The predictions thread
POSTED BY: kpo
UPDATED: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 18:54
VIEWED: 144481
PAGE 43 of 127
Quote:That's funny, coming from a guy who sounds like bellingcat.
This sounds like something from one of the blogs that you read.
feel free to look up everything you can find about sarin in Syria. AFA what I said about sarin and the kind of evidence that is available, it wasn't from a blog, it comes from my experience working on a DoD project about detection of chemical weapons. AFA looking at evidence, I review detailed technical reports ALL of the time, and the most interesting (and dishonest) parts are the missing ones.
Do you have any similar knowledge about ... anything?
No, of course not. You only know what Twitter tells you. You have no analytical capability. No wonder you're reduced to making irrelevant/ unverifiable "predictions".
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You can't build a nation with bombs. You can't create a society with guns.
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Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:
Auraptor - "Glenn Beck says to buy gold! He just may be onto something."
Gold price today, per ounce:
$1,288.50
€964.27
It's not personal. It's just war.
Gold price today, per ounce:
$1,222.10
€958.53
I guess it's a long term investment...
It's not personal. It's just war.
Gold price today, per ounce:
$1168.50
€937.22
It's not personal. It's just war.
Gold price today, per ounce:
$1090.80
€1001.08
It's not personal. It's just war.
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Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:
Auraptor - "Glenn Beck says to buy gold! He just may be onto something."
Gold price today, 6 August 2014, per ounce:
$1,288.50
€964.27
Gold price today, 25 September 2014, per ounce:
$1,222.10
€958.53
I guess it's a long term investment...
Gold price today, 30 November 2014, per ounce:
$1168.50
€937.22
Gold price today, 22 July 2015, per ounce:
$1090.80
€1001.08
Edited for useful relevant data. Feel free to quote this post, and just delete the "quote from" me part.
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Quote:
Originally posted by JO753:
Interesting stuff. In sum other universe in wich I moved to Wall Street wen I wuz 18, I'm all about that shiz. Here, I'm just a poor working chump with the foolish notion that making real products shoud be a lucrativ endevour. Therefor, I never had any money to invest.
Sorry for the delay in mentioning this - I was trying at that time to post replies over several days.
Never have money to invest? If you have one of most types of retirement funds, likely you are either invested in the market or have the option to be invested in one of the market funds through your retirement account, and likely tax-deferred.
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Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:Quote:
Originally posted by JO753:
I rate it excellent. How did you know?
Prior to Obamanomics, the trigger hit end of Jan.
Sorry, I was running out of time.
For the century prior to Obamanomics ruining the US Economy, there was an excellent triggering indicator for significant Bear market. I was highly interested in this during the late 80s and all of the 90s, since I wanted to know when to time the market to avoid Bear. I wanted to partake in Bull, and avoid Bear.
Take the high market closing price of DJIA. Whenever a Bear market is about to hit, it will be predicated by a 15% drop from the high of the cycle. Then, at least historically, there will be a profit-taking bump, followed by the Bear.
During the 80s, before the juggernaut of Reaganomics took full effect, DJIA was at 777.
By early 2001 the DJIA had already hit a high of about 12,000. I think it was about April 2001 when the Dow dropped to about 10,200 - or at least 15% below it's high. I didn't notice until May or June, and at the time I had restrictions on my retirement account with something like a 2 month delay before interfund transfers could take effect. Plus I was away from home for a month, and my passwords were at home. However, I did inform friends and coworkers that a Bear market was imminent. Those that took my advice got out in July. My sellout took effect in August, with Dow still above 10,000. I forget how high the bump was, something like 8%, which I missed out on. By September 10th, Dow was dropping rapidly and under 10,000.
Those who took my advice did not lose the 45% of their life's savings like most did. I got a lot of free dinners in 2002 and 03.
In October 2007 the Rock the Vote Congress' first budget took effect, Dow peaked at 14,000.
Ran out of time again.
At the end of Jan 2008, like 28th or so, DJIA dropped to about 12,460 - or a 15% drop.
Now, the concern for me was, this was now the era of computer trading, and programs. Previously the bump and subsequent Bear took months, but could this all happen in a matter of weeks or days? So I got out around 4 or 6 Feb, and missed out on the profits of 6-8% during Feb and March.
