Cinema

2025 Wide Release Prediction Game Thread

POSTED BY: 6ixStringJack
UPDATED: Tuesday, April 28, 2026 17:16
VIEWED: 30539
PAGE 44 of 53

Friday, November 28, 2025 7:59 PM

Zootopia 2 Box-Office: Pixar Sequel Sets China on Fire After Beating 5th Highest Fast & Furious Movie
https://fandomwire.com/zootopia-2-box-office-pixar-sequel-sets-china-o
n-fire-after-beating-5th-highest-fast-furious-movie
/

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Saturday, November 29, 2025 10:52 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
Disney's Zootopia 2 grossed an estimated $41.6M internationally on Wednesday (from 17 international markets), including $34.0M in China.
https://x.com/BORReport/status/1994077937956790359#m
Estimated global total through Wednesday stands at $81.1M

A24's Eternity grossed $616K on Thanksgiving Thursday (from 1,348 locations). 2-Day total domestic gross stands at $2.07M.
https://bsky.app/profile/boxofficereport.bsky.social/post/3m6p5az5puc2
x




Opening weekend hasn't even started and I'm calling this the Worldwide Number 1 movie in 2025...

after you remove the Communist Chinese lie...

and before you add back Avatar 3.



--------------------------------------------------

Be Nice. Don't be a dick.

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Saturday, November 29, 2025 2:43 PM

the New Wicked? adapting the second act of the 2003 stage musical loosely based on The Wonderful Wizard of Oz novel.
huge gap between US domestic and some of those predicted and expected worldwide earnings, its a massive rift and seems to only do ok in the English speaking world.

nu Wicked movie, Wicked For Good

international $77,551,083
Worldwide Box Office $254,992,003


Family Fantasy Musical Romance

the British opening / box office
$23,293,218 gross $24,665,646
the French $1,866,843 gross $2,087,085

it seems to do ok in Poland, Saudi Arabia, Israel, Ukraine, Greece and Norway but these are smaller markets
the movie is doing ok in Mexico
its mostly died in Asia Pacific but nu Wicked has been doing ok with Aus earnings
Australia opening $7,535,784 gross $8,611,303

Budget $150 million
https://variety.com/2024/film/box-office/wicked-gladiator-2-box-office
-tracking-1236213633
/

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Sunday, November 30, 2025 12:56 AM

The new Wicked got knocked down to 2nd place
https://bsky.app/profile/boxofficereport.bsky.social/post/3m6rvk43hhs2
4


Estimated Daily #BoxOffice Top 7 for Friday, November 28, 2025

1. #Zootopia2 - $38.50M
2. #WickedForGood - $26.05M
3. #NowYouSeeMe - $2.62M
4. #PredatorBadlands - $1.80M
5. #RunningManMovie - $1.40M
6. #EternityMovie - $1.14M
7. #RentalFamily - $800K

but its already beaten Captain America Brave New World on Domestic

Worldwide the new Wicked is less impressive but it should now pass Final Destination: Bloodlines

Nu Wicked...so maybe
a prediction $450,550,000 Domestic if it has staying power? and poor overseas, the English language songs cost the international box office??





1st Wednesday

$17,420,000 /
$194,861,000


1st Thursday

$12,790,000 /
$207,651,000


2nd Friday

$26,050,000 /
$233,701,000


‘Zootopia 2’ Hopping To $525M+ Global Opening; Overtakes ‘Avengers: Endgame’ Record For Biggest Hollywood Single-Day In China – International Box Office
https://deadline.com/2025/11/zootopia-2-global-international-box-offic
e-china-record-1236629598
/

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Sunday, November 30, 2025 2:49 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Looks like Wicked 2 is going to be the top grossing US movie of 2025 according to Bruce.



https://www.the-numbers.com/news/260340830-Weekend-projections-Wicked-
For-Good-soars-to-150-million-domestic-debut




Bruce must have forgotten that Avatar 3 drops on December 19th.

Although I'd love to see everyone check out of that and watch it make less than Wicked, I doubt very much that's going to happen.


C'mon Bruce. You do this for a living, dude.


Wicked 1 made $756 Million worldwide.

Avatar 1 made $2.923 BILLION worldwide back in 2009 which after 16 years and 4 years of Bidenflation in the middle of it is probably closer to $5 Billion today than it is to $3 Billion.

