STAR WARS Episode 9: The Final Abortion
POSTED BY: whozit
UPDATED: Wednesday, February 26, 2025 15:30
VIEWED: 49685
PAGE 22 of 33
Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Just one more week and it will.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
It did.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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I wonder if somebody at Disney secretly has been reading this thread?
They (smartly) slashed the theaters showing Episode 9 by 754 to make Week Nine's total only 992. This is roughly 150 less than Joker was showing in Week Nine.
Bigger than that though, Episode 9 now beat Joker to another record it probably doesn't want. The first of both movies to show in less than 1,000 theaters. It beats Joker by 1 week for that record now.
It was a good move though. While nowhere near the $673 per theater that Joker showed on the same Friday night in 150 more theaters, it did make a respectable $391 per theater, which is nearly $100 more than it showed last Friday night. Chances are, it will not go sub $100 during the week with this amount of theaters showing it and they might well tie with Joker for that record in Week Ten instead.
It will also benefit from a larger Box Office on Monday than usual because of the holiday. It will be interesting to see if this additional revenue will be enough to maybe eek out one more per-day win for Episode 9 or not. If the ratio of Friday-to-Monday holiday weekends in the past for the flick hold true for this weekend, it will probably out show Joker on Monday by around $200k.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Ep. 9 is no longer in the top 10 in theaters, #14 last I checked.
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Looks like it was #15 on Friday. Good catch. Monitoring which numbers they came in from week to week hasn't been something that I've paid any attention to. It looks like Tuesday the 11th was the first day outside of the top 10 when it fell to #11 in its 8th week.
It seems that Joker actually lost that one and fell to #11 one day earlier, on the 8th Monday. However, it never fell lower than #13 (at least as long as that was tracked... I'm not sure why so many weeks don't even show the number anymore).
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Interestingly, Episode 9 fell around 15% from Friday to Sunday night this week. This is very out of the ordinary, because unless something pulled people away from the theaters like the Super Bowl, Sunday night typically is around a 30% increase on Friday night in almost all cases.
It's just the prediction numbers right now, and I have no clue what they base their predictive models on, but since I've been paying attention they're extremely accurate and I don't expect this number to change much.
There's still almost zero chance that it will even get close to sub $100 per theater per night average this week, given the amount of theaters they cut. With Birds of Prey being R rated and wildly unpopular, that's not going to hurt Episode 9. Sonic is doing much better than expected though, and is family friendly fare. Word of mouth about how good the movie is after the luke warm reception from access-media shill critics may explain Episode 9's sudden unexpected southward Sunday night turn.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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KEY:
B.O.DAY = Day of the week / which week by number
T # = Number of theaters shown
GrP T = Gross per theater
EP9 = The Rise of Skywalker
B.O.DAY -- MOVIE / GROSS ---/ T # / GrP T /MOVIE/ GROSS ---/ T # / GrP T
WEEK 1:
________________________________________________________________________
-1st Fri - JOKER $39,350,693 4,374 $8,997 / EP9 $89,615,288 4,406 $20339
-1st Sat - JOKER $32,476,803 4,374 $7,425 / EP9 $47,467,565 4,406 $10773
-1st Sun - JOKER $24,374,841 4,374 $5,573 / EP9 $40,301,011 4,406 $9,147
-1st Mon - JOKER $ 9,702,049 4,374 $2,218 / EP9 $29,389,847 4,406 $6,670
-1st Tue - JOKER $13,908,626 4,374 $3,180 / EP9 $20,270,474 4,406 $4,601
-1st Wed - JOKER $ 9,611,712 4,374 $2,197 / EP9 $32,165,681 4,406 $7,300
-1st Thu - JOKER $ 8,304,063 4,374 $1,899 / EP9 $30,586,950 4,406 $6,942
WEEK 2:
________________________________________________________________________
-2nd Fri - JOKER $16,906,386 4,374 $3,865 / EP9 $26,069,973 4,406 $5,917
-2nd Sat - JOKER $22,137,778 4,374 $5,061 / EP9 $25,075,535 4,406 $5,691
-2nd Sun - JOKER $16,817,239 4,374 $3,845 / EP9 $21,244,082 4,406 $4,822
-2nd Mon - JOKER $ 8,345,763 4,374 $1,908 / EP9 $15,302,130 4,406 $3,473
-2nd Tue - JOKER $ 6,973,525 4,374 $1,594 / EP9 $13,217,698 4,406 $3,000
-2nd Wed - JOKER $ 4,910,895 4,374 $1,123 / EP9 $17,076,472 &
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
It will also benefit from a larger Box Office on Monday than usual because of the holiday. It will be interesting to see if this additional revenue will be enough to maybe eek out one more per-day win for Episode 9 or not. If the ratio of Friday-to-Monday holiday weekends in the past for the flick hold true for this weekend, it will probably out show Joker on Monday by around $200k.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
Yup. I'm getting pretty good at this.
Episode 9's take on Monday the 16th, President's Day: $322,253
Compared to Joker's take on the same non-holiday Monday: $131,115
Can't come much closer than that prediction.
With a relatively weak box office to compete against now besides Sonic, it will be interesting if the Episode 9 numbers start to catch up to Joker's numbers as we go into later territory where even weekend nights don't gross more than $1 Million per night.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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What Star Wars 9 could have been. Let’s read through the full script of Colin Trevorrow’s Star Wars: Episode IX.
https://winteriscoming.net/2020/02/16/can-now-read-colin-trevorrow-scr
ipt-star-wars-episode-ix-duel-of-the-fates/
This script did not get made because of money. It would have cost BIG money, as significant amount as was spent on Star Wars Rogue One to reincarnate long dead Peter Cushing. Who died before Episode 9 could be made? Carrie Fisher is who, two weeks after this script was finished. Rather than have Carrie Fisher’s daughter, Billie Lourd, play Princess Leia with the help of some computer special effects to make Billie look exactly like Carrie, the Disney Company threw away a nearly perfect script and fired its perfectly good director. It was cheaper going that direction rather than trying to do what was expensively done with Peter Cushing on Rogue One.
Disney recreated young Princess Leia for Rogue One and could have done it again for Old Princess Leia in order to shoot the perfectly good script written around the Princess. But Disney decided it would cost too much.
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: (on February 16th)
There's still almost zero chance that it will even get close to sub $100 per theater per night average this week, given the amount of theaters they cut. With Birds of Prey being R rated and wildly unpopular, that's not going to hurt Episode 9. Sonic is doing much better than expected though, and is family friendly fare. Word of mouth about how good the movie is after the luke warm reception from access-media shill critics may explain Episode 9's sudden unexpected southward Sunday night turn.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
Hoo boy... Cutting that prediction close.
Firm numbers in for Thursday, February 20th.
Total Gross: $101,762
Per Theater Average: $103
Womp Womp.
Six Digit days for Episode 9 are over after this weekend (and likely Deal Tuesday). Monday will be the first day in 5 digit territory. (Week Ten, Day 67)
Joker's first day in 5 digit territory wasn't that far behind actually (Week Ten, Day 70) (Which was also Joker's first sub $100 day, a feat which didn't happen often until Week 15 because of smart theater cuts compared to these other films I've been monitoring).
I have to wonder if these similar drops is because Joker had a stronger box office to compete against last year, and if we're going to continue to see both movies kind of even off as we dip into smaller numbers.
I still predict that Episode 9 will have a much shorter run than Joker has. At this point, Joker has been in theaters longer than Avengers: End Game was by a week. Two if they manage to eek out one more week for the little movie who could.
As for per theater averages...?
They cut 56% of theaters showing Episode 9 next week, bringing the total down from 992 to 558. This should probably be enough to keep it in triple digits until Thursday and will force a tie with Joker for the same milestone.
While it almost is certain it will dip into double digits this week, it's hard to pinpoint a day because the numbers and averages are so close to the mark here. So to be on the safe side I'm going to say it happens on Thursday for the tie with Joker, but who knows? It could happen as early as Monday.
EDITED TO ADD:
Yup. Joker is STILL in theaters. Cut from 165 to 90. That now marks 22 weeks straight, beating Avengers: End Game's run by two full weeks now.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Quote:
Originally posted by second:
What Star Wars 9 could have been. Let’s read through the full script of Colin Trevorrow’s Star Wars: Episode IX.
https://winteriscoming.net/2020/02/16/can-now-read-colin-trevorrow-scr
ipt-star-wars-episode-ix-duel-of-the-fates/
This script did not get made because of money. It would have cost BIG money, as significant amount as was spent on Star Wars Rogue One to reincarnate long dead Peter Cushing. Who died before Episode 9 could be made? Carrie Fisher is who, two weeks after this script was finished. Rather than have Carrie Fisher’s daughter, Billie Lourd, play Princess Leia with the help of some computer special effects to make Billie look exactly like Carrie, the Disney Company threw away a nearly perfect script and fired its perfectly good director. It was cheaper going that direction rather than trying to do what was expensively done with Peter Cushing on Rogue One.
Disney recreated young Princess Leia for Rogue One and could have done it again for Old Princess Leia in order to shoot the perfectly good script written around the Princess. But Disney decided it would cost too much.
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
Her family would not allow a CGI of her for Ep. 9, plus using a CGI Fisher so soon after her death would have been a disaster.
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