Cinema

2025 Wide Release Prediction Game Thread

POSTED BY: 6ixStringJack
UPDATED: Tuesday, April 28, 2026 17:16
VIEWED: 30539
PAGE 17 of 53

Thursday, May 22, 2025 12:49 AM

Please stop with the Jurassic Park movies. Please.

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"I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon

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Thursday, May 22, 2025 6:42 AM

Bruce's article for the weekend said this...

Quote:

Bloodlines’ opening is the third hit in a row for Warner Bros., following A Minecraft Movie and Sinners, and the studio now leads Disney by over $100 million in what is essentially a two-horse race (so far) for top-earning studio in 2025.


Well that's not the whole story now, is it Bruce?

First of all, we don't count previous year releases anywhere else, so we're going to take those off both lists. That means buh-bye right away to Moana 2 and Mufasa. This doesn't amount to much... Around $130 Million in 2025 profits for Disney on the tail-end of 2 movies that grossed over $1.7 Billion in 2024, but I'm not going to allow Bruce to add that in unless I'm also adding in the production budgets too. And as you'll see below, that $130 Million isn't helping Disney out of their 2025 mess anyhow...


Disney 2025 releases:

1 Captain America: Brave New World
2 Thunderbolts*
3 Disney’s Snow White

WB 2025 releases:

1 A Minecraft Movie
2 Sinners
3 Final Destination: Bloodlines
4 Mickey 17
5 Companion
6 The Alto Knights


Production budgets:

Disney:

1 Captain America: Brave New World - $180 Million
2 Thunderbolts* - $180 Million
3 Disney’s Snow White - $269.4 Millon

TOTAL Disney 2025 Release Budgets Combined: $629.4 Million

WB:

1 A Minecraft Movie - $150 Million
2 Sinners - $90 Million
3 Final Destination: Bloodlines - $50 Million
4 Mickey 17 - $118 Million
5 Companion - $10 Million
6 The Alto Knights - $45 Million

TOTAL WB 2025 Release Budget Combined: $463 Million


World Wide Gross per 2025 release:

Disney:

1 Captain America: Brave New World - $415 Million
2 Thunderbolts* - $330 Million
3 Disney’s Snow White - $204 Million

TOTAL Disney 2025 Worldwide Box Office: $949 Million

WB:

1 A Minecraft Movie - $931 Million
2 Sinners - $321 Million
3 Final Destination: Bloodlines - $117 Million
4 Mickey 17 - $127 Million
5 Companion - $37 Million
6 The Alto Knights - $10 Million

TOTAL WB 2025 Worldwide Box Office: $1.543 BILLION


What do we know so far...?

1. For WB, Minecraft alone has made almost as much as all 3 major 2025 Disney releases combined.

2. At $463 Million in combined budgets, WB needed $1.158 Billion to break even.

3. Currently, WB has grossed $1.543 Billion worldwide and is sitting on a 2025 profit of nearly $400 Million.

4. At $629.4 Million in combined production budgets, Disney needs $1.574 Billion in worldwide grosses to break even.

5. Currently, Disney has grossed $949 Million and is nearly $550 Million short of breaking even.

6. Out of all of the above movies still in theaters, WB has the only few that are still going to add anything significant to either of those totals.



Disney better hope that the Lilo and Stitch movie makes that $1 Billion dollar mark people are saying it will. It's going to need that just to pay for the other 3 flops and there won't be any profit.


There ain't no race here, Bruce. WB is almost $1 Billion ahead of Disney so far this year once you balance the other side of the ledger that you didn't even mention in your article.

Get your tongue out of Bob Iger's asshole.

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"I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon

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Thursday, May 22, 2025 4:16 PM

the scene has changed
now its Sonic, Mario, that Oppenheimer, Japan anime, new Godzillia, South Korea tv, the Chinese animation thing, Minecraft and Barbie

Tv/Streaming...when some must watch episode thing comes out....how much does Walking Dead, Simpsons or Boardwalk Empire or Yellow Stone or Superbowl or Grey’s Anatomy or Soccer the FIFA World Cup or the fight between Mike Tyson and Buster Douglas or Vampire Diaries or Dallas or Game of Thrones cost the box office?
...I know tv audiences are different
and sometimes tv might help a brand


but don't they also compete with each other?


since the days of HBO and other studios doing big product shows it was decided people might stay at home


Apple TV+ miniseries Hawaiians vs other Hawaiians




and instead of going to movies will they stay home and watch SKorea tv for example?

