Reality, Post 1st Debate (Formerly: Reality, Post DNC...)
POSTED BY: 6IXSTRINGJACK
UPDATED: Sunday, October 11, 2020 22:07
VIEWED: 4943
PAGE 1 of 1
So...
Ted posted a fictional ABC News/Ipsos poll with a highly biased Leftist slant and a very small number of people being polled, 90% of which didn't watch the DNC and 31% of which didn't even see any news coverage of it before being questioned.
Meanwhile, in reality...
Trump's job approval on the aggregate is 43.7%. Right where it was when I made the 101 thread.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_app
roval-6179.html
The spread for the General Election see's Biden's double digit lead wither to only 7.4% (With this meaning almost nothing since this is referring to the Popular Vote which doesn't even matter).
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_ele
ction_trump_vs_biden-6247.html
And finally, the spread for the Top Battleground states (which does matter) falls to only 4.2% in favor of Biden, which incidentally is only .2% outside of any standard margin of error of 4%.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/trump-vs-biden-top-battleg
round-states/
They're already gearing up for a huge Democrat failure, and getting their ducks in a row so they don't get embarrassed like they did in 2016 and they can claim that their ridiculously biased polling fell in the margin of error when Trump wins again in November.
Joke is on them, however, since Trump is going to blow Biden out of the water and it's going to be an Electoral landslide.
They're still going to have to explain to a very large "readership" why they were lied to again.
Also meanwhile. The RNC is this week and will be infinitely more entertaining than the DNC that nobody watched.
And there's always the actual debates that are going to be the most entertaining thing to watch in 2020. Poor Uncle Joey doesn't do well when he's not reading from a script, and even then he can hardly get the words out without making an ass of himself.
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What's with Joey's giant size head? Boxtox injections, multiple lobotomies, and aggressive dermal stretching have turned Biden into something A. L. I. E. N. …. something we haven't seen since the 50's. My God, he's turned into a Metalunian!

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[as Joey "Exeter" Biden's campaign goes down in flames]
Crow T. Robot: "Service engine soon" I wonder what that's all about.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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GOP Will Not Write a 2020 Platform, Pledges Undying Trump Support Instead
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/08/republican-national-committee-
2020-platform-trump.html
Modern presidential conventions are inherently propagandistic affairs, usually devoted to a mix of glitzy patches for the presidential nominee, the vice-president, and the party as a whole. The 2020 Republican National Convention has altered the traditional emphasis, which is now devoted almost entirely to glorifying its presidential nominee. President Trump will speak on all four nights of the convention, rather than just one. Half the featured speakers are members of his family:
And perhaps most remarkably of all, the party has announced it will forego a platform altogether. In lieu of a document attempting to define the party’s beliefs and priorities, the RNC simply states that it agrees with everything Trump has done and will do:
The Republicans have pledged loyalty to their fascist dictator.
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Enough with the "fascist dictator" stuff, faggot.
Your alternate personality already posted about this.
Watch Biden's chances further plummet after the RNC wraps up this week. 
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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After night 2 of the RNC, Trump up to 43.9% in the Aggregate, which is his highest number since June 1st, and only 1.1% less than I predicted he will need to have in late October to sweep the election:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_app
roval-6179.html
Biden also down to only a 3.7% lead in Top Battleground States, putting him within the margin of error:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/trump-vs-biden-top-battleg
round-states/
Keep in mind, that this has nothing to do with the RNC yet. Polling from yesterday or today hasn't made it into the aggregate yet.
This is still fallout from the laughable cringfest that was the DNC.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Quote:You worship a fascist dictator. That mean's you're a fascist, too.
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Enough with the "fascist dictator" stuff, faggot.
Your alternate personality already posted about this.
Watch Biden's chances further plummet after the RNC wraps up this week.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
Fact.
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Quote:
Originally posted by reaverfan:
You worship a fascist dictator. That mean's you're a fascist, too.
Fact.
Hyperbolic quote of the day.
Ridiculous and nonfactual. It's a twofer.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Trump's approval in the aggregate breaks 44% today.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_app
roval-6179.html
Meanwhile...
Disney claims they're going to remove their woke agenda from their Star Wars and Marvel properties (I'll believe it when I see it).
Also, CNN finally starting to admit that we have a riot problem on our hands.
I never thought I'd see the day.
Opportunists to the core, they're hedging their bets because they know which way the wind is blowing.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Quote:Because Trump doesn't like facing reality, new CDC Testing Guidance “Came From the Top Down”
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Trump's approval in the aggregate breaks 44% today.
I never thought I'd see the day.
