The predictions thread

POSTED BY: kpo
UPDATED: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 18:54
VIEWED: 144481
PAGE 63 of 127

AND THERE IS KRAPO: DRAGGING HIS BROKEN-ASS ARGUMENT INTO A NEW THREAD, HOPING NOBODY HAS SEEN THE OTHER THREAD WHERE THIS HAS ALREADY BEEN DISCUSSED. DISHONEST, AS USUAL!

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Signy being wrong again - about the total number of people trapped in Aleppo during the final stages of the offensive needing evacuation: = KRAPO

The number of evacuated "moderate rebels" and their families from Aleppo numbers about 3,000 so far. Assuming that the evacuation continues for another few days, let's assume 5,000. Not 30,000."- "While KRAPO shits his pants about a phantom "30,000" rebels and their families..." "Evacuating 3,000-5,000 "moderate rebels" from Aleppo hardly constitutes "ethnic cleansing"!" = SIGNY

"The Red Cross and Red Crescent have completed the evacuation of some 35,000 people from eastern Aleppo." = http://www.redcross.org.uk/About-us/News/2016/December/Syria-Aleppo-ev
acuation-completed

It's extremely difficult to attribute Aleppan evacuations as to who was evacuated from where, since the eastern Allepan pocket collapsed in stages, and each collapse was accompanied by a wave of internally-displaced people. These 35,000 evacuees ... are these the "rebels" and their families being evacuated to Idlib? They might be, but the article is being extremely coy about describing who they are and where they're going, if that's the case. IF they are, then the number of people the UN kept harping about ... 100,000 or more ... was too high by 70,000 (or more). And my guess ... 5,000 ... was too low by 30,000. This is one of those cases where the real number might be in the middle-ish. If we can figure out which people the article is talking about. Even if true 80% of Aleppo is Sunni. 80% of 2 million is 1.6 million. 35,000 is hardly "ethnic cleansing", which KRAPO was so troubled over. = SIGNY

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http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=60278&mid=1
021978#1021978

The UN = WRONG
KRAPO = WRONG (for believing the UN) and WRONG AGAIN (for bringing up "ethnic cleansing" which is just another one of his manias) and WRONG YET AGAIN for dragging this argument into a "predictions" thread", DISHONEST AS USUAL for not even linking the previous discussion.

KRAPO, why don't you try being honest once in a while? It might be a new experience, and lead to clearer thinking.



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"Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor"- William Blake

"If you aren't aware, Texans don't have much concern for the well-being of Yankees or Californians, even Yankee factory workers in Indiana "- SECOND

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Originally posted by SIGNYM:
AND THERE IS KRAPO: DRAGGING HIS BROKEN-ASS ARGUMENT INTO A NEW THREAD,

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It's not an argument, I'm quoting your predictions (kind of what this thread is for...). I said 30,000+ were left trapped in east Aleppo in need of evacuation. You scoffed at me and said 3000-5000. Kiki said 10,000. So I posted all the predictions here. The correct answer turned out to be 35,000.

Don't throw a fit just because you were wrong.

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The UN = WRONG
KRAPO = WRONG (for believing the UN)

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Nice to know you trust Russian propaganda over the UN, but try to read properly, I wasn't citing the UN I was citing the Red Cross - you know, the organisation that actually carried out the evacuations?

It's right there in giant font in my post above...

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"Objective truths are established by evidence. Personal truths by faith. Political truths by incessant repetition."

Russia's and Assad's War Crimes in Syria - http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=60278
Evidence the Syrian regime sponsors ISIS - http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=60521

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Except that's not what you said, and that's not what I said. So right now I'm too busy to post what I found, but you were quoting 50,000+. Yep, that was you. And I was saying that I would keep track of the tallies to see what it added up to.

Originally, the UN was quoting the "White Helmets" as there being 250,000 people trapped in Aleppo, when the "pocket" (cauldron) was at its maximu size but fully and firmly encircled. I heard another estimate of 30,000. As the pocket shrank further and further, my GUESS is that a total of about 110,000 were evacuated in various stages, including my estimate of up to 30,000 who escaped the initial collapse, 50,000 evacuated by Russia and 35,000 evacuated by the Red Cross.

You did not "predict" 35,000, it was the final tally of ... something. Now, as I said before, I don't know WHICH 35,000 people these were. Militants and their families being bused to Idlib? Generic civilians leaving for other areas? Both? The description of who the Red Cross evacuated, and when, was - it seems- intentionally vague.

Let's say it was militants and their families. I said 5,000. You said 50,000+. We were both wrong, and the UN was even more wrong at 100,000 being in that final pocket, and wrong in estimating 250,000 total.





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"Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor"- William Blake

"If you aren't aware, Texans don't have much concern for the well-being of Yankees or Californians, even Yankee factory workers in Indiana "- SECOND

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Le Pen might get stronger not sure if she will win, Europe will go even more rightwing

US gets more Conservative, 'Values'

Single Mothers are singled out if you will excuse the pun ;)
Statistic!?
...don't have any yet just get the vibe out there with the growth of Family Values, 'Redpill MensRights'...Conservatism
Ann Coulter VS a Room Full Of Pissed Off Single Moms

Japan will continue seeing negative birth rates
perhaps Japanese continue economic stagnation?

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Originally posted by kpo:

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ANYONE PREDICT - a recession yet?

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Be more specific. A recession where?

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Recession starts now, don't get me wrong people will still manufacture, grow, still 'produce' they will still 'buy' but less shopping, growth briefly drops like a Rock in Europe with all the unrest, criminality and shooting bombings from so-called refugees/migrants
Q4 will go down, but nothing on level of global 08 recession or U.S. subprime mortgage crisis of 2007–09

Sharp but hopefully brief recession, mostly Europe but because EU is such a powerful trade block the contraction/ recession briefly spreads to other non-EU nations

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Some look at the picks, predict

So Trump is going to have a bad environmental policy?

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Kiki (Dec 16th) (correct info is Dec 17)
And there are merely 10,000

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Originally posted by kpo:
Not to forget kiki, almost as horribly wrong as Siggy

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Why do you think I'd be posting that reply HERE, krappo? I've been tracking the ENTIRE TOPIC for both Mosul and Aleppo district - including number of civilians liberated, conditions endured under ISIS/ terrorists, conditions AFTER liberation, who is supplying aid, as well as media coverage - in the original thread.

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How did your beloved 'democratic' party fuck up so badly?

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I predict G may be right about Sessions. I am also going to boldly predict that there will be more predictions posted in the prediction thread.

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SIGNYM - "As far as I can tell, Flynn's conversations with "the Russians" were pretty innocuous"


-------------------------------------------------------

"Objective truths are established by evidence. Personal truths by faith. Political truths by incessant repetition."

Russia's and Assad's War Crimes in Syria - http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=60278
Evidence the Syrian regime sponsors ISIS - http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=60521

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Quote:

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Originally posted by kpo:

SIGNYM - "As far as I can tell, Flynn's conversations with "the Russians" were pretty innocuous"


-------------------------------------------------------

"Objective truths are established by evidence. Personal truths by faith. Political truths by incessant repetition."

Russia's and Assad's War Crimes in Syria - http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=60278
Evidence the Syrian regime sponsors ISIS - http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=60521

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Can't wait to see


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SIG says I'm a deep state troll. oh my.

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