Senate Race 2020

POSTED BY: JEWELSTAITEFAN
UPDATED: Wednesday, November 11, 2020 00:07
VIEWED: 3975
PAGE 1 of 1

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Wednesday, July 3, 2019 3:45 AM

Next year the General Election will include Class 2 of the 3 Senate groups.
Including Mr. Elaine Chao.

The following Senate Seats of Class 2 have not changed Party in 2008 (General Election) or 2014 (mid-terms):
Democrat (6):
DE, IL, MA, MI, NJ, RI.
Republican (13):
AL (Sessions), GA, ID, KS, KY (McConnell), ME, MS, NE, OK, SC, TN, TX, WY.

And the rest had some Party flippings (14):

ST 07 09 13 15

AK R-->D D-->R
AR D Rel D-->R
CO R-->D D-->R
IA D Rel D-->R
LA D Rel D-->R

MN R-->D D Rel
MT D Rel D-->R
NH R-->D D Rel
NM R-->D D Rel
NC R-->D D-->R

OR R-->D D Rel
SD D Rel D-->R
VA R-->D D Rel
WV D Rel D-->R

HI had a Special Election on 2014, shouldn't have one in 2020.

AZ is currently the only Special Election for this cycle.

That Seat for MN was stolen by Franken, which he no longer has.
That AL Seat was Sessions, which he gave up to pretend to be AG. And it is D now, part of the 45 Dem minority in the Senate.
And Mr. Elaine Chow has that KY Seat, so we could always hope he gets Primaried.

JONGSSTRAW

Wednesday, July 3, 2019 4:26 AM

I hope McConnell gets beat in a primary. His time is up.

1KIKI

Wednesday, July 3, 2019 4:38 AM

THANKS! for the info.

According to wiki, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_Senate_elections , it looks like all but 2 incumbent R senate seats are most likely reelected w/ 2 tossup, and all but 1 D are most likely reelected, with the 1 tossup. In general the D seats more often fall into the 'likely' or 'lean' categories than the 'safe' one.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Thursday, July 4, 2019 4:06 AM

Quote:
Originally posted by 1KIKI:
THANKS! for the info.

According to wiki, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_Senate_elections , it looks like all but 2 incumbent R senate seats are most likely reelected w/ 2 tossup, and all but 1 D are most likely reelected, with the 1 tossup. In general the D seats more often fall into the 'likely' or 'lean' categories than the 'safe' one.

In the past half-century, I've seen that in threshhold States, General Elections tend to favor Democrats (higher turnout of the Low-Information Voter), and Mid-terms tend to favor Conservatives (lower turnout of Low-Information Voters).

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Thursday, July 11, 2019 3:03 AM

Quote:
Originally posted by 1KIKI:
THANKS! for the info.

According to wiki, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_Senate_elections , it looks like all but 2 incumbent R senate seats are most likely reelected w/ 2 tossup, and all but 1 D are most likely reelected, with the 1 tossup. In general the D seats more often fall into the 'likely' or 'lean' categories than the 'safe' one.

GOP Senators retiring are for WY, TN, KS.
None of those Seats changed Party in the past 2 Elections (GOP since at least 2003).

Dem Senator retiring is from NM.
That Seat was GOP in 2008.

AL has been R, is now D, and is leaning R for a flip.
AZ and CO are considered tossup.
MI is a lean D.
ME is a lean R, but we could hope she gets Primaried. As a RINO in a State that leans D, this might need to be accepted.
NC is a lean R, GA is lean/likely R.

AL is the only one currently suggesting a lean opposite of the Incumbent, and he won with 50.0% last time.

AK (R) garnered 48.0% in the last Election.
CO (R) had 48.2%.
NC (R) had 48.8%.
SD (R) had 50.4%.

VA (D) had 49.1%.
NH (D) had 51.5%.

Currently, Senate has 53 GOP. With Trump plowing through the Election on a wave of Illegal Alien backlash, AL, NH, and VA could flip, making the Senate 56 GOP.
If Dems could hold those, and flip AK, CO, NC, SD, then they could have 49 Dem, plus 2 Independents for a Majority Caucus.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Wednesday, July 24, 2019 1:11 AM

Quote:
Originally posted by 1KIKI:
THANKS! for the info.