Over the weekend the CDC changed its guidance for COVID-19 testing. Previously, they advised that if you’ve been in close contact with someone who’s infected you should get tested. Now they say there’s no need for a test unless you have symptoms.
This took everyone by surprise. Even if you have no symptoms, you might still be infected and you might be able to infect others. Common sense says you should get tested. So why the U-turn?
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention was instructed by higher-ups in the Trump administration to modify its coronavirus testing guidelines this week to exclude people who do not have symptoms of Covid-19 — even if they have been recently exposed to the virus, according to two federal health officials. One official said the directive came from the top down. Another said the guidelines were not written by the C.D.C. but were imposed, Sheryl Gay Stolberg reports for The Times.
I suppose we shouldn’t be surprised. Donald Trump is on record as saying that he doesn’t like testing because it just makes our confirmed case count go up. He’s also on record as saying no, he wasn’t kidding about this. He really doesn’t like testing and wants to do less of it.
The result of all this is certainly that more people will die than needed to. All because Trump doesn’t like facing reality.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Doesn't matter, bitch.
Keep whining about literally everything.
It will be amusing to see you do nothing but this for another four years.
I'm glad I was sober to witness these last four and truly savor your descent into madness.
Have a nice day!
Oh, and BTW... That's not my quote, retard.
Cute. 
I'm already on record saying that he only needs 45% to easily coast to victory, and I'm already on record saying that he will get anywhere from 400 to 500 electoral votes, so yes... I absolutely knew I'd see the day that he hit 44% again.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Oh, and also BTW...
Biden's meaningless General Election lead that was in the double digits and sunk to 7.4% in the OP is now down to 7.1%.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_ele
ction_trump_vs_biden-6247.html
Keep in mind that none of these new numbers reflect any bump from the RNC yet since it's too early and they're only a reflection of the DNC and people getting sick of Democrat leaders letting criminals burn everything down.
Thank your alternate personality Marcos for me tonight before you go to sleep, mkay?
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
I'm already on record saying that he will get anywhere from 400 to 500 electoral votes,
Do Right, Be Right. :)
Interesting. Trump won with 304 electoral votes in 2016. How do you see him getting 400-500 in 2020? What states will Biden lose that Hillary won?
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If I'm right about 500, pretty much all of them.
Let's just play it safe for now and say all of them but California, New York, Illinois and Minnesota.
Unless mail-in-cheating actually has an effect on this election, you're going to see voter turnout the likes of which we haven't seen in a long time. It's easy for most people to sit around and do nothing when things are going relatively well.
2020 is not relatively well. And we know full well who is to blame for it. Sitting your fat ass on the couch come election day is a vote for the Legacy Media to continue lying about everything and a vote toward a mandate for letting a few major metropolitan areas control the rest of the country.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Oh... and BTW...
When Trump wins, he will likely be putting in two more Supreme Court justices in the next four years.
Given everything that is going on now, we should easily see cases brought before them after the switch that will protect gun rights for decades or even generations to come. Every single American should have the protection of stand your ground legislation and the ability to protect themselves, their families, their homes and their businesses from these homegrown Marxist terrorists.
Drag your friends and family to the polls on election day if you have to.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
If I'm right about 500, pretty much all of them.
Let's just play it safe for now and say all of them but California, New York, Illinois and Minnesota.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
I like your optimism. I'll be happy with any margin of victory.
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Every single American should have the protection of stand your ground legislation and the ability to protect themselves, their families, their homes and their businesses from these homegrown Marxist terrorists.
Wait, you want more poor blacks and Muslims and "homegrown Marxists" to have guns? Yee-haw!
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The key Mike Pence line last night was: “Let me be clear: the violence must stop—whether in Minneapolis, Portland, or Kenosha,” but he was not referring to the violence by the police. In Minneapolis, George Floyd was murdered by police. In Portland federalized secret police faced off against protesting moms. In Kenosha, Jacob Blake was crippled by a police officer and is fighting for his life, and two protesters were killed just Tuesday night by a vigilante teenager who was in the front row of a Trump rally earlier this year. The notion that somehow the violence on the streets is being perpetrated by the protesters felt, particularly now, like one of the most direct efforts to flip the current world on its head.
Pence is telling you to disbelieve what your own eyes are seeing. Given that we’re still in the midst of a pandemic that’s killing hundreds of people every day, the greatest recession in nearly a century, and near constant brutalization of Black people by the state, it seems like pretending as though none of that is happening might be hard to sell, unless you are 6ixStringJack, who will buy it.
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Quote:
Originally posted by captaincrunch:Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Every single American should have the protection of stand your ground legislation and the ability to protect themselves, their families, their homes and their businesses from these homegrown Marxist terrorists.
