Elections 2020, Hey Jack, I Was Right. Trump And The Republicans Lost Big Time
POSTED BY: THG
UPDATED: Wednesday, July 31, 2024 02:11
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PAGE 43 of 187
Trump approval rating has sharpest drop in presidency, big gender gap in Gallup poll
WASHINGTON — A new Gallup poll released on Thursday shows the biggest drop ever in ratings for President Donald Trump and reflects the consistent gender gap in approval between men and women.
The poll, conducted between April 1 and April 14 with a margin of error of 4%, shows that 43% of people surveyed approve of Trump’s job as president while 54% disapprove.
Gallup’s previous poll found that 49% of respondents approved of Trump’s job performance while 45% disapproved.
“The six-point decline in the president’s approval rating is the sharpest drop Gallup has recorded for the Trump presidency so far, largely because Trump’s ratings have been highly stable,” Justin McCarthy of Gallup wrote.
FiveThirtyEight’s aggregate of polling shows Trump with a 44% approval rating and 52% disapproval rating among likely or registered voters. Trump experienced a spike in approval in late March as the U.S. began to grapple with a sudden increase in confirmed coronavirus cases — but that approval increase has since declined in April, the aggregate of polling shows.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/elections-2020/trump-approval-rating-ha
s-sharpest-drop-in-presidency-big-gender-gap-in-gallup-poll/ar-BB12NQrM?ocid=msedgntp
T 
Deep state describes dedicated, educated professionals.
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https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_app
roval-6179.html
45.7% RCP aggregate, which is still well above his pre-Coomph ceiling and outside of the last few weeks is still at or about the highest marks he's had during his entire presidency.
No reason at all to celebrate, buddy.
Also, that poll was conducted before anybody got their Stimulus checks and while millions of Americans were still (and many are still) unsuccessful at securing unemployment because their state governors shut down businesses. (That poll would have been done after they got the checks, had Democrats not spent an entire week obstructing it).
You better hope that Democrats are successful at scaring the shit out of enough people that they cancel the debates, because Trump is going to make Biden cry and revert to a childlike state if they go toe to toe on national TV before the election.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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What the Index of Leading Indicators tells us about the 2020 Presidential election
The Index of Leading Indicators as it stands after March’s figure of -6.7% – the worst monthly decline ever recorded – was reported April 17th. As of now, it suggests that the next 4 to 8 months of the economy are going to be the worst since the Great Depression. If the awful news continues into the 3rd and maybe even 4th quarter, voters are going to be extremely unforgiving.
At a feral level Trump knows this. That’s why he is left with a “Hail Mary” pass, hoping that if the economy is “opened up” in May the virus will miraculously abate, and that if it doesn’t, he can blame others.
More at https://angrybearblog.com/2020/04/what-the-index-of-leading-indicators
-tells-us-about-the-2020-presidential-election.html
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Quote:
Originally posted by second:
What the Index of Leading Indicators tells us about the 2020 Presidential election
The Index of Leading Indicators as it stands after March’s figure of -6.7% – the worst monthly decline ever recorded – was reported April 17th. As of now, it suggests that the next 4 to 8 months of the economy are going to be the worst since the Great Depression. If the awful news continues into the 3rd and maybe even 4th quarter, voters are going to be extremely unforgiving.
At a feral level Trump knows this. That’s why he is left with a “Hail Mary” pass, hoping that if the economy is “opened up” in May the virus will miraculously abate, and that if it doesn’t, he can blame others.
More at https://angrybearblog.com/2020/04/what-the-index-of-leading-indicators
-tells-us-about-the-2020-presidential-election.html
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
Agreed...
T
Deep state describes dedicated, educated professionals.
https://microsoftnews.msn.com/en-us/news/elections-2020/polls?ocid=mse
dgntp
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Quote:
Originally posted by THG:Quote:
Originally posted by second:
What the Index of Leading Indicators tells us about the 2020 Presidential election
The Index of Leading Indicators as it stands after March’s figure of -6.7% – the worst monthly decline ever recorded – was reported April 17th. As of now, it suggests that the next 4 to 8 months of the economy are going to be the worst since the Great Depression. If the awful news continues into the 3rd and maybe even 4th quarter, voters are going to be extremely unforgiving.
At a feral level Trump knows this. That’s why he is left with a “Hail Mary” pass, hoping that if the economy is “opened up” in May the virus will miraculously abate, and that if it doesn’t, he can blame others.
More at https://angrybearblog.com/2020/04/what-the-index-of-leading-indicators
-tells-us-about-the-2020-presidential-election.html
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
Agreed...
T
Deep state describes dedicated, educated professionals.
https://microsoftnews.msn.com/en-us/news/elections-2020/polls?ocid=mse
dgntp
Of course you do. Because you're working with half a brain and you just read something that made you feel good.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Ted:
Quote:
Originally posted by THG:Quote:
Originally posted by second:
What the Index of Leading Indicators tells us about the 2020 Presidential election
The Index of Leading Indicators as it stands after March’s figure of -6.7% – the worst monthly decline ever recorded – was reported April 17th. As of now, it suggests that the next 4 to 8 months of the economy are going to be the worst since the Great Depression. If the awful news continues into the 3rd and maybe even 4th quarter, voters are going to be extremely unforgiving.
At a feral level Trump knows this. That’s why he is left with a “Hail Mary” pass, hoping that if the economy is “opened up” in May the virus will miraculously abate, and that if it doesn’t, he can blame others.
More at https://angrybearblog.com/2020/04/what-the-index-of-leading-indicators
-tells-us-about-the-2020-presidential-election.html
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
Agreed...
