Real World Event Discussions

The predictions thread

POSTED BY: kpo
UPDATED: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 18:54
VIEWED: 144481
PAGE 66 of 127

KPO
Friday, June 30, 2017 4:59 PM


Auraptor calls the Trump/Russia scandals "a fairy tale" and says liberal hopes of Trump being impeached are now "up in smoke".


-------------------------------------------------------

"Objective truths are established by evidence. Personal truths by faith. Political truths by incessant repetition."

Russia's and Assad's War Crimes in Syria - http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=60278
Evidence the Syrian regime sponsors ISIS - http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=60521

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KPO
Monday, July 3, 2017 1:13 AM


Signy calls the Turmp/Russia investigations an "ongoing and pointless investigation of nothing".


-------------------------------------------------------

"Objective truths are established by evidence. Personal truths by faith. Political truths by incessant repetition."

Russia's and Assad's War Crimes in Syria - http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=60278
Syrian regime collusion with ISIS - http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=60521

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Monday, July 3, 2017 1:50 AM


page 8
nope and nope

Quote:

Originally posted by kpo:
kpo - "That zerohedge is a clown. I still say if Putin moves on Mariupol his covert war will start to unravel."

nope
Quote:

Originally posted by THGRRI: Thursday, August 14, 2014 7:37 PM
Putin is creating a situation that is very short term. No one is going to want to invest in a country that is so unpredictable. Children born today will see the oil fields of Russia start drying up before they hit mid-life. Russia manufactures very little except hackers. They are fast retreating back into a criminal state like North Korea. To bad because a rouge state such as theirs has a negative effect on the world.

yup
Quote:

Kiki (August 30th 2014) - "But I think Russia has reached the point where it's as ready as it can be to withstand full-on economic (and perhaps other) warfare. And after months of genuine attempts at negotiations it's as clear as it can possibly be that nothing Russia does, or refrains from doing, or says, or offers or proves, is going to change the actions of the Washington-London financialists. So, rather than interpret this as a snit-fit, perhaps it's a considered option. The west has made negotiations fruitless, and Russia can now afford to stop trying."
yup
Quote:

Signy - "But, as I said, just as autopsies and an investigative report of the Odessa Trades Union killings will never come out, an investigation of the sniper shooting will never be published either, and there's serious question about results of the MH17 investigation ever seeing the light of day as well - most of the principal investigating parties- Nederlands, Ukraine, Australia, Belgium signed a “Non-disclosure Agreement”."
nope
Quote:

KPO: I predict Signy and kiki will not like the conclusions of the official MH17 report when it comes out.






Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.

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KPO
Monday, July 3, 2017 3:27 AM

Not a great foray into the predictions thread kiki.

Lots of subjective predictions: "Russia is turning into a criminal state like N Korea", and your verdicts on them seem to be largely subjective as well - LOL, of course YOU think Russia is doing well under Putin and predictions to the contrary are false.

Focus on individual, specific, objective predictions, e.g. "X will happen." If someone posts a long paragraph with a few predictions strewn throughout, distill these out of the paragraph and post them singly

Posting a long paragraph with several vague, subjective predictions and just saying "yup" or "nope" is meaningless.

-------------------------------------------------------

"Objective truths are established by evidence. Personal truths by faith. Political truths by incessant repetition."

Russia's and Assad's War Crimes in Syria - http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=60278
Syrian regime collusion with ISIS - http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=60521

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Monday, July 3, 2017 4:52 AM

Can I help it if you all suck at making predictions? Both by being unquantifiable as well as just plain wrong?




Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.