Wait, you want more poor blacks and Muslims and "homegrown Marxists" to have guns? Yee-haw!
Yes.
A. Poor blacks that aren't out there shooting people up are mostly the ones getting shot up. As long as they don't have felony records, they should be able to defend themselves and their family.
B. Muslim terrorists typically don't use guns. Legal Muslim citizens who have no felonies on their record should be able to defend themselves and their family.
C. Being a Marxist isn't applicable to any race, and these days it seems it's a majority white at least in the US. That being said, it's an ideology and there is no such thing as thought crime.
As long as we start prosecuting criminal Antifa and BLM members when they break the law, the ones who are violent will weed themselves out of the process of owing a firearm legally, and will only further be breaking the law when they go out in public with one.
If they haven't got a felony record they should be able to own and carry a firearm to defend themselves and their family.
What you don't seem to understand is both that firearm ownership is already legal in most of the country, and in the places it's illegal there is zero shortage of them among the criminals in the population. I'm talking about licenses to carry loaded weapons on your person.
We have them here in Indiana. We also haven't tried to tear down our police forces. Aside from a night or two after the Floyd LIE in Indianapolis that got slightly out of hand, there hasn't been a fucking peep out of Antifa or BLM here.
Those soy cuck retards know there's a lot of safer places they can burn shit to the ground where the citizens aren't armed and the cops have their hands tied behind their backs.
Once we start shooting a few of these clowns this will all be over. They're pussies.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Quote:
Originally posted by second:
The key Mike Pence line last night was: “Let me be clear: the violence must stop—whether in Minneapolis, Portland, or Kenosha,” but he was not referring to the violence by the police. In Minneapolis, George Floyd was murdered by police. In Portland federalized secret police faced off against protesting moms. In Kenosha, Jacob Blake was crippled by a police officer and is fighting for his life, and two protesters were killed just Tuesday night by a vigilante teenager who was in the front row of a Trump rally earlier this year. The notion that somehow the violence on the streets is being perpetrated by the protesters felt, particularly now, like one of the most direct efforts to flip the current world on its head.
Pence is telling you to disbelieve what your own eyes are seeing. Given that we’re still in the midst of a pandemic that’s killing hundreds of people every day, the greatest recession in nearly a century, and near constant brutalization of Black people by the state, it seems like pretending as though none of that is happening might be hard to sell, unless you are 6ixStringJack, who will buy it.
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
^ A message that is losing the race for Democrats.
Thanks for your volunteer work getting Trump reelected.

Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Quote:
Originally posted by Jongsstraw:Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
If I'm right about 500, pretty much all of them.
Let's just play it safe for now and say all of them but California, New York, Illinois and Minnesota.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
I like your optimism. I'll be happy with any margin of victory.
You'll be happy then any way it goes. Trump wins. Easily.
I'll be relatively happy with at least 400 electoral votes. If it weren't for mail-in-cheating I'd still be saying 500.
A popular vote win would be required for me to maintain my faith in the American voters. I'm not too hopeful that enough people will even get off the couch to outweigh the surplus millions of sheep coming out in California, New York and Illinois even with the awfulness that is 2020.
But seriously, get the people you know out to vote, and spend all day driving them there if you have to.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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We'll see who's laughing next week when the RNC bump comes in.
Meanwhile...
Nothing but falling numbers from Biden, post DNC.
Have a nice day! 
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Meaningless General Election aggregate drops once again from 7.4% to 7.1% for Uncle Joey.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_ele
ction_trump_vs_biden-6247.html
Although, keep this up and the Popular Vote itself falls within the margin of error. 

Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Betting odds drop yet again...
55.3 to 44.7 on August 23rd when this thread started, and steadily declining every day until we reach 52.8 to 47 right now.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2020_presiden
t/
That's a spread of only 5.8, down from a high of 24.6 on July 31st when Biden had 61 to Trump's 36.4.
That's a loss of 18.8 in less than a month.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Biden's lead in Top Battleground States, the only polling that really matters, has fallen again from 3.3 to 3.0 today.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/trump-vs-biden-top-battleg
round-states/
Thanks Second/Marcos! 
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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"Hey Joe, you forgot to lift up the toilet seat again!"
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Biden's lead in Top Battleground States, the only polling that really matters, has fallen again from 3.0 to 2.7 today.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/trump-vs-biden-top-battleg
round-states/
Thanks Second/Marcos! 
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Meaningless General Election aggregate drops once again from 7.1% to 6.9% for Uncle Joey.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_ele
ction_trump_vs_biden-6247.html
Although, keep this up and the Popular Vote itself falls within the margin of error.
Thank you for your volunteer work on the Trump reelection campaign, Second/Marcos.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Betting odds drop yet again...
