Week 2 off to a good start!
POSTED BY: Lensman
UPDATED: Friday, October 14, 2005 13:29
VIEWED: 8824
PAGE 2 of 2
Quote:The numbers for a sequel are $50 million domestic, $30 million international. Whether or not that includes DVD sales I'm not sure. Some fans say yes, others no, but I haven't yet seen an article or quote that says which.
Originally posted by meleaux:
what exactly do we need to get a sequel. I heard 80 mil. is that correct and is that worldwide and does that include dvd sales when that happens?
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I remember reading an internet article last Sunday that featured an interview with one of Universal's higher ups--sorry but I can't find the link. Anyway, the higher up said that Universal was very satisfied with the opening weekend gross even if it was lower than predicted. Universal also predicts huge returns on the DVD, international, and merchendising fronts.
Also, keep in mind that Serenity has been getting great reviews, including "Two Thumbs Up" from E&R.
In conclusion, don't give up hope yet, fellow Browncoats. Let's keep the word of mouth going and give the movie all the repeat business we can afford, and I'm sure we'll see our sequels.
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Quote:Lower than the fans predicted, but still within Uni's predicted estimate. And I've heard at least one interview where a Uni exec says $80 million total gross is the goal, but they're flexible when it comes to greenlighting a sequel. I say, keep going to theaters and then buy up the DVDs like mad when they hit the stores. We're still flying and let's keep it that way.
I remember reading an internet article last Sunday that featured an interview with one of Universal's higher ups--sorry but I can't find the link. Anyway, the higher up said that Universal was very satisfied with the opening weekend gross even if it was lower than predicted.
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If the movie gets $80 mil worldwide then Universal will say okay to a sequel. If it doesn't get 80 mil worldwide then Universal will wait to see what the DVD sales are like and then make a decision.
If the release of the first 9 minutes of the film online doesn't gives the movie the required boost in box office it needs, then the future of Serenity will depend on DVD sales.
http://www.galacticastation.com
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Well, at least in the Metro DC area is forecasted to rain all weekend. That should help.
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Well, I noticed on the main page that the numbers were already up 5% for Thursday! Thursday, people, not Friday! Friday's numbers aren't in yet...but it looks good.
Wife and I are seeing it again this evening! It'll be my third showing in three different theatres, so I'll have nothing to compare crowds to. But who cares! I'm gonna see Serenity again!
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I've been running an analysis of box office numbers & there's signs of hope:
US box office
When you compare BDM numbers with the rest of the US top 10, it's actually on the way up as of 11 Oct.
Date, %#1, %Top10
30/09/05 87% 17.5%
01/10/05 56% 12.0%
02/10/05 67% 13.5%
03/10/05 68% 14.2%
04/10/05 59% 12.5%
05/10/05 58% 12.4%
06/10/05 58% 12.4%
07/10/05 38% 6.4%
08/10/05 32% 6.7%
09/10/05 31% 6.8%
10/10/05 26% 6.4%
11/10/05 45% 7.1%
12/10/05 42% 6.9% <-added 14/10/05
"%#1" is Serenity daily BO compared with #1 movie daily BO. This has jumped from 26% to 45%!
'%Top10" is DBM daily BO compared with total daily BO of top 10 movies. This has modest increase from 6.4% to 7.1%.
I don't think anything released the w/e in US will have huge BO so this rise may continue.
Worldwide BO
The rolling 7-day total worldwide box office is leveling off at ~$10M per week as of 10/10/05 (last WW figures available).
30/09/05 $4,169,873
01/10/05 $8,131,886
02/10/05 $10,748,278
03/10/05 $11,701,791
04/10/05 $12,623,329
05/10/05 $13,181,454
06/10/05 $13,789,420
07/10/05 $11,740,073
08/10/05 $10,631,900
09/10/05 $10,125,073
10/10/05 $10,625,003
It seems that new countries are making up for decline in US box office. At this rate BDM will break even after 4 weeks & make $80M in 8 weeks
Looks like we're beginning to hold!
BO numbers from
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=main&id=serenity.htm
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Quote:
Looks like we're beginning to hold!
Unfortunately threatre count reductions in US this weekend wont help. See:
http://www.fireflyfans.net/thread.asp?b=7&t=13914&m=191323#191323
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