Some Covid-19 thoughts
POSTED BY: captaincrunch
UPDATED: Monday, September 29, 2025 18:59
VIEWED: 301579
PAGE 176 of 384
Quote:
Originally posted by JO753:
I am going to finally hav the helmet and mask fully functional at the same time by next week. (before, I only had 1 CUD (pronounced CHUD (Chamber UV Doom) just like the movie (I think I can stuff a few more () in here) and then just 1 power supply)
I am making the bilt in battery holder on the helmet today.
After I am satisfied with them I neeed to duplicate 1 or both to send to a biolab to see if it actually killz pathojenz, particularly C19.
----------------------------
DUZ XaT SEM RiT TQ YQ? - Jubal Early
The real solution: https://fundrazr.com/71jIY1?ref=ab_f9ZUS0
It turns out that nobody is going to need it JO. Same amount of people dying in the US as did in 2018.
But keep it on hand. The next one probably won't be so kind to us.
What have you done today to earn your place in this crowded world? :)
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Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Deadliest days in American history:
1. Galveston Hurricane - 8,000
2. Every day in America - 7,808
FIFY
What have you done today to earn your place in this crowded world? :)
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https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/flawed-analysis-leads-to-false
-claim-of-e2-80-98no-excess-deaths-e2-80-99-in-2020/ar-BB1bC6Tu
But Dr. Steven Woolf, a professor in the Department of Family Medicine and Population Health at the Virginia Commonwealth University, told us that “multiple studies have shown that total deaths in the US are about 20% higher than expected.”
Woolf and colleagues relayed as much in an article published in the Journal of the American Medical Association in October. “Although total US death counts are remarkably consistent from year to year, US deaths increased by 20% during March-July 2020,” the authors wrote.
Studies from others, including a paper by two University of Oxford economists, have reached similar conclusions.
Woolf said in an email that the lecture video instead presented a “very unsophisticated analysis, in which the speaker uses crude death counts for one year (2018) as the basis for comparison and performs simple subtraction from 2020 values for her assertions. Any reputable analysis of excess deaths is based on statistical modeling that computes seasonal averages over a period of many years, and this is done to adjust for random variation from year to year.”
“For example, our studies use Poisson regression modeling. Statistical modeling is necessary to know whether differences in death counts are statistically significant,” he said. “The speaker admits to merely eyeballing the trend lines for 2020. Researchers prefer to use statistical modeling to know whether a supposed change in counts is random variation or a statistically significant trend.”
The CDC’s National Center for Health Statistics excess death analysis (which uses such modeling) has found deaths above normal rates week after week since the end of March — as readers can see in the center’s chart below.
https://img-s-msn-com.akamaized.net/tenant/amp/entityid/BB1bCaTM.img?h
=768&w=1366&m=6&q=60&o=f&l=f
“Our death number increased in 2020 and we have less heart attack than in 2018,” she said. “Where have all the heart attacks gone?”
But she’s misleadingly comparing different points in time for the two years.
Bob Anderson, chief of NCHS’ Mortality Statistics Branch, said in an email statement that the video’s claims are born out of “a fundamental lack of understanding of the seasonal nature of mortality.”
While deaths typically increase in the winter, peaking around the New Year, “[d]eaths then decline in the spring through the summer and then increase again in the fall through the winter,” Anderson said. “But, what we are seeing in 2020 with the COVID-19 pandemic is very different. In the spring of 2020, during a period where we normally should be seeing declining mortality, deaths continued to increase and were at unusually high levels through the spring.”
The comparison of the two time periods used in the video is “not appropriate,” he said.
Anderson added that in 2018, “deaths followed the normal pattern (although at a higher level than normal). In 2020, deaths did not follow the normal pattern … they should have been declining in the spring, but instead increased substantially. In addition, we have an additional peak in deaths in late July/early August that seems to have been completely ignored in this analysis.”
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in 2016, a total of 2,744,248
in 2017, a total of 2,813,503
in 2018, a total of 2,839,205
Meanwhile, THERE ARE NO CDC NUMBERS FOR 2019 OR (INCOMPLETE) 2020.
Any claim to be using CDC numbers from those years is FALSE.
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:Quote:
Originally posted by captaincrunch:Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
I think the Captain is literally retarded.
Hate to piss in your cornflakes, fckwit, but being called retarded by the dumbest poster on this forum is more a compliment than an insult. But anyway...
So, since you have this all figured out... this should be easy for you to answer: how is it that Australia has killed the covid and we're sinking in it? Only 900 dead to our 288,000 dead. It's not even close. That should be a giant red flag for everyone in this country that Trump fcked up. But not you? You're on the inside and have special knowledge I guess - what are we missing? We're calling all cancer deaths covid deaths? Due impress us.
Because your numbers are bullshit, and those deaths were simply stolen from the usual cases of death every year in the US. Those people were going to die this year anyway. Just like I said they were from the beginning. That's the point of the CDC links.
You idiots were able to tell me I was full of shit before we had any numbers and that more people were dying this year because of Covid. Now we have numbers, and you're all the ones that are full of shit.
You're fucking brain damaged dude.
So no one / very few people are getting sick from Covid? And all those deaths listed as "Covid" are fake / something else? And therefore the numbers that the CDC is listing as covid are bullshit. BUT you'll turn around and list CDC numbers as proof that ??? the CDC numbers are BS? Pretty clever for the CDC to out themselves like that and prove they're lying to us. Talk about brain damage.
Wow, that was so brilliant I can't wait to read your exclusive on how Australia's numbers are so much better than ours. Lemme guess: they're just not "playing the game." If we just all go out there and shop and do like normal stuff, we'll prove that it's all fake - 'bout right?
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Quote:
Originally posted by captaincrunch:Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:Quote:
Originally posted by captaincrunch:Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
I think the Captain is literally retarded.
Hate to piss in your cornflakes, fckwit, but being called retarded by the dumbest poster on this forum is more a compliment than an insult. But anyway...
So, since you have this all figured out... this should be easy for you to answer: how is it that Australia has killed the covid and we're sinking in it? Only 900 dead to our 288,000 dead. It's not even close. That should be a giant red flag for everyone in this country that Trump fcked up. But not you? You're on the inside and have special knowledge I guess - what are we missing? We're calling all cancer deaths covid deaths? Due impress us.
Because your numbers are bullshit, and those deaths were simply stolen from the usual cases of death every year in the US. Those people were going to die this year anyway. Just like I said they were from the beginning. That's the point of the CDC links.
You idiots were able to tell me I was full of shit before we had any numbers and that more people were dying this year because of Covid. Now we have numbers, and you're all the ones that are full of shit.
You're fucking brain damaged dude.
So no one / very few people are getting sick from Covid? And all those deaths listed as "Covid" are fake / something else? And therefore the numbers that the CDC is listing as covid are bullshit. BUT you'll turn around and list CDC numbers as proof that ??? the CDC numbers are BS? Pretty clever for the CDC to out themselves like that and prove they're lying to us. Talk about brain damage.
Wow, that was so brilliant I can't wait to read your exclusive on how Australia's numbers are so much better than ours. Lemme guess: they're just not "playing the game." If we just all go out there and shop and do like normal stuff, we'll prove that it's all fake - 'bout right?
My argument is crystal clear.
Misinterpret it however you want.
You have no argument.
What have you done today to earn your place in this crowded world? :)
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Quote:
Originally posted by 1KIKI:
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/flawed-analysis-leads-to-false
-claim-of-e2-80-98no-excess-deaths-e2-80-99-in-2020/ar-BB1bC6Tu
But Dr. Steven Woolf, a professor in the Department of Family Medicine and Population Health at the Virginia Commonwealth University, told us that “multiple studies have shown that total deaths in the US are about 20% higher than expected.”
Woolf and colleagues relayed as much in an article published in the Journal of the American Medical Association in October. “Although total US death counts are remarkably consistent from year to year, US deaths increased by 20% during March-July 2020,” the authors wrote.
Studies from others, including a paper by two University of Oxford economists, have reached similar conclusions.
Woolf said in an email that the lecture video instead presented a “very unsophisticated analysis, in which the speaker uses crude death counts for one year (2018) as the basis for comparison and performs simple subtraction from 2020 values for her assertions. Any reputable analysis of excess deaths is based on statistical modeling that computes seasonal averages over a period of many years, and this is done to adjust for random variation from year to year.”
“For example, our studies use Poisson regression modeling. Statistical modeling is necessary to know whether differences in death counts are statistically significant,” he said. “The speaker admits to merely eyeballing the trend lines for 2020. Researchers prefer to use statistical modeling to know whether a supposed change in counts is random variation or a statistically significant trend.”
The CDC’s National Center for Health Statistics excess death analysis (which uses such modeling) has found deaths above normal rates week after week since the end of March — as readers can see in the center’s chart below.
https://img-s-msn-com.akamaized.net/tenant/amp/entityid/BB1bCaTM.img?h
=768&w=1366&m=6&q=60&o=f&l=f
“Our death number increased in 2020 and we have less heart attack than in 2018,” she said. “Where have all the heart attacks gone?”
But she’s misleadingly comparing different points in time for the two years.
Bob Anderson, chief of NCHS’ Mortality Statistics Branch, said in an email statement that the video’s claims are born out of “a fundamental lack of understanding of the seasonal nature of mortality.”
While deaths typically increase in the winter, peaking around the New Year, “[d]eaths then decline in the spring through the summer and then increase again in the fall through the winter,” Anderson said. “But, what we are seeing in 2020 with the COVID-19 pandemic is very different. In the spring of 2020, during a period where we normally should be seeing declining mortality, deaths continued to increase and were at unusually high levels through the spring.”
The comparison of the two time periods used in the video is “not appropriate,” he said.
Anderson added that in 2018, “deaths followed the normal pattern (although at a higher level than normal). In 2020, deaths did not follow the normal pattern … they should have been declining in the spring, but instead increased substantially. In addition, we have an additional peak in deaths in late July/early August that seems to have been completely ignored in this analysis.”
And despite all of this, we're still not even two days ahead of schedule on the death count compared to 2018.
This also doesn't take into account that there are 1.2% more people living in America than there were in 2018, which more than makes up for the less than 15,000 extra deaths so far this year, percentage wise.
They can make up any stories they want to. Numbers are numbers.
Less people have died in 2020 percentage wise than at this time in 2018. There is zero basis for denying that Covid deaths are just stealing from other cookie jars now that we have this data.
What have you done today to earn your place in this crowded world? :)
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Sure we're ahead of normal deaths. You just didn't click the link I posted.
MEANWHILE - there is NO CDC data AT ALL for total deaths/ cause of death for 2019, or 2020(partial). You literally have ZERO data on how many people have died this year to date (total) and from what. That makes your 'claim' to be using CDC data ... bullshit.
So ... meh to you.
Whatever.
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