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2020_presiden
t/
52 to 47.8.
That's a spread of only 4.2, down from a high of 24.6 on July 31st when Biden had 61 to Trump's 36.4.
That's a loss of 20.4 in less than a month.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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What's interesting, and should be terrifying to the Never-Trumpers here, is that all of these numbers have changed so much this week in favor of Trump, despite the fact that Trump's approval has actually gone down .1% in the aggregate since I started this thread on the 23rd.
Trump's Approval Rating
August 23rd: 43.9%
August 29th: 43.8% (-0.1% for Trump)
General Election:
August 23rd: Spread, 7.8+ Biden
August 29th: Spread, 6.9+ Biden (-0.9% for Biden)
Top Battleground States:
August 23rd: Spread, 4+ Biden
August 29th: Spread, 2.7+ Biden (-1.3 for Biden)
Betting Odds:
August 23rd: Biden: 55.3, Trump: 43.7; Spread: 11.6+ Biden
August 29th: Biden: 52, Trump: 47.8; Spread: 4.2+ Biden (-7.4 for Biden)
Top Battleground (Difference between Hillary and Biden):
August 23rd: Trump was 1.3+ ahead of where he was on Hillary
August 29th: Trump is 2.0+ ahead of where he was on Hillary
The worst news for Democrats is this is still the aftermath of how bad the DNC was along with what's happening out on the streets. None of this yet even includes any bump that Trump will inevitably get this coming week for the RNC.
Except for Rasmussen, all of the polls happened before night two of the RNC, and only 3 of them had the tail end of their polling conducted before night two and would have included anybody who watched the first night. The rest of the polls in the aggregate were all done before the RNC even began.
And speaking of Rasmussen, I'm wondering if somebody is trolling us with that one?
What I mean to say is that if you look at the makeup of the current aggregate, there doesn't appear to be any outliers either way this week. Usually Rasmussesn's numbers are so in favor of Trump that they cancel out one of the hardcore TDS polls of the week, but they all seem eerily in line with each other right now.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_app
roval-6179.html
Just figured I'd mention that since it's the first time I've ever seen it.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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A senior adviser in the Trump administration excused the lack of social distancing among Trump’s guests last night by saying “everybody is going to catch this thing eventually.” That perfectly distilled this White House’s total (and literal!) surrender to COVID-19 — and its refusal to take any measures at all to protect people. True to form, Trump accused Biden of wanting to “surrender to the virus”.
https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/08/trump-biden-campaign-strat
egy.html
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Everybody IS going to get it.
And I'll add that you can find me saying that MONTHS ago in here and I'm not regurgitating anybody else's talking points.
Glad to see somebody telling the truth for once.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Quote:Vast numbers of people will NEVER be infected with Covid-19, especially in countries that are careful about their health. Getting Covid-19 can permanently damage health, as does car crashes, smoking, drinking, obesity, sunburns, malaria, Lyme Disease, and a host of other diseases or accidents that will permanently harm you even if these don't kill you.
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Everybody IS going to get it.
And I'll add that you can find me saying that MONTHS ago in here and I'm not regurgitating anybody else's talking points.
Glad to see somebody telling the truth for once.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
www.mayoclinic.org/coronavirus-long-term-effects/art-20490351
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Nope.
You're going to get it, and it's NEVER going to go away.
It's already mutating.
Better get ready for a future where COVID is with us just like the Flu.
And you sure as shit better be ready for most of us not wearing masks or social distancing either, because this ain't going to be our new normal.
Sweet dreams. 
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Betting odds are practically a coin flip now.
55.3 to 44.7 on August 23rd when this thread started, and steadily declining every day until we reach 51 to 48.6 right now.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2020_presiden
t/
That's a spread of only 2.4, down from a high of 24.6 on July 31st when Biden had 61 to Trump's 36.4.
That's a loss of 22.2 in less than a month.
Thank you for your volunteer Trump Campaign work, Second/Marcos!
Have a nice day!
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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And the betting odds go down again. Twice in one day. 
50.6 to 49.1 now.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2020_presiden
t/
That's a spread of only 1.5, down from a high of 24.6 on July 31st when Biden had 61 to Trump's 36.4.
That's a loss of 23.1 in less than a month.
Thank you for your volunteer Trump Campaign work, Second/Marcos!
Have a nice day!
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Basically the key takeaway from the Republican National Convention is:
"Look at how terrible America is right now. Vote for four more years of it."
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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All the fault of Democrats and the Legacy Media.
Trump needs to spend less time purging terrible Republicans from the swamp in is 2nd term and focus on purging terrible Democrats as well as neutering social media by removing their shield since they have decided that they wanted to be publishers.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Two huge turns for the Democrat nominee this week after internal polling reveals that they lost everything because of the stances they've taken and the Legacy Media lies.
