How much money will they make off the DVD's? Best case scenario.

POSTED BY: Gravy
UPDATED: Friday, October 21, 2005 04:09
VIEWED: 5454
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GRAVY

Thursday, October 20, 2005 11:24 AM

Sure, the DVD sales will hopefully help a lot, but it would be nice if the movie could actually make up for the production cost (40 million) without the help of DVD sales. So far the movies made 30 million worldwide. The coming weekend will be important for US sales and there are a few more premieres left but not in any significant markets such as the U.K. or Australia. But I mean if the movie could even go plus and adding DVD sales to that, the whole enterprise could go plus 20-25 million.

CYBERSNARK

Thursday, October 20, 2005 3:23 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by msckaren:
"Realistically" the series DVD never should have sold as much as they did and "realistically" there never should have been a movie.

Now see, I woulda' mis-quoted Wash.

"Honey, we're Browncoats. If things sold realistically, we'd be watching Star Wars."

-----
We applied the cortical electrodes but were unable to get a neural reaction from either patient.

MIRAMEL

Thursday, October 20, 2005 8:58 PM

lol

JASONZZZ

Thursday, October 20, 2005 10:28 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by Miramel:
Quote:
Holy Smokes! $20 for a movie DVD? Is that US Dollars or Aussie? I dont' ever pay more than $12.99 for a movie DVD. Between GMart, KMart, WalMart, they are always beating each other up on movie pricing.

20 about norm, when it first comes out atleast... besides, you know we'll all buy it anyway

Yes, even if I have to rob a crack whore, I'll still be getting money and setting it free... but DVD's only cost $2.50 to press and distribute - including print graphics, packaging, media authoring, etc, etc. It just kills me to pay any more than $12 knowing that.

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PHOENIXSHIP

Thursday, October 20, 2005 10:38 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by Gravy:
So far the movie's made 30 million worldwide.

Now that's reason to celebrate right there!!!

Milestones are good. I like nice round numbers.

"Why're you arguin' what's already been decided?"
Mal to Jayne, "Jaynestown"

BAPTISMO

Friday, October 21, 2005 1:31 AM

If it has made $30 mil already, it should easily crack $40 mil with DVD sales.

I would imagine so anyway.

You can buy extra copies and give them away for easter, birthdays, Christmas, the weekend, Monday - Friday..for any reason that you can imagine..

MIRAMEL

Friday, October 21, 2005 2:47 AM

Quote:
Yes, even if I have to rob a crack whore, I'll still be getting money and setting it free... but DVD's only cost $2.50 to press and distribute - including print graphics, packaging, media authoring, etc, etc. It just kills me to pay any more than $12 knowing that.

well now i know that...

EBANZAI

Friday, October 21, 2005 4:09 AM

I started a thread to discuss Serenity's profit/loss in realistic, hopefully biz-savvy numbers:

http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=2&t=14021

And an excerpt specifically on DVD revenues (some of this doesn't make sense unless you read the whole post):

Quote:

Using $15 per DVD (Universal's revenue, not cost to consumer) as a guess we need to estimate total number of DVDs sold. It has a Christmas release (12/20/2005) allowing for a good sales window. Total die-hard Firefly/Serenity fans number ~300,000. Each will buy an average of 2.5 copies. Non-rabid fans who saw Serenity in theaters will account for another 300,000 copies. People who were curious but passed on Serenity in theaters will account for 200,000 copies. That comes out to about 1.2 million copies sold.

If that sounds low to you, bear in mind that at $26.5mil (assuming $10/ticket), that's only 2.65 million people seeing Serenity in theaters. And many of those are repeat viewings by the fanbase. DVD sales will be good but not great. Expect more action on the rental side.

And as stated in the previous post, my guesstimate for international DVD sales (DVDi) is:

DVDd = 1.2mil * $15/DVD = $18mil (domestic)
DVDi = 67%(1.2mil) * $10/DVD = $8mil (international)

Worldwide home video/DVD revenue (adjusted for distribution costs):
67%($18mil + $8mil) = $17.3mil

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