Russia Invades Ukraine. Again
POSTED BY: captaincrunch
UPDATED: Sunday, September 6, 2026 21:09
VIEWED: 562266
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5. Conclusion
The Russian invasion failed not for a lack of firepower, but for a lack of strategy.
By violating the core tenets of the Art of War—misjudging the enemy’s resolve, ignoring logistical realities, and entering a war without a clear moral mandate—the Russian military found itself trapped.
As a maxim often attributed to Sun Tzu states: “Strategy without tactics is the slowest route to victory. Tactics without strategy is the noise before defeat.
https://www.dagens.com/war/four-points-from-the-art-of-war-that-explai
ns-why-putins-war-in-ukraine-is-such-a-disaster
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
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Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
O'Brian is an idiot.
Supplies aren't going from Crimea northward. They're going in reverse, southward INTO Crimea. And isolating Crimea isn't going to do anything except make yfe population miserable.
There is some talk that Kiev is going to try a landing on the Kinburn Spit, but the logistics of attacking the Kinburn Spit in Crimea suck even worse that Crimea launching an attack in the other direction. If Kiev tries that it'll be a short media victory (Ukraine flags on the spit) followed by a lot of dead Ukrainian soldiers.
*****
I think it's more interesting to contemplate what happens after Russia achieves a military victory i.e. occupation of Dontesk, Lugansk, Kherson, Zaparozhiy.
Since the idea was to ensure Russia's western border, without follow-on agreements (with who?) that Ukraine is demilitarized and neutral, Russia has merely pushed its border problem westward. And unlike Iran, which has a natural geographic hold on a world chokepoint and therefore lots and lots of leverage to enforce the terms of many agreement, Russia doesn't have a chokepoint on Ukraine or the west, unless it takes Odessa.
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"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger
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Crimea’s First Food Shortages: The Real Cost of Putin's War
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Not a coincidence: Zelenskyy connects Kyiv attack to Trump's birthday
Russia had been preparing for this strike for days
By Kateryna Danishevska | Mon, June 15, 2026 - 12:20
https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/not-a-coincidence-zelenskyy-connects-k
yiv-1781514988.html
Russia's massive overnight strike on Ukraine on June 15 was not random, according to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. He suggested the attack was linked to US President Donald Trump's birthday.
Today, Zelenskyy visited the Kyiv Pechersk Lavra, which was damaged in the Russian attack overnight. Prime Minister Yuliia Svyrydenko accompanied him during the visit.
According to Zelenskyy, Russian President Vladimir Putin acted cynically by first congratulating Trump on his birthday and then launching a large-scale attack on Ukraine.
"Putin, as always, acted with complete cynicism. He first congratulated the President of the United States and then launched a massive strike against Ukraine. I don't think that was a coincidence," Zelenskyy said.
The Ukrainian President added that Russian forces had been preparing for the attack for several days, stockpiling missiles.
"They weren't just accumulating missiles — they were waiting so they wouldn't carry out the strike before Trump's birthday greetings," Zelenskyy said.
As a reminder, US President Donald Trump celebrated his 80th birthday on June 14. He is now officially the oldest sitting president in US history.
Attack on Kyiv
Russia launched a large-scale overnight assault on Ukraine, firing 70 missiles and 611 drones.
Kyiv was the primary target, while Dnipro and Kharkiv also came under attack.
According to Zelenskyy, more than 60 missiles were aimed specifically at the Ukrainian capital.
At least five people were killed, and more than 30 were injured in Kyiv. The city suffered extensive damage.
A fire broke out on the grounds of the Kyiv Pechersk Lavra following the strike. Residential buildings were damaged, and Nova Poshta’s largest and most advanced sorting terminal was destroyed.
Russian forces also struck the Dovzhenko Film Studio, destroying a unique collection of costumes.
In addition, the National Cultural, Arts and Museum Complex Mystetskyi Arsenal sustained damage, and a large fire broke out at the site after the attack.
Ukrainian Air Force spokesperson Yurii Ihnat said the assault resembled Russia's massive June 2 attack in many ways, though it featured one key difference. The main difference is that instead of Kalibr cruise missiles, Russia used Iskander-K missiles this time.
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
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RUSSIA EVACUATES CRIMEA NAVAL BASES, MASSIVE OIL DISASTER IN RUSSIA!
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Russia hit Kyiv’s 1,000-year-old monastery, then launched a disinformation campaign with five different scenarios.
Russian disinformation following strikes on Ukrainian cultural sites has followed predictable patterns since 2022. Two documented precedent cases illustrate the same tactics now being deployed again.
After the 16 March 2022 Russian airstrike on the Mariupol Drama Theater, Russia denied conducting the strike and claimed that Ukrainian soldiers had blown up the building themselves. An Associated Press investigation found that approximately 600 people died in the bombing, which makes it the deadliest single known attack on civilians in the war.