I guess all of the sudden COVID isn't a big deal anymore, and Biden is going to be resuming his cross-country gaffe-festival, along with all the stupid racist shit that dribbles out of his mouth and hilarious footage of him forgetting mid-speech who he is and what he is doing.
https://www.news-journal.com/biden-to-resume-in-person-campaigning-as-
race-with-trump-kicks-into-gear-a1/article_0c14159c-ea57-11ea-b12a-77c12ddee76b.html
And not only is Uncle Joey finally admitting that the "protests" are violent riots, but he's telling Second/Marcos to sit down and shut the fuck up.
https://joebiden.com/2020/08/30/statement-by-vice-president-joe-biden-
on-the-deadly-violence-in-portland/?preview=true#
Too little, too late. Liar. You don't get to pretend that only now have things become violent because you're actually admitting to the facts and then pretend that Trump hasn't been trying to quash this since the beginning and would have already done it if it weren't for Democrats blocking him and pretending that everything was peaceful.
You know that the internal polling must have been extremely dire when the decision was made to remove Biden from the safety of his basement.
Not from COVID. But from himself.
Bring on the stupid babbling idiocy, and show the country how picking Biden as your Nominee is just straight up elder abuse at this point.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Quote:6ix, you are crazy. Even if Trump wins, you will still be crazy. I've found that there are an awful lot of lazy people, stupid people, and crazy people living in America. Unfortunately, the system will not serve them well, and if those three kinds are the majority of voters, they will get their desired Trump, but he can't fix what is wrong with their lives. They will continue to not do well in America.
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
All the fault of Democrats and the Legacy Media.
Trump needs to spend less time purging terrible Republicans from the swamp in is 2nd term and focus on purging terrible Democrats as well as neutering social media by removing their shield since they have decided that they wanted to be publishers.
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Yeah. Sure. Whatever.
You've been spouting the same lies for 4 years bud.
Nobody cares.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Quote:You cared enough to respond. And exactly like every piece of poor white trash I know in Texas, you have an overinflated sense of pride in yourself and your importance. Sadly for you, there will be no material rewards in another 4 years of Trump, but there will be for me. You will have to be content with whatever psychological and emotional benefits come from a Trump victory, which is pretty thin gruel to live on.
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Yeah. Sure. Whatever.
You've been spouting the same lies for 4 years bud.
Nobody cares.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Yeah... you're rich, yada, yada, yada.
Go blow yourself on your own time. Nobody cares.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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And now I'm pleased to bring you the beginnings of that RNC Trump Bump I alluded to in the beginning of this thread.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_app
roval-6179.html
44.4%. Only .6% below what I predicted from the start that Trump would need going into late October for an Electoral College landslide.

The bump is largely due to the new Emerson poll that shows Trump with +2 Approve from -4 Disapprove last time. It should be noted that Emerson has not showed a positive number for Trump since the +1 Approval in late March.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Meaningless General Election aggregate drops once again from 6.9% to 6.2% for Uncle Joey.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/general_ele
ction_trump_vs_biden-6247.html
We're now only 2.2 pts outside of the margin of error for the Popular Vote. 

Thank you for your volunteer work on the Trump reelection campaign, Second/Marcos.
Do Right, Be Right. :
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
We're now only 2.2 pts outside of the margin of error for the Popular Vote.
The "margin of error" is itself a meaningless bs number. Trump's support cannot ever be measured. It's everywhere, but generally it keeps quiet and doesn't provide any info to be used as negative psychological fodder by libtard pollsters with libtard agendas. Whatever they say Trumps numbers are, just add about 10 points for a more accurate picture.
Quote:
Thank you for your volunteer work on the Trump reelection campaign, Second/Marcos.
The more all these leftist idiots and criminals try to hurt Trump the more they actually help him. It's B E A U T I F U L !!!!!!!!!!
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Quote:
Originally posted by Jongsstraw:Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
We're now only 2.2 pts outside of the margin of error for the Popular Vote.
The "margin of error" is itself a meaningless bs number. Trump's support cannot ever be measured. It's everywhere, but generally it keeps quiet and doesn't provide any info to be used as negative psychological fodder by libtard pollsters with libtard agendas. Whatever they say Trumps numbers are, just add about 10 points for a more accurate picture.
Oh... I know this. You are absolutely correct.
I'm just playing Devil's Advocate here and telling them the "bad" "news" in a way that they're used to hearing it. They are completely incapable of thinking outside the box that has been made for them. So it's very humorous to watch literally every aggregate polling measure swing so wildly for Trump in August. Even to the point that anyone doing or showing the polls will be able to blame it on the margin of error after they spend the next few months denying the truth to themselves and their viewers.
