2025 Wide Release Prediction Game Thread
POSTED BY: 6ixStringJack
UPDATED: Tuesday, April 28, 2026 17:16
VIEWED: 30539
PAGE 9 of 53
Yeah. I'm still on minecraft.
I've been giving the regular YouTubers shit about their low reviews and flop predictions on this one. This will be another time I was right and all the people who have made a living the last 5+ years with anti-woke channels have been wrong. If Hollywood starts doing right again, as I've said before, half of those channels won't exist within a year.
What I suspect happened here is that after almost a year with nothing to really talk about and view counters dropping, they got a huge influx of cash and a burst of adrenaline when Blacktain Anti-America and Snow Brown flopped back-to-back and they all got high off their own product. But their take on Minecraft is completely wrong, and that's probably scary to some of them. The two movies they were looking forward to come out to boost their channels are out and the noise has died down. What do they have to look forward to rally everyone against after those? I don't know of anything?
And now they're all backpedaling and just calling the audience idiots for going out to see "slop". Well, whether or not Minecraft is "slop", the audience always went out to see "slop". Most movies are pretty mid. But we've had a decade worth of mid movies and mid TV shows written, directed and produced by DEI cretins who filled in the lack of interesting characters and plot with race swaps and political agendas.
Take that shit out of the movies, and people will go see them again. A copy of Minecraft had leaked before release, and yet this will be by far the highest grossing movie so far this year worldwide. So just like they came out for Five Nights At Freddy's despite it being released the same day for viewing at home on Peacock, they came out for this even though the movie was already pirated in HD.
Warner made a movie for their target demographic and they should be very happy with the results. And with the very young kids absolutley loving this thing, they've got the ability now not only to turn this IP into a franchise of 2 or 3 more movies if they play their cards right, but they likely boosted the amount of young people interested in playing again and they could keep that game going for another 5 or 10 years if they make movies right in between.
Stop trying to make movies for Everyone. Nobody wants to see a movie that was made for Everyone.
You have built in audiences. Cater to them and you'll do great.
This guy gets it...
Oh... $157 Million now predicted for the US opening. Probably EASILY breaks $300 Million worldwide, which makes this a certified hit by making more than double the production budget on opening weekend. I already heard word that's it's doing crazy business in China.
Even without seeing the international numbers, I'd say my top-end prediction of $650 is looking pretty good right now. Could make even more than this if the interest stays high and it gets a proper run in theaters before getting yanked. And this could be the first time in a long while that the Chinese box office plays a factor in the end result.
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Stop trying to make movies for Everyone. Nobody wants to see a movie that was made for Everyone.
You have built in audiences. Cater to them and you'll do great.
Bruce concurs...
https://www.the-numbers.com/news/259050830-Weekend-projections-Minecra
ft-blasts-into-theaters-with-157-million-weekend
Quote:
Minecraft’s opening almost literally broke our model. On Friday, I confidently stated that “The $146 million earned by The Super Mario Bros. Movie back in 2023 is surely out of reach”. That was because it would need a massive 13.9 times multiplier from its previews to its final weekend box office, something not achieved by any comparable film. In the event, Warner Bros. is predicting a multiplier of 14.9. That’s driven by $60 million in ticket sales on Saturday, which is the 15th-best Saturday ever, and the best Saturday in history for the studio. With that kind of momentum, the film could still top the weekend projection of $157 million, which relies on $39 million in sales on Sunday. Other industry predictions I’ve seen this morning are settled around $155 million or so, but there’s still an upside possibility of $160 million.
Internationally, the film is also doing well, with $144 million projected for the weekend by Warner Bros.. That’s led by $19.9 million in the United Kingdom, $14.5 million in China, $11.2 million from Mexico, and $10.6 million in Germany.
In spite of the uncertainty around the broader economy going into the weekend, movie fans have packed theaters, and once again shown that success in this business is driven by one thing only: giving customers what they want.
Amen.
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very like the Incredibles part 2 Run in box office
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Incredi
bles-2/Minecraft-Movie-A-(2025)/Teenage-Mutant-Ninja-Turtles-Mutant-Mayhem-(2023)#tab=day_by_day_comparison
other franvhise like Teenage Mutant Turtles didnt do so good in the past
the video game hype thing is here now
it will probably be the next 'thing' to make into movie material, will they ever give tha t gaming to movie stuff awards for Best Adapted Screenplay?
I think the bubble started to burst with Avengers, by the time Avengers Endgame came along the bubble had burst but many did not know it yet, Covid was a disaster a lot of gamer, comic book or 'graphic novel' stuff was gone maybe over-saturation of the superhero thing but then some comicbook and video game bounced back, the horror thing can do ok
New Mutants seemed to mark the death of the Xmen comic brand for a while but there have been some 'hits'
Incredibles 2 (2018) vs. A Minecraft Movie (2025) vs. The New Mutants (2020)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Incredi
bles-2/Minecraft-Movie-A-(2025)/New-Mutants-The-(2020)#tab=day_by_day_comparison
whatever they did they seem to have done it correct
Minecraft, storming the box office despite lukewarm reviews
Warner Bros Pictures is happy again, Disney/Marvel struggles
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Oh... $157 Million now predicted for the US opening. Probably EASILY breaks $300 Million worldwide, which makes this a certified hit by making more than double the production budget on opening weekend. I already heard word that's it's doing crazy business in China.
Even without seeing the international numbers, I'd say my top-end prediction of $650 is looking pretty good right now. Could make even more than this if the interest stays high and it gets a proper run in theaters before getting yanked. And this could be the first time in a long while that the Chinese box office plays a factor in the end result.
On the front page of the-numbers, the studio projections in the US have been raised to 163 Million, but that's not yet reflected in the box office page where it shows 157 Million still.
Looks as though their international projection is $150 Million because they've got $307 Million for opening weekend now. That will be $313 Million if the $6 Million projection was correct, and it could be even higher if international audiences came out for more than a flat $150 Million.
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Bruce is now showing $313.7 Million, but it's all still projections.
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$100 Million Budget for a horror
Sinners the budget way too high?
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Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
$100 Million Budget for a horror
Sinners the budget way too high?
I don't think it looks good, just based on the number and the genre. Unless it's a major breakout success, this movie really can't make much money of that even if it doesn't lose money.
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I don't remember which thread I posted the reply because you're talking about Minecraft in 4 different threads and you necropost everything so we can't find anything.
In one of them I said it was going to do very well, but if it beat Super Mario Bros that would be insanity. (After it did beat SMB on opening weekend when you take SMB's 5-day weekend and only calculate for 3-day).
Super Mario's first Monday: $20,110,945
Minecraft's first Monday: $10,000,000
April 7th is recognized as both "National Beer Day" and "National No Housework Day", I guess. I'm hopeful that National Beer Day didn't play a role in this, but maybe with all those people not doing housework for the holiday they went to see Minecraft instead.
Like I said. It will do well, but I hope nobody at Warner Bros'. was expecting a $1.5 Billion surprise out of this one.
At least until weekend 2 numbers coming out, I'm still going with $650 worldwide max. If the numbers drop 50% or more everywhere, I'll already be right. If they drop less than that, this might be interesting.
Either way, it's still making at least a few hundred million for WB.
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‘Ignorant’: China slams US Vice-President J.D. Vance for ‘peasants’ slur
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3305715/ignorant-dis
respectful-china-slams-vance-peasants-slur-tariff-war-intensifies?module=top_story&pgtype=homepage
this was unexpected, from one retarded shitshow to another
they now sound like British Imperialists trying to shout down at little Yellow-Man
one positive thing I can say about the Zionist Don is he has not crashed everything like Joe and Kamala Harris done...yet
and give Vance the idiot award for Diplamcy
we are back in the Bill O'Reilly mega RINO retard smug political commentator years
China's box office is the key market for making a Hollywood film successful. And now China is considering a ban on American films to spare their citizens from terrible DEI tranny movies
https://www.thegamer.com/china-threatens-ban-hollywood-films-trump-tar
iffs-market/
Canada is already on a boycott of US brands
Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
I said it was going to do very well, but if it beat Super Mario Bros that would be insanity. (After it did beat SMB on opening weekend when you take SMB's 5-day weekend and only calculate for 3-day).
Super Mario's first Monday: $20,110,945
Minecraft's first Monday: $10,000,000
Interesting numbers
Other previous discussion? There is a general Hollywood is fake thread which talks about failures and why Hollywood strange odd weird political 'culture' is now insulting its own US audience...these are more focused on rants against the industry with less talk about box office success
In the tv show section of threads, away from 'cinema' there is a general movies from 'Video Game' property which Minecraft discussion is probably a part of
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Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
‘Ignorant’: China slams US Vice-President J.D. Vance for ‘peasants’ slur
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3305715/ignorant-dis
respectful-china-slams-vance-peasants-slur-tariff-war-intensifies?module=top_story&pgtype=homepage
this was unexpected, from one retarded shitshow to another
they now sound like British Imperialists trying to shout down at little Yellow-Man
one positive thing I can say about the Zionist Don is he has not crashed everything like Joe and Kamala Harris done...yet
and give Vance the idiot award for Diplamcy
we are back in the Bill O'Reilly mega RINO retard smug political commentator years
China's box office is the key market for making a Hollywood film successful. And now China is considering a ban on American films to spare their citizens from terrible DEI tranny movies
https://www.thegamer.com/china-threatens-ban-hollywood-films-trump-tar
iffs-market/
Canada is already on a boycott of US brandsQuote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
I said it was going to do very well, but if it beat Super Mario Bros that would be insanity. (After it did beat SMB on opening weekend when you take SMB's 5-day weekend and only calculate for 3-day).
Super Mario's first Monday: $20,110,945
Minecraft's first Monday: $10,000,000
Interesting numbers
Other previous discussion? There is a general Hollywood is fake thread which talks about failures and why Hollywood strange odd weird political 'culture' is now insulting its own US audience...these are more focused on rants against the industry with less talk about box office success
In the tv show section of threads, away from 'cinema' there is a general movies from 'Video Game' property which Minecraft discussion is probably a part of
Yeah... I don't even remember which thread it was man. I searched about 6 pages in here and in the RWED before writing that and I couldn't find it.
For 2025, $10,000 is a great Monday number, but as you can see it's already half of what SMB got on the same day. And they were released on the same weekend 2 years apart, so it's not as if there's any difference with kids being out of school, or one getting a holiday weekend when the other didn't.
Plus, nobody is taking into account the fact that SMB was released on a Wednesday on a non-holiday weekend and put up crazy Wednesday and Thursday numbers of $31,702,735 and $26,566,130 before Friday even rolled around. I'm not saying that SMB would have made that $58 Million extra over the weekend if it was released like normal, but that did mean that Friday was not the Opening Night event that your typical movie like Minecraft had. I think had they both saw 3-day weekends, Minecraft would have lost to SMB pretty easily.
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"I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon
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