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Monday, July 3, 2017 4:52 AM

page 8
nope and nope

Quote:

Originally posted by kpo:
kpo - "That zerohedge is a clown. I still say if Putin moves on Mariupol his covert war will start to unravel."

nope
Quote:

Originally posted by THGRRI: Thursday, August 14, 2014 7:37 PM
Putin is creating a situation that is very short term. No one is going to want to invest in a country that is so unpredictable. Children born today will see the oil fields of Russia start drying up before they hit mid-life. Russia manufactures very little except hackers. They are fast retreating back into a criminal state like North Korea. To bad because a rouge state such as theirs has a negative effect on the world.

yup
Quote:

Kiki (August 30th 2014) - "But I think Russia has reached the point where it's as ready as it can be to withstand full-on economic (and perhaps other) warfare. And after months of genuine attempts at negotiations it's as clear as it can possibly be that nothing Russia does, or refrains from doing, or says, or offers or proves, is going to change the actions of the Washington-London financialists. So, rather than interpret this as a snit-fit, perhaps it's a considered option. The west has made negotiations fruitless, and Russia can now afford to stop trying."
yup
Quote:

Signy - "But, as I said, just as autopsies and an investigative report of the Odessa Trades Union killings will never come out, an investigation of the sniper shooting will never be published either, and there's serious question about results of the MH17 investigation ever seeing the light of day as well - most of the principal investigating parties- Nederlands, Ukraine, Australia, Belgium signed a “Non-disclosure Agreement”."
nope
Quote:

KPO: I predict Signy and kiki will not like the conclusions of the official MH17 report when it comes out.






Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.

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KPO
Monday, July 3, 2017 3:58 PM

Quote:

Can I help it if you all suck at making predictions

There's nothing wrong per se with making subjective predictions. You may think "Trump will make America great again" but how exactly do we measure that? These kinds of predictions are useless for this thread and there's no point posting them here (unless, say, down the line Trump's tenure is universally viewed as wholly catastrophic - not all that impossible actually). But much better to post something objective and measurable: "The economy/employment will grow under Trump" etc.

As for your collection of quotes above, which predictions are objectively right/wrong (e.g. not just your opinion)? For example you quote yourself in 2014 saying Russia is ready to withstand Western economic pressures - and you very generously give yourself a "yup" grade for this prediction. But a cursory look at the facts shows that the Russian economy has languished in the last few years and its public finances have taken a huge hit...

Reminder: this is the *predictions* thread, not the "subjective statements 1kiki agrees/disagrees with thread". Go away and do some thinking and come back with a more cogent contribution.

-------------------------------------------------------

"Objective truths are established by evidence. Personal truths by faith. Political truths by incessant repetition."

Russia's and Assad's War Crimes in Syria - http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=60278
Syrian regime collusion with ISIS - http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=60521

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KPO
Monday, July 3, 2017 4:14 PM

Also this,

Quote:

I still say if Putin moves on Mariupol his covert war will start to unravel.


It's pretty obvious to anyone with half a brain that this is not 2 separate predictions, it's a single conditional prediction: "if X happens, Y will happen". Since X did not happen (yet) the prediction about Y is not valid.

If you need any more schooling in logic I'll be happy to help.

-------------------------------------------------------

"Objective truths are established by evidence. Personal truths by faith. Political truths by incessant repetition."

Russia's and Assad's War Crimes in Syria - http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=60278
Syrian regime collusion with ISIS - http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=60521

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Friday, July 7, 2017 5:14 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by kpo:

Auraptor calls the Trump/Russia scandals "a fairy tale" and says liberal hopes of Trump being impeached are now "up in smoke".





Quote:

Originally posted by kpo:

Signy calls the Turmp/Russia investigations an "ongoing and pointless investigation of nothing".



Why do I suspect that there will never be a time when KPO declares that these are both true. No facts will ever satisfy KPO in this regard, methinks.

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KPO
Saturday, August 12, 2017 9:08 AM

Some views about how the FBI investigation into Manafort and Trump will turn out: http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=61854&mid=10359
62#1035962


-------------------------------------------------------

"Objective truths are established by evidence. Personal truths by faith. Political truths by incessant repetition."

Russia's and Assad's War Crimes in Syria - http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=60278
Syrian regime collusion with ISIS - http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?tid=60521

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME