The predictions thread

POSTED BY: kpo
UPDATED: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 18:54
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BYTEMITE

Friday, February 17, 2012 6:22 PM

Eh, I actually think the goals of TPTB are very predictable.

Here's a more immediate prediction, It looks as though the earthquakes that have circulated around the ring of fire (and I think might have been touched off by the Haiti earthquake).

I predict that the west coast is going to get a big one, not just the little 5.0s that Vancouver and California has felt. It might touch off some earthquakes in the great basin region too.

OONJERAH

Friday, February 17, 2012 9:49 PM

Yeah. That's what I thought as of the NZ quake. Should next hit in, east or west of, the Aleutians. Then
come south. I kinda thought CA would get a really big one before now. But don't worry about me;
I'm up in the Sierras.

"All I suggest is a man hears what he wants to hear, and disregards the rest" ~Paul Simon

RIONAEIRE

Monday, February 20, 2012 5:36 AM

I actually think earthquakes are pretty cool as long as no one dies. In my area we have one we can feel about once a decade, we're do, we had one when I was six, one when I was 15, so I'm ready for another. I dream about earthquakes a lot for some reason. Hopefully you don't get any Byte because as I recall the idea is most unpleasant to you. My mom hates 'em, they scare her too.

"A completely coherant River means writers don't deliver" KatTaya

BYTEMITE

Monday, February 20, 2012 6:03 AM

It's not so much I'm scared of earthquakes. Actually, that particular honor goes to tornados and heights (for very similar reasons).

The main problem is a big 7+ magnitude earthquake in Salt Lake City would be absolutely catastrophic. We're talking Katrina level bad.

RIONAEIRE

Tuesday, February 21, 2012 1:19 AM

That's right, I forgot which natural disasters you didn't like, I know you are interested in earthquakes geologically, but I thought that in practice they were scary to you. I'm going to remember that its tornados, not earthquakes. I doubt that you guys get very many tornados though so that's a good thing. We got one in my state last year around this time, it was weird.

"A completely coherant River means writers don't deliver" KatTaya

OONJERAH

Tuesday, February 21, 2012 4:38 AM

I predict that this thread will be hijacked.

"All I suggest is a man hears what he wants to hear, and disregards the rest" ~Paul Simon

KPO

Friday, February 24, 2012 6:16 PM

I'm going to go somewhat against Riona and predict: Egypt and Libya will be stable, functioning democracies within 5-10 years - but Iraq won't.

Also from the other day: Ron Paul predicts the draft is coming back

It's not personal. It's just war.

RIONAEIRE

Monday, February 27, 2012 5:21 AM

Within five to ten years yes hopefully, they say it gets worse before it gets better, but it does get better usually.

"A completely coherant River means writers don't deliver" KatTaya

OONJERAH

Monday, February 27, 2012 6:02 AM

I predict, It won't get better if we wait for it to get better.

Personal responsibility is the Truth.
Self determination triumphs over reaction.

KPO

Monday, February 27, 2012 7:32 PM

Riona, I chose a 5-10 year timescale for my prediction not just because it makes it easier, but because I think that's the correct way to look at it - to weigh whether the revolutions have been positive or not. Judge it by the long term outcomes - as the entire futures of these countries have been changed.

Some more predictions from my recent conversations on this board:

Auraptor thinks that scientific opposition to AGW will increase.
Anthony thinks that an Islamic 'Reformation' is likely, and perhaps inevitable. kpo disagrees.

It's not personal. It's just war.

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