Amnesty International later concluded that the strike was a "clear war crime" conducted by two 500-kg bombs dropped from Russian fighter jets, ruling out alternative explanations.
Much more at https://euromaidanpress.com/2026/06/15/russia-hit-kyivs-1000-year-old-
monastery-then-launched-disinformation-campaign-with-five-different-scenarios-ukraine-has-seen-this-playbook-in-mariupol/
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
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THGR: No such thing happened. If it did, Military Summary Channel would have posted it.
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"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger
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Don’t worry. Be Happy! The War Will End Before You Starve:
. . . there are reports Chairman of the Crimean state occupation council Vladimir Konstantinov spoke with Russian Security Council Deputy Chairperson and United Russia Chairperson Dmitry Medvedev about the growing security issues in Crimea, but that Medvedev responded by citing Russian President Vladimir Putin’s recent claim that the war in Ukraine will soon come to an end.
https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive
-campaign-assessment-june-15-2026/
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
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Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Don’t worry. Be Happy!
Great idea. Great jam!
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Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.
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Russia Is Offering Years of Salary to Enlist in the Ukraine War. Recruitment Still Fell 20% — Because ‘Rubles Don’t Fight Wars’
Russia’s military recruitment fell 20 percent in the first quarter of 2026 against a year earlier — and the incentives meant to reverse it are extraordinary, with signing bonuses worth several years of an average Russian salary.
By Steve Balestrieri | June 15, 2026
https://nationalsecurityjournal.org/russia-is-offering-years-of-salary
-to-enlist-in-the-ukraine-war-recruitment-still-fell-20-because-rubles-dont-fight-wars/
Russia’s military recruitment is down by 20 percent in the first quarter of 2026 compared with a year ago, and by all indications, it is not getting any better.
Russia is locked in a meat grinder of a war with Ukraine and has suffered nearly 1.4 million casualties. Which is why Russia is offering unheard-of incentives to fight in Ukraine.
The bonuses Moscow is offering amount to several years’ worth of salary for the average Russian citizen, but the recruiting drives are failing.
The bloody war in Ukraine is costing Russia more soldiers than it can recruit. And the young men in the country, despite not getting an accurate picture of the fighting and the lack of progress from the state-run news services, have ears and eyes.
“Rubles don’t fight wars,” said Nigel Gould-Davies, a senior fellow for Russia and Eurasia at the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS).
He added that this is the first war in Russia’s history in which the state is paying citizens to fight rather than forcing them to do so, and that this is leading to economic strain and manpower issues.
“There are signs that this incentive may no longer be working effectively, and that Russia has begun to lose more troops than it can recruit,” Gould-Davies said recently.
Russia’s Failure In Ukraine Is Plain To See
Russia’s young men are told that the “special military operation” is going to plan, but it has been ongoing for nearly four and a half years.
They can talk to the survivors who return from fighting in Ukraine. And those soldiers tell them of the horrible way that soldiers are being treated on the battlefield.
And now they can see that the Ukrainians are hitting Russia regularly with drone strikes, even in cities such as Moscow and St. Petersburg.
Russian military failures in Ukraine encompass catastrophic manpower and equipment losses, logistical breakdowns, and the failure to achieve primary strategic objectives like overthrowing the Kyiv government or making major territorial breakthroughs.
These systematic missteps have drastically depleted Russian combat power and prolonged the conflict.
After suffering horrendous losses early in the war due to overconfidence and the underestimation of Ukraine’s will to resist.
Moscow’s strategy has long been to outlast Ukraine in an attritional war, profiting from its immense population and large military industry that can sustain a slow, grinding campaign.
Manpower Shortages Are Country-Wide
Gould-Davies told CNN that the manpower shortages are not just confined to the military. He said the Russian industry is operating at maximum capacity.
“The whole Russian economy is suffering from the most severe labor shortage in history,” he said.
With the recruitment drive tanking, Putin will likely be forced to make more unpopular decisions this year if he wants to continue his invasion of Ukraine.
Russia has recruited an estimated 140,000 to 180,000 convicts to fight in Ukraine since the summer of 2022.
Initially spearheaded by the Wagner Group, the practice of trading military service for pardons and conditional release, and to be used as cannon fodder, failed.
The Putin government has also had three separate waves of North Korean “volunteers” to avoid a call-up of reserves.
This could mean a second forced mobilization of military reservists, coupled with measures such as curtailing citizens’ freedom to leave the country, particularly men of c
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Ukrainian drone strike halts operations at Moscow oil refinery
By Reuters | June 16, 2026 1:20 AM CDT
https://www.reuters.com/world/moscow-oil-refinery-damaged-ukrainian-dr
one-attack-mayor-says-2026-06-16/
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
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