The Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes Failure Thread
POSTED BY: 6ixStringJack
UPDATED: Tuesday, July 16, 2024 10:38
VIEWED: 5093
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Worldwide total would be at around $336.8 Million after Weekend 4.
It needs around $63.2 Million to break even now. That's a tall hill to climb one month into its run. It's still a slim possibility if the summer box office remains weak and apes stays in theaters for a while.
$359,791,582 after Weekend 5.
Inching along toward that $400 Million breakeven point. $40 Million to go.
Apes only saw a -40% drop off from last weekend, but it still hasn't really lost a lot of theaters yet. It probably will lose quite a few next weekend.
Assuming the international trends are mirroring the US trends on this, two more -40% drops would have it sitting right around $382 Million. Four more -40% drops would see it at roughly $390 Million.
I don't think it's going to hit the breakeven point.
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$377,069,421 Worldwide heading into Weekend 7.
Bruce is predicting $4.4 Million US this weekend (only a -21% drop).
I think the complete lack of anything new coming out this weekend is really benefiting Apes at the end of its run here.
It's made $17 Million in the last 11 days, not including the Monday-Thursday international gross. $8.5 Million of that was from the US Box Office, $8.5 of it was International.
It might only be about $14 or $15 Million from the breakeven point on Monday.
It looks like it's not going to get a digital release until July 9th, so it's still got some time to make that money with no legal means of watching it outside of the theaters until then.
Usually that doesn't matter because a movie is already a hit or a flop by that time, but this one is a nail-biter.
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It only grossed $3.6 Million in the US this weekend.
Worldwide Total: $380,669,421
Still about $19.4 Million from breaking even.
I haven't been paying super close attention to the internationals on this one, so I don't know when the last time they were updated was or if that's up-to-date or not. Hell... I don't even know if it's still in theaters outside of the US, to be honest... Maybe we see it get another international boost later today?
If that's up-to-date money, this one is already dead and that's another correct prediction. Even if it does get another $5 Million or so international I still think its chances of breaking even are pretty slim at this point.
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I'm not seeing this on Bruce's list of theater counts next week. It pulled in less than half a million per day on Monday through Wednesday.
Current worldwide total: $385,296,629
It still needs almost $15 Million. I don't think it's going to make it.
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As I suspected, this one is still in theaters even though it didn't make Bruce's theater count list for the week. So I guess we technically can't count it out yet.
It grossed $518,000 in the US last night.
It's at just over $386 Million right now, so needs about $13.8 Million to break even.
It's not going to do that with the US Box office, and likely won't do it with whatever is left of the international box office either. It will probably be at $390 or $391 Million worldwide come Monday.
But Bruce has been known to find a lot of unreported international money for movies after the fact, so it is still possible this one breaks even and hits $400 Million, although I seriously doubt that he could ever find that much money.
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Looks like Bruce found some more money...
$391,407,919 is the worldwide total today, and that's without whatever the US Box Office was on Monday, which I would imagine was in the area of $200k to $300k.
With that extra $4+ Million Bruce found, this one still has a chance of breaking even.
$8.5 Million isn't out of the question this late into the run, especially if it's still showing internationally in a respectable capacity. It could add up to another $3.5 Million in the US alone by the end of next weekend.
It doesn't drop on streaming until next Monday.
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The number got knocked back down for this one. After Friday's $210,000 the number is back down to only $390,720,472.
It did make $230k on Monday, but had fallen to only $124k on Wednesday. Being knocked down to only 700 theaters this weekend didn't help it here.
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$395,207,025 worldwide, 9 days since the last post, or about $4.5 Million. Just about half of what it still needed to break even. It made less than $1 Million in the US last week, and another $400k this weekend with an expanded theater count back up over 1,000 from only 700 last week.
That re-expansion is somewhat rare, and I usually only ever see it with a movie that has been wildly successful like Barbie or Top Gun: Maverick.
Seeing it happen here leads me to believe that somebody 20th Century really wants to see that $400 Million milestone. Whatever the actual financials were for this film specifically, the industry would now consider anything under $400 Million a failure here, so it's more than just hitting some arbitrary number that looks good.
Given that, I think they'll manage to keep this one in theaters long enough to eek out that win, which would make my failure prediction here a bust. Barely. I bet Bruce can come up with a few international bucks to get them over the hump.
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