The Aquaman 2 Failure Thread
POSTED BY: 6ixStringJack
UPDATED: Sunday, March 3, 2024 02:57
VIEWED: 3280
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Aquaman 2 only fell -26% from last weekend in the US despite the pirates doing their pirate thing, once again proving that piracy has very little to do with box office receipts.
Current worldwide gross is now $412,602,000, which is just shy of $100 Million from breaking even. It won't get there, but it's still making money for WB.
What it does have a chance of doing is grossing more than Disney made worldwide with both Wish and The Marvel's combined. It is currently only $19,987,073 away from that feat, and with The Marvel's out of the theaters and Wish only pulling in $122k vs. Aquaman's $2,720,000 on its 6th weekend in the US, that is all but a guaranty at this point.
It would be an impressive feat in a year of DC failures, if WB hadn't broke the bank with a $205 Million production budget on this one. But compared to Disney's combined $450 Million budgets for the two movies that Aquaman 2 is going to outgross, I'm still impressed.
It's going to be a failure, but it's certainly made more money than I ever imagined it would. The Suits at WB have to be happy with the results even though they lost money after the way 2023 went.
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Aquaman 2 only fell -26% from last weekend in the US despite the pirates doing their pirate thing, once again proving that piracy has very little to do with box office receipts.
Current worldwide gross is now $412,602,000, which is just shy of $100 Million from breaking even. It won't get there, but it's still making money for WB.
It's at $424,002,214 worldwide now, so add nearly 12 million in the last 10 days.
Aquaman 2 only fell -28% last weekend.
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What it does have a chance of doing is grossing more than Disney made worldwide with both Wish and The Marvel's combined. It is currently only $19,987,073 away from that feat, and with The Marvel's out of the theaters and Wish only pulling in $122k vs. Aquaman's $2,720,000 on its 6th weekend in the US, that is all but a guaranty at this point.
As of today, A2 still needs $15,373,435 to beat both The Marvels and Wish.
Wish has only been making a couple of bucks per day, so this must be some of Bruce's strange international accounting at play. Otherwise, A2 should only have been behind about $8 or $9 Million at this point.
At only $2 Million last weekend and between $100k and $200k on the weekdays in the States it's looking less likely this will happen now unless A2 gets some phantom accounting in its favor as well and/or it's still doing well overseas.
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It would be an impressive feat in a year of DC failures, if WB hadn't broke the bank with a $205 Million production budget on this one. But compared to Disney's combined $450 Million budgets for the two movies that Aquaman 2 is going to outgross, I'm still impressed.
It's going to be a failure, but it's certainly made more money than I ever imagined it would. The Suits at WB have to be happy with the results even though they lost money after the way 2023 went.
Much more importantly for Warner Bros. though, is that even though A2 is never going to make $512 Million to break even, the more A2 makes on the back end here the less Wonka needs to cover its (and The Color Purple's) losses.
Wonka is now at $572,537,373, which is $260,037,373 profit on a $125 Million budget.
Aquaman 2 has now lost WB only $88,497,786 on its $205 Million budget.
The Color Purple has lost WB $185,917,642 on its $100 Million budget.
Wonka has made enough right now to cover all but $14,378,055 of A2's and TCP's losses.
Even Wonka is really slowing down now finally, but it did pull in over $4 Million last weekend with only a -17% drop.
I think it's pretty safe to say that unless some of Bruce's phantom international accounting goes poorly for any of these three flicks that there's enough gas left in the tank for A2 and Wonka to bridge that $14 Million+ gap before they're out of theaters and the collective losses from WB's final 2023 trifecta won't result in even more money being used from their Barbie profits to cover any of these missteps. They'll likely even add money here to their 2023 win if the international accounting doesn't get fudged too hard in the negative.
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A2's got $429,727,000 now. That's close to $6 million in the last 4 days. Still chugging along with the weak box office offerings so far in 2024, but it's just about over for this one I think.
It's now only $9,571,761 shy of grossing more than Wish and The Marvels combined, so it could still get that if Bruce doesn't magically find another $5 to $10 Million under the international couch cushions for Disney again.
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I think it's pretty safe to say that unless some of Bruce's phantom international accounting goes poorly for any of these three flicks that there's enough gas left in the tank for A2 and Wonka to bridge that $14 Million+ gap before they're out of theaters and the collective losses from WB's final 2023 trifecta won't result in even more money being used from their Barbie profits to cover any of these missteps. They'll likely even add money here to their 2023 win if the international accounting doesn't get fudged too hard in the negative.
Aquaman 2 has now lost WB only $82,773,000 on its $205 Million budget.
Wonka is now at $587,552,000, which is $275,052,000 profit on a $125 Million budget.
The Color Purple has lost WB $184,081,143 on its $100 Million budget.
Good news for Warner Bros. despite the two huge losses of Aquaman 2 and The Color Purple.
Wonka has now grossed enough money to cover both of their losses and still end up with a profit of $8,197,857, so there's no need to dip further into Barbie's profits to cover either of them.
That actually happened quicker than I thought it would.
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Aquaman 2's worldwide gross is now $434,095,977. That's only a little over $4 Million more than 17 days ago when I said its run was just about over, so that tracks. As I said from the beginning, this was going to be the 4th DC movie to lose WB money in 2023, but it could have been much worse. It's not out of theaters yet, but it's lost WB $78,404,023. Maybe they only lose $75 Million on this one when its done.
It was so close to beating both Wish and The Marvels combined too... Only $4,561,419 shy of that, as of writing this. It's still well within the margin of error and it could possibly surprise if Bruce finds another $5 or $10 Million in the international couch cushions. We've seen that happen plenty of times before on movies that grossed less than this one has.
Quote:
I think it's pretty safe to say that unless some of Bruce's phantom international accounting goes poorly for any of these three flicks that there's enough gas left in the tank for A2 and Wonka to bridge that $14 Million+ gap before they're out of theaters and the collective losses from WB's final 2023 trifecta won't result in even more money being used from their Barbie profits to cover any of these missteps. They'll likely even add money here to their 2023 win if the international accounting doesn't get fudged too hard in the negative.
Aquaman 2 has now lost WB only $78,404,023 on its $205 Million budget.
Wonka is now at $618,315,940, which is $305,815,940 profit on a $125 Million budget.
The Color Purple has lost WB $182,480,809 on its $100 Million budget.
Warner Bros. Execs should be pretty happy with this outcome for the end of 2023. Wonka really carried the last 3 movies. Now they didn't have to dip further into Barbie's profits and they've actually profited $44,931,108 on the 3 films they still had showing in theaters into 2024.
Wonka probably wasn't that good, but WB really lucked out on the timing here with the extremely weak 2024 box office in January and February as well as the two major Disney flops Wish and The Marvels that should have put up a fight but died very early on in their box office runs.
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$433.3M global
https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/31084-aquaman-and-the-lost-ki
ngdom-3073m-overseas-4302m-worldwide/
Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Aquaman 2's worldwide gross is now $434,095,977.
probably close to the final number, there might be a Japan release due?
Aquaman 2 VS Aquaman At Worldwide Box Office: Jason Momoa-Led Sequel Ends Its Theatrical Run, Earns 62% Less Than Its Predecessor!
https://www.koimoi.com/box-office/aquaman-2-vs-aquaman-at-worldwide-bo
x-office-jason-momoa-led-sequel-ends-its-theatrical-run-earns-62-less-than-its-predecessor/
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Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
$433.3M global
https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/31084-aquaman-and-the-lost-ki
ngdom-3073m-overseas-4302m-worldwide/Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Aquaman 2's worldwide gross is now $434,095,977.
probably close to the final number,
Yeah. There's always variance between websites, but it is usually not too much. Though it was a failure, this movie has made enough money where I could see it losing or gaining another $10 Million after it's done. We never actually get any explanation why this happens, but we've seen it happen quite a few times before. We can only speculate why it is.
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there might be a Japan release due?
No. It did come out super late in Japan, but I just checked and it opened on 01/12/2024 in Japan. Bruce only has reporting from Japan for the first weekend though, with the report date being 01/16/24. It was only $1.7 Million though, so Japan isn't going to cover the $78 Million or so that this one would need to break even.
Huge loss on WB's 4th comic book movie of 2023 here like all the rest of them, but it could have been a LOT worse than this. WB really lucked out that the first two months of 2024 releases have been terrible all around. It didn't help The Color Purple out at all, but Wonka made WAY more money than it had any right to and A2 probably made about $100 Million more than it would have if it had any competition at all.
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