According to wiki, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_Senate_elections , it looks like all but 2 incumbent R senate seats are most likely reelected w/ 2 tossup, and all but 1 D are most likely reelected, with the 1 tossup. In general the D seats more often fall into the 'likely' or 'lean' categories than the 'safe' one.

I had thought that I asked if the information I found had matched what you had found, but upon review it looks like I failed to make that query.

Is the assessment I drew out so far seem plausible?

I often use uselectionatlas.com as a reference for data (horrible track record for predictions), but it does not seem to be covering Senate 2020 yet.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Thursday, August 29, 2019 3:59 AM

Senator Johnny Isakson, GA-R has announced retirement, due to health issues from Parkinson's.

Apparently this will be filled during the General Election of 2020, so then both GA Senators will be up for Election at the same time.

He held the seat since 2004.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Friday, September 6, 2019 6:07 AM

I heard Gillibrand is running, following her failed President bid.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Sunday, January 5, 2020 1:28 AM

Sounds like Cosy Lewandowski might be running for Senate, I think in NH.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Thursday, January 30, 2020 3:54 AM

I hear the newest polls show Mitt Romney will lose his Senate race in Utah, particularly if he keeps his Anti-Trump stance in the Fake Impeachment Trial.

6IXSTRINGJACK

Thursday, January 30, 2020 5:25 AM

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
I hear the newest polls show Mitt Romney will lose his Senate race in Utah, particularly if he keeps his Anti-Trump stance in the Fake Impeachment Trial.

Good. Fuck Romney. Another Neo-Con bites the dust.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Sunday, February 2, 2020 12:10 AM

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
I hear the newest polls show Mitt Romney will lose his Senate race in Utah, particularly if he keeps his Anti-Trump stance in the Fake Impeachment Trial.

Well, along with Susan Collins, Mittens Romney voted against The Constitution, and also, apparently, against his re-election to Senate. Maybe he'll run for President.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Thursday, February 6, 2020 6:09 AM

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
I hear the newest polls show Mitt Romney will lose his Senate race in Utah, particularly if he keeps his Anti-Trump stance in the Fake Impeachment Trial.
Well, along with Susan Collins, Mittens Romney voted against The Constitution, and also, apparently, against his re-election to Senate. Maybe he'll run for President.

And now he doubled down. Days after voting that he needed more witnesses to convince him of guilt, he not claims he has enough. And he is voting for his conscience, not for his State. All because Trump accurately called him a Loser.

I fear that his Schiff-Shumer-Sham Show from Pelosi may have bolstered McConnell in his re-election bid. Dang.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Thursday, February 6, 2020 6:38 AM

But I do fear that voting tricks will tilt the board in the favor of Democraps.

The tricks I envision should not greatly have effect in House races. But could have effect on President, Governors, other statewide races.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Friday, February 7, 2020 1:02 AM

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
I hear the newest polls show Mitt Romney will lose his Senate race in Utah, particularly if he keeps his Anti-Trump stance in the Fake Impeachment Trial.
Well, along with Susan Collins, Mittens Romney voted against The Constitution, and also, apparently, against his re-election to Senate. Maybe he'll run for President.
And now he doubled down. Days after voting that he needed more witnesses to convince him of guilt, he not claims he has enough. And he is voting for his conscience, not for his State. All because Trump accurately called him a Loser.

I fear that his Schiff-Shumer-Sham Show from Pelosi may have bolstered McConnell in his re-election bid. Dang.

Maybe Mittens won't need to wait until November.

https://www.deseret.com/utah/2020/2/5/21125200/mitt-romney-trump-impea
chment-acquit-senate-vote-convict-utah-legislature-recall

6IXSTRINGJACK

Friday, February 7, 2020 3:31 AM

Good.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Friday, February 7, 2020 6:11 AM

In FL in the past year, over 10,000 more voters have registered as Democrats.

In the same period, over 42,600 more voters have registered as Republicans.

Dems still hold a lead, but it is the thinnest since the state started keeping track in 1974.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Saturday, February 22, 2020 1:30 AM

I guess I failed to mention how the current Senators are affiliated.

