Real World Event Discussions

The predictions thread

POSTED BY: kpo
UPDATED: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 18:54
VIEWED: 144481
PAGE 46 of 127

Tuesday, December 1, 2015 1:18 AM

2012 a poor year
http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=54818
lots of bad predictions on the online firefly community


Quote:

Originally posted by kpo:

Paul Krugman wonders if/suggests Japan will perform surprisingly well in the short/medium term because it has just launched fresh stimulus plans


It's not personal. It's just war.



If you want to see the future of looming elderly populations...in the West too, more people rent, they don't buy homes, women don't have kids there is contraception, abortion and the inconvenience of kids, the men they are buying cars, they become more effeminate with feelings, the men buy xboxs and gadgets.....the social changes are massive when you contrast USA of today with the ideal post WW2 nuclear family. the ideal American family is broken and many of the Europeans are not having children either, poor demographics or is the population just balancing itself?

look to Japan to see your future

JAPAN’S BOLD STEPS
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-investor/retirement/retire-planni
ng/how-japan-is-coping-with-a-rapidly-aging-population/article27259703
/
People over the age of 65 make up a quarter of Japan’s population, and it’s on track to reach 40 per cent. The top-heavy demographic creates huge challenges for government and the economy. Now the country is tackling the problem with innovative programs, including everything from comprehensive long-term-care insurance to robotics. This is part of the Globe and Mail’s week-long series on baby boomers and how their spending, investing, health and lifestyle decisions could affect Canada’s economy in the next 15 years. Is Canada ready for the boom?


long term trend?


this vid might help out
Notice how the economic ball shifts, it was heading in the direction of the USA and almost inside the USA but the economic sphere suddenly changes direction during Nam, maybe it starts first with the French leading retreat in IndoChina and the USA escalates, getting deeper involved in Vietnam and deeper into the Cold War-era proxy war, finally leading to a withdraw in April 1975...the economics and the movement of this sphere in the video reflect this power shift
Recently during the terms of Bush Jnr and Obama there has been a massive shift.

NOTIFY: N  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

Tuesday, December 1, 2015 7:00 AM

Clock boy later loses his money in lawsuit, flies overseas escaping with the money to some Arabia place....he lives it up for a while until the sandbox he lives in implodes...



if the middle east civil war or random islamic mob don't get him, he dies of a drug overdose in year 2027

NOTIFY: N  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

Wednesday, December 2, 2015 8:55 PM

Quote:

"I told you a month or so ago... that in a short while you would be cheering for ISIL."- SIGNY

And there is KPO- cheering whenever Russian planes are downed by ISIL. Prediction accomplished.

--------------
You can't build a nation with bombs. You can't create a society with guns.

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

Wednesday, December 2, 2015 11:20 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
No Best Of 2013?



never seen the thread, anyways seems Trump may have been correct, ok not *thousand* that to me would be too much, maybe memories get fuzzy and the memory you recall gets distorted by the mists of time, police reports are notorious of how eye witness of events tell diluted or exaggerated tales of what really happens....i find it hard to believe a thousand or thousands celebrated but then again reports are coming in

anyways here is the clip, Trump may have been right



there were celebration reports

NOTIFY: N  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

Tuesday, December 8, 2015 7:25 AM

Big changes in health care, socialism, medical benefit

and a rise of the right in the EU, rise of nationalism in Europe

Quote:

Originally posted by kpo:
Paul Krugman rounds up 6 conservative predictions on Obamacare: http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/06/26/zero-for-six/?_php=true&am
p;_type=blogs&module=BlogPost-Title&version=Blog%20Main&contentCollection=Opinion&action=Click&pgtype=Blogs®ion=Body&_r=0


It's not personal. It's just war.



and many of us predicted a rise of the nationalists and rightwing of Europe

she ditched her rightwing father, maybe the party will move from far-right to a position closer to the French center, a far right party slowly move to the political middle of France?







https://twitter.com/Bad_Sweary_Frog/status/627722273030569985



https://twitter.com/WorthingUKIP/status/673858255882461184









NOTIFY: N  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

KPO
Wednesday, December 9, 2015 8:57 PM


Signy - "Now, possibly, the USA is getting kicked out of Iraq, lock, stock, and barrel."


It's not personal. It's just war.

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

KPO
Thursday, December 10, 2015 6:56 PM

Russia pledges not to stand in the way of Paris climate deal - http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/dec/07/russia-pledges-not-
to-stand-in-the-way-of-paris-climate-deal



kpo: I won't be surprised if Russian negotiators do in fact hold up the climate deal.

Bit of a tentative prediction, but an interesting one to watch...


EDIT: Having said that, here's some analysis that says that Russia has a good deck of cards and is unlikely to spring surprises - http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/paris-climate-talks-russia-will-use-its-huge-
forests-bargaining-chip-cop21-1529685


It's not personal. It's just war.

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

KPO
Thursday, December 10, 2015 11:53 PM


Fierce Kremlin critic Garry Kasparov - "If oil goes below $20, Putin will cross #NATO borders"


It's not personal. It's just war.

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

Friday, December 11, 2015 2:28 AM

Quote:


Signy - "Now, possibly, the USA is getting kicked out of Iraq, lock, stock, and barrel."


I underlined the word "possibly" just in case you missed it. You should notice that I didn't even use the word "probably" ... which means"more likely than not" ... so my statement hardly qualifies as a "prediction", altho you seem pretty desperate to shoehorn it into that category.

Careful KPO, your biases are showing.


--------------
You can't build a nation with bombs. You can't create a society with guns.

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

KPO
Friday, December 11, 2015 4:41 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Quote:


Signy - "Now, possibly, the USA is getting kicked out of Iraq, lock, stock, and barrel."


I underlined the word "possibly" just in case you missed it. You should notice that I didn't even use the word "probably" ... which means"more likely than not" ... so my statement hardly qualifies as a "prediction", altho you seem pretty desperate to shoehorn it into that category.

Careful KPO, your biases are showing.



Do you remember your long post of predictions for Ukraine back in early 2014, some of which came off? Do you remember how you introduced them?

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Plausible future news:


'Plausible' being another word for 'possible'. If you are going to crow repeatedly over your tentative predictions when they come off, as you have done, then you can't complain if all your other tentative predictions get recorded, so that people can see what your record is truly like.

It's not personal. It's just war.

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME