Trump's Budget

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Saturday, August 21, 2021 7:48 AM

Well, well, well.
You can color me shocked, just shocked I say - absolutely shocked and surprised and amazed, I tell you, that the very first attempt that the Lord Darth Obiden minions, in the most transparent Administration of history, have taken to reveal honestly and openly (like all prior Admins) the newly cyphered Gross Domestic Product historical and current figures - they have actually obfuscated all data, like how their Libtard Maths were cyphered.
For those not following, this revision is apparently performed at the end of every July. But I just got around to looking for it.
I am just absolutely shocked, I say.

I will see what data I can glean, as of 20 Aug 21.



GDP.

Updated with most recent data, from last year, July 2020.

https://apps.bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?reqid=19&step=2#reqid=19&am
p;step=2&isuri=1&1921=survey

Updated with revised 30 Jul 2020 report data, for 2015- present.

https://www.bea.gov/news/2020/gross-domestic-product-third-quarter-202
0-advance-estimate
Table 7 in the Excel spreadsheet.

BEA seems to have had another round of hiding data, and discontinuing it's prior templates for providing data, including deleting the archived reports. So now all of the historical data is truly deleted, except for places like right here where the data has not been erased.

To find this data, one must used the "data tools" function, and find Table 1.1.5


The last several reports have been persistently rounding off the figure totals by 3 or 4 digits, so that the figures I'm posting are based upon addition, stacked many times, and could be subject to correction.

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
This data does appear to be listed under Calendar Year Quarters as opposed to Fiscal Year Quarters elsewhere.
Yes, this is Table.1.1.5 (use the Modify button to adjust dates) at this link:
https://bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?


This GDP data is from BEA News Release Archives. Current-Dollar GDP.

---

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JEWELSTAITEFAN

Sunday, August 22, 2021 2:12 AM

Well, well, well.
You can color me shocked, just shocked I say - absolutely shocked and surprised and amazed, I tell you, that the very first attempt that the Lord Darth Obiden minions, in the most transparent Administration of history, have taken to reveal honestly and openly (like all prior Admins) the newly cyphered Gross Domestic Product historical and current figures - they have actually obfuscated all data, like how their Libtard Maths were cyphered.
For those not following, this revision is apparently performed at the end of every July. But I just got around to looking for it.
I am just absolutely shocked, I say.

I will see what data I can glean, as of 20 Aug 21.



GDP.

Updated with most recent data, from last year, July 2020.

https://apps.bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?reqid=19&step=2#reqid=19&am
p;step=2&isuri=1&1921=survey

Updated with revised 30 Jul 2020 report data, for 2015- present.

https://www.bea.gov/news/2020/gross-domestic-product-third-quarter-202
0-advance-estimate
Table 7 in the Excel spreadsheet.

BEA seems to have had another round of hiding data, and discontinuing it's prior templates for providing data, including deleting the archived reports. So now all of the historical data is truly deleted, except for places like right here where the data has not been erased.

To find this data, one must used the "data tools" function, and find Table 1.1.5


The last several reports have been persistently rounding off the figure totals by 3 or 4 digits, so that the figures I'm posting are based upon addition, stacked many times, and could be subject to correction.

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
This data does appear to be listed under Calendar Year Quarters as opposed to Fiscal Year Quarters elsewhere.
Yes, this is Table.1.1.5 (use the Modify button to adjust dates) at this link:
https://bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?


This GDP data is from BEA News Release Archives. Current-Dollar GDP.

---

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JEWELSTAITEFAN

Saturday, August 28, 2021 3:24 AM

New report came out yesterday, 2nd estimate of CY Q2. Increase of 693.2 and Q1 is still 560.6
I did get the table data set so far, but still working on the gap, span, highlight data.


Well, well, well.
You can color me shocked, just shocked I say - absolutely shocked and surprised and amazed, I tell you, that the very first attempt that the Lord Darth Obiden minions, in the most transparent Administration of history, have taken to reveal honestly and openly (like all prior Admins) the newly cyphered Gross Domestic Product historical and current figures - they have actually obfuscated all data, like how their Libtard Maths were cyphered.
For those not following, this revision is apparently performed at the end of every July. But I just got around to looking for it.
I am just absolutely shocked, I say.

I will see what data I can glean, as of 20 Aug 21.



GDP.

Updated with most recent data, from last year, July 2020.

https://apps.bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?reqid=19&step=2#reqid=19&am
p;step=2&isuri=1&1921=survey

Updated with revised 30 Jul 2020 report data, for 2015- present.

https://www.bea.gov/news/2020/gross-domestic-product-third-quarter-202
0-advance-estimate
Table 7 in the Excel spreadsheet.

BEA seems to have had another round of hiding data, and discontinuing it's prior templates for providing data, including deleting the archived reports. So now all of the historical data is truly deleted, except for places like right here where the data has not been erased.

To find this data, one must used the "data tools" function, and find Table 1.1.5


The last several reports have been persistently rounding off the figure totals by 3 or 4 digits, so that the figures I'm posting are based upon addition, stacked many times, and could be subject to correction.

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
This data does appear to be listed under Calendar Year Quarters as opposed to Fiscal Year Quarters elsewhere.
Yes, this is Table.1.1.5 (use the Modify button to adjust dates) at this link:
https://bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?


This GDP data is from BEA News Release Archives. Current-Dollar GDP.