Dem (12)
OR
MN
MI
IL
NM
AL
VA
DE
NJ
RI
MA
VT

GOP (22/23)
AK
ID
MT
WY
AZ
CO
SD
NE
KS
OK
TX
IA
AR
LA
MS
GA
GA-SE
SC
NC
TN
KY
WV
ME

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Wednesday, July 1, 2020 1:14 AM

I have not heard much of anything about this so far.

Did folk forget there is an Election in November? Of this year?

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Saturday, August 8, 2020 10:26 PM

This past Tuesday RINO Hagerty won the GOP Primary in TN for U.S. Senate. Therefore expected to win in November.

Big division between RINOs for Hagerty (Trump, McConnell) and Conservatives for Sethi.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Tuesday, August 11, 2020 2:59 AM

85 days away.

MT, ME, IA, CO, GA, NC are considered tossups.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Wednesday, September 23, 2020 4:56 AM

I am finding this interesting for this reason: Of the 3 Classes of Senators, this is the final Class to face Election in a Trump year.

Class #3 had Election in 2016.
34 Seats. Dems defended 10 seats, GOP defended 24 seats. Senate was 54 R, 46 D. Dems gained 2 Seats, NH and IL.

Class #1 had Election in 2018.
33 Seats in the Class, plus 2 Special Elections in MN and MS. Dems had 24 seats to defend, GOP had 9 seats to defend, and 2 Independents (Extremist Left). Senate was 51 R, 47 D, 2 I. GOP had a net gain of 2 Seats. (lost NV, AZ, gained FL, MO, IN, ND)

I wonder how many in this Class thought they could just hide in the weeds during Trump. All their Fake Impeachments, Fake Collusion, Fake everything.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Friday, September 25, 2020 2:22 AM

It seems well understood that one Senator which is currently Dem is Dough Jones - AL, and that seat is likely to return to the Right side come Election.

There are currently 53 R, 45 D, 2 I.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Friday, October 30, 2020 11:01 PM

Any predictions of results?

Conservatives only have 5 days left to vote. Libtards only have a couple months left.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Thursday, November 5, 2020 12:11 AM

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Next year the General Election will include Class 2 of the 3 Senate groups.
Including Mr. Elaine Chao.

The following Senate Seats of Class 2 have not changed Party in 2008 (General Election) or 2014 (mid-terms):
Democrat (6):
DE, IL, MA, MI, NJ, RI.
Republican (13):
AL (Sessions), GA, ID, KS, KY (McConnell), ME, MS, NE, OK, SC, TN, TX, WY.

And the rest had some Party flippings (14):

ST 07 09 13 15

AK R-->D D-->R
AR D Rel D-->R
CO R-->D D-->R
IA D Rel D-->R
LA D Rel D-->R

MN R-->D D Rel
MT D Rel D-->R
NH R-->D D Rel
NM R-->D D Rel
NC R-->D D-->R

OR R-->D D Rel
SD D Rel D-->R
VA R-->D D Rel
WV D Rel D-->R

HI had a Special Election on 2014, shouldn't have one in 2020.

AZ is currently the only Special Election for this cycle.

That Seat for MN was stolen by Franken, which he no longer has.
That AL Seat was Sessions, which he gave up to pretend to be AG. And it is D now, part of the 45 Dem minority in the Senate.
And Mr. Elaine Chow has that KY Seat, so we could always hope he gets Primaried.

Loks like AL switched back from D->R.
And CO switched from R->D, along with AZ - which can now be called East California.

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Wednesday, November 11, 2020 12:07 AM

Current results from Election Theft are claiming that there are 48 D, 48 R. NC and AK are not called, but are going R unless Dems can infuse some more ballot dumps in those locations.

That makes it 50 R, 48 D.

The 2 Senate races in GA are expected to go to runoff elections in Jan, after the rampant Voting Fraud prohibited Sen Perdue from getting 50% of the vote, only 49.73 - a 1.8% lead over the Dem.
The Special Election has 6 Republicans garnering a combined 49.11% and 8 Dems combining for 48.65% and 6 others getting 2.24%.
With GOP leading both of these races, Libtards of America are sure to descend upon GA with massive Election Fraud to steal the Senate, and make it 50-50.

https://ca.yahoo.com/topics/us-election?cache=clear