Real World Event Discussions
PREDICTIONS THREAD (v.2)
POSTED BY: SIGNYM
UPDATED: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 18:27
VIEWED: 15032
PAGE 12 of 22
Monday, July 10, 2023 8:40 PM
Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
Small indie films like Sound of Freedom beating expensive summer Blckbuster attempts like Indiana Jones 5Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Mojo and Numbers were asleep most of the day, making no mention at all about this film on Opening Day.
Not just Indy 5...
https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-records/domestic/all-movies/bes
t-performance-by-day-of-the-week/tuesday
Sound of Freedom had the 55th all time Tuesday (by gross, not adjusted for inflation).
For 2023? It was only beat by The Super Mario Bros. Movie and the Miles Morales sequel.
Here's a list of movies by year back to 2020 with a Tuesday BO that came in above Sound of Freedom's Opening Tuesday, along with their production budgets.
2023:
The Super Mario Bros. Movie ($100 Million) [41st Place]
Miles Morales 2 ($100 Million) [48th Place]
2022:
Avatar: The Way of Water ($460 Million) [12th Place / 26th Place]
Minions: The Rise of Gru ($80 Million) [32nd Place]
Top Gun: Maverick ($170 Million) [39th Place]
Jurassic World: Dominion ($165 Million) [50th Place]
2021:
Spider-Man: No Way Home ($200 Million) [5th Place / 17th Place]
2020:
NONE (That's right. Not a single movie in 2020 had a higher Tuesday BO than Sound of Freedom)
Interestingly, 5 of the 8 flicks that had higher grossing Tuesdays than SoF were animated movies. 2 of the 3 that weren't animated were sequels to decades old movies, with the last one, being an IP that's been around most of us for at least half our lives now, using a (highly entertaining) gimmick that can't be used again.
Only 2 of the movies were superhero movies. They were both Spider-Man. And the one movie on this list that wasn't either animated or a sequel to a very old franchise (or both), No Way Home, was a nostalgia piece that cannot be successfully replicated. (See: The Box Office Failure of The Flash, co-starring Michael Keaton's Batman)
The cheapest movie on this list, Minions of Gru, had nearly 6 times the Production Budget, and a hell of a lot of advertising. The most expensive movie on the list, Avatar 2, had over 30 times the Production Budget and an insanely expensive marketing budget, including Super Bowl ads.
Now... Granted... This list isn't adjusted for inflation. However, it is still valuable because it shows the types of movies (ie: High Budget Blockbusters) which dominate, even on a Tuesday.
Because of the inflation factor, there are very few movies that predate 2013 on this list. That's why I find it pretty exceptional that Les Miserbles (2012) also made the list. But when you look at the Production Budget, it was $65 Million, which would be $86 Million today, slightly edging out the budget for Minions: Rise of Gru's $80 Million just last year.
The only two other movies on the list I wouldn't call your typical Blockbusters would be Sing and The Secret Life of Pets, both from 2016. But both of those movies had a $75 Million Production Budget, which would equate to a $95 Million budget in 2023. Django Unchained might possibly not fit your typical Blockbuster mold either, depending on who you're asking. But it did have a $100 Million budget in 2012, which would be $132 Million in 2023.
So with those exceptions out of the way, look at the rest of that list. It's all Sequels, Animated Features, Live-Action Remakes, Reboots, Comic Book Properties or a mixture of these categories. That's what people pay to see. Or at least... that is what people used to pay to see. 2023 hasn't been kind to that type of fare. The safe bets aren't safe anymore...
And that's a good thing.
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How you do anything is how you do everything.
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Tuesday, October 10, 2023 4:22 PM
Who would predict ...Israel, Gaza
after They elected these idiots
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Sunday, December 10, 2023 5:47 PM
an easy prediction
The unpopular Chris Christie will drop out eventually, he's too fat to keep running ;)
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Sunday, December 10, 2023 5:58 PM
Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
an easy prediction
The unpopular Chris Christie will drop out eventually, he's too fat to keep running ;)
I'm really hoping he drags it out all the way to the end and gets 3% of the vote.
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Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.
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Monday, April 8, 2024 12:18 PM
6ixString and movies
on the international market the USA / Hollywood will have two strong successful hits...but the rest?
Quote:
Originally posted by Jack:
Top 15 Worldwide as of today
1 Dune: Part Two $638,517,204
2 YOLO (????) $480,479,703
3 Pegasus 2 (????2) $469,580,995
4 Kung Fu Panda 4 $408,416,885
5 Article 20 (????) $339,111,998
6 Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire $302,429,244
7 Boonie Bears:Time Twist (???·????) $273,144,745
8 Bob Marley: One Love $175,781,194
9 The Beekeeper $152,538,981
10 Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire $138,164,000
11 Mean Girls $104,404,248
12 Madame Web $97,723,158
13 Argylle $96,145,720
14 The Pig, the Snake and the Pigeon (?????)… $89,204,465
15 Exhuma (??) $80,513,238
At least the top 2 will be from the US after the King Kong movie is out of theaters.
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Monday, May 20, 2024 9:32 PM
Trump Jr. says Navarro in ‘good spirits’ after prison visit
https://uk.news.yahoo.com/trump-jr-says-navarro-good-155757524.html
from 2018
Quote:
Originally posted by 1kiki:
House democrats will make being up Trump's ass their entire agenda. We won't hear word one about any 'democratic' plans to improve American lives, reduce tensions with Russia, or save the planet from global warming.
and
Quote:
Originally posted by captaincrunch:
And tensions with Russia? What tensions? That's one place we have no tensions. China, North Korea, Iran, South America, Mexico, even with Canada we have more tensions. You're not trying to make sh*t up are you?
old predictions
Quote:
Originally posted by FREMDFIRMA:
One potentive prediction - the Israel-firsters and the likudnik asshats over there are less than pleased with Obama not hopping to their tune on command and have started throwing in behind Romney since they think he's more gullible and bendable, and when his campaign finally implodes there's a substantial chance that might pry our political crowd an inch or too offa practically fellating the bastards.
-Frem
Quote:
Originally posted by kpo:
Riona - "remember how a while ago everyone said "allowing same sex marriage isn't a slippery slope thing, allowing that won't allow other things"? Now they're saying, "well go for it guys, no holds barred!". Next they'll want to lower the age of concent so we can be like Pakistan, where 12 year olds marry 50 year olds."
Hero foresees an Israeli attack on Iran: "They (Iran) know Isreal is coming, we know Isreal is going..."
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Monday, May 20, 2024 9:40 PM
Quote:Hey SECOND! Your sock puppet got his ass handed to him.
Originally posted by reaverfan:Quote:I remain correct.
Originally posted by SIGNYM:Quote:http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=62921&p=3
Originally posted by reaverfan:
We already saw how they [Covington boys] behaved. The little white racist boys are gonna lose big.
Why are you such a sniveling little troll? Does my constant kicking of your Russian ass make you drink too much vodka and beat your wife?
Did you start this thread to get back at the other thread that exposes you for the idiot you are?
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"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger
Why SECOND'S posts are brainless: "I clocked how much time: no more than 10 minutes per day. With cut-and-paste (Ctrl C and Ctrl V) and AI, none of this takes much time."
Or, any verification or thought.
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Monday, May 20, 2024 9:59 PM
Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
6ixString and movies
on the international market the USA / Hollywood will have two strong successful hits...but the rest?Quote:
Originally posted by Jack:
Top 15 Worldwide as of today
1 Dune: Part Two $638,517,204
2 YOLO (????) $480,479,703
3 Pegasus 2 (????2) $469,580,995
4 Kung Fu Panda 4 $408,416,885
5 Article 20 (????) $339,111,998
6 Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire $302,429,244
7 Boonie Bears:Time Twist (???·????) $273,144,745
8 Bob Marley: One Love $175,781,194
9 The Beekeeper $152,538,981
10 Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire $138,164,000
11 Mean Girls $104,404,248
12 Madame Web $97,723,158
13 Argylle $96,145,720
14 The Pig, the Snake and the Pigeon (?????)… $89,204,465
15 Exhuma (??) $80,513,238
At least the top 2 will be from the US after the King Kong movie is out of theaters.
Right again. Feels good.
Who'd have thought that Kung Fu Panda 4 would be in the Top 3 though?
Updated list as of 5/20/2024:
1 Dune: Part Two $710,609,896
2 Godzilla x Kong: The New Empire $561,000,000
3 Kung Fu Panda 4 $535,196,408
4 YOLO (????) $479,597,304
5 Pegasus 2 (????2) $469,847,217
6 Article 20 (????) $339,663,274
7 Boonie Bears:Time Twist (???·????) $275,866,316
8 Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes $237,539,501
9 Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire $199,141,000
10 Bob Marley: One Love $176,766,565
11 The Beekeeper $152,409,233
12 The Fall Guy $127,526,961
13 Civil War $105,175,055
14 Mean Girls $104,404,248
15 Madame Web $100,298,817
16 Argylle $96,210,855
17 The Pig, the Snake and the Pigeon (?????)… $92,174,509
18 Exhuma (??) $87,678,126
19 Challengers $78,710,299
20 Desperate for Money at the End of the Road (???… $72,196,789
Kingdom of the Planet of the apes isn't going to come close to touching Kung Fu Panda 4. In fact, nothing in theaters today has a prayer of doing that.
The next movie that possibly could crack the Top 3?
THIS WEEKEND: Mad Max: Furiosa probably won't. Fury Road made $370 Million in 2015.
JUNE 5TH: The Bad Boys sequel won't... (I only bring this up because Bad Boys For Life was the 2020 Covid Year winner with $426.5 Million worldwide, but this one is not going to make $100 Million more in 2024 than that one did)
JUNE 14TH: Maybe Inside Out 2 will if people are feeling charitable to Disney after their long absence from theaters and there isn't any woke bullshit in it? (The original Inside Out made over $850 Million worldwide in 2015).
JUNE 28TH: A Quiet Place: Day One won't make the Top 3. The highest grossing aQP movie was the first one with $335 Million. The sequel made around $50 Million less than that. This is a prequel without the original cast and the movie poster looks like a BLM protest.
JULY 3RD: Despicable Me 4. The 3rd movie, released in 2017 saw this becoming a Billion Dollar Franchise. This one isn't going to come close to a Billion in 2024, but I have a good feeling about it at least pushing China one slot further down the 2024 Top 100 list.
JULY 12TH: Fly Me to the Moon won't. I don't expect a renaissance of Rom-Coms anytime soon.
JULY 19TH: Twisters. Well I've already predicted very early in the year that this movie won't make the $500 Million it needs to break even. I have no reason to change my mind on that.
JULY 26TH: Deadpool and Wolverine. This one will make the Top 3.
So yeah... from here to the first week of July I see only two possible movies that can make the Top 4/5. And they're both Animated Children's Movies. Despicable Me is the only one I am confident will do this, but Inside Out 2 could do it as well depending on parent's current attitudes toward Disney and their woke agenda. The best thing Disney has going for it is that it hasn't been in the news cycle hardly at all this year because it just hasn't released anything yet.
Huh..
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Sunday, July 7, 2024 7:08 PM
France is no longer France?
Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
This is where we see the FRENCH deep state in action. Both the Macronsists and the French "left" are conspiring to block National Rally from getting a Parliamentary majority using the same kind of scare tactics as the USA deep state against protest candidates (Bernie Sanders, Tulsi Gabbard, Trump) and in Britain against Brexit.
Hollywood Woke DEI culture
Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
I'm more surprised to find out that we have witches in Star Wars now than to find out we've got lesbians in Star Wars.
I wonder how many of those greasy goblins in charge of Star Wars fantasize about fucking Ewoks....
Degenerates.
Canadian censorship or studio infighting?
Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
The Ministry oUW is not allowed in Canada cinema.
an entertainment broadcast industry which is now jobless
Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Hollywood crews are unemployed, fear LA's production decline - Los Angeles Times
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Saturday, July 20, 2024 12:18 AM
when Peter Zeihan no longer does predictions?
Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Who the fuck is Jake Broe and why should anybody give a fuck what he thinks about anything?
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