Russia Invades Ukraine. Again
POSTED BY: captaincrunch
UPDATED: Sunday, September 6, 2026 21:09
VIEWED: 562266
PAGE 1031 of 1104
Ending Russia's war before winter is realistic, Budanov says
By Kateryna Denisova | June 1, 2026 7:13 pm
https://kyivindependent.com/ending-russias-war-before-winter-is-realis
tic-budanov-says/
It is a realistic goal to end Russia's war against Ukraine before winter 2026, President's Office Head Kyrylo Budanov said on June 1, responding to a question from the Kyiv Independent.
Budanov's position aligns with recent remarks by President Volodymyr Zelensky, who said in a May 31 interview that as Moscow loses the initiative on the battlefield and Kyiv steps up long-range strikes inside Russian territory, the window for effective peace talks with Moscow will remain open until the winter.
When asked, Budanov agreed with that assessment.
"The president has tasked us with trying to end this war as quickly as possible. I can confirm that this is indeed his goal — to bring hostilities to an end as soon as possible, preferably before winter," Budanov said, speaking at the Architecture of Security Forum in Kyiv.
"As head of the President's Office, I certainly do everything I can to achieve the objective set by Ukraine's president."
Budanov described the aim as "absolutely right, timely, and well considered." According to him, a range of factors suggests there is hope that Russia could agree to a "certain proposal" to halt hostilities.
As a former spy chief, Budanov has often made bold forecasts about the war's outcome, not all of which have come true.
Speaking about the battlefield situation, Zelensky said earlier that Russia's territorial gains over the past month hadn't exceeded its losses, adding that "we need to find a diplomatic way to sit and to speak" before winter.
"But it depends (on) the pressure on (Russian President Vladimir) Putin, the pressure in his society, and I think that is increasing, the pressure by sanctions — not to lift them, to put more," the Ukrainian president said in an interview with CBS News.
The latest trilateral talks involving Ukraine, Russia, and the U.S. took place in mid-February. A follow-up meeting, first planned for late February and later pushed to early March, was canceled shortly before U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran shifted Washington's focus to the Middle East.
Russia's territorial demands remain the main obstacle to progress.
Ukraine maintains that freezing the current front line is the most realistic basis for a ceasefire. Russia, meanwhile, continues to insist that Ukrainian forces withdraw from parts of Donbas region as a precondition for any settlement — a demand Kyiv has rejected.
In a rare acknowledgment from Washington, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said in late May that the U.S.-mediated peace talks have effectively stalled.
Still, Budanov does not think the negotiations are at a deadlock.
"Certain processes are ongoing, though they are not fully public," he added.
According to the President's Office chief, U.S. President Donald Trump's envoys, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, confirmed plans to visit Kyiv and Moscow "in the near future."
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
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Formula developed by long-dead British polymath shows one side nearing defeat in Ukraine
The iron law of warfighting mathematics shows the Ukraine war is only a few months away from a tipping point beyond which the losses of one side will snowball, leading inexorably to defeat.
Multipolarity | May 26, 2026
https://multipolaritypod.substack.com/p/the-formula-developed-by-a-lon
g-dead
Conclusion
Dr Powell’s model suggests that the war is rapidly nearing a tipping point. Ukraine is approaching the fulcrum beyond which the weight of the war tips its forces into rapid depletion, allowing the Russian military to start achieving much more significant territorial gains. In turn, this would lead to accelerated Ukrainian losses through the ruthless reality of the square law. This road heads toward an eventual Ukrainian collapse.
Ukraine’s effective combat power (a composite of manpower, machinery and munitions) is depleting, the model shows, at a net rate that outpaces its replenishment, while Russia’s holds steady or grows marginally. This imbalance, compounded by recent reductions in Western support, suggests a tipping point where Ukrainian force density thins below viability, triggering rapid territorial losses and operational collapse.
Based on his integrated projections from an updated model (as of 15 May), Dr Powell estimates window for this tipping point is 3-6 months from now (July-September 2026), followed by a 3-4 month cascade to functional exhaustion. Overall, this yields a 6-9 month horizon to “floodgates opening,” where advances accelerate from the current 0.3-1 km/day to 5-10 km/day, as seen in historical breakthroughs like the 2022 Kherson retreat. This non-linear result is the manifestation of the pitiless square law which Frederick Lanchester first codified into a usable model for military operations in 1916. But it boils down to this: Dr Powell’s model estimates Ukrainian collapse by early Spring next year (nine months from mid-May 2026) at the outside.
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
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Signym, comrade, what's with this?
T
Russia's Last Defensive Line Just BROKE — 200km of Open Terrain Ahead | Ben Hodges
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Yeah. Really, Sigs...
What's with dude using AI to make his fake battle scenes instead of paying a real artist to make his fake battle scenes?
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Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.
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Russia’s monthly ballistic-missile production now exceeds Lockheed Martin’s PAC-3 production. And it takes 2 interceptors to stop one Iskander, says expert
Russia builds 70 ballistic missiles a month. Lockheed Martin builds 56 PAC-3 interceptors.
By Olena Mukhina | June 2, 2026
https://euromaidanpress.com/2026/06/02/russias-monthly-ballistic-missi
le-production-now-exceeds-lockheed-martins-pac-3-production-and-it-takes-2-3-interceptors-to-stop-one-iskander/
Lockheed Martin delivered 620 PAC-3 MSE interceptors across all of 2025, which is about 56 per month. And in practice, the gap is wider than the production ratio suggests, because a single Iskander interception typically requires two to three PAC-3 missiles fired in salvo.
Ukraine consumes approximately 60 Patriot interceptors per month, and its Air Force describes the supply position as a "starvation ration."
The Iran war has drawn further from US Patriot stocks, with Trump administration officials reportedly warning allies that US weapons supplies to Ukraine could be interrupted in the coming months.
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
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Russia's Military Collapse Is Now Irreversible
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NATO chief arrives in Kyiv the day after a mass Russian strike
By Martin Fornusek | June 3, 2026 10:59 am
https://kyivindependent.com/nato-chief-arrives-in-kyiv-day-after-mass-
russian-strike/
"What I want to achieve is that the burden is more evenly spread, that there is more burden sharing here. Because at the moment, it is only six or seven allies who are doing the heavy lifting," Rutte said at a meeting of NATO foreign ministers.
After U.S. President Donald Trump rolled back military aid for Ukraine, Kyiv's European allies have largely footed the bill to support Ukraine.
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
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THGR, I'm sure you'll never respond to this.
I listened to the first few minutes of your latest video, and it's just chock-full of unsupported statements.
Here's an example: Ukraine has the technological edge.
Really? Like?
Ok, Ukraine has drones.
So does Russia.
Ukraine supposedly has drones that talk to each other.
Russia appears to have that too.
Ukraine has a "flamingo" missile, which is a subsonic cruise missile or a big drone.
Russia has that, and supersonic and hypersonic versions as well.
Ukraine doesn't have artillery, or planes, or air dedenses.
Russia does.
IDK what this guy is talking about. But he doesn't explain.
Listen critically and ask yourself if you're hearing specifics or just blah blah blah.
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"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger
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Quote:Really, Signym? Do you want to revise that first sentence? Or is it the whole truth in your opinion?
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Ukraine doesn't have artillery, or planes, or air dedenses.
Russia does.
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
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Ukraine races to build a decentralized energy grid to withstand Russia’s winter attacks
“Our task is to build a system that is harder to destroy and easier to restore.”
By Alex Stezhensky | June 3, 2026, 06:56 AM
https://english.nv.ua/business/ukraine-builds-harder-to-destroy-energy
-system-after-russian-strikes-shmyhal-says-50613076.html
Shmyhal said the key metric is now recovery speed. That is why Ukraine is preparing a reserve stock of critical energy-system components ahead of next winter.
On Feb. 3, Russian troops launched their most powerful attack on Ukraine’s energy system since the start of the year. Energy Minister Denys Shmyhal said Russian forces attacked eight Ukrainian oblasts, using several types of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles and drones to strike apartment buildings, combined heat and power plants, as well as CHP and thermal power plants that were operating solely to heat districts in Kyiv, Kharkiv and Dnipro.
Ukraine needs at least EUR 5.4 billion ($6.3 billion) to prepare for the 2026–2027 heating season, Shmyhal said during a meeting of the Ukraine Energy Coordinating Group, known as Energy Ramstein, on April 26.
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
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