Midterms 2026
POSTED BY: THG
UPDATED: Thursday, September 3, 2026 06:48
VIEWED: 15554
PAGE 43 of 46
Peltola leads Sullivan in Alaska Senate race poll
A new Alaska Survey Research poll shows Democrat Mary Peltola ahead of Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan, 49.1% to 42.5%, in a state long dominated by the GOP. The race, shaped by ranked-choice voting and a major fundraising edge for Peltola, has become one of Democrats’ top Senate targets. The outcome could influence control of the chamber in a year when Republicans hold a narrow majority.
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Pete Buttigieg is leading in New Hampshire
According to two new polls, the former Transport Secretary Pete Buttigieg is the favored candidate in the important presidential primary state of New Hampshire
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If you run a single known Democratic candidate against any Republican in 2028, you will lose.
Just a warning.
Your ONLY exception to that rule is if my prediction that Rham Emanuelle will enter the race turns out to be true.
He is the only Democrat who's name you know that could win the Presidency. That is due to two factors. The first is that he's largely kept his fucking mouth shut over the last 15 years while everybody else needs to constantly talk. The second is that on the rare occasion that he does speak, he comes out on the side of the 80% on all the 80/20 issues. Doesn't mean he believes them. But unlike any other Democrat out there, he says the right things.
Quote:
Originally posted by THG:
Peltola leads Sullivan in Alaska Senate race poll
A new Alaska Survey Research poll shows Democrat Mary Peltola ahead of Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan, 49.1% to 42.5%, in a state long dominated by the GOP. The race, shaped by ranked-choice voting and a major fundraising edge for Peltola, has become one of Democrats’ top Senate targets. The outcome could influence control of the chamber in a year when Republicans hold a narrow majority.
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And don't even get your hopes up on the senate. Democrats won't take the senate back for at least another decade under any circumstances. It's impossible.
Hey Google... What is Alaska Survey Research's political bias?
Quote:
Alaska Survey Research, particularly in high-stakes political contexts, has been noted for having a significant Democratic house effect, often overestimating the performance of Democratic candidates in a traditionally red state. Analysis has indicated that their polls can show different results compared to nonpartisan, broader polling averages, leading to skepticism regarding their accuracy in specific races.
Key Aspects of Alaska Survey Research Bias:
Democratic Lean: Analyses (e.g., by FiveThirtyEight) have found a "significant Democratic house effect" in polls from this firm, often overstating Democratic candidate support in Alaska.
Historical Misses: Past election results, such as the 2014 and 2018 elections, showed that their surveys inaccurately projected high support for Democratic candidates, while the actual outcomes fell short of these projections.
Difficulties in Alaska Polling: Alaska is known as a challenging state to poll accurately due to its unique demographics and low population density, which, combined with specific methodology (e.g., as mentioned in NCBI Bookshelf), can lead to persistent polling errors that tend to favor Democrats.
Methodological Challenges: The firm's work has been contrasted with the results of other pollsters, with their findings sometimes acting as an outlier in the broader context of Alaskan political surveys.
Links to FiveThirtyEight articles are abound in this answer. Even Leftist polling aggregator who was so bad they had to close their website down after the 2024 election said that Alaska Survey Research leaned way too far to the left and were completely unreliable.
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When it comes to me warning you about how much clickbait you ingest everyday, Theodore, the previous post of mine is a great emblematic example of what I mean by that.
I'm not sure if you heard about that poll in one of your daily Midas Touch trash videos you watch, or if you have a preferred news aggregator that gives you stories to look at everyday, but whoever put that poll in your head whether it was a video or the written word is lying to you again. Either that, or they are ignorant of the truth and they don't have anybody on their staff that has the will or desire to actually do any fact-checking before they spew their daily meaningless shit for you.
My VERY first question when I'm looking at any polling outside of an aggregate and I see a polling firm that I'm not familiar with is "WHO ARE THESE PEOPLE AND WHO FUNDS THEM?".
Surprisingly, figuring that out even on a state-level today isn't half bad. You're going to find people who love and hate nearly everything and you can get enough outfits and people giving their two cents, and then cross-referencing their answers with what type of website you're looking at and who you expect to be regular users, you can kind of balance all of that out enough to get a good enough picture of what they're all about.
But I didn't even have to do any of that here. Google straight up said that this polling firm is chronically inaccurate in favor of Democrats, and even linked to several articles from Five Thirty Eight calling them biased... And Five Thirty Eight's polling was so chronically biased to the left themselves over the last 3 presidential elections I was largely able to make my correct prediction about how Election Day 2024 went down just based off of the average of how bad they did every prior cycle on record.
There's no way to really know because the only 2 other polls in Alaska are from July and October of last year by another single polling firm called "Data for Progress". I haven't looked into them, simply because polling from October of last year or before then is meaningless. I will assume by their name that they're unabashedly Democratic Party leaning. They've basically come to the conclusion, at least up until October that they were tied.
My guess though is that this is another Iowa Push Poll incident where a single no-name/nobody outfit in one state comes out of the blue and shows something wildly inaccurate for one reason or another.
I'm pretty sure in reality we'd have to be in the middle of World War III or the Greater Depression for that seat to go to the Democrat.
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"Corruption in America runs a lot deeper than Donald Trump." Ossoff in Atlanta
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Quote:
Originally posted by THG: Thursday, April 3, 2025 5:22 PM
THG
tick tock...
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Trump's tariffs are immediately doing what tariffs do; 900 hundred people laid off yesterday in Michigan and Indiana as Trump held a press conference about his tariffs.
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Top 6 signs Trump is losing the Independents who elected him
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In reality, midterms are not looking good for Democrats.
People might not be happy with Trump at the moment, but when it comes to election day they're going to remember all of the horrible, terrible things the Democratic Party does to America and they won't vote Democrat.
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
In reality, midterms are not looking good for Democrats.
People might not be happy with Trump at the moment, but when it comes to election day they're going to remember all of the horrible, terrible things the Democratic Party does to America and they won't vote Democrat.
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76% of Americans say this issue is their biggest problem
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