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Thursday, May 22, 2025 6:27 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

Okay. I see you're not interested in an actual conversation.

That's not a mission.

That's just a future problem that nobody in the Democratic Party has ever offered any legitimate and cost-effective means of combating.

And it's one of the reasons that the Democratic Party is dead and they will never make a comeback. They can't lie about fixing the environment anymore either because nobody is buying it anymore when they say they will.

Everything your party relied on to win votes doesn't work anymore.


If you have something serious to propose, I'd suggest you write to your congressman and give them the ideas because your dead party can't come up with shit on their own.



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"I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon

The “Final” Mission: Impossible Movie May Mark the End of More Than Just the Franchise

This old-fashioned blockbuster could be the last of its kind, whether or not you “choose to accept it.”

By Dana Stevens | May 22, 2025 5:40 AM

https://slate.com/culture/2025/05/mission-impossible-final-reckoning-t
om-cruise-movie-8-review.html


When the first Mission: Impossible movie was released in 1996, it had been 30 years since the espionage series by that name debuted on American television.

. . . the quaint old-Hollywood precept that when audiences keep returning to a series, it’s not for the brand name but for the star. It’s impossible to imagine this cheerfully ludicrous franchise holding together, to whatever extent it does, without Cruise at its center. His scary degree of commitment—the same quality that makes his off-screen persona so peculiar and at times off-putting—has become the most unifying through line of the M:I films. Is he, at long last, getting too old for this shit? That question is brought up by several characters over the course of The Final Reckoning . . .

Whatever the much-repeated words Tom Cruise does his own stunts mean exactly—and they often mean more than you might think—sequences like the biplane battle are testimonials to the power of analog filmmaking when it comes to engaging an audience in the stakes of a story. Cruise really is out there, clinging to the side of that plane as it swoops and dips over a non-green-screen landscape of cliffs and canyons. A real thing is happening in a real place; real risks have been taken, real craft and skill deployed, and a gobsmacking quantity of real money spent, in order to accomplish the oddly humble goal of entertaining an audience. If you’ve never seen a Mission: Impossible movie, Final Reckoning will not be the one to win you over to the franchise’s loopy appeal: It’s too long, too self-referential, too dependent on the viewer’s affection for characters who were better developed in earlier installments. But whether or not this one is really the last in the series (and in interviews, Cruise and McQuarrie have been equivocal on that subject), Final Reckoning is a noble exemplar of a dying breed: the big, dumb, fun action blockbuster with a bona fide movie star at its center, putting it all on the line—and hanging on for dear life—just to keep us at the edge of our theater seats.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Friday, May 23, 2025 3:50 AM

They forgot to mention, of course, that this one is going to end Paramount.

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"I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon

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Saturday, May 24, 2025 2:08 AM

Uggh... I forgot the Lilo and Stitch movie is going to be another live action remake.

That's going to make a Billion?

Do better people. Don't pay for that.

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"I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon

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Saturday, May 24, 2025 3:54 AM

Why We're Stuck In An Endless Hell of Live Action Remakes

https://www.decodingeverything.com/p/brief-history-of-live-action-rema
kes-dragons-lion-king-beauty-and-the-beast



The answer is you.

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"I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon

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Saturday, May 24, 2025 3:12 PM

The quality of movies did not cause reduced ticket sales.

The real cause? Roku is slowly murdering the habit of attending movie theaters

05-22-2025

Roku is still riding the streaming wave. The company ended 2024 with 89.8 million streaming households, an increase of 9.8 million year over year. In the first quarter of 2025, it streamed 35.8 billion hours of video, up 5.1 billion year over year—and more than 10 times what it was doing per quarter when it went public in 2017.

https://www.fastcompany.com/91324863/roku-anthony-wood-2025

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Saturday, May 24, 2025 3:51 PM

You were warned to stay away from screens, both movie and TV:

The Incredibles 2’s Screenslaver: the most controversial film villain ever?