Quote:Quote:
Thank you for your volunteer work on the Trump reelection campaign, Second/Marcos.
The more all these leftist idiots and criminals try to hurt Trump the more they actually help him. It's B E A U T I F U L !!!!!!!!!!
And the Legacy Media and the Democrat Politicians have nobody but themselves to blame for it.
Joe Biden not only came out with a statement denouncing the violence on his campaign page this weekend, but now he's saying it in his speeches. The same violence they all pretended didn't even exist for the last 4 months.
It's too little too late.
They took a wild gamble, and they lost. And now they're hemorrhaging voters from every identity box they've spent decades trying to shove everybody into.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Betting odds...
55.3 to 44.7 on August 23rd when this thread started, and steadily declining every day until we reach 50.3 to 49 right now.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2020_presiden
t/
That's a spread of only 1.3, down from a high of 24.6 on July 31st when Biden had 61 to Trump's 36.4.
That's a loss of 23.3 in a month.
Thank you for your volunteer Trump Campaign work, Second/Marcos!
Have a nice day!
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Quote:
Originally posted by Jongsstraw:Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
If I'm right about 500, pretty much all of them.
Let's just play it safe for now and say all of them but California, New York, Illinois and Minnesota.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
I like your optimism. I'll be happy with any margin of victory.
Recent events might take Minnesota off the table. I never thought I'd see that day. They've been blue since before I was born.
https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2020/aug/31/6-minnesota-democrati
c-mayors-endorse-trump-slam-b/
Even 538 warns it might flip.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-minnesota-could-be-the-next-m
idwestern-state-to-go-red/
I'll be sure to remind Nilbog, Ted Bundy and Cap'n Cuckklefuck to thank Second/Marcos when Trump gets reelected.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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The white trash meltdown continues, with even more fiction!
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Quote:
Originally posted by reaverfan:
The white trash meltdown continues, with even more fiction!
I've got enough money to buy a brand new car with cash. Two of them, in fact.
Zero debt. House and car paid for.
Your "white trash" narrative holds as little water as any of your other opinions.
And everything I've posted in this thread is backed up by Math.
I know Democrats can't math, but that doesn't make it any less true, bud.
Enjoy 4 more years of Trump, and don't light your mom's trashcan on fire when she finally gets you out of the basement this week for 5 minutes to put the trash out on the curb.
Have a nice day.

Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Quote:You defend fascism, terrorism and murder, and cry about trashcans.
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:Quote:
Originally posted by reaverfan:
The white trash meltdown continues, with even more fiction!
I've got enough money to buy a brand new car with cash. Two of them, in fact.
Zero debt. House and car paid for.
Your "white trash" narrative holds as little water as any of your other opinions.
And everything I've posted in this thread is backed up by Math.
I know Democrats can't math, but that doesn't make it any less true, bud.
Enjoy 4 more years of Trump, and don't light your mom's trashcan on fire when she finally gets you out of the basement this week for 5 minutes to put the trash out on the curb.
Have a nice day.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
Sad little white trash troll.
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Quote:
Originally posted by reaverfan:
You defend fascism, terrorism and murder, and cry about trashcans.
Sad little white trash troll.
Correction.
Every day for the last month YOU have celebrated fascism, terrorism and murder.
You are poison and a threat to America.
We're coming for you.
Have a nice day.

Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Quote:You are so funny, 6ix. Trump is funny in the head, too:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Correction.
Every day for the last month YOU have celebrated fascism, terrorism and murder.
You are poison and a threat to America.
We're coming for you.
Have a nice day.
President Donald Trump has been known to dabble in conspiracy theories — be it that Barack Obama was secretly born in Kenya, that global warming is a hoax created by China, or that Bill and/or Hillary Clinton had child sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein murdered in prison.
But his latest whopper — that his political opponent, Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden, is secretly being controlled by a roving band of black-clad violent extremists who like to fly on commercial airlines — is more than just another conspiracy theory. It’s also disturbingly reminiscent of a disinformation tactic commonly deployed by dictators around the world to discredit legitimate political opposition.
On Monday, Trump told Fox News’s Laura Ingraham a wild story he’d heard about a supposed plane full of “thugs” who had traveled together on a commercial flight to an unnamed American city to stage protests during the Republican National Convention. These same thugs, in Trump’s telling, are secretly pulling Biden’s strings from the “dark shadows.”
These are “people that you’ve never heard of, people that are in the dark shadows,” Trump said. “They’re people that are on the streets. They’re people that are controlling the streets. We had somebody get on a plane from a certain city this weekend, and in the plane it was almost completely loaded with thugs wearing these dark uniforms, black uniforms with gear and this and that.”
The president wouldn’t offer any more specifics because he said the whole incident is under investigation — another claim for which there’s no public evidence — but added “a lot of people were on the plane to do big damage.”
www.vox.com/2020/9/1/21410203/trump-fox-news-laura-ingraham-plane-thug
s-biden
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Your gaslighting has no effect on me.
I recommend you sit back and watch the fallout of what you have created.
Everything I've predicted this year is going to come true, and in a large part thanks to you.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Quote:Trump predicted that only he can save America. Without him, the country is destroyed. I think Trump has gone crazy.
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Your gaslighting has no effect on me.
I recommend you sit back and watch the fallout of what you have created.
Everything I've predicted this year is going to come true, and in a large part thanks to you.
Trump is following a horrifying decades-long tradition
What Trump did in that Ingraham interview may be quite new for him, but it’s old news in some of the world’s troubled spots.
Throughout the Syrian civil war, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has said anyone wanting to remove him from power is a terrorist. To bolster his point, Assad did the unthinkable: He actually released hundreds of terrorists from prison so he could claim there were terrorists opposing him. That move, among others, destabilized Syria and the broader region, leading Assad in 2014 to encourage the Obama administration to bomb his opponents harder because they were all terrorists.
The common theme here is authoritarians claiming opponents are violent enemies to gain or consolidate power through fear. Srdja Popovic, who was a leader of the movement to oust Serbia’s Slobodan Miloševic in 2000, was very familiar with this tactic when asked about it in 2011. “Ah yes, the conspiracy theories of dictators. The language hasn’t changed in 20 years — terrorists, junkies, foreign mercenaries, traitors.”
So now Biden is a terrorist says Trump on FOX News.
www.vox.com/2020/9/1/21410203/trump-fox-news-laura-ingraham-plane-thug
s-biden
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Betting odds...
They drop yet again. 
55.3 to 44.7 on August 23rd when this thread started, and steadily declining every day until we reach 50.2 to 49.7 right now.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2020_presiden
t/
That's a spread of only 0.5, down from a high of 24.6 on July 31st when Biden had 61 to Trump's 36.4.
That's a loss of 24.1 in little over a month.
Thank you for your volunteer Trump Campaign work, Second/Marcos!
Have a nice day!
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Biden's lead in Top Battleground States, the only polling that really matters, has fallen again from 2.7 to 2.6 today.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/trump-vs-biden-top-battleg
round-states/
Thanks Second/Marcos! 
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Trump hits 45.1% in the RCP aggregate today.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_app
roval-6179.html
That's including a 47 from The Hill which is included, and a 46 and 49 from Harvard and Emerson (respectively) that had just aged off the aggregate, so it will actually be higher when they update.
EDITED TO ADD:
Actually, it looks as if half of the regular polls have him at or over 45 now.
Which makes it HILARIOUS that IPSOS has decided to come out with a poll of 40 approval, down 3 points from last poll, when everybody else has either given him gains or at least maintained the same number as last poll.
You will recall, of course, IPSOS is the firm in charge of the 533 pre-selected people "polled" nationwide to frame a narrative that 2 out of 3 Americans disapprove of Trump's handling of The Coomph.
http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=63571&mid=11106
75#1110675
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Trump at 45.3% in aggregate today.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_app
roval-6179.html
Highest showing since May 20th.
Easy landslide victory for Trump if he's over 45, just like I've always been saying.
Maybe we get to 47% and see a Regan/Nixon style blowout.
I can't imagine the two dead cops and 7 people shot last night are going to do Biden any favors.
5 more days until the Trump Destroys Biden comedy show too.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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45.5% in the aggregate today.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_app
roval-6179.html
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Trump at 45.6% in aggregate today.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_app
roval-6179.html
Now tied with May 20th.
Most recent poll is the IBD/TIPP poll. Last aggregated on September 1st with 39% Approval and 55% Disapproval, it is now showing 46% Approval and 49% Disapproval, closing the poll's spread by a staggering 13 points just after the 1st debate.
His approval is now 4.5 points above his 41.1% 2020 low on July 12th of this year, with his Disapproval 4 points below his 56.4% high on the same day.
Meanwhile...
The woke NBA is now showing historic low viewership. Lowest finals ratings since 1994, the first year the Bulls weren't in the finals after they won 3 back-to-back-to-back championships.
This should not be the case, since the Lakers and Heat are marquee teams.
Get woke, get Trump reelected. (oh... and go broke too)
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:Quote:
Originally posted by reaverfan:
The white trash meltdown continues, with even more fiction!
