Cinema

The Madame Web Failure Thread (And the Success of Dune: Part 2 Thread)

POSTED BY: 6ixStringJack
UPDATED: Tuesday, April 16, 2024 01:07
VIEWED: 6818
PAGE 3 of 12

Monday, February 19, 2024 1:43 AM

This is the actress from the softcore porno Fifty Shades R-rated franchise

Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

Now that Democrats have finally killed off any desire for companies to virtue signal when they're hemorrhaging money can we go back to basics and just admit that sex sells?



They look like prostitutes, I don't think you can blame Democrats for this, the whole Hollywood thing has been in decline for years, the comicbook superohero thing got money back for a while but it was an artificial bubble like 'dot com' before the crash

That idea of 'Glam' from Hollywood is gone, I say the Will Smith Slap is when that market dies, it the point when everyone knew or some part of them knew it was over

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Monday, February 19, 2024 5:16 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
This is the actress from the softcore porno Fifty Shades R-rated franchise

Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

Now that Democrats have finally killed off any desire for companies to virtue signal when they're hemorrhaging money can we go back to basics and just admit that sex sells?



They look like prostitutes, I don't think you can blame Democrats for this, the whole Hollywood thing has been in decline for years, the comicbook superohero thing got money back for a while but it was an artificial bubble like 'dot com' before the crash

That idea of 'Glam' from Hollywood is gone, I say the Will Smith Slap is when that market dies, it the point when everyone knew or some part of them knew it was over




Yup. They do look like prostitutes on the red carpet. That makes sense, because they're selling their assets to get cast in another movie.

I think you missed the point I'm trying to make.

The woke DEI crowd is doing everything short of putting women with bodies like that into burkas or potato sacks in their movies, just like they're desexualizing women in video games and comic books to the point that they're androgynous.

But the women themselves know what they need to wear on the red carpet to get cast in more roles when they're not under the orders of the frumpy women given the directing jobs to look as male as possible.


Did you see Kristen Stewart's recent Rolling Stone cover?

It looks like you'd have to shower the AIDS off yourself in a hurry if you accidentally bumped into her.



Believe it or not, that actually is still technically a female.


That's somehow the raunchiest Rolling Stone cover I've ever seen while being the gayest shit I've ever seen at the same time.

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Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

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Monday, February 19, 2024 7:59 PM

Madame Web's international numbers surprised me. I had figured it would gross only $12 to $15 Million internationally.

Official numbers aren't in for the weekend yet, but it's projected to have grossed $23.355 Million in the US and $25.7 Million internationally. According to Bruce, the 5-day weekend was at play globally, and his international tab with openings on the 14th and 15th verify that.

On average on the international numbers, the money made by the end of the 2nd weekend comes very close to the money made by the end of the 1st weekend, but that's because you're comparing the first 3 opening days to the following 7 days. But now we're comparing the first 5 opening days to the following 7 days, so it will be less than that.

Numbers here in the US don't usually follow that model, but it will still be a 5 to 7 comparison, rather than the normal 3 to 7 comparison that give the movie the bonus 4th day for preview Thursday which none of the new movies get this weekend.


Unless it drops like a stone everywhere now, which there is a very good chance of happening with negative word of mouth, it's probably going to break $100 Million worldwide.

My guess, barring something crazy like a massive -80%+ drop, is that it's somewhere around $75-$80 Million worldwide by the end of next weekend.

Dune 2 comes out after that, and with the full weekly drops in play after the 2nd weekend performance it will slow to a crawl after that. But with only in the area of $29 to $25 Million left to go, it would probably hit that $100 Million fairly easily if it gets 7 or 8 weeks in the theater before its yanked.

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Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

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Monday, February 19, 2024 11:30 PM

Yanno... Everybody is celebrating Bob Marley: One Love and its trouncing of Madame Web this weekend, but honestly, $75 Million worldwide on a 5-day weekend when it had a $70 Million budget isn't exactly great shakes either. When looking at the performance of all movies in 2023 in the top 100, if a movie doesn't gross its production budget on a normal 3-day weekend the chances that it breaks even is very low, and it just barely made its budget back with a 5-day weekend.

It didn't do as well a single day this weekend as it did on Valentine's Day to boot. 18.6% of that gross so far was on a Wednesday that most movies don't benefit from in their first weekend.

Why the hell did this cost so much to make?


It's only got a 41% critics score, but it does have a 93% audience score on RT. Normally I would suspect that this would mean it has a much better chance of breaking even, but we're talking about a biopic on a long dead musician. My guess is that this movie was very much front-loaded. It will probably do pretty well the 2nd weekend since the box office this year has sucked so far, but Dune 2 is coming out after that.

It's a coinflip if this doesn't lose money for Paramount. After holiday-Monday's $5 million, it still needs $95 Million to break even.

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Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

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Friday, February 23, 2024 7:31 AM

Now that the 6-Day Hollywood Weekend and Cheap Seat Tuesday are over, we get to see how Madame Web is really going to do.

Wednesday, Day 8, saw a US gross of $861,175.

That's an 86% drop from opening night.


Let's do a little comparison, shall we?



2023 Superhero Movies:

Guardians of the Galaxy 3 took 39 days to go sub-million.
Final Worldwide Gross: $845.5 Million

https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Guardians-of-the-Galaxy-Vol-3-(2023)
#tab=box-office


The Flash took 20 days to go sub-million.
Final Worldwide Gross: $266.5 Million

https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Flash-The#tab=box-office

Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania took 18 days to go sub-million.
Final Worldwide Gross: $463.6 Million

https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Ant-Man-and-the-Wasp-Quantumania-(20
23)#tab=box-office


The Marvels took 18 days to go sub-million.
Final Worldwide Gross: $199.7 Million.

https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Marvels-The-(2023)#tab=box-office

Shazam II took 11 days to go sub-million.
Final Worldwide Gross: $132.3 Million.

https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Shazam-Fury-of-the-Gods-(2022)#tab=b
ox-office


Blue Beetle took 11 days to go sub-million.
Final Worldwide Gross: $128.7 Million.

https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Blue-Beetle-(2023)#tab=box-office



The other Sony Marvel Disaster:

Morbius took 11 days to go sub-million.
Final Worldwide Gross: $162.7 Million.



Let's be VERY clear here...

The only reason that Madame Web didn't hit Sub-Million on Day 4 is because it started 2 days early last week and Monday was a federal holiday.

This is an absolute embarrassment for the Sony Marvel Universe.

Unless it somehow still manages to get the international help it needs, I'm now thinking that $100 Million is out of the question for Madame Web.

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Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

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Friday, February 23, 2024 11:43 PM

What movies are competing with Madame Web for your entertainment dollars?

Chinese movies are the top 4 moneymaking movies in the world. Madame Web is #9:

1 YOLO (China) $400,888,098
2 Pegasus 2 (China) $355,409,483
3 Boonie Bears: Time Twist (China) $208,383,962
4 Article 20 (China) $206,098,931
5 The Beekeeper $120,964,188
6 Mean Girls $99,933,602
7 Bob Marley: One Love $84,407,644
8 Argylle $79,020,556
9 Madame Web $55,065,855
10 Night Swim $49,435,730
11 Kholop 2 (Russia) $42,321,864
12 Rob n Roll (China) $32,841,110

https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-records/worldwide/all-movies/cu
mulative/released-in-2024


1) What is YOLO, the #1 movie in the world, all about? According to https://www.imdb.com/title/tt28151876/

After argument with younger sister, Le Ying moves out on her own. She meets a boxing trainer and starts boxing. She starts fat and ends thin. Actress Ling Jia gained weight from 90 KG to 105 KG for the role, then lost weight to 55 KG in one year, filming her character.

Quotes Le Ying: To win, at least once.

Connections: Remake of 100 Yen Love (2014)

2) What is Pegasus 2, the #2 movie in the entire world, all about? According to https://www.imdb.com/title/tt30829309/

A former rally driving champion, now down on his luck, finds new partners to re-enter a famed rally race. The former champion driver Zhang Chi (played by Shen Teng) became a driving school instructor in troubled times, living a life of relying on his reputation to make ends meet. Unexpectedly, pie in the sky falls, and the director of Laotoule Automobile Factory (played by Jia Bing), who is on the verge of suspending production, offers to sponsor Zhang Chi to form a team to compete in the last Bayinbrook Rally.

3) Boonie Bears: Time Twist, the #3 movie in the entire world, is a Chinese cartoon. Mandarin with subtitles.
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt29632994/

4) The last Chinese movie is Article 20. A prosecutor on his last case deals with a colleague to exonerate a suspect, making the law just.
https://www.imdb.com/title/tt28258332/

It is the Chinese New Year! They will go to the movies, no matter how crappy the story, just to get out of the house.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Saturday, February 24, 2024 12:23 AM

That is absolutely hilarious. Seriously... Thanks for pointing that out. Nearly two months into 2024 and I hadn't even pulled up the Worldwide Box Office list for this year yet.



To be fair to Hollywood, they usually tend to dump their crap this time of year and also when summer ends and the kids go back to school. It probably should have been a red flag seeing Argylle get a February release.



I'm kind of doubting that Dune Part 2 is going to end China's dominance on the charts so far this year too. Part one only made $435 Million worldwide. Granted, it was during Covidmania, but I still don't see it doing much better than that.

And YOLO was released only 13 days ago and already made $401 Million in China alone. You can't see any real information about the money beyond that, but I'd imagine it's got a lot of gas left in the tank and probably makes more than $600 Million in China by the time it's done.

I can't believe The Beekeeper is the best we've got so far this year.






ETA: I could possibly be wrong about Dune Part 2's chances...

BoxOfficePro gives a prediction of $164 to $213 Million for Dune Part 2 in the US.

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-forecast-ghostbuste
rs-frozen-empire
/

And Dune Part 1 only made 25.3% of its money in the US.

https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Dune-(2020)#tab=summary

If it is good and it makes over $200 Million in the US, it could possibly gross somewhere in the area of $800 Million.

Maybe.

That's betting on a lot of "What Ifs" though. With only $110 Million made in the US on part one, a $200 Million plus showing here would really have to mean that a lot of people have started going back to the theaters after the lockdowns.

And I don't even know what the difference, if any, there is in international appetite between late October of 2021 and now.

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Saturday, February 24, 2024 6:23 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
That is absolutely hilarious. Seriously... Thanks for pointing that out. Nearly two months into 2024 and I hadn't even pulled up the Worldwide Box Office list for this year yet.

Chinese movies are the best movies in the world, 6ix! If you learn Mandarin you will never need to watch another woke Hollywood movie and never read English subtitles ever again. Bonus, the Chinese dialogue in Firefly will be comprehensible and you will laugh at Jewel Staite's and Nathan Fillion's weird Canadian accent when speaking Chinese in Firefly.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Saturday, February 24, 2024 7:05 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by second:
Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
That is absolutely hilarious. Seriously... Thanks for pointing that out. Nearly two months into 2024 and I hadn't even pulled up the Worldwide Box Office list for this year yet.

Chinese movies are the best movies in the world, 6ix! If you learn Mandarin you will never need to watch another woke Hollywood movie and never read English subtitles ever again. Bonus, the Chinese dialogue in Firefly will be comprehensible and you will laugh at Jewel Staite's and Nathan Fillion's weird Canadian accent when speaking Chinese in Firefly.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly



Nah... Dune has a good shot of dethroning all of them, and by summer the Chinese movies will be out of the top 10.

I got a good laugh out of seeing that Top 20 list right now though. I might have missed that if you didn't point it out.

I love the name of the South Korean flick in the 20th spot. Alienoid: The Return to the Future. I'd watch a dub of that.






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Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

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Saturday, February 24, 2024 7:10 AM

Bruce says Madame Web is going to gross $6.59 Million this weekend for a 57% drop.

I call bullshit.

The Marvels fell 74% on the 2nd weekend. Granted, The Marvels grossed as much on its 2nd weekend as Madame Web did in its first weekend, so it doesn't need to do a whole lot of business not to fall as far. The Marvels fell 50% in its 3rd weekend. I'm going to split the difference and call it a 62% drop for Madame Web's second weekend, and say it doesn't clear $6 Million.

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Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

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