Avatar 2 three years ago made $2.322 BILLION.

https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Wicked-
(2024)/Wicked-For-Good-(2025)/Avatar/Avatar-The-Way-of-Water-(2022)#tab=day_by_day_comparison





So what if Wicked 2 is making 30% more domestically and 17% more internationally on opening weekend? Absolute BEST case scenario it breaks $1 Billion (and I'm being EXTREMELY generous saying that).

For Wicked 2 to be the top grossing movie of 2025, Avatar 3 would have to lose about 60% of it's 2022 audience without even factoring in 3 years of inflation to those numbers.

Stop simping for the two Ozempic addicted, glassy-eyed weirdos. They're just not into you dude.

--------------------------------------------------

Be Nice. Don't be a dick.





I can't find the thread where I was talking about Wicked 2. It wasn't the Hollywood thread in the
RWED either. Oh well.

I'd already posted that on Monday and Tuesday that Wicked 2 was about $1 Million lower per day
than the first Wicked last year.

Friday was a bad drop though...

Last year on the 2nd Friday, Wicked made $31,728,865

Last night, Wicked 2 only made $26,050,000.

Despite the initial opening weekend bump, it doesn't look like the interest is still there.


I said I was being generously conservative with Bruce and that Wicked 2 could possibly end up
grossing right around $1 Billion vs whatever A3 is going to make, but that's clearly not the case.

Wicked made $756 Million worldwide last year. I don't believe that W2 will cross that threshold now.

It really depends on how Monday looks, actually. After the Thanksgiving holiday came to a close,
the next Monday saw a 72% drop from the previous week, and by that Thursday it had made less than
$5 Million. It is possible that maybe save Cheap Seat Tuesday, W2 will make less than $5 Million
per day all week leading into Weekend 3.

--------------------------------------------------

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Sunday, November 30, 2025 8:15 PM

yeah Friday WickedForGood knocked down to second place with $26.05 M but third and fourth place are far behind, not sure if it has staying power


Zootopia 2 reaches 2 million viewers in five days, breaks Korean speed record

https://biz.chosun.com/en/en-entertainment/2025/11/30/S6I5KIDPJJDENLMY
N2Y3D4FOBI
/


Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures, $150 million...expensive but less expensive than nu-SnowWhite

https://www.animationmagazine.net/2025/11/disneys-zootopia-2-creative-
team-guide-us-through-their-return-to-the-urban-jungle
/

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Monday, December 1, 2025 1:11 AM

Zootopia 2 might be the best of the year in French cinema, very strong overseas reaches 1M tickets heading towards best opening of 2025 in France

also ‘Zootopia 2’ Record $272 Million box office openings in China

Running Man remake is crashing, $34M total, its bust, perhaps will bomb even if it does overseas, another turkey, another box office flop?

‘Zootopia 2’ Scores Fourth-Biggest Global Debut in Box Office History With $556 Million, Including Record $272 Million in China
https://variety.com/2025/film/box-office/zootopia-2-box-office-fourth-
biggest-global-debut-china-record-1236595743
/


Predator Badlands could be the most successful Predator movie but all Predator films struggle to make money


Nu Wicked

2nd Saturday

$21,610,000 /
$255,361,000


2nd Sunday

$15,080,000 /
$270,441,000



Estimated totals through Sunday for Wicked: For Good by international market include:
https://x.com/BORReport/status/1995191657348919551
U.K. - $42.7M
Australia - $13.7M
Germany - $6.2M
S. Korea - $5.5M
Mexico - $5.4M
Philippines - $4.2M
Netherlands - $3.6M
Spain - $3.5M
Brazil - $3.3M
France - $3.2M

Universal's Wicked: For Good grossed an estimated $29.4M internationally
https://bsky.app/profile/boxofficereport.bsky.social/post/3m6ubavodbk2
g


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Monday, December 1, 2025 3:17 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
Predator Badlands could be the most successful Predator movie but all Predator films struggle to make money



At this point, they've long destroyed the interest of core fans.

Good luck getting the idiot goons to keep tuning in.

--------------------------------------------------

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Monday, December 1, 2025 4:07 PM

The Running Man remake seems to be dying

Quote:



Nu Wicked...so maybe
a prediction $450,550,000 Domestic if it has staying power? and poor overseas, the English language songs cost the international box office??






For now it seems Only 1/3 of its money on tickets are from overseas...poor international showing outside the English speaking world.

150,168,000 aka 33% + $450,550,000 = Guesstimate 600,718,000 Worldwide

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Monday, December 1, 2025 6:08 PM

Every Record Zootopia 2 Box-Office Broke in 5 Days, Ranked

https://fandomwire.com/zootopia-2-box-office-records-broken-in-5-days-
ranked
/

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