Real World Event Discussions

House Elections 2020

POSTED BY: JEWELSTAITEFAN
UPDATED: Wednesday, April 21, 2021 02:39
VIEWED: 5488
PAGE 1 of 1

Monday, September 9, 2019 1:48 AM

Well, I hadn't planned to post this topioc so early, with all of the fluctuations, but it seems there are a flurry of resignations already brewing.

I'll try to fill out this OP later, with a summary of how things stand.

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Monday, September 9, 2019 1:52 AM

Well, I can't find it now, but some TX GOP Congressman is resigning.




Special E;ection will be 10 Sept 2019 for NC-3 and NC-9.

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Monday, September 9, 2019 2:33 AM

Texas GOP Congressmen:

1. Louie Gohmert (R)
2. Dan Crenshaw (R)
3. Van Taylor (R)
4. John Ratcliffe (R)
5. Lance Gooden (R)
6. Ron Wright (R)
8. Kevin Brady (R)
10. Michael McCaul (R)
11. Mike Conaway (R)
12. Kay Granger (R)
13. Mac Thornberry (R)
14. Randy Weber (R)
17. Bill Flores (R)
19. Jodey Arrington (R)
21. Chip Roy (R)
22. Pete Olson (R)
23. Will Hurd (R)
24. Kenny Marchant (R)
25. Roger Williams (R)
26. Michael C. Burgess (R)
27. Michael Cloud (R)
31. John Carter (R)
36. Brian Babin (R)

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Friday, September 13, 2019 5:11 AM

I heard that Nadler is being challenged in the Dem Primary by an AOC-type upstart. So he is worried and starting to toe the Dem Party line in Impeachemnt.

I have not chased down the details.

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Tuesday, September 24, 2019 5:53 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Well, I can't find it now, but some TX GOP Congressman is resigning.




Special E;ection will be 10 Sept 2019 for NC-3 and NC-9.

Sounds like NC-3 and NC-9 were both won by GOP, although Dems outspent by large multiples in the races.

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Tuesday, September 24, 2019 7:03 AM

I went into great detail on the NC races, including research on who donated by the FEC receipts.

I won't rehash it here, but the media spin on the whole ordeal was bullshit when you know what was going on behind the scenes.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Tuesday, September 24, 2019 10:14 AM

Start looking at September 10th on page 3 of this thread for the NC stuff:

http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=62934&p=3

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Tuesday, October 1, 2019 6:24 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Start looking at September 10th on page 3 of this thread for the NC stuff:

http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=62934&p=3

Do Right, Be Right. :)

Do you know how to make a direct link to a specific post, or place in the thread?

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Tuesday, October 1, 2019 8:08 AM

Nope.

But if you look at the thread that I posted and the date that I said to start looking at you'll find it. There were quite a few posts on the subject. I think you'll find it interesting.

Also, #InvestigatePrismCommunications



Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Tuesday, October 1, 2019 8:24 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Do you know how to make a direct link to a specific post, or place in the thread?

Click on the person's name. You'll get a listing of all their posts. Find the specific one you want and click on it. It'll come up with an extended url. That url will link to that specific post (within the whole page of posts it's found in).

For example, this is page one of this thread:
http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=63269&p=1

And this is my post on this page:
http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=63269&p=1#1
084266

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Tuesday, October 1, 2019 10:18 AM

Good to know.

What a pain in the ass.



I do hope you bother to read it, JSF, now that I've gone to the trouble of doing something that you could have easily done had you just followed my initial instructions.

http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=62934&mid=10828
55#1082855


Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Wednesday, October 2, 2019 6:51 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Good to know.

What a pain in the ass.



I do hope you bother to read it, JSF, now that I've gone to the trouble of doing something that you could have easily done had you just followed my initial instructions.

http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=62934&mid=10828
55#1082855


Do Right, Be Right. :)

I had already read it, when you had originally posted. I just noticed you often mention a post sequence, but don't link.

The easy way, when you have made a post, is to go to the post you already made, click edit, add some nonconsequential space somewhere like after a period, and save the change. Then the full address can be copied and will always bring anybody straight to that post.

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Wednesday, October 2, 2019 7:31 AM

Cool.

Your thoughts?

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Monday, December 23, 2019 2:26 AM

Some Dems are having sphincter spasms. Others had enough sense and character to switch to a better Party.

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Thursday, February 6, 2020 6:12 AM

Sounds like Tulsi Gabbard is not running for re-election. But she did in 2018.

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Thursday, February 6, 2020 9:49 AM

She said quite a while back that she wouldn't be.

Long before the DNC has made it clear that they're done with her.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Friday, February 7, 2020 1:04 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
She said quite a while back that she wouldn't be.

Long before the DNC has made it clear that they're done with her.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

I thought I had read that after DNC backed her primary challenger, then she dropped out of the race.

Are you saying she never had any House campaign for 2020?

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Friday, February 7, 2020 1:11 AM

In 2018, Democraps and their transcribers (Fake News MSM) had some of the Electorate panicked into thinking Trump needed to be Impeached.

As a result of this con, The House switched majority party. Some of these Dem dweebs seem to actually think they were elected on merit, on substance, and not just their scare tactics.
Some voters likely stayed home, perhaps being unsure of the wisdom of their electing for Trump.

Now. How many of those "swing" voters are realizing that they were conned? By the Democrap Party, and their lemmings in the Fake News MSM? How many of the electorate who were conned are now ticked off?

Methinks that those Democraps who think they were elected due to something other than their Impeachment con are in for a rude awakening.

Without the Impeachment con, the House never would have switched sides.

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Friday, February 7, 2020 3:17 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
She said quite a while back that she wouldn't be.

Long before the DNC has made it clear that they're done with her.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

I thought I had read that after DNC backed her primary challenger, then she dropped out of the race.

Are you saying she never had any House campaign for 2020?




I don't know if she never did, but she announced many months back that she had no plans on running again and was putting everything into her bid for the presidency. Might have been as much as 6 months ago.


EDIT: https://www.politico.com/news/2019/10/25/tulsi-gabbard-wont-run-congre
ss-reelection-2020-057222


https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2019/10/25/tuls
i-gabbard-not-seek-re-election-continue-2020-presidential-run/4094964002
/

https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2019/10/25/tulsi-gabbard-congres
s-drops-bid
/

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/hawaii-rep-tulsi-gabbard-run-election-
district/story?id=66526443


https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/rep-tulsi-gabbard-runni
ng-president-won-t-seek-re-election-n1071756


Says that she announced it on 10/25/2019.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Friday, February 7, 2020 3:29 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
In 2018, Democraps and their transcribers (Fake News MSM) had some of the Electorate panicked into thinking Trump needed to be Impeached.

As a result of this con, The House switched majority party. Some of these Dem dweebs seem to actually think they were elected on merit, on substance, and not just their scare tactics.
Some voters likely stayed home, perhaps being unsure of the wisdom of their electing for Trump.

Now. How many of those "swing" voters are realizing that they were conned? By the Democrap Party, and their lemmings in the Fake News MSM? How many of the electorate who were conned are now ticked off?

Methinks that those Democraps who think they were elected due to something other than their Impeachment con are in for a rude awakening.

Without the Impeachment con, the House never would have switched sides.




Here's what Moody's said in early October:

https://www.moodysanalytics.com/-/media/article/2019/president-electio
n-model.pdf


Specifically, you should look at the charts concerning voter turnout on pages 7 and 8.




Then have a good laugh when you read this article from Vox about the Iowa Caucus.

https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2020/2/4/21122359/iowa-democra
tic-caucuses-results-turnout


Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Tuesday, July 7, 2020 2:31 AM

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/505362-republican-lauren-boebert
-ousts-rep-scott-tipton-in-colorado-primary


Tipton out, sounds like a conservative coming in.

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Tuesday, September 22, 2020 2:33 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
In 2018, Democraps and their transcribers (Fake News MSM) had some of the Electorate panicked into thinking Trump needed to be Impeached.

As a result of this con, The House switched majority party. Some of these Dem dweebs seem to actually think they were elected on merit, on substance, and not just their scare tactics.
Some voters likely stayed home, perhaps being unsure of the wisdom of their electing for Trump.

Now. How many of those "swing" voters are realizing that they were conned? By the Democrap Party, and their lemmings in the Fake News MSM? How many of the electorate who were conned are now ticked off?

Methinks that those Democraps who think they were elected due to something other than their Impeachment con are in for a rude awakening.

Without the Impeachment con, the House never would have switched sides.

I still wonder how many of these voters are ticked that they were duped in 2018 with all of the Fake News and Fake Impeachment.


The Seats which flipped:
I= Incumbant, O= Open, Vac=Vacant

D->R:
MN-1
PA-14, Vac


R->D
AZ-2
CA-10
CA-25, I
CA-39
CA-45, I
CA-48
CA-49
CO-6, I
FL-26
FL-27

GA-6, I
IA-1, I
IA-3, I
IL-6, I
IL-14, I
KS-3, I
ME-2, I
MI-8, I
MI-11
MN-2, I

MN-3, I
NJ-2
NJ-3, I
NJ-7, I
NJ-11, Open
NM-2
NY-11, I
NY-19, I
NY-22, I
OK-5

PA-5, Vac
PA-6, Open
PA-7, Open
PA-17, I
SC-1, I
TX-32, I
UT-4, I
VA-2, I
VA-7, I
VA-10, I

WA-8


For some reason, some sources do not list the following:
D->R
MN-8


R->D
CA-21
TX-7


So, 3 flipped from Dem to GOP. 43 flipped from GOP to Dem. Various sources claim either 40 or 41 net change. I haven't ironed out all the claims.

