Serenity Still Has Legs

POSTED BY: iamspacecase
UPDATED: Wednesday, October 19, 2005 02:41
VIEWED: 7464
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IAMSPACECASE

Tuesday, October 18, 2005 8:02 PM

I just got back from a early afternnon showing of Serenity and there were three people in the theatre. I live in a small city, Akron, OH and have been to afternoon showings, in the second week, where I was the only person in the theatre. I truly beleive this bodes well.

Imagination is more important than knowledge

UMSUMAYYAH

Tuesday, October 18, 2005 8:08 PM

There were about 6 people in the theater yesterday. Not bad for a monday afternoon.

MALICIOUS

Tuesday, October 18, 2005 8:12 PM

I went Saturday evening (my 4th time) to the 7:40 show. The film had been moved to a smaller auditorium, but it was packed.

Mal-licious

I'm going to add cursing and the hurling about of things to my repertoire.

GATORMARC

Tuesday, October 18, 2005 8:21 PM

BoxOfficeMojo has Monday's Numbers up:

http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/

1) The Fog: $684,645
2) Elizabethtown: $671,478
3) Wallace and Grommit: $581,485
4) In Her Shoes: $514,509
5) Domino: $465,000
6) Flightplan: $418,894
7) Two for the Money: $407,490
8) Waiting: $365,232
9) A History of Violence: $315,000
10) Corpse Bride: $221,448
11) Serenity: $205,555

It was a down Monday for everyone.

GatorMarc

Eat 'em up, chomp, chomp.

TELEWILL

Tuesday, October 18, 2005 8:49 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by iamspacecase:
I just got back from a early afternnon showing of Serenity and there were three people in the theatre. ...I truly beleive this bodes well.

I'm sure a sequal is on the way now.

INEVITABLEBETRAYAL

Tuesday, October 18, 2005 9:02 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by telewill:

I'm sure a sequal is on the way now.

I second that emotion.

_______________________________________________
I wish I had a magical wish-granting plank.

AERYNLYN

Tuesday, October 18, 2005 9:11 PM

I'm hoping we do get a sequel. It looks like slow going for now.

EMBERS

Tuesday, October 18, 2005 9:39 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by AerynLyn:
I'm hoping we do get a sequel. It looks like slow going for now.

it is slow going...
but it would be cool if 'Serenity' could crawl back up into the top ten....
I would love for the BDM to stay on the screens for another couple of weeks
(or another couple of months!)

Regardless, we know the DVD sales will be gang-busters and it isn't like most other movies are doing great...
we are doing as well or better than most other films out now,
I'm sure we'll get our sequel eventually...
okay, so it won't be green lit this week...
but it isn't like Joss is available to work on it this week anyway.
So we can be patient, enjoy our DVD extras & comic books & anything else that is out there
(I'm still wanting a model of the ship)

**********************************************
watch the R. Tam Session vids: http://www.hittarivertam.nu/
and buy the 'Serenity' comics published by Dark Horse!

EBANZAI

Tuesday, October 18, 2005 10:02 PM

Quote:
Originally posted by embers:
Regardless, we know the DVD sales will be gang-busters

I'd be cautious about optimism over DVD sales. A huge DVD sells something like 15mil copies (e.g. Shrek 2, The Incredibles). I haven't seen much data on how more modest sales go.

I started a thread - http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=2&t=14021 - to develop a more organized system for guessing all these numbers and Serenity's longterm profit/loss.

For DVD sales in particular, my thoughts were:

Total die-hard Firefly/Serenity fans number ~300,000. Each will buy an average of 2.5 copies. Non-rabid fans who saw Serenity in theaters will account for another 300,000 copies. People who were curious but passed on Serenity in theaters will account for 200,000 copies. That comes out to about 1.2 million copies sold.

If that sounds low to you, bear in mind that at $26.5mil (assuming $10/ticket), that's only 2.65 million people seeing Serenity in theaters. And many of those are repeat viewings by the fanbase. DVD sales will be good but not great. Expect more action on the rental side.

I'd love to be wrong about this. I'd love for 2mil Serenity DVDs to move through stores. I'd be ecstatic for 5mil. I just don't think it's likely.

ERINBC

Tuesday, October 18, 2005 10:22 PM

Theater gross may also be low because folks are going to see matinees because they are cheaper...so one person going on Friday night gives Serenity $10 but one person going Sunday afternoon only gives it $5 so two people would have to go on Sunday to make the amount of money that one person made on Friday. Plus, speaking from experience, firefighters/cops/military get in for like $1 at some theaters after the movie's been out a week. Of course, my husband and I have been loyal and paid full price all the times we've been to see it.

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