Russia Invades Ukraine. Again
POSTED BY: captaincrunch
UPDATED: Sunday, September 6, 2026 21:09
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Ukrainian advances on Donetsk and Zaporizhia can be seen from space
The Economist
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2023/06/05/ukrainian-advances
-on-donetsk-and-zaporizhia-can-be-seen-from-space
Satellite data can be used to track the counter-offensive
AFTER MONTHS of speculation, Ukrainian forces appear to have begun their long-awaited counter-offensive. On June 4th Russian military sources reported that Ukrainian forces had launched assaults on five axes in Russian-occupied Donetsk province, in the east of the country. Ukrainian sources have been keeping conspicuously quiet. As news from the ground slowly filters out, The Economist has built a model that uses satellite data to give a glimpse of the conflict from the skies.
Our system relies on satellites that circle over Ukraine twice a day and use thermal imaging to detect high-temperature events in places unobscured by clouds. We use a machine-learning system to estimate whether these events are related to the war, by comparing patterns with what was observed before Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022. It is far from perfect, but it offers a consistent and neutral guide to probable military activity in the country.
Examining the data from June 4th and 5th, the model identified war-related fires at several points along the frontline. Most of these fires were concentrated around the cities of Zaporizhia (Ukrainian-held) and Donetsk (Russian-held), where there were reports of significant escalation in the night between June 4th and 5th. Russian forces claim to have repelled most of the attacks.
Although our model can be used to track the counter-offensive, war-related fires may be the result of Russian attacks as well as Ukrainian ones. The model detected fires in the Ukrainian city of Dnipro, where airstrikes on June 3rd, thought to be caused by Russian missiles, killed a child and injured 22 people. In recent days the number of war-related fires has been higher in Ukrainian-held or contested territory than in firmly Russian-controlled areas.
The overall number of war-related fires has not increased in the past few days. This might be because of the limitations of the data: comparing the raw number of fires through time can be difficult as the satellite captures only a snapshot in time as it flies over. Many analysts believe that Ukraine is currently only probing Russian forces, looking for vulnerabilities—or creating them—before committing its strongest units and artillery firepower. If the Ukrainians truly have begun their counter-offensive, and the weather stays clear, our model may detect far more activity in the days to come.
Inspect all our code, data, and models on GitHub. https://github.com/TheEconomist/the-economist-war-fire-model
https://github.com/TheEconomist/the-economist-war-fire-model/tree/mast
er/plots
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Statements by US and European officials are generally consistent with ISW’s October 2022 forecast that the Russians have a greater and clearer interest in flooding the lower Dnipro despite the damage to their own prepared defensive positions and forces than the Ukrainians.[29] ISW previously assessed on October 21, 2022, that Ukraine has no material interest in blowing the dam and pointed out that 80 settlements would risk flooding.[30] Ukrainian officials confirmed on June 6, 2023, that 80 settlements risk flooding as a result of the damage.[31] ISW further assessed that by contrast, Russia may use the flooding to widen the Dnipro River and complicate Ukrainian counteroffensive attempts across the already-challenging water feature.[32] Russian sources have expressed intense and explicit concern over the possibility that Ukraine has been preparing to cross the river and counterattack into east bank Kherson Oblast.[33] Available footage from June 6, corroborated by claims made by Russian milbloggers, suggests that the flooding washed away Ukrainian positions near the Dnipro shoreline and forced Ukrainian formations to evacuate while under Russian artillery fire.[34]
Ukrainian officials acknowledged that Russian formations and positions on the east bank may have been caught off guard and threatened by the flooding due to the topography of the area, some Ukrainian officials suggested that this was a result of the chaotic handling of the intentional detonation of the dam by Russian forces.[35] Some Russian sources indicated that the damage to the dam could threaten the water supply to occupied Crimea, but ISW previously noted that Crimea survived without water from the Dnipro River in the years between Russia‘s initial illegal annexation in 2014 and when water access was restored following the 2022 full-scale invasion.[36] There is also the possibility, of course, that pre-existing structural damage to the dam eventually caused breakage and flooding, as some sources have additionally suggested, although reports of noises like explosions are not necessarily consistent with this notion.[37] ISW cannot offer a definitive assessment of responsibility for the June 6 incident at this time but finds that the balance of evidence, reasoning, and rhetoric suggests that the Russians deliberately damaged the dam.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campai
gn-assessment-june-6-2023
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Quote:Funny but that's not what the article says.
Originally posted by second:
Ukrainian advances on Donetsk and Zaporizhia can be seen from space
Quote:Ya think?
war-related fires may be the result of Russian attacks as well as Ukrainian ones.
Quote:
The overall number of war-related fires has not increased in the past few days. ... IF the Ukrainians truly have begun their counter-offensive...
There is literally nothing in the article about a Ukrainian advance. Anywhere. In fact, they apparently can't even detect a counteroffensive yet. A more accurate title would be
"Ukrainian advances on Donetsk and Zaporizhia might be able to be seen from space"
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"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger
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Surveillance video from November 2022 shows explosions at the Kakhovka dam
There were explosions at Ukraine's Kakhovka dam in early November 2022. British military intelligence at the time said it was almost certainly the work of Russian forces using controlled detonations.
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Quote:"All is going as planned." - Russian State TV
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
There is literally nothing in the article about a Ukrainian advance. Anywhere. In fact, they apparently can't even detect a counteroffensive yet. A more accurate title would be
"Ukrainian advances on Donetsk and Zaporizhia might be able to be seen from space"
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
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Russian forces conducted another large-scale missile strike across Ukraine on the night of June 5-6. Ukrainian military sources reported that Russian forces launched 35 Kh-101/555 cruise missiles from six Tu-95 bombers over the Caspian Sea and that Ukrainian air defense shot down all 35 missiles.[41] The Ukrainian General Staff also reported that Russian forces targeted Kharkiv City with S-300 surface-to-air missiles.[42] Ukrainian Southern Operational Command Spokesperson Natalia Humenyuk noted that the fact that Russia only launched Kh-101/555-type missiles and returned all sea-based Kalibr missile carriers to their base points before the strike may suggest that Russia is running out of Kalibrs to launch.[43] Humenyuk’s comments are consistent with periodic Ukrainian tallies of the numbers of Kalibrs remaining and Russia’s capacity to produce them. [44] The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed that Russian aerospace forces conducted the strike with long-range air-launched missiles against Ukrainian ”decision-making centers” and struck all intended targets.[45] The UK MoD reported on June 5 that Russian forces have recently heavily relied on Iranian drones to try to attrit Ukrainian air defense missile capabilities, but the fact that Ukraine is still managing to employ air defense systems against cruise missiles to such high effect suggests that these Russian efforts have been largely unsuccessful.[46]
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campai
gn-assessment-june-6-2023
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
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Prigozhin again hit out at the Russian Defense Ministry. "There is no management, there is no planning, there is no preparation, there is no mutual respect," he said. "And then all this is replaced by tantrums at the top...We will now suffer serious losses, I am absolutely sure of this. We will certainly lose part of the territories."
The southern front line south of Zaporizhzhia has been touted as one of the most likely locations for the expected Ukrainian counter. If Ukrainian troops can break Russian lines there, they could drive south to liberate Melitopol and onto the Sea of Azov coast, severing Moscow's land bridge to Crimea.
The situation in this area, Prigozhin said, is a "catastrophe." He added: "Novodonetskoye has already been taken. And if the troops retreat further, to a depth of 5 to 8 kilometers, this means that then there will be an uncontrolled entry of the enemy."
"We understand that at least another 50 percent of the inhabitants of this territory will help the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Therefore, as soon as they go a little deeper, then they will go to Berdyansk and Mariupol, and it will be impossible to stop them."
Newsweek has contacted the Russian Defense Ministry by email to request comment.
https://www.newsweek.com/ukraine-offensive-broken-through-russian-line
s-prigozhin-bakhmut-donetsk-zaporizhzhia-1804946
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Quote:
Originally posted by second:Quote:The US Defense Department wrote on May 31, 2023: In total, the United States has committed more than $30.4 billion in security assistance to Ukraine since the beginning of the Biden Administration. Since 2014, the United States has committed more than $32.4 billion and more than $29.8 billion since the beginning of Russia’s unprovoked and brutal invasion on Feb. 24, 2022.
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
In other words, no sweat off Putin's balls.
Meanwhile, child rapist Zelensky has spent over $150 Billion in US taxpayer dollars and will run out by September if we don't give him more.
Go Joe*!
Keep that sunk cost fallacy up in perpetuity until the US Dollar is worthless.
Lies by your puppet masters.
Here are the real numbers:
https://www.crfb.org/blogs/congress-approved-113-billion-aid-ukraine-2
022
Quote:
I get the feeling that 6ixStringJack is Stupid and Crazy and Dishonest. He'd make a fine Russian. And 6ix, just like Trump, does not pay taxes so all the whininess about tax dollars is his nuttiness.
No. It's not nuttiness. Everything costs more because of Joe Biden*.
Even people who aren't paying Federal Tax are paying taxes through the worst inflation most Americans have ever gone through under the current administration.
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Growing up in a Republic was nice... Shame we couldn't keep it.
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Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:Quote:Funny but that's not what the article says.
Originally posted by second:
Ukrainian advances on Donetsk and Zaporizhia can be seen from spaceQuote:Ya think?
war-related fires may be the result of Russian attacks as well as Ukrainian ones.Quote:
The overall number of war-related fires has not increased in the past few days. ... IF the Ukrainians truly have begun their counter-offensive...
There is literally nothing in the article about a Ukrainian advance. Anywhere. In fact, they apparently can't even detect a counteroffensive yet. A more accurate title would be
"Ukrainian advances on Donetsk and Zaporizhia might be able to be seen from space"
Being Russian comrade Signym wouldn’t know that you probe an enemy as you start an offensive. You’re looking for weak spots and even strong areas of resistance you may want to avoid. You look for areas you can take advantage of. This is what is happening now.
Russia just moves forward in a disorganized manner, no matter how many soldiers needlessly die. It’s why Russia is losing.
T
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Only Russia isn't losing. 
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Growing up in a Republic was nice... Shame we couldn't keep it.
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