After the 2016 Election, the House on 3 Jan 2017 was 241 R, 194 D.
At the time of the 2018 Election, the House was 235 R, 193 D, 7 Vacant (2D, 5R).
After the 2018 Election, the House started off as 235 D, 200 R.



The following had the lowest Margin of Victory, and thus may be easiest to correct from their duped delusions of 2018:

UT-4
CA-21
GA-6
ME-2
NJ-3
SC-1
OK-5
FL-26
NY-22
NM-2

VA-7
IA-3
MI-8
IA-1


The next group continues down that list:
VA-2
CA-39
NJ-7
NY-19
FL-27
MI-11
NV-4
NV-3

Those last 2 were not flips in 2018, but the rest are. That is 20 seats which flipped in 2018 which had low MoV. If all the rest stay the same, and 18 of those flip back, then GOP will have a 1 seat majority (218-217).

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Wednesday, September 23, 2020 5:17 AM

Because I suspect that the locations where the most brainwashing occurred are likely those stuck in the largest Media Markets, I am posting some l;ists for reference.

https://newsgeneration.com/broadcast-resources/top-100-radio-markets/

1 New York, NY
2 Los Angeles, CA
3 Chicago, IL
4 Philadelphia, PA
5 Dallas-Ft. Worth, TX
6 San Francisco-Oak-San Jose
7 Washington (Hagerstown), DC-MD
8 Houston, TX
9 Boston (Manchester)
10 Atlanta
11 Phoenix (Prescott)
12 Tampa-St. Pete (Sarasota)
13 Seattle-Tacoma
14 Detroit, MI
15 Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN
16 Miami-Ft. Lauderdale, FL
17 Denver, CO
18 Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne, FL
19 Cleveland-Akron (Canton), OH
20 Sacramento-Stockton-Modesto, CA
21 Charlotte, NC
22 Portland, OR
23 St. Louis, MO
24 Pittsburgh, PA
25 Indianapolis, IN
26 Baltimore, MD
27 Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), NC
28 Nashville, TN
29 San Diego, CA
30 Salt Lake City, UT
31 San Antonio, TX
32 Kansas City
33 Hartford & New Haven
34 Columbus, OH
35 Milwaukee, WI
36 West Palm Beach-Fort Pierce, FL
37 Cincinnati, OH
38 Greenville-Spartanburg-Asheville-Anderson, NC
39 Las Vegas
40 Austin
41 Jacksonville, FL
42 Norfolk-Portsmth-Newpt Nws
43 Oklahoma City
44 Birmingham (Ann and Tusc)
45 Grand Rapids-Kalmzoo-B.Crk
46 Albuquerque-Santa Fe
47 Harrisburg-Lncstr-Leb-York
48 Louisville
49 Greensboro-H.Point-W.Salem
50 New Orleans
51 Memphis
52 Buffalo
53 Ft. Myers-Naples
54 Richmond-Petersburg
55 Fresno-Visalia, CA
56 Providence-New Bedford
57 Mobile-Pensacola (Ft Walt)
58 Tulsa
59 Albany-Schenectady-Troy
60 Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn
61 Knoxville
62 Little Rock-Pine Bluff
63 Dayton, OH
64 Lexington, KY
65 Tucson (Sierra Vista)
66 Honolulu, HI
67 Green Bay-Appleton
68 Des Moines-Ames
69 Roanoke-Lynchburg
70 Spokane



https://mediatracks.com/resources/nielsen-dma-rankings-2020/

1 New York 6,824,120 6.377
2 Los Angeles 5,145,350 4.808
3 Chicago 3,256,400 3.043
4 Philadelphia 2,758,330 2.578
5 Dallas-Ft. Worth 2,563,320 2.395
6 San Francisco-Oak-San Jose 2,364,740 2.210
7 Washington, DC (Hagrstwn) 2,351,930 2.198
8 Houston 2,330,180 2.178
9 Boston (Manchester) 2,302,680 2.152
10 Atlanta 2,269,270 2.121
11 Phoenix (Prescott) 1,879,780 1.757
12 Tampa-St. Pete (Sarasota) 1,800,600 1.683
13 Seattle-Tacoma 1,764,680 1.649
14 Detroit 1,737,170 1.623
15 Minneapolis-St. Paul 1,697,370 1.586
16 Miami-Ft. Lauderdale 1,642,220 1.535
17 Denver 1,532,320 1.432
18 Orlando-Daytona Bch-Melbrn 1,492,640 1.395
19 Cleveland-Akron (Canton) 1,366,110 1.277
20 Sacramnto-Stkton-Modesto 1,317,500 1.231
21 Charlotte 1,125,970 1.052
22 Portland, OR 1,112,500 1.040
23 St. Louis 1,099,590 1.028
24 Pittsburgh 1,079,900 1.009
25 Indianapolis 1,053,830 0.985
26 Baltimore 1,039,490 0.971
27 Raleigh-Durham (Fayetvlle) 1,025,320 0.958
28 Nashville 983,180 0.919
29 San Diego 981,650 0.917
30 Salt Lake City 952,470 0.890
31 San Antonio 916,970 0.857
32 Kansas City 896,850 0.838
33 Hartford & New Haven 885,890 0.828
34 Columbus, OH 877,490 0.820
35 Milwaukee 837,300 0.782
36 West Palm Beach-Ft. Pierce 828,980 0.775
37 Cincinnati 828,250 0.774
38 Greenvll-Spart-Ashevll-And 787,930 0.736
39 Las Vegas 743,220 0.695
40 Austin 736,770 0.689
41 Jacksonville 690,400 0.645
42 Norfolk-Portsmth-Newpt Nws 684,310 0.639
43 Oklahoma City 666,690 0.623
44 Birmingham (Ann and Tusc) 666,170 0.623
45 Grand Rapids-Kalmzoo-B.Crk 653,100 0.610
46 Albuquerque-Santa Fe 648,350 0.606
47 Harrisburg-Lncstr-Leb-York 641,660 0.600
48 Louisville 636,150 0.594
49 Greensboro-H.Point-W.Salem 635,580 0.594
50 New Orleans 615,480 0.575
51 Memphis 580,600 0.543
52 Buffalo 576,710 0.539
53 Ft. Myers-Naples 564,250 0.527
54 Richmond-Petersburg 555,630 0.519
55 Fresno-Visalia 550,860 0.515
56 Providence-New Bedford 543,430 0.508
57 Mobile-Pensacola (Ft Walt) 518,740 0.485
58 Tulsa

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Thursday, September 24, 2020 1:52 AM

From what I can see, NY-19 and NY-22 should be easy to correct, with decent candidates.

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Friday, October 30, 2020 11:01 PM

Any predictions of results?


Conservatives only have 5 days left to vote. Libtards only have a couple months left.

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Saturday, October 31, 2020 10:56 PM

Anybody want to predict whether The Squad will win reelection?

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Thursday, November 5, 2020 12:13 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
In 2018, Democraps and their transcribers (Fake News MSM) had some of the Electorate panicked into thinking Trump needed to be Impeached.

As a result of this con, The House switched majority party. Some of these Dem dweebs seem to actually think they were elected on merit, on substance, and not just their scare tactics.
Some voters likely stayed home, perhaps being unsure of the wisdom of their electing for Trump.

Now. How many of those "swing" voters are realizing that they were conned? By the Democrap Party, and their lemmings in the Fake News MSM? How many of the electorate who were conned are now ticked off?

Methinks that those Democraps who think they were elected due to something other than their Impeachment con are in for a rude awakening.

Without the Impeachment con, the House never would have switched sides.

I still wonder how many of these voters are ticked that they were duped in 2018 with all of the Fake News and Fake Impeachment.


The Seats which flipped:
I= Incumbant, O= Open, Vac=Vacant

D->R:
MN-1
PA-14, Vac


R->D
AZ-2
CA-10
CA-25, I
CA-39
CA-45, I
CA-48
CA-49
CO-6, I
FL-26
FL-27

GA-6, I
IA-1, I
IA-3, I
IL-6, I
IL-14, I
KS-3, I
ME-2, I
MI-8, I
MI-11
MN-2, I

MN-3, I
NJ-2
NJ-3, I
NJ-7, I
NJ-11, Open
NM-2
NY-11, I
NY-19, I
NY-22, I
OK-5

PA-5, Vac
PA-6, Open
PA-7, Open
PA-17, I
SC-1, I
TX-32, I
UT-4, I
VA-2, I
VA-7, I
VA-10, I

WA-8


For some reason, some sources do not list the following:
D->R
MN-8


R->D
CA-21
TX-7


So, 3 flipped from Dem to GOP. 43 flipped from GOP to Dem. Various sources claim either 40 or 41 net change. I haven't ironed out all the claims.

After the 2016 Election, the House on 3 Jan 2017 was 241 R, 194 D.
At the time of the 2018 Election, the House was 235 R, 193 D, 7 Vacant (2D, 5R).
After the 2018 Election, the House started off as 235 D, 200 R.



The following had the lowest Margin of Victory, and thus may be easiest to correct from their duped delusions of 2018:

UT-4
CA-21
GA-6
ME-2
NJ-3
SC-1
OK-5
FL-26
NY-22
NM-2

VA-7
IA-3
MI-8
IA-1


The next group continues down that list:
VA-2
CA-39
NJ-7
NY-19
FL-27
MI-11
NV-4
NV-3

Those last 2 were not flips in 2018, but the rest are. That is 20 seats which flipped in 2018 which had low MoV. If all the rest stay the same, and 18 of those flip back, then GOP will have a 1 seat majority (218-217).

I'll check the results for these when time allows.

Or others can pitch in with known results.


Before Election, the House was 232-197. So if Dems lose 15 seats, they lose majority.

NV 3 and 4 were close, but seemed to stay D.

CA-21 and 39 both went back to R. And maybe CA-48.
SC-1 went back to R.
OK-5 went back to R.
FL-26 and -27 (Shalala) went back to R.
NY-11 and 22 went back to R.
NM-2 went back to R.
IA-1 went back to R.
IL-14 may have switched back to R.
NJ-2 is R now. Seems it was.
PA-7 and -17 switched back to R.
CA-8 seems R. But it was.

That is 14 so far.



UT-4 is not called yet. Half of precincts reporting.
WA-8 is not called yet. 76% reporting.


GA-6 stayed D.
ME-2 stayed D.
NJ-3 and -7 stayed D.
NY-19 stayed D.
VA-2 and -7 seemed to stay D. -7 is not called yet.
IA-3 stayed D.
MI-8 and -11 seemed to stay D, with -11 not yet called.
TX-7 stayed D.
AZ-2 stayed D.
CO-6 stayed D.
KS-3 stayed D.

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Thursday, November 5, 2020 1:14 AM

Last night I noticed Ron Kind-D, WI-3 was behind in the voting, always under 50%. But the Libtards of WI have had decades of practice with Election Theft, so this morning he was listed as winner.

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Thursday, November 5, 2020 3:43 AM

Handy linky.

https://ca.yahoo.com/topics/us-election?cache=clear

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Thursday, November 5, 2020 4:24 AM

So it seems The House is on the verge of flipping, from a rudimentary tally. If UT-4 flips to R, then Dems would lose majority.

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Friday, November 6, 2020 12:15 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
In 2018, Democraps and their transcribers (Fake News MSM) had some of the Electorate panicked into thinking Trump needed to be Impeached.

As a result of this con, The House switched majority party. Some of these Dem dweebs seem to actually think they were elected on merit, on substance, and not just their scare tactics.
Some voters likely stayed home, perhaps being unsure of the wisdom of their electing for Trump.

Now. How many of those "swing" voters are realizing that they were conned? By the Democrap Party, and their lemmings in the Fake News MSM? How many of the electorate who were conned are now ticked off?

Methinks that those Democraps who think they were elected due to something other than their Impeachment con are in for a rude awakening.

Without the Impeachment con, the House never would have switched sides.

I still wonder how many of these voters are ticked that they were duped in 2018 with all of the Fake News and Fake Impeachment.


The Seats which flipped:
I= Incumbant, O= Open, Vac=Vacant

D->R:
MN-1
PA-14, Vac


R->D
AZ-2, CA-10, CA-25, I; CA-39; CA-45, I
CA-48; CA-49; CO-6, I; FL-26; FL-27

GA-6, I; IA-1, I; IA-3, I; IL-6, I; IL-14, I
KS-3, I; ME-2, I; MI-8, I; MI-11; MN-2, I

MN-3, I; NJ-2; NJ-3, I; NJ-7, I; NJ-11, Open;
NM-2; NY-11, I; NY-19, I; NY-22, I; OK-5

PA-5, Vac; PA-6, Open; PA-7, Open; PA-17, I; SC-1, I
TX-32, I; UT-4, I; VA-2, I; VA-7, I; VA-10, I

WA-8


For some reason, some sources do not list the following:
D->R
MN-8


R->D
CA-21
TX-7


So, 3 flipped from Dem to GOP. 43 flipped from GOP to Dem. Various sources claim either 40 or 41 net change. I haven't ironed out all the claims.

After the 2016 Election, the House on 3 Jan 2017 was 241 R, 194 D.
At the time of the 2018 Election, the House was 235 R, 193 D, 7 Vacant (2D, 5R).
After the 2018 Election, the House started off as 235 D, 200 R.



The following had the lowest Margin of Victory, and thus may be easiest to correct from their duped delusions of 2018:

UT-4
CA-21
GA-6
ME-2
NJ-3
SC-1
OK-5
FL-26
NY-22
NM-2

VA-7
IA-3
MI-8
IA-1


The next group continues down that list:
VA-2
CA-39
NJ-7
NY-19
FL-27
MI-11
NV-4
NV-3

Those last 2 were not flips in 2018, but the rest are. That is 20 seats which flipped in 2018 which had low MoV. If all the rest stay the same, and 18 of those flip back, then GOP will have a 1 seat majority (218-217).

I'll check the results for these when time allows.

Or others can pitch in with known results.


Before Election, the House was 232-197. So if Dems lose 15 seats, they lose majority.

NV 3 and 4 were close, but seemed to stay D.

CA-21 and 39 both went back to R. And maybe CA-48.
SC-1 went back to R.
OK-5 went back to R.
FL-26 and -27 (Shalala) went back to R.
NY-11 and 22 went back to R.
NM-2 went back to R.
IA-1 went back to R.
IL-14 may have switched back to R.
NJ-2 is R now. Seems it was.
PA-7 and -17 switched back to R.
CA-8 seems R. But it was.

That is 14 so far.



UT-4 is not called yet. Half of precincts reporting.
WA-8 is not called yet. 76% reporting.


GA-6 stayed D.
ME-2 stayed D.
NJ-3 and -7 stayed D.
NY-19 stayed D.
VA-2 and -7 seemed to stay D. -7 is not called yet.
IA-3 stayed D.
MI-8 and -11 seemed to stay D, with -11 not yet called.
TX-7 stayed D.
AZ-2 stayed D.
CO-6 stayed D.
KS-3 stayed D.

Adding to the 14 D->R flips:
MN-7 switched to R.
NY-3 switched to R.
MI-3 switched from Ind/Liberetarian to R.
CO-3 upgraded from RINO to Conservative.

So that is 16 so far. If Dems only had 232, this rough count drops them down to 216. There seems to be no new Independent that they could caucus with.
If they had 232 plus 3 vacancies, then they are down to 219 at this point.
Which might be why ballot counting has frozen for 2 days in some unc

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Saturday, November 7, 2020 12:13 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
In 2018, Democraps and their transcribers (Fake News MSM) had some of the Electorate panicked into thinking Trump needed to be Impeached.

As a result of this con, The House switched majority party. Some of these Dem dweebs seem to actually think they were elected on merit, on substance, and not just their scare tactics.
Some voters likely stayed home, perhaps being unsure of the wisdom of their electing for Trump.

Now. How many of those "swing" voters are realizing that they were conned? By the Democrap Party, and their lemmings in the Fake News MSM? How many of the electorate who were conned are now ticked off?

Methinks that those Democraps who think they were elected due to something other than their Impeachment con are in for a rude awakening.

Without the Impeachment con, the House never would have switched sides.

I still wonder how many of these voters are ticked that they were duped in 2018 with all of the Fake News and Fake Impeachment.


The Seats which flipped:
I= Incumbant, O= Open, Vac=Vacant

D->R:
MN-1
PA-14, Vac


R->D
AZ-2, CA-10, CA-25, I; CA-39; CA-45, I
CA-48; CA-49; CO-6, I; FL-26; FL-27

GA-6, I; IA-1, I; IA-3, I; IL-6, I; IL-14, I
KS-3, I; ME-2, I; MI-8, I; MI-11; MN-2, I

MN-3, I; NJ-2; NJ-3, I; NJ-7, I; NJ-11, Open;
NM-2; NY-11, I; NY-19, I; NY-22, I; OK-5

PA-5, Vac; PA-6, Open; PA-7, Open; PA-17, I; SC-1, I
TX-32, I; UT-4, I; VA-2, I; VA-7, I; VA-10, I

WA-8


For some reason, some sources do not list the following:
D->R
MN-8


R->D
CA-21
TX-7


So, 3 flipped from Dem to GOP. 43 flipped from GOP to Dem. Various sources claim either 40 or 41 net change. I haven't ironed out all the claims.

After the 2016 Election, the House on 3 Jan 2017 was 241 R, 194 D.
At the time of the 2018 Election, the House was 235 R, 193 D, 7 Vacant (2D, 5R).
After the 2018 Election, the House started off as 235 D, 200 R.



The following had the lowest Margin of Victory, and thus may be easiest to correct from their duped delusions of 2018:

UT-4
CA-21
GA-6
ME-2
NJ-3
SC-1
OK-5
FL-26
NY-22
NM-2

VA-7
IA-3
MI-8
IA-1


The next group continues down that list:
VA-2
CA-39
NJ-7
NY-19
FL-27
MI-11
NV-4
NV-3

Those last 2 were not flips in 2018, but the rest are. That is 20 seats which flipped in 2018 which had low MoV. If all the rest stay the same, and 18 of those flip back, then GOP will have a 1 seat majority (218-217).

I'll check the results for these when time allows.

Or others can pitch in with known results.


Before Election, the House was 232-197. So if Dems lose 15 seats, they lose majority.

NV 3 and 4 were close, but seemed to stay D.

CA-21 and 39 both went back to R. And maybe CA-48.
SC-1 went back to R.
OK-5 went back to R.
FL-26 and -27 (Shalala) went back to R.
NY-11 and 22 went back to R.
NM-2 went back to R.
IA-1 went back to R.
IL-14 may have switched back to R.
NJ-2 is R now. Seems it was.
PA-7 and -17 switched back to R.
CA-8 seems R. But it was.

That is 14 so far.



UT-4 is not called yet. Half of precincts reporting.
WA-8 is not called yet. 76% reporting.


GA-6 stayed D.
ME-2 stayed D.
NJ-3 and -7 stayed D.
NY-19 stayed D.
VA-2 and -7 seemed to stay D. -7 is not called yet.
IA-3 stayed D.
MI-8 and -11 seemed to stay D, with -11 not yet called.
TX-7 stayed D.
AZ-2 stayed D.
CO-6 stayed D.
KS-3 stayed D.

