A. and Ventura on 20 August caused that large drop-off in Box Office on 19 August and since. The normal gain from Friday to Saturday did not occur that weekend. I have not seen data on individual states.

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

Updating, uing Talk To Me projection figures for the weekend:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
I think the green numbers at The Numbers is prelim or estimated figures, and black are the real figures.
They just turned black for the weekend.
Sunday SoF jumped up to highest take per screen, beating Indy5 and Red Door. It was estimated behind Red Door.

Also, every single day since release, SoF has more $ per screen that Indy5.
Even when it added more than 13% more theaters for the weekend.

---

let's see...
For the days when working folk are not working...

Date | DBO Rnk /Scrn Rnk
04Jul 14.24 1 $5,407 1
08Jul 7.176 3 $2,431 2
09Jul 7.295 3 $2,471 1
15Jul 10.22 2 $3,132 2
16Jul 9.563 2 $2,929 2
22Jul 7,434 4 $2,263 3
23Jul 6,684 3 $2,035 3
29Jul 4.813 4 $1,411 4
30Jul 4.233 4 $1,241 4
5 Aug 2.870 6 $ 0965 7
6 Aug 2.487 6 $ 0836 6
12Aug 1.965 8 $ 0701 9
13Aug 1.551 7 $ 0554 9
19Aug 1.040 10 $ 693 8
20Aug 0.859 09 $ 399 9

other days...
05Jul 4.047 2 $1,537 1
06Jul 3.697 3 $1,404 2
07Jul 5.208 3 $1,764 2
10Jul 4.000 1 $1,355 1
11Jul 3.829 1 $1,297 1
12Jul 4.424 2 $1,499 2
13Jul 4.576 2 $1,550 2
14Jul 7.491 2 $2,294 2
17Jul 4.954 2 $1,518 1
18Jul 5.449 2 $1,669 2
19Jul 4.722 2 $1,446 1
20Jul 3.702 1 $1,134 1
21Jul 5.706 3 $1,737 3
24Jul 3.168 3 $ 0965 3
25Jul 3.391 3 $1,032 3
26Jul 3.001 3 $ 0914 3
27Jul 2.568 3 $ 0782 3
28Jul 3.766 5 $1,104 5
31Jul 2.001 4 $ 0587 4
1 Aug 2.061 4 $ 0604 4
2 Aug 1.561 5 $ 0458 6
3 Aug 1.440 5 $ 0442 7
4 Aug 2.212 6 $ 0744 6
7 Aug 1.077 6 $ 0362 7
8 Aug 1.170 6 $ 0393 8
9 Aug 0.900 8 $ 0303 7
10Aug 0.822 7 $ 0276 9
11Aug 1.351 8 $ 0482 9
14Aug 0.590 8 $ 0211 9
15Aug 0.732 9 $ 0261 9
16Aug 0.562 7 $ 0201 8
17Aug 0.438 7 $ 0156 8
18Aug 0.700 11 $ 326 10
21Aug 0.311 10 $ 145 9
22Aug 0.390 10 $ 181 10
23Aug 0.314 09 $ 146 9
24Aug 0.246 10 $ 114 10

Quote:

---

If trends continue, I expect SoF to gain another 50% this week (end 20 Aug), and another 30% the next week (end 27 Aug), making it about 1315%.
Using Oppy as a guide, 1/5 of the International Box Office comes from UK, Australia, Mexico. i expect $18M from these 3, which would make it about 1445% when these are tallied. Australia starts trickling in after 24 Aug, and UK/Mexico after 1 Sep.

I do understand that Barbie has a Production Budget of $145M. However, my other table is done to show the numerical trends I had noticed, and I will continue that without changing the denominator, to demonstrate the trend.
If Barbie had continued the trend, I had seen that Barbie would overtake SoF in 2 weeks, and then 2 weeks later would fall below SoF again. That would be IF the summer weekdays continued past 20 Aug, and SoF had no Box office from International.
----------------------------
Bruce's predictions for the weekend do not show SoF in the Top Ten.
---------------
Topsy turvy figures at The Numbers this weekend.
SoF was showing Friday and Sat theater counts the same as last week, then dropped to about 2,100 on Sunday.
Currently listing 2,152 for Friday; 1,501 for Saturday; and 2,152 for Sunday.

Today is the 49th day of release for SoF. 7 weeks. Saturday was showing more theater count than in it's opening days. Although practically at the bottom of the 11 wide-release films, still bouncing up to 9th place (Sunday). And more than 4 times the Box Office of the next tier, the 12th place film. And hitting 8th place for $ per theater (Saturday).

For the weekend, SoF came in at 10th., just ahead of Bram Stoker's Ship. And just below Dead Reckoning - which is still $13M behind in Dom BO.

I don't expect South Africa figures to show up soon. But I would not be surprised to see Australia figures next Monday.

---

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

Sound of Freedom International Box Office.


I think I need to start a new table for this. Data is hard to come by, is not transparent, and seems to fluctuate a bunch. I will need to use Box Office Mojo for source data, and work from there. If other data becomes available, I will try to reconcile that.




Updating:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:


All figures not tagged with % are Millions of Dollars.
For Barbie figures, the same figures are both $Millions, but also % of Production Budget.
1st column is Date.
2nd column is SoF Single Day BO.
3rd column is Single Day BO % of Budget.
4th and 5th are Total Cummulative Box Office, and then % of Budget.
6th and 7th are Last 7 Days of Box Office, and then % of Budget. All for Sound of Freedom.
8th column is Barbie single Day Domestic Box Office.
9th column is the % of Budget gain on SoF % for the same day.
10th column is the Total of Barbie's Domestic Box Office.
11th column is the total of the Last 7 Days of Barbie's Domestic Box Office.
12th is the % gain on SoF for the same Last 7 Day period.
13th column - 18th columns are the same things, but for Worldwide Box Office.

---

0000________Sound of Freedom_______ | _______________Barbie_______________________
000/00000 Domestic Box Office 00000\ / Domestic Box Office 0 Worldwide Box Office \
00000000 1 Day Acuml Total Last L 7D 0000 Gain 00000Lst Gain0000 Gain000000Lst Gain
00001Day %Budg Total %Budg 7Day %Bdg 1Day onSoF Ttl 7Dy SoF 1Day onSoF Ttl 7Dy SoF
27J 2.57 18.4% 136.5 0975% 31.9 228% 21.2 +2.8% 258 236 +8% 44.5 26.1% 542 496 268%
28J 3.77 26.9% 140.3 1002% 30.0 214% 29.0 +2.1% 287 239 25% 60.9 34.0% 603 502 288%


18A Icel-14/F 2,854 __ 2,854 | 011,914 #3 0 8 1,489 #3 $14,768 #5 $0 14,768
17A UAE-200/T - - - - - - - -| 153,695 #8 039 3,940 #7 153,695 __ $ 153,695
18A SAf-117/F - - - - - - - -| 087,927 #2 060 1,465 #1 $87,927 __ $0 87,927
18A Lit-177/F - - - - - - - -| 0 5,654 #8 016 0 353 #2 $ 5,654 __ $ 0 5,654
24A NZ -123/T - - - - - - - -| 0 5,626 18 0 3 1,875 #5 $ 5,626 __ $ 0 5,626
0000000000000000000000$2,85400000000000000000000000000000000000000$ 267,670

Nation0 DateRng _____________________This Week_______________________
Rel Thtr Weekdy BoxOffc Rk Thtr $ per Rnk Total 0 7 Day Rnk Cummultiv
Dte Cont Weeknd00000000000 Cnt Theatr0000Weekday SbTotal0000Total BO

18A Icel 14-17A $ 2,854 __ ___ ______ __ $ 2,854
000014/F 18-20A $11,914 #3 0 8 $1,489 #3 00000000$14,768 #5 $0 14,768
17A UAE- 14-16A
000200/T 17-20A 153,695 #8 039 $3,940 #7 00000000153,695 __ $ 153,695
18A SAfr 14-17A
000117/F 18-20A $87,927 #2 060 $1,465 #1 00000000$87,927 __ $0 87,927
18A Lith 14-17A
000177/F 18-20A $ 5,654 #8 016 $0 353 #2 00000000$ 5,654 __ $ 0 5,654
24A N Z- 14-16A
000123/T 17-20A $ 5,626 18 0 3 $1,875 #5

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME