***** Top Gun: Maverick *****
POSTED BY: JEWELSTAITEFAN
UPDATED: Saturday, April 5, 2025 22:46
VIEWED: 7585
PAGE 5 of 10
Cinematographer behind Top Gun: Maverick shares behind the scenes footage, stories from the set, and all the ins and outs of selecting and working with the gear.
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
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My top 5 should be solid unless Nope takes a shit and falls out of it, at which point I think Minions will join it, and Thor should still be on there.
That's probably as well as I do though. The three smallish new movies were hard to predict with no real background in how these predictions go or insider access that isn't made available to the public until after the release.
Mack and Rita got slammed with 40% All Critics and 53% verified audience on RT.
Fall does much better with 79% All Critics and 83% verified audience.
Bodies, Bodies, Bodies gets 86% All Critics and 81% verified audience.
No numbers are in yet for Friday, but Mack & Rita has no chance of hitting number 7 for the weekend. And as much as I hate the Bodies genre, there is a large amount of youth that hasn't had a SAW or Paranormal Activity movie for a while that are going to flock to those 1,200 theaters... So it will probably come in on top of Fall as well.
I still think Fall will come in above Elvis though, and Elvis is going to be saved from falling off the top 10 because of Mack & Rita doing even more poorly than I thought it would after reading some early preview reviews. The people likely to see that movie would probably more likely go see Crawdads for the first time or re-watch it (or even see Elvis) than see Keaton doing the whole Freaky Friday gimmick. I don't think that a movie like Mack & Rita really even has an audience anymore in the 2020's.
So the bottom five will probably look more like this:
6 Minions: Rise of Gru
7. Where the Crawdads Sing
8. Bodies, Bodies, Bodies
9. Fall
10. Elvis
I'm still pulling for Fall to beat Bodies. Just found out that Bodies has some idiot from SNL in it which makes me like it even less than I did already. The only positive it gets from me is that it's an A24 flick, and I've liked anything else they've put out that I've seen.
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Well... So far, my Top 5 was spot on...
Quote:
1. Bullet Train
2. DC League of Super Pets
3. Top Gun: Maverick
4. Nope
5. Thor: Love and Thunder
Not only did Maverick come in 3rd place (When The Numbers predicted 7th place), but it looks like it was only $15k shy of Super Pets. It might actually pull a 2nd place finish this weekend. I'm doubtful of that though because more kids will be seeing movies on the weekend. But it's safely above Nope by $390k and Thor by $506k.
Top Gun will pass Super Pets sometime this week and for sure next weekend.
Bottom 5 predicitons... Not so good.
Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
My top 5 should be solid unless Nope takes a shit and falls out of it, at which point I think Minions will join it, and Thor should still be on there.
...
So the bottom five will probably look more like this:
6 Minions: Rise of Gru
7. Where the Crawdads Sing
8. Bodies, Bodies, Bodies
9. Fall
10. Elvis
I was right about Minions so far at 6th, but that's where it ends.
Bodies, Bodies, Bodies took 7th place with the highest per-theater take out of all movies being shown this week.
Crawdads was pushed to 8th because of this.
Fall didn't even make the top 10. :( I don't know what's going on with this one. It doesn't even show up on the projected take list at all, even below number 13 with all of the movies that made so little that they won't even bother giving it a place number until the actual take is verified. Maybe there's still hope? Or maybe nobody saw it?
Elvis somehow took 9th place.
And Easter Sunday looks like it is benefiting from that one extra theater and somehow managed to take 10th place.
We'll see where everything stands for the weekend on Monday. Looks like Maverick is still flying high though.
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Not only did Maverick come in 3rd place (When The Numbers predicted 7th place), but it looks like it was only $15k shy of Super Pets. It might actually pull a 2nd place finish this weekend. I'm doubtful of that though because more kids will be seeing movies on the weekend. But it's safely above Nope by $390k and Thor by $506k.
Top Gun will pass Super Pets sometime this week and for sure next weekend.
Maverick comes in 3rd on Saturday too, with an estimated $15k less than Super Pets again, for a total of $30k shy of 2nd place so far. Nothing is close enough to take 3rd place though.
Quote:
Fall didn't even make the top 10. :( I don't know what's going on with this one. It doesn't even show up on the projected take list at all, even below number 13 with all of the movies that made so little that they won't even bother giving it a place number until the actual take is verified. Maybe there's still hope? Or maybe nobody saw it?
The numbers for Fall finally came in. It took 9th place on Thursday night, but has been at 11th place Friday and Saturday.
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Top Gun: Maverick gets 2nd place for the weekend!!!!
https://www.the-numbers.com/weekend-box-office-chart
The projections were all wrong, and it ended up beating Super Pets by $48,000.
Thor and Minions now around $2 Million behind Maverick and will never catch up again.
Maverick might just end up being in 2nd place for the foreseeable future too, until October.
How long do you suppose it will be before it's beating Bullet Train? BT took in about 47% more than Maverick this weekend.
Fall ended up snagging the 10th spot, beating out Easter Sunday by $105k too. 
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My larger local cinema has 18 screens, and 2 are the super dooper ultra extremist deluxe fancy ones. I think they are the highest capacity as well.
Today one of the 2 had 4 showings of Bullet Train (compared to both of these screens last week)
The other one had 3 showings of Maverick.
Plus another regular screen had a fourth showing.
I don't recall ever before seeing a 3 month old movie returning the the super dooper screens, more than 2 months after leaving them.
Cinema on the other side of town still has 4 showings of Maverick today. It does not have super doopers.
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Nice. I still have yet to see it. My buddy and I keep talking about it but it hasn't happened yet. Maybe it's back in the big screen around here he was talking about going to before he said it wasn't there anymore.
Just checked the daily take for yesterday and it's still comfortably in 2nd. Beat Super Pets by more yesterday than it did over the entire weekend.
Even more hilarious is that Nope took 4th from Thor. At this rate, there's a very good chance that Thor leaves the theaters with less money than the Minions movie made. It's still $18 Million behind Minions and it only made $2,200 more than Minions yesterday.
More Disney stock crashing for Second to bounce on.
On and Fall is 10th and still beating Easter Sunday by quite a bit.
Oh... and speaking of Gay Robot Dog Movie, it made $57,270 this weekend, and was swimming at the bottom of the list of movies that The-Numbers doesn't even bother giving a place number to. The ET re-release made almost twice that on a Monday.
Did I mention that it was Disney/Pixar's worst performing movie ever?
I guess it truly wasn't made for anybody. 
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Maverick lost all of the theaters it gained last week. Not sure why when it's still doing so well. My guess is that once the Dragon Ball movie starts plummeting it will get some of them back. Anime movies usually do really well out of the gates but don't have any longevity to them, and Dragon Ball Z is no Spirited Away.
Dragon Ball takes easy 1st place with $6.4 Million. Beast comes in 2nd with $4.2 Million. Bullet Train takes a big hit and gets third with $2.2 Million and Maverick gets 4th with $1.5 Million.
The-Numbers predicts Maverick gets 5th place this weekend below Super Pets, but they've always underestimated Maverick. My guess is it retains 4th place and by next weekend it will make more than Bullet Train does.
Next week sees the release of "The Invitation" and "Three Thousand Years of Longing". I doubt either of those will do better than the top two from this weekend, so Maverick should easily be in the top 5 again next weekend too.
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Looks like I was right about Maverick's 4th place weekend and The Numbers got it wrong again. With projections, they're saying that Maverick took $75k more than Super Pets. It was going to be a lot more than that, but Super Pets looks to have had a very strong Sunday and took more than half of the Friday/Saturday deficit back from Maverick.
It's way too early to call anything, but I think there could be a chance that Maverick overtakes Bullet Train as well next weekend. BT is down 40% from last weekend while Maverick is only down 17%, most of which could be attributed to the inexplicable reduction in theaters this weekend.
The Numbers had this to say about Maverick this weekend:
Quote:
Pretty much every other movie in the top 10 ended up around where the model predicted. In fact only Top Gun: Maverick will fall more than 10% away from what our model predicted, and (if you haven’t noticed already) it’s something of a special case. In fact, it’s so far outside the normal range for a movie in its 13th week in theaters that it’s warping our model as it goes. That’s something I’ll be looking at, and probably making an adjustment for in the next few weeks.
I think you should. I've been right and you've been wrong about Maverick for a month now. You've got all the models and insider info at your disposal and I'm just some random dude that doesn't even watch movies.
They also said this, which I find both amazing and hilarious at the same time, especially since it's post Plandemic box office numbers we're counting here in 2022:
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The big news for Maverick this weekend is that it’s now the 6th-highest-grossing film of all time at the domestic box office, after it overtook Avengers: Infinity War on Friday.
NOTE: This ONLY Domestic numbers. I'd have to look to see worldwide counts were and match them up to this statement.
But this means that Maverick, even with it's much lower opening weekend take than most recent super hero flicks now has beaten every single one of them in the box office except for Avengers: End Game, Spider-Man: No Way Home, and Black Panther.
It will beat Black Panther within the next 2 weeks, almost certainly. Taking 5th place overall and only trailing behind the two largest super hero movies ever.
I'm going to guess that unless we see a re-release of Maverick sometime next year (which may VERY well happen), that it won't beat No Way Home since NWH is getting a re-release of its own next weekend with additional scenes. Assuming those scenes don't ruin the movie, I expect the re-release to do better than online outfits are predicting that it will.
But unless that Maverick re-release does happen, I think it's pretty safe to say that it's not going to end up taking in over $858 Million Domestically and beating Avengers: End Game. It's doing great, but that's a long climb from its current $683 Million.
I think it's still got a pretty good chance to snipe 4th place from Avatar though, which took in $760 Million. But to be fair, Avatar made its money back in 2009 when the dollar went quite a bit further than it does today. Also, Avatar is getting a re-release of its own on September 23rd, and although I've never seen it or care to, it would be foolish to think that the re-release isn't going to do well.
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:Quote:
The big news for Maverick this weekend is that it’s now the 6th-highest-grossing film of all time at the domestic box office, after it overtook Avengers: Infinity War on Friday.
NOTE: This ONLY Domestic numbers. I'd have to look to see worldwide counts were and match them up to this statement.
I didn't have to do much research there. The-Numbers also tracks Worldwide box office. It had only linked their Domestic counts in the article though.
https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-records/worldwide/all-movies/cu
mulative/all-time
Maverick is 12th overall on the Worldwide chart right now.
It should have no problem knocking off Frozen II in a few weeks for 11th.
I think it will have a decent chance to move up two more to bump off The Avengers and Furious 7, but that would depend entirely on how well it is still doing internationally, and The Numbers just puts those figures as a lump sum for each country and doesn't do a weekly breakdown, so it would take a little work from that site to figure out how much it's still doing overseas. It would need to make $112 Million more to take 9th place.
That's probably where it would end though without a re-release. At that point it would still need an additional $140 Million to take 8th place from The Lion King, at which point taking 7th place would be possible with just 18 Million more.
My prediction is that it will be able to take 9th place, which would put it only behind 3 Comic Book Movies on the International list. Avengers: End Game and Infinity War, and Spider-Man: No Way Home.
PLACEHOLDER: $720,000,000 is the current International figure for Maverick as of the morning of 08/22/2022. We'll see where that number is next week.
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