---

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JEWELSTAITEFAN

Tuesday, August 31, 2021 3:30 AM

Alrighty then. In the 21 Aug post, I finally posted side by side comparisons of the interval data, the best-of lists. Left side is data as of June 2021, and right is data as of end of July 2021.

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JEWELSTAITEFAN

Wednesday, September 15, 2021 5:56 AM

Monthly Revenues, Outlays.

Updated with the MTS for August 2021.


I think I will go forward with data from the Monthly Treasury Statement each month. It has already been shown that CBO distorts and Fakes their data, and the more accurate MTS is usually less than a week later.

I won't redo all the past years, but will look up the FY2019 data.
The projected Deficit numbers will continue to be from CBO, since I have not seen Treasury delve into that. I should check OMB.

https://fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/mts/

https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/mts/mts0819.p
df

CBO still has this new format to their report, which again tried to hide the numbers, since highly partisan Deep State CBO was too incompetent to report clearly.



This looks like an interesting resource linky:
https://www.cbo.gov/about/products/major-recurring-reports#9

https://WWW.CBO.Gov/about/press-center

Apr 2018 CBO estimate:
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/53821#section2


These data sources actually seem to correlate to the figures in the Budget Statements.
I'll try to post some data to breakdown how the projections progress.

The 1st column is Category and Fiscal Year. Categories are Revenue, Outlays, Surplus/Deficit (estimate) and Surplus/Deficit (Actual, or corrected). Projected is the figure that CBO projected for the FY, most recent at the time of the report. Proportional Percent is the cumulative Deficit compared to the actual FY Total. For the newest year, % Projection is based upon the historical proportion for that month of the cycle.

Each FY has 2 groups. First group is the individual month data. Second group is the cumulative Deficit for that FY so far.

Figures in Billions.

CatFY Octo Nove Dece Janu Febr Marc Apri MayM June July Augu Sept

Rev16 $211 $205 $350 $314 $169 $228 $438 $225 $330 $210 $231 $358
Out16 $347 $270 $364 $258 $362 $336 $332 $277 $323 $323 $338 $323
S/D16 -136 -$65 -$14 +$55 -193 -108 +106 -$53 +$06 -113 -107 +$35

Rev16 $211 $416 $766 1079 1248 1476 1915 2139 2469 2679 2910 3268
Out16 $347 $617 $981 1240 1601 1936 2268 2545 2868 3191 3529 3852
S/D16 -136 -201 -216 -160 -353 -459 -353 -405 -399 -512 -619 -585
Projt -414 -414 -414 -544 -544 -534 -534 -534 -534 -534 -590 -590
Port% 23.2 34.4 36.9 27.4 60.3 78.5 60.3 69.2 68.2 87.5 106% 100%


Rev17 $222 $200 $319 $344 $172 $217 $456 $240 $339 $231 $226 $348
Out17 $267 $337 $347 $293 $364 $393 $273 $327 $426 $276 $336 $342
S/D17 -$46 -137 -$27 +$51 -192 -176 +182 -$87 -$87 -$45 -109 +$06

Rev17 $222 $422 $741 1085 1257 1473 1929 2168 2509 2738 2966 3314
Out17 $267 $604 $951 1243 1607 2000 2273 2600 3028 3307 3642 3982
S/D17 -$46 -183 -210 -159 -351 -527 -344 -432 -520 -568 -675 -668
Projt -594 -594 -594 -559 -559 -559 -559 -559 -693 -693 -693 -693
Port% 06.9 27.5 31.6 23.9 52.8 79.2 51.7 65.0 78.2 85.4 101% 100%


Rev18 $235 $210 $326 $362 $157 $213 $515 $217 $314 $225 $219 $343
Out18 $299 $344 $352 $311 $373 $420 $297 $361 $389 $301 $430 $227
SDEst -6$2 -134 -$26 +$51 -216 -207 +218 -144 -$75 -$75 -211 +116
Act18 -$63 -139 -$23 +$49 -215 -209 +214 -146 -$74 -$77 -214 +118

Rev18 $235 $445 $770 1131 1287 1499 2012 2224 2539 2766 2985 3328
Out18 $299 $643 $998 1306 1679 2097 2394 2754 3146 3448 3880 4110
SDEst -$62 -198 -228 -174 -392 -598 -382 -530 -607 -682 -894 -782
Act18 -$63 -202 -225 -176 -391 -600 -386 -532 -606 -683 -897 -779
Projt -873 -873 -873 -873 -873 -873 -804 -792 -793 -793 -793 -793
%Prj7 -911 -734 -713 -736 -741 -757 -747 -815 -776 -799 -885 -782
%Prj6 -271 -588 -609 -644 -648 -765 -640 -766 -890 -779 -845 -782
Port% 08.1 25.9 28.9 22.6 50.2 77.0 49.6 74.7 77.8 87.7 115% 100%


Rev19 $253 $205 $312 $340 $171
Out19 $353 $408 $324 $331 $398
SDEst -$98 -203 -012 +$09 -227
Act19 -100 -205 -013 +$09 -234

Rev19 $253 $458 $771 1111 1282
Out19 $353 $761 1088 1421 1819
SDEst -$98 -303 -317 -310 -537
Act19 -100 -305 -318 -310 -544
Projt -985 -985 -985 -897 -897