T
Deep state describes dedicated, educated professionals.
https://microsoftnews.msn.com/en-us/news/elections-2020/polls?ocid=mse
dgntp]
Also Ted:Quote:
Originally posted by THG:
Record government and corporate debt risks ‘tipping point’ after pandemic passes
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/record-government-and-corporat
e-debt-risks-tipping-point-after-pandemic-passes/ar-BB12QriZ?ocid=msedgntp
T
Deep state describes dedicated, educated professionals.
Confused today, are we Ted?
Do Right, Be Right. :)NOTIFY: Y | REPLY | REPLY WITH QUOTE | PERMALINK | TOP | HOME
Political prophet Allan Lichtman: Trump is more likely to lose because of coronavirus
Allan Lichtman has a record of correctly predicting presidential elections — and he thinks pandemic could doom Trump
Kyle Kondik, managing editor of the nonpartisan political newsletter Sabato's Crystal Ball, largely echoed Lichtman's analysis.
"This is a story that is still being written. I do think the precarious state of the economy does pose a potential threat to the president, because his re-election pitch was so reliant on a good economy," Kondik explained by email. "I'm sure this is part of the reason Trump and so many other Republicans are supporting such an expansive stimulus package: As the party with more power in Washington, they stand to take more of the blame if the response to the public health and economic crisis is seen by the public as lacking."
Lichtman also told Salon last week that if Trump loses as a result of the coronavirus, his opponent is almost irrelevant; it simply won't matter whether the Democrats have nominated Biden or Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont.
Trump's potential defeat has "nothing to do with Joe Biden whatsoever," Lichtman said, although in his formula Biden is not "charismatic," meaning that Key 13 would turn in Trump's favor. "Remember, the basic theory behind the keys is that elections are essentially votes up or down on whether or not the party holding the White House should get four more years."
He added that while he is not advocating for any candidate, "this notion that [Sanders] is unelectable is just false. You and I have talked about this before: the whole notion of electability is nonsense. Except for these once-in-a-generation candidates [he earlier cited Ronald Reagan and Barack Obama] — we have no idea who is electable."
More at www.salon.com/2020/03/27/political-prophet-allan-lichtman-trump-is-mor
e-likely-to-lose-because-of-coronavirus/
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Allan J. Lichtman
April 12 at 3:35 PM ·
WHERE "THE KEYS TO THE WHITE HOUSE" STAND TODAY. The theory of "The Keys" is that Presidential elections are referenda on the party in power. If 6 or more Keys are turned against the incumbent party, or FALSE, they lose, 5 or fewer and they are re-elected. The Keys have not missed an election since they were developed and first used in 1982.
Allan J. Lichtman, the Prediction Professor, had not yet made an official call on "The Keys" for 2020. THESE ARE NOT FINAL CALLS. America's situation is in a state of great flux, but the incumbent Republican party is currently 4 Keys down, with 4 undecided.
The 13 Keys to the White House:
1. Party Mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the U.S. House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections. FALSE
2. Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination. TRUE
3. Incumbency: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president. TRUE
4. Third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign. TRUE
5. Short-term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign. UNDECIDED
6. Long-term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms. UNDECIDED
7. Policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy. TRUE
8. Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term. UNDECIDED
9. Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal. FALSE
10. Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs. UNDECIDED
11. Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs. FALSE
12. Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero. FALSE
13. Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero. TRUE
www.facebook.com/AllanJ.Lichtman/photos/a.173103113211195/804406610080
839/?type=3&theater
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Trump's plan is simple: vilify Democratic governors and agitate for the end of shutdown orders. Then, “reopen the economy” and spur a massive turnaround in the nation’s economic prospects just in time for Trump to be reelected in November. If the pandemic recedes, he can claim he was entirely responsible; but if people continue to die, he can place the blame on Democratic governors.
Theda Skocpol, a professor of government and sociology at Harvard University, put it this way: “That’s ... Trump’s entire strategy, and you can see it in the way he talks about this.” She added, “I think there really is popular anger among middle income people, particularly living in whiter, less metropolitan parts of these key states” about stay-at-home orders, but “it’s being goosed along by some of the same advocacy groups on the free market right.”
But there’s a problem for Trump: the public, including the vast majority of Republicans, largely supports social-distancing measures, and new polling shows that half of Republicans are concerned stay-at-home orders and social distancing measures will be lifted too quickly. Research shows that many Americans began social distancing before urged to do so by the government, and likely wouldn’t stop even if such orders were lifted. In short, the anti-shutdown-order protests don’t mirror public opinion. And in order for Trump to benefit from their potential impact, they need to — and coronavirus needs to spare rural America (which it isn’t.)
Coronavirus has now become part of the fabric of Trump’s 2020 reelection campaign — one aimed largely at dividing Americans on sociopolitical and cultural lines. But the biggest question still remains: will it work?
www.vox.com/2020/4/19/21225195/stay-at-home-protests-trump-tea-party-r
eelection
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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The onus should be on Governors, whether they are Democrats or not.
They asked for it, and in this instance they were right.
Trump needs to simply remove the national emergency, allow New York City to keep theirs without giving them any shit about it, then allow states to do as they will. Then just sit back and watch those without stay-at-home orders being enforced locally prosper while the rest look for handouts.
Quote:
Coronavirus has now become part of the fabric of Trump’s 2020 reelection campaign — one aimed largely at dividing Americans on sociopolitical and cultural lines. But the biggest question still remains: will it work?
Fuck Vox. Vox knows all about dividing Americans on sociopolitical and cultural lines. That's their bread and butter.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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