The evils of screens and high-tech mind control are fought off in Pixar’s latest. But the rest of cinema doesn’t want to know

By Steve Rose | Mon 2 Jul 2018

https://www.theguardian.com/film/2018/jul/02/the-incredibles-2s-screen
slaver-the-most-controversial-film-villain-ever


The Incredibles were pretty much the only superheroes in town when they arrived in 2004, but so much has happened since – such as Marvel taking over the box office – they are in danger of being left behind and crowded out on their return. But, actually, The Incredibles 2 takes one audacious move that makes the entire superhero genre look old-fashioned.

The villain of the piece is a mysterious entity known as the Screenslaver, who hypnotises people and controls their minds through TV screens. In a monologue, the Screenslaver rails against the very passivity Incredibles 2 is catering to: “Superheroes are part of your brainless desire to replace true experience with simulation … Every meaningful experience must be packaged and delivered to you to watch at a distance so that you can remain ever sheltered, ever ravenous consumers.” Whoa there! This is a dangerously valid point. Quick! Get to a fight scene!

Quite understandably, the evils of screened entertainment are somewhere that screened entertainment itself rarely wants to go. It’s a blind spot, and for the sake of its survival, it needs to be ours, too. You might occasionally get a media-mogul Bond villain like Jonathan Pryce in Tomorrow Never Dies. At best you’ll get a dystopian reality show such as The Running Man or The Truman Show. Or maybe an inane TV show-within-the-show, as with The Lego Movie’s Honey, Where Are My Pants? or Idiocracy’s Ow My Balls! to be lapped up by a subdued populace. More explicit warnings against the screen are usually confined to horror: the spirits who enter through TV white noise in Poltergeist; the demonic video cassette of Ring; or A Clockwork Orange’s eyelid-clamping Ludovico Technique.

Going further than any of those was David Cronenberg’s Videodrome (1983). Cronenberg, a former student of Marshall McLuhan, lays out a landscape of race-to-the-bottom ratings chasing; mass media literally warping perceptions of reality; and, behind it all, a conspiracy to brainwash audiences with a TV-transmitted virus that’s not far off the Incredibles’ Screenslaver.

“The battle for the mind of North America will be fought in the video arena,” says Videodrome’s media messiah Brian O’Blivion. If that is the case, we haven’t caught up. Time and again our screen heroes confront evil on a physical battlefield, with weaponry and superpowers. Even The Incredibles 2 resolves its media crisis with an action climax. But, in the present world, our threats are increasingly immaterial: fake news, social media propaganda, trolls, hacking, viruses and a US president whose worldview is shaped by Fox News – his own Screenslaver.

If weapons are really useless against this, don’t expect the movies to break it to you.

The Incredibles 2 is in UK cinemas on 13 July

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Saturday, May 24, 2025 11:59 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by second:
The quality of movies did not cause reduced ticket sales.

The real cause? Roku is slowly murdering the habit of attending movie theaters

05-22-2025

Roku is still riding the streaming wave. The company ended 2024 with 89.8 million streaming households, an increase of 9.8 million year over year. In the first quarter of 2025, it streamed 35.8 billion hours of video, up 5.1 billion year over year—and more than 10 times what it was doing per quarter when it went public in 2017.

https://www.fastcompany.com/91324863/roku-anthony-wood-2025

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two



This is having a much larger negative impact on traditional cable TV than it ever will have on movie theaters.

People aren't going to see movies because there's still a glut of half-assed DEI projects that were too far completed to outright cancel, there's a shortage of movies in general still because of the actor/writer's strikes and because all the venture capital dried up and they used that opportunity to slash more than half of the movies and shows they were planning on making. Which is why you never saw a cartoon for My Racist Baby and you haven't heard a word out of race grifter Kendi for years now.

And Joe Biden*'s economy made going to the theaters cost so much that people are making real decisions about which movies they can afford to see in a theater right now.

Hollywood only continues its downward slide for one or both of 2 reasons.

1. They continue the woke DEI shit that nobody wants to pay to see.

2. The economy continues to tumble.


At least right now, it doesn't look like either of those things are going to happen.

And, other than just giving up and dying, with nowhere really left to go but up, Hollywood should start posting some improvements over the coming years.

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"I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon

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