I've got enough money to buy a brand new car with cash. Two of them, in fact.
Zero debt. House and car paid for.
Your "white trash" narrative holds as little water as any of your other opinions.
And everything I've posted in this thread is backed up by Math.
I know Democrats can't math, but that doesn't make it any less true, bud.
Enjoy 4 more years of Trump, and don't light your mom's trashcan on fire when she finally gets you out of the basement this week for 5 minutes to put the trash out on the curb.
Have a nice day.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
Sure, buddy. You've done nothing but menial labor all your life.
I actually made something of myself and did quite well.
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You're not doing as well as me.
And I haven't even worked for somebody else since last summer. 
I didn't always do menial labor. People who stock shelves don't buy houses and cars with cash.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Current RCP average betting odds has Trump at 37.5, Biden at 61. Of course, future odds depend on future events. That's what makes it betting, and not macro-physics.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2020_presiden
t/
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That's for October 1st.
They haven't even updated the betting odds for 2 days now.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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It should be noted that despite everything going on right now, Trump is still .3 points ahead of Biden to where he was at with Hillary on October 3rd in the Top Battleground States.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/trump-vs-bi
den-top-battleground-states-2020-vs-2016/
Even with an alleged Coomph infection and everybody in the Media saying that Trump lost the first debate, why can't Uncle Joey close it?
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Quote:ALL the betting sites point to the same sudden drop after the debate Sep 29, 2020; AND another after the news that Trump has COVID-19 Oct 2, 2020.
That's for October 1st.
They haven't even updated the betting odds for 2 days now.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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Quote:ALL the betting sites point to the same sudden drop after the debate Sep 29, 2020; AND another after the news that Trump has COVID-19 Oct 2, 2020.
Originally posted by 1KIKI:Quote:
That's for October 1st.
They haven't even updated the betting odds for 2 days now.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
It's too bad that I'll never gamble again. Could make quite a bit of money on this one in the 11th hour. But my days of reneging are over. So here we are.
The RCP aggregate hasn't updated since the 1st. Just checked today and they still haven't updated.
This is unusual. I've never seen this happen as long as I've been watching any trending info on RCP.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/2020_presiden
t/
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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One site I know of has halted betting. It's possible RCP is following that. Aside from that one site that has their odds replaced with a statement to that effect, everyone else is reporting and showing the numbers drop.
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Trump's 'plane loaded with thugs' conspiracy theory matches months-old rumor
Evidence-free social media posts about groups of people coming to terrorize suburbs have thrived in recent months, inspiring some people to arm themselves.
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/trump-s-plane-loaded-th
ugs-rumor-matches-months-old-facebook-n1238962?cid=sm_npd_nn_tw_ma
The conspiracy theory that President Donald Trump pushed Monday that a plane “almost completely loaded with thugs” had been set to disrupt the Republican National Convention was almost identical to a rumor that went viral on Facebook three months ago.
In an interview with Fox News host Laura Ingraham, Trump claimed that “we had somebody get on a plane from a certain city this weekend, and in the plane it was almost completely loaded with thugs, wearing these dark uniforms, black uniforms, with gear and this and that.”
He then claimed the matter was “under investigation right now.”
There is no evidence of any such flight. When Ingraham asked for more information about the flight, the president said, "I'll tell you sometime." He then alleged the people had been headed to Washington to disrupt the RNC.
Before mentioning the uniformed men who allegedly boarded the plane, Trump claimed that there are “people that are in the dark shadows” and “people that you haven’t heard of” controlling Democratic nominee Joe Biden.
---
The very notion that Antifa controls Biden is laughable.
This is a standard talking point of fascism, though: The enemy is simultaneously weak, yet a horrific threat at the same time.
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Quote:Inherited your parent's shit, then. You certainly didn't earn it with any skills you have.
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
You're not doing as well as me.
And I haven't even worked for somebody else since last summer.
I didn't always do menial labor. People who stock shelves don't buy houses and cars with cash.
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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My parents are all still very much alive.
I don't expect to be getting anything from them.
Nope. Everything I have I earned myself. :)
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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It should be noted that 40 days away from the election, Clinton was only up on Trump by 1.5pts in the Top Battleground states, and saw a 16 day push to being 5.3 points ahead of Trump 24 days from the election (which is the equivalent of today).
Clinton was on a very positive path seeing gains on Trump nearly every day for 16 days straight, Trump is now faring 0.8 points better against Biden than he was against Clinton with 24 days to go, and he has been gaining ground on that number nearly every day this week. Biden for the most part has remained stagnant in that time.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/trump-vs-bi
den-top-battleground-states-2020-vs-2016/
Do Right, Be Right. :)
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