So, me and the friends who listened to me in 2001 saved about 40% of our money (actually, we earned that 40% when we got back in at the bottom of Bear), and rode the wave from about 7,400 up to 14,000 - and then again saved in 2008 about 55% of our money, and again rode the wave from about 5 or 6,000 in 2009 up to, what, 17,000 now?
But under Obamanomics, the market is no longer a US economy, and may never be again.
I somewhat misstated the summary figures when I posted this. I may have been trying to simplify it, but for those who are or were trying to pay attention, I should clarify.
11,723 close on 14 January, 2000.
7,286 close on 9 October, 2002.
14,164 close on 9 October 2007.
12,635 close on 4 Feb, 2008.
6,547 close on 9 March 2009.
From the high of about 12,000 in 2000 to the low of about 7,400 (62%) the loss was about 38%. From the bump after trigger point of about 11,000 in summer 2001, the drop was about 34%.
The gain from getting back in at the bottom was 51% from 7,400 back to 11,000. And over 94% gain to over 14,000 in 2007.
From the high of over 14K in October 2007 to the low of 6,547 in March 2009 was a loss of 54%. From the days in Feb 2008 (following the trigger) at 12,635 it was a loss of 49%.
The gain from getting back in at the bottom on 9 Mar 2009 and riding up to 12,600 was 93%, and riding back up to 14K was 116%.
So while some choose to lose 34% and 49%, others chose to obtain gains of 51% and 93& solely from those episodes.
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Quote:
AFA what I said about sarin and the kind of evidence that is available, it wasn't from a blog, it comes from my experience working on a DoD project about detection of chemical weapons. AFA looking at evidence, I review detailed technical reports ALL of the time, and the most interesting (and dishonest) parts are the missing ones.
Your experience on a DoD project doesn't make you an impartial expert, it makes you a hyper-partisan amateur with a teensy bit of exposure. And I don't care how many technical reports you've read, I'll believe your critical reading skills when I see them.
It's not personal. It's just war.
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Quote:What that makes me is infinitely more experienced than you, since any number divided by zero is infinity.
Originally posted by kpo:Quote:
AFA what I said about sarin and the kind of evidence that is available, it wasn't from a blog, it comes from my experience working on a DoD project about detection of chemical weapons. AFA looking at evidence, I review detailed technical reports ALL of the time, and the most interesting (and dishonest) parts are the missing ones.
Your experience on a DoD project doesn't make you an impartial expert, it makes you a hyper-partisan amateur with a teensy bit of exposure. And I don't care how many technical reports you've read, I'll believe your critical reading skills when I see them.
It's not personal. It's just war.
*sticks tongue out*
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You can't build a nation with bombs. You can't create a society with guns.
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Russian media, and their mouthpieces on this site, will still be speculating on the possibility of 'another Maidan' a year from now, it not having happened.
It's not personal. It's just war.
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Guardsman killed in protests as Ukraine MPs back more autonomy for rebel regions
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/08/31/us-ukraine-crisis-status-idU
SKCN0R00YV20150831
Not as I predicted. While I did predict a rebellion, it's not coming from the direction I thought. I should have known better: People who want to stroll the boulevards and sip coffee at coffee shops are not about to pick up a gun, or a hand-grenade, they're going to shelter at home or flee the country. All of the disturbances .... the firefight in the Transcarpathians, the shootings, the violent put-downs of miners strikes etc have all been from the right wing. They were the ones who petrol-bombed and shot at the riot police (not the coffee-sippers) and they're willing to be violent now, too.
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You can't build a nation with bombs. You can't create a society with guns.
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Quote:
I think she (Hillary) might be violently insane. Like sometimes it just seems like there's a rage under the surface, and she also seems really dishonest. Not to mention a bit careless about some issues. She strikes me as an intelligent psychopath, one of the manipulative ones who has poor impulse control and a lack of humility or regret.
I don't even think Benghazi was a thing, but I don't trust her at all. I think she's not-so-secretly racist against middle-eastern people and will start more wars than Trump ever would, and Trump's already a disaster that way.
~Byte
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