Adding to the 14 D->R flips:
MN-7 switched to R.
NY-3 switched to R.
MI-3 switched from Ind/Liberetarian to R.
CO-3 upgraded from RINO to Conservative.

So that is 16 so far. If Dems only had 232, this rough count drops them down to 216. There seems to be no new Independent that they could caucus with.
If they had 232 plus 3 vacancies, then they are down to 219 at this point.
Which might be why b

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Saturday, November 7, 2020 1:50 AM

IA-2 might have a recount. Votes have 0.04% difference.

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Saturday, November 7, 2020 11:11 PM

http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=63980&p=1#1
116482


if everything is correct, then Dems will have 217 seats in the House, and GOP will have the majority with 218.



The seats lost are:

CA-21, CA-39, CA-48
FL-26, FL-27
IL-14
IA-2
MN-7
NM-2
NY-3, NY-11, NY-22
OK-5
PA-7, PA-17
SC-1
UT-4


https://ca.yahoo.com/topics/us-election?cache=clear

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Sunday, November 8, 2020 2:08 AM


Well, so far the dems have lost 4.

GREAT JOB NANCY!!!


And if democrats don't do any different, how are they any better?

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Tuesday, November 10, 2020 1:08 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:

Well, so far the dems have lost 4.

GREAT JOB NANCY!!!


And if democrats don't do any different, how are they any better?

I had just listed 17 House Seats that the Dems had held, and just had GOP voted in.

Are you saying there were 4 from CA that flipped from D to R?
Or something else?

Can you specify what 4 you are talking about?

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Saturday, November 14, 2020 11:00 PM

MI-11 has returned to the GOP.

https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/11/breaking-exclusive-system-gli
tch-also-uncovered-wisconsin-reversal-19032-votes-removes-lead-joe-biden
/

Quote:

Then another example was uncovered in Oakland County Michigan where again a Republican won his race as a result this glitch being reversed.

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Saturday, November 14, 2020 11:02 PM

http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=63980&p=1#1
116482


if everything is correct, then Dems will have 216 seats in the House, and GOP will have the majority with 219.



The seats lost are:

CA-21, CA-39, CA-48
FL-26, FL-27
IL-14
IA-2
MN-7
NM-2
NY-3, NY-11, NY-22
OK-5
PA-7, PA-17
SC-1
UT-4
MI-11


https://ca.yahoo.com/topics/us-election?cache=clear

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Tuesday, November 17, 2020 2:24 AM

Even if Nancy steals more house seats to retain majority, she may not become Speaker again.

https://www.headlineoftheday.com/2020/11/15/centrist-democrat-praises-
trump-wont-vote-for-pelosi-for-speaker
/

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Tuesday, November 17, 2020 3:40 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=63980&p=1#1
116482


if everything is correct, then Dems will have 216 seats in the House, and GOP will have the majority with 219.



The seats lost are:

CA-21, CA-39, CA-48
FL-26, FL-27
IL-14
IA-2
MN-7
NM-2
NY-3, NY-11, NY-22
OK-5
PA-7, PA-17
SC-1
UT-4
MI-11


https://ca.yahoo.com/topics/us-election?cache=clear



I compared this list to a news narrative from today:
https://thepostmillennial.com/watch-aoc-talks-on-interview-about-loss-
of-house-majority-which-never-happened
/
Which states that only 5 or 6 House Seats were lost by Dems.

Looks like NY was able to create some post-election votes for NY-3.
Ditto PA-7 and PA-17.
And IL-14.
And after Oakland County corrected their votes and turned MI-11 to GOP, then Wayne County (Detroit) was able to generate some more post-election votes to swing it back.

So my list of 13 still looks like more than 5 or 6. I have not tried a Libtard Maths conversion to see if that works, yet.
And all of those post-Election turnovers only hold if the Election Theft is allowed to continue unabated.

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Wednesday, November 18, 2020 2:27 AM




Quote:

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/11/17/politics/2020-house-races-majority/
index.html


... the last few days have been filled with close House races (finally) being projected. And those projections reveal just how poorly House Democrats did.
With just a handful of races still uncalled at this point, Republicans have gained nine seats -- having won 12 Democratic-held districts and lost just three of their own.


And there's a handful of close races still to count.

And yet Biden* 'won' despite all the republican down ballot votes.

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Thursday, November 19, 2020 2:32 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
Quote:

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/11/17/politics/2020-house-races-majority/
index.html


... the last few days have been filled with close House races (finally) being projected. And those projections reveal just how poorly House Democrats did.
With just a handful of races still uncalled at this point, Republicans have gained nine seats -- having won 12 Democratic-held districts and lost just three of their own.

And there's a handful of close races still to count.

And yet Biden* 'won' despite all the republican down ballot votes.

That is the first I heard of GOP losing 3 seats. Everybody has been saying they did not lose one, including numerous Libtards. Which 3 have the Dems continued voting in until they won?
I see you are filtering your information thru cnn, which would explain why you have been unaware of the seats Dems have lost.

