Real World Event Discussions

Russia Invades Ukraine. Again

POSTED BY: captaincrunch
UPDATED: Sunday, September 6, 2026 21:09
VIEWED: 562266
PAGE 1012 of 1104

Sunday, May 10, 2026 6:42 PM

ANALYSIS: Why Russia Violated Every Ceasefire for 12 Years, Even Those They Proposed

Kyiv Post scrutinizes 17 ceasefires starting with the Kremlin’s initial invasion of Ukraine in February 2014. Since the first one on June 20, 2014, all have been violated by the Russians. Here, Kyiv Post covers why Russia does so and what Ukraine and its allies could do.

By Sergii Kostezh | May 9, 2026, 1:04 pm

https://www.kyivpost.com/analysis/75728

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Sunday, May 10, 2026 6:45 PM

Planning three years ahead for more war with Russia

Swedish Gripen jets become top priority for Ukraine's air defense

Ukraine's Defense Ministry names key advantages of Swedish Gripen jets

By Daryna Vialko | Fri, May 08, 2026 – 23:04

https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/swedish-gripen-jets-become-top-priorit
y-for-1778270002.html


Ukraine and Sweden are preparing to sign contracts for the supply of Saab JAS 39 Gripen fighter jets. The aircraft has officially been identified as one of the top priorities for strengthening Ukraine’s Air Force, according to Ukraine’s Defense Ministry.

Key features of the Gripen fighter jets

The Swedish-made Gripen was specifically designed for conditions very similar to the realities of the war in Ukraine. One of the aircraft’s main advantages is its ability to operate from dispersed locations.

The fighter jet can take off and land on ordinary highways and short runways. This helps protect aircraft from strikes on airfield infrastructure, as it becomes harder for the enemy to locate the jets.

In addition to mobility, the Gripen is known for requiring only a minimal number of personnel for maintenance. For air-to-air missions, full refueling and rearming take less than 10 minutes, while preparation for ground attack missions requires under 20 minutes.

Features of the Gripen E variant

Ukraine is particularly interested in the Gripen E version. The aircraft is powered by a General Electric F414G engine, allowing speeds of up to 2,500 km/h and a combat radius exceeding 800 kilometers.

Its Raven ES-05 radar with active electronically scanned array technology can detect targets at long range, even under intense enemy electronic warfare interference.

The jet is also equipped with the Saab Arexis electronic warfare system. The aircraft can carry up to 7.2 tons of combat payload.

It is also capable of carrying Meteor missiles with a range exceeding 100 kilometers, giving it an advantage over Russian interceptor aircraft.

Ukraine and Sweden are in talks over Gripen jets

Earlier reports suggested Ukraine and Sweden could sign a Gripen agreement as early as this year. Under the proposed plan, both sides would finalize the contract terms and financing model for the fighter jet purchase.

Last autumn, Sweden also clarified when deliveries of Gripen E jets to Ukraine could begin. At the time, officials said the first aircraft could arrive within three years after all required agreements are signed.

Swedish officials have repeatedly highlighted the fighter’s technical advantages, especially its ability to operate from short runways and roads. That capability is seen as critically important for protecting Ukrainian airspace amid ongoing Russian attacks on airfield infrastructure.

How will the planes be financed? How many? Will Ukraine still be at war when the earliest planes are first delivered? Here: https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/ukraine-and-sweden-could-sign-gripen-f
ighter-1778176476.html


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Sunday, May 10, 2026 10:50 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by second:
ANALYSIS: Why Russia Violated Every Ceasefire for 12 Years, Even Those They Proposed

Second day of "ceasefire": Russians have attacked Ukrainian positions 60 times so far

Russian forces are conducting artillery attacks on border areas. The following settlements have been affected: Korenok, Novovasylivka, Rohozine, Yastrubshchyna, Budky, Atynske, Neskuchne, Bachivsk, Luzhky, Volfyne and Iskryskivshchyna in Sumy Oblast.

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/05/10/8034069/

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Monday, May 11, 2026 2:44 PM

Instability in Moscow

By Joshua Yaffa** | May 8, 2026

https://www.newyorker.com/news/the-lede/rumors-of-instability-in-mosco
w


. . . Since Putin first assumed the Presidency, almost twenty-seven years ago, his rule has rested on a certain mythology: that he is the country’s unitary authority and arbiter, the one figure who can hold together Russia’s many factions, clans, and interests. For members of the élite, even if they don’t like every decision—including Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022—it is safer and more profitable to have Putin in charge than to face a Hobbesian all-against-all struggle for power and resources. “The defining characteristic of the Russian élite is its opportunism,” Konstantin Remchukov, a newspaper publisher in Moscow, said. “And its ability to survive in any conditions. That’s how they get to be the élite in the first place.” In Putin’s repressive state, the costs of disloyalty are clear: Moscow’s Lefortovo Prison, after all, is not only full of political prisoners but ministers, generals, and governors.

The war has tested but not yet broken that loyalty. “Just about everyone would like to stop the war tomorrow—that’s obvious,” a fixture of Russia’s political élite told me. “There’s not a single person, other than Putin and the military brass, who wants to keep on fighting. But no one would ever dare to express their displeasure.”

The only real threat to Putin’s authority came a year into the war, when Yevgeniy Prigozhin, the founder of Wagner, a Russian paramilitary organization, launched a mutiny directed against Russia’s military leadership. He claimed that he wasn’t targeting Putin, but the sight of Wagner mercenaries in armored vehicles barrelling toward Moscow was undeniably a sign of instability. Putin called it “treason against our country,” saying that “all those who consciously chose the path of betrayal . . . will suffer inevitable punishment.” Two months later, Prigozhin and Wagner’s top leadership were killed when a private jet they were on exploded shortly after takeoff from Moscow. Message received.

The recent series of events—none of which, on their face, are as dramatic as an armed uprising of mercenary fighters—has created a sense that the political system is at once tightly controlled and utterly rudderless. “On the one hand, the regime is more airless than ever,” Farida Rustamova, the founder of “Vlast,” a newsletter on Russian politics, said. “All the screws have been tightened to the max.” At the same time, she said, “it’s also never been as chaotic and unpredictable.” There is a sense, among everyone from military officials to regional bureaucrats, that “the old rules are breaking down, and no one knows what the new ones are, or whether they exist at all.”

The main factor is the seemingly unresolvable deadlock in Ukraine. . . .
_______________________________

** Joshua Yaffa is a contributing writer at The New Yorker and the author of “Between Two Fires: Truth, Ambition, and Compromise in Putin’s Russia,” which won the Orwell Prize in 2021. He is currently the writer-in-residence at Bard College Berlin.

Download a free copy of Joshua Yaffa’s book from https://annas-archive.gl/search?q=Joshua+Yaffa

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Monday, May 11, 2026 3:09 PM

Analysis: Is Ukraine starting to win the war again?

By Francis Farrell | Updated: May 11, 2026 1:16 am

Who is winning?

Since the launch of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the information space around the war has been obsessed with this deceptively simple question, and the constant new iterations of answers to it.

In the hands of those fighting the narrative war, from officials on both sides, online cheerleaders, armchair generals, and a certain world leader who likes to talk about who has the cards, the answers differ radically, but all are delivered with consistent venom, emotion, and intellectual assuredness.

One camp says that Ukraine, with its stark disadvantage in manpower and without the backing of the United States, cannot hope to out-endure Russia, and should sign whatever peace deal now, as time is on Moscow's side.

The other camp says that Russia has already been defeated, their human wave attacks are stupid and hopeless, and at this rate they would take a century to take Ukraine.

Serious analysts are more careful, speaking of positive or negative trends as they grapple with the vast complexity of such a large-scale war. As much as Moscow might be humiliated by this or that event, as long as its plan to secure victory by slowly grinding down the outnumbered Ukrainian military continues, there is no cause for celebration, they say. The upper hand will be gained by the side in whose favor the long attritional fight is running.

Who is right? This spring, something strange is in the air. What? Find out at https://kyivindependent.com/analysis-is-ukraine-really-turning-the-tid
e-of-this-war
/

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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THG
Monday, May 11, 2026 7:12 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Quote:

Originally posted by second:
For the first time since both sides started ramping up ranged attacks two years ago, the Ukrainians launched more systems against Russia than Russia used against them — about 7500 to 6500.

The steep rise in Ukrainian attacks over the last two months points to successes in Ukrainian manufacturing capacity. To go from a previous peak of just over 4000 strikes to about 7500 is a massive increase in a short period.

https://phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/weekend-update-184-a-most-revea
ling


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Oh, baloney. A lot of the drones are being manufactured in Europe. Europe even says so.

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger





Second, I remember when anyone would post about Russia signym and kiki would respond in a flash. They were incapable of letting anything negative about Putin or Russia pass without a rebuttal. Now kiki is dead and signym is hiding, because the evidence over the years has been presented. Our comrade Russian friends were wrong about everything; everything. Russian interference not just in America but globally, and how Russia is a paper tiger; everything.
All we need to do is quote old posts and give updates with the current facts to show we were right.

Hey comrade; Russia is losing the war.


T

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THG
Monday, May 11, 2026 8:16 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM: Sunday, February 27, 2022 3:13 PM

Kiev surrounded, says the mayor.

https://california18.com/live-kiev-surrounded-follow-the-news-of-the-w
ar-in-ukraine/3558542022
/

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake






Are you sure?

T

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THG
Monday, May 11, 2026 8:28 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM: Thursday, March 3, 2022 8:08 PM


SIGNYM
Humanitarian corridors were negotiated.

This could be useful

Reminds me of the battle for Aleppo. Remember, however, it wasn't the Russians who blocked the humanitarian corridors, but the various terrorist groups (ISIS,HTS etc) who didn't want to lose their human shields.

So let's hope that the far right Ukies stick to the agreement- something they don't have a great history of doing- and allow civilians and surrendering soldiers to exit safely.
-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake




Russia slammed as ‘inhumane’ after blocking UN cross-border aid operation to Syria

https://www.cnn.com/2023/07/11/europe/un-syria-aid-turkey-russia-veto-
intl-hnk




Oops...

T

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Monday, May 11, 2026 9:03 PM

West has power to end Russia’s war against Ukraine — it’s choosing not to: Human rights lawyer tells us why

Human rights lawyer Simon Papuashvili on what Western governments won’t say out loud — and what it would actually take to stop Russia.

By Olena Mukhina | May 11, 2026

https://euromaidanpress.com/2026/05/11/west-has-power-to-end-russias-w
ar-against-ukraine-its-choosing-not-to-human-rights-lawyer-tells-us-why
/

There are people who know things, and there are people who will say them. Simon Papuashvili, Program Director of the International Partnership for Human Rights (IPHR), is rare in being both.

The Brussels-based NGO documents killings, torture, and abductions through open-source investigations — and in 2016, their evidence contributed to the International Court of Justice proceedings against Russia over crimes in occupied Crimea.

Which is why, when I spotted him at B4Ukraine, a conference on strengthening sanctions against Russia, I wanted to talk to him.

What strikes you first is that he doesn't convey urgency. He is calm, with the occasional trace of a smile that suggests he has already thought through whatever you're about to ask. What he says, however, is not calm at all. He is one of the few voices willing to state it plainly: Europe has adopted sanction after sanction against Russia, and then, quietly, looked the other way on enforcement.

Can you tell what works better, kinetic or economic sanctions?

Well, I think they're both important, and they should be seen as complementary rather than one or the other.

If you look at the Russian state budget, a large part of its revenue comes from the sale of fossil fuels. Still, four years after the full-scale war, a big chunk of the fossil fuels that Russia sells are being bought by the European states. We're talking about hundreds of billions of euros that go directly into the Russian state budget.

Taking this into consideration, the most effective sanction would be to basically say no to buying Russian oil and gas. That will have a direct, immediate impact on the war and Russia's ability to continue it.


Is Russia's gas and oil biggest part of Russian budget?

Well, the most conservative estimate is 30%, and even if we stick to that, 30% of income is a lot, you know. Russia has still been able to operate a shadow fleet, beside Europeans continue to buy oil and gas.

"The price cap on oil and gas, mostly on oil, has not been effectively enforced. There are things that can be done in this regard," Papuashvili said.

What has worked with sanctions and what hasn't, and how can we tell?

The sanctions' impact has been limited, and this is partly because we have a big problem with enforcement.

This problem is partly due to the fact that sanctions are not far-reaching and come very slowly and painfully. Also, it's because Europeans and Americans, Ukraine's allies, don't have, and haven't been put in place, proper institutions that are well-resourced to ensure that the sanctions in place are effectively enforced.

"So you can adopt as many sanctions as you want, but if you don't enforce them, there's no point. We have a big problem with enforcement, or the lack of enforcement," the human rights lawyer explained.

Experts say that Russia's overall goals — Ukraine and Europe's destruction — will not change, even if its economy declines

To gauge the war, you need resources. War is expensive, and you can't conduct a war if you don't have money. It’s very simple.

The Russians are used to living in harsh conditions, and they probably still have room to go in terms of how bad it can get.

"But if the government of Russia does not have money to produce drones, missiles, military equipment, and pay the soldiers, they just will not be able to sustain this. Full stop," he stressed.

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Tuesday, May 12, 2026 12:32 AM

Putin is down. This is the time to start kicking him

The West must ensure that Volodymyr Zelensky is empowered to secure a just peace for the Ukrainian people

By Hamish de Bretton-Gordon | 11 May 2026 5:02 pm BST

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2026/05/11/putin-russia-ukraine-war-m
oscow-victory-parade
/

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/putin-is-down-this-is-the-time-to
-start-kicking-him/ar-AA22Vyqr


Russian President Vladimir Putin has attempted to project an image of strength and inevitability over Russia’s disastrous war in Ukraine. Yet the reality on display during Saturday’s deeply underwhelming Victory Day parade in Moscow told an altogether different story.

For the first time in two decades, Russia could not muster a single tank in what is traditionally the Kremlin’s grand annual exhibition of military might – an event Putin himself describes as a warning to Russia’s enemies. What the world witnessed was not power, but weakness: a diminished parade, hollow symbolism, and a regime increasingly fearful of its own vulnerability.

Speaking after the scaled-back spectacle, Putin declared, “I think that the matter is coming to an end,” referring to what he still absurdly calls his “special military operation” in Ukraine. Yet even the parade itself exposed the Kremlin’s anxiety. With Ukrainian drones and missiles now capable of striking deep inside Russia, Putin clearly dared not risk displaying valuable military hardware at a known time and location. Instead, the regime relied heavily on massed marching formations, including North Korean troops, to create the illusion of scale and strength.

A temporary US-brokered ceasefire undoubtedly allowed the event to proceed without incident, although both Ukraine and Russia later accused one another of breaching the three-day truce. Nevertheless, the atmosphere surrounding the parade was unmistakably subdued.

Even Putin’s speech, usually a lengthy endurance test in which the dictator indulges in imperial nostalgia and Soviet-era rhetoric, was remarkably brief and muted. Gone was the swagger of a leader convinced of inevitable victory. In its place stood a man attempting to justify an increasingly costly and strategically catastrophic war. Putin insisted Russia was fighting a “just” war and described Ukraine as an “aggressive force” being armed by NATO. It is an extraordinary claim from the man who launched an entirely illegal and unprovoked invasion of Ukraine more than four years ago, having already illegally annexed Crimea in 2014.

Later, during a press conference, Putin accused the West of fuelling confrontation with Russia. The irony is breathtaking. It is Russia, not the West, that has spent years conducting a sustained hybrid war against Europe and particularly the United Kingdom. The murder of Alexander Litvinenko and the attempted assassination of Sergei Skripal in Salisbury remain chilling reminders of the Kremlin’s willingness to conduct state-sponsored attacks on British soil, alongside relentless cyber warfare, sabotage and espionage across Europe.

Nevertheless, the suggestion of peace emerging from the Kremlin offers some hope for Ukraine’s exhausted civilian population, many of whom have spent years sleeping in underground shelters rather than their own homes. The strategic landscape has shifted dramatically since previous negotiations, when Putin believed he could dictate terms demanding that Ukraine surrender territory, weaken its armed forces and abandon its Western ambitions.

Today, the battlefield reality is moving increasingly in Ukraine’s favour. Ukrainian forces continue to make incremental but meaningful advances while Russia suffers appalling losses in both manpower and equipment. Crucially, Ukraine is now beginning to manoeuvre armour more effectively through what had previously become a static, drone-dominated battlefield. These small tactical gains could soon evolve into something far more significant.

At the same time, Ukraine has demonstrated an increasingly sophisticated ability to strike strategically importan

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