Why only 3 lost seats for GOP? Cannot the Dems continue voting for the next month?

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Saturday, November 21, 2020 12:25 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
Quote:

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/11/17/politics/2020-house-races-majority/
index.html


... the last few days have been filled with close House races (finally) being projected. And those projections reveal just how poorly House Democrats did.
With just a handful of races still uncalled at this point, Republicans have gained nine seats -- having won 12 Democratic-held districts and lost just three of their own.

And there's a handful of close races still to count.

And yet Biden* 'won' despite all the republican down ballot votes.

That is the first I heard of GOP losing 3 seats. Everybody has been saying they did not lose one, including numerous Libtards. Which 3 have the Dems continued voting in until they won?
I see you are filtering your information thru cnn, which would explain why you have been unaware of the seats Dems have lost.

Why only 3 lost seats for GOP? Cannot the Dems continue voting for the next month?

What are the 3 Seats?
Each time I search for any story about them, the4y come up with Seats claimed to have swapped, but did not.

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Saturday, November 28, 2020 10:44 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
Quote:

https://edition.cnn.com/20
20/11/17/politics/2020-house-races-majority/index.html

... the last few days have been filled with close House races (finally) being projected. And those projections reveal just how poorly House Democrats did.
With just a handful of races still uncalled at this point, Republicans have gained nine seats -- having won 12 Democratic-held districts and lost just three of their own.

And there's a handful of close races still to count.

And yet Biden* 'won' despite all the republican down ballot votes.

That is the first I heard of GOP losing 3 seats. Everybody has been saying they did not lose one, including numerous Libtards. Which 3 have the Dems continued voting in until they won?
I see you are filtering your information thru cnn, which would explain why you have been unaware of the seats Dems have lost.

Why only 3 lost seats for GOP? Cannot the Dems continue voting for the next month?

What are the 3 Seats?
Each time I search for any story about them, the4y come up with Seats claimed to have swapped, but did not.

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Wednesday, December 2, 2020 12:38 AM

Looks like, despite Libtards best work to steal more house Seats, IA-2 still has a 6 vote lead for GOP. But they ginned up enough votes to switch IA-3 to Dem lead, after GOP won on Election Day.

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Thursday, December 3, 2020 6:57 AM

I hear a NY Seat had a 26,000 vote lead for GOP, and suddenly has a 12 or 12k lead for Dems.

Haven;t chased it down yet.

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Saturday, December 19, 2020 12:47 AM

Rumor has it that, come January, Nancy will seat the IA-2 Democrat candidate even though she lost by 6 votes.

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Tuesday, March 9, 2021 6:50 AM

IIRC, no Incumbent GOP Housemember lost reelection.

Does anybody know an exception?

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Tuesday, March 9, 2021 7:04 AM

I'm not aware of any.

But Fun Fact: All Democrats who lost in 2020, lost to female and/or minority Republican candidates.


--------------------------------------------------

" 'You're like the Nazis' is the new 'I don't like you'. That disqualifies her from marching around planet Who-Gives-a-Shit in a helmet? ~Bill Maher

Collection of links to Second's, Nilbog's and Marcos' death threats: https://cutt.ly/tkCvEX6

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Tuesday, March 9, 2021 7:22 AM

It's funny watching you suck each other off.

No, you don't get it. You're dumbasses.


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Wednesday, March 10, 2021 11:48 PM

The majority won by Democrats was the smallest for any party since 2000, when Republicans won 221 seats

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_House_of_Representati
ves_elections

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Thursday, March 11, 2021 1:09 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
I'm not aware of any.

But Fun Fact: All Democrats who lost in 2020, lost to female and/or minority Republican candidates.

I don't think I knew that. Thanks for the info.

The Libtard nonsense that kiki posted indicates that several GOP Incumbents had lost, but I never found anything like that in Real World facts.

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Friday, April 2, 2021 1:33 AM

Even now, 5 months after the Election, Stretch Pelosi is still trying to take the Seat away from the winner of IA-2.


https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2021/03/26/pelosi_would_have_b
een_my_right_not_to_seat_gop_rep_marianette_miller-meeks.html
#!


Democraps are still whining that their Illegal Fraudulent Invalid Ballots were Invalidated as Illegal.

boo hoo.

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Friday, April 2, 2021 5:43 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

Democraps are still whining that their Illegal Fraudulent Invalid Ballots were Invalidated as Illegal.


That's quite a claim. Do you have any proof of your assertion?

No?

Then kill yourself, you shit-eating Russian troll.


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Wednesday, April 21, 2021 2:39 AM

As of today, the House has 218 Dem, 212 Rep.

So if 3 Dems do not agree with Nancy, then they would defeat any bill, unless they vote by "voice" - where any bill can pass.


The 5 vacancies are:
LA-2
TX-6
OH-11
NM-1
FL-20



TX-6 is likely to elect another GOP. He had Stage IV Lung Cancer, so his death was ruled Covid.

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