Russia Invades Ukraine. Again
POSTED BY: captaincrunch
UPDATED: Sunday, September 6, 2026 21:09
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The controversial death toll in Ukraine
New technologies help calculate the number of casualties, estimated at up to nearly two million, despite attempts by Kyiv and Moscow to conceal them
Luis de Vega | Kyiv - MAR 07, 2026 - 23:00 EST
https://english.elpais.com/international/2026-03-08/the-controversial-
death-toll-in-ukraine-the-deadliest-european-war-in-eight-decades.html
General or partial assessments of the number of victims in the war in Ukraine reveal the high human cost of an armed conflict unprecedented in Europe in the last eight decades. With estimates of nearly two million military casualties, it is reminiscent of the worst conflicts experienced in the 20th century on the Old Continent. The most conservative figures — around half a million deaths on the Ukrainian side — are five times higher than those of the Balkan War (1992-1995), which totaled 100,000, of whom 13,500 were civilians.
The Ukrainian Commissioner for Missing Persons in Special Circumstances has just raised the number of missing persons to 90,000, including military personnel and civilians of all ages, sources from that agency confirmed to EL PAÍS. “The majority, of course, are military personnel, and we assume, unfortunately, that many of them have been killed,” the commissioner added, declining to provide a detailed breakdown to avoid giving the enemy any clues. The Ministry of the Interior, for its part, puts the number of missing adults at just over 99,300, of whom 3,400 are women.
In the latest available overall estimate, the number of military casualties — killed, missing, wounded, and prisoners of war — during Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, which marked its fourth anniversary on February 24, is the highest in Europe since World War II. Although both governments try to conceal their losses in the armed conflict that has ravaged Ukraine and barely report on them, these figures are approaching two million (1.2 million for Moscow and between 500,000 and 600,000 for Kyiv), according to a report released a month ago by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) in Washington. Civilian deaths in Ukraine exceed 15,100, according to the U.N. tally.
The last time Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy addressed this sensitive issue was on February 4. He reported 55,000 Ukrainian soldiers killed, a figure far lower than estimates by independent sources. Meanwhile, authorities in Kyiv have even shut down websites dedicated to reporting on casualty figures, despite Ukraine not considering these a state secret. Ukrainian media outlets are also attempting to shed light on this thorny issue.
Access to all kinds of open sources of information about the most documented and widely publicized war in history allows us to uncover a wealth of data, despite the wall of silence imposed by each side when it comes to reporting their own casualties. Cell phones, social media, drones, satellites, geolocation, cameras installed in public and private places… everything makes it much easier for anyone to extract information than in previous conflicts.
Dmytro Dzhulai, a reporter for Radio Free Europe, has amassed a vast amount of information on his computer thanks to the four years he has spent investigating the massacre of 500 civilians by Russian soldiers in 2022 in Bucha, on the outskirts of Kyiv. Less data is available on another notorious massacre, and one with far larger numbers: the killing of 8,000 Bosniak Muslims by Bosnian Serb forces over three days after UN troops withdrew from Srebrenica in the summer of 1995.
Dzhulai knows every corner of Bucha where a body has been found. He knows which Russian military unit was deployed on each street, who was responsible, their photos, their contacts… In his office in the Ukrainian capital, he shows videos of soldiers executing residents in cold blood and, moments later, robbing them of their belongings. In many cases, the priority was getting hold of their cell phones. “The Russian soldiers used the phones of the Ukrainians they murdered to call their own families or par
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Ukrainian forces have been increasingly striking Russian military infrastructure in occupied Crimea in the past weeks, with Ukrainian officials reporting strikes at least 14 times since February 11.[33] Ukrainian forces have largely targeted Russian air defense systems, radar systems, drone infrastructure, and ammunition facilities. Ukrainian strikes have likely degraded Russian air defense in the area, allowing subsequent strikes to reach their intended targets.
https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive
-campaign-assessment-march-9-2026/
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
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Ukraine's Flamingo missile maker promises FP-9 ballistics will reach Moscow
By Kollen Post | March 9, 2026 8:07 pm
https://kyivindependent.com/ukraines-flamingo-missile-maker-promises-f
p-9-ballistics-will-reach-moscow/
Ukraine's most famous missile maker start-up is trialing a new ballistic weapon that the firm claims will reach Moscow by the end of the summer.
In a March 9 interview with Army TV, Denys Shtilierman, the principle owner and chief engineer of Fire Point, touted the future stats of the FP-7 and FP-9, in turn short and long-range ballistic missiles that the company initially announced in September.
Fire Point is the maker of the FP-1, likely the most popular deep-strike drone in Ukraine's arsenal, as well as the FP-5 Flamingo cruise missile.
A sticking point for all of Ukraine's deep-strike weaponry has been that Russia has effectively ringed Moscow and St. Petersburg with air defense systems. Drones and even cruise missiles almost never get through, a problem that Shtilierman acknowledged even as the maker of both.
"The FP-9 will be able to strike targets in Moscow easily because it has a very high speed of impact," Shtilierman said. "For example, the Iskander has a speed of about 800 meters per second. At that speed it hits.
"Ours will hit at over 1,200, so we'll overcome anti-air defenses noticeably easier. Yes, something will get in the way, but 25% or something like that will get through and hit the target."
Shtilierman recently published videos of the launch of the FP-7. In the more recent interview, when asked as to the current stage of their development of ballistics he said "we'll be testing them on the neighbors shortly."
Of the longer-range and heavier-hitting FP-9, Shtilierman had previously indicated hopes to have functional models ready by June 2026.
One of the biggest winners of Ukraine's wartime defense spending, Fire Point's history is not without controversy. The firm began a press tour across Europe last summer touting its Flamingo missile, with claimed range, payload, accuracy and production figures that far exceeded any demonstrable impact on the battlefield.
The Kyiv Independent reported in August that the firm was facing an anti-corruption probe, the first public mention of Shtilierman in association with Fire Point. Shtilierman publicly came out as the majority owner of Fire Point in November, explaining financial ties to a network surrounding Timur Mindich as personal rather than via his deep-strike company.
More recently, however, an increasing number of Flamingo missiles are popping up throughout Russia, in welcome news both for the firm and for Ukraine's overall defense.
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
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Keeping Kyiv Warm Under Fire
As Russian strikes batter the grid, a corruption scandal deepens Ukraine’s winter crisis.
By Anna Conkling | March 9, 2026, 5:00 AM
https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/03/09/russia-ukraine-war-energy-corrupt
ion-scandal/
KYIV—The roar of a generator bellows through a snow-covered courtyard in the city’s Troieshchyna neighborhood, drowning out conversation inside the six military-green tents pitched in a courtyard outside of residential buildings.
It had been running for three days straight, far longer than it was designed to, powering emergency heating stations for residents whose homes have gone cold during Ukraine’s harshest winter in more than a decade. When the machine stalls, even briefly, the lights flicker and the heat falters.
Inside the tents, run by Ukraine’s State Emergency Services (DSNS), there are cots, children’s books, and a Starlink connection. Anatoly, a DSNS commander, serves cheese sandwiches and tea, encouraging civilians to eat. By evening, more residents trickle in. Though they had braced for another wartime winter, few expected temperatures to plunge to minus 9 degrees Fahrenheit, or that strikes would continue to decimate the energy grid with peace talks ongoing. Many say their apartments hover around 46 degrees Fahrenheit, and it’s simply impossible to stay there anymore. “More people begin to show when they learn that they can eat food here,” Anatoly said. “Many don’t have the electricity to cook at home.”
As Russia’s war in Ukraine passes the four-year mark, many Ukrainians believe Moscow’s strategy of attrition now centers on freezing cities into submission. Part of the battle has shifted decisively toward the country’s energy grid—and toward Kyiv itself. January and February’s waves of drone and missile strikes marked some of the most sustained assaults on the capital’s heating and electricity systems since the beginning of the war, leaving hundreds of thousands without power and heat in subzero temperatures.
The attacks are a test of Ukraine’s resilience on two fronts. First is the physical struggle to keep the energy grid from collapsing under a new wave of Russian strikes. But behind this there is also a mounting political struggle to maintain public trust amid widening energy-sector corruption allegations. The scandal, which involved government officials receiving kickbacks from energy suppliers, adds to a political divide in Ukraine at a time when unity is needed most.
Throughout the war, Russia has launched hundreds of strikes on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure. Kyiv had largely been spared from the worst of it, going days or even weeks without major attacks. However, over the last year, Russia’s attacks on Kyiv have intensified, with record-breaking drone and missile attacks occurring in the capital city and the country writ large.
2026 has proved no different. On Jan. 9, Russia carried out a massive overnight attack on multiple Ukrainian cities. This included a strike on the Lviv region using the nuclear-capable Oreshnik missile for only the second time—something EU foreign-policy chief Kaja Kallas said was “meant as a warning” to Europe and the United States. Kyiv was also hit especially hard, with four people killed and 25 injured. Mayor Vitalii Klitschko said 6,000 residential buildings—nearly half of the capital’s total—lost heat. As of March 2, 1,100 residential apartments in Kyiv still lack heating and are expected to remain without it for the remainder of the heating season, according to Klitschko’s office.
The race to repair the grid is ongoing. Ukraine’s largest private investor in the energy sector, DTEK, told Foreign Policy that more than 1,000 workers are trying to restore heat across the city, assisted by crews from other regions and from Ukrainian Railways. But each new strike sets back their work, driving a relentless cycle of destruction and restoration. “There’s a huge amount of work,” said Ihor, a DTEK maintenance worker. Crews are already stretched thin, working extended shifts in freezing conditions. “It’s v
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Top-secret reports reveal true extent of Russian fatalities in Ukraine
Defense Intelligence reveals the figure that Moscow keeps under seven locks
By Kateryna Shkarlat | Tue, March 10, 2026 - 17:35
https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/top-secret-reports-reveal-true-extent-
of-1773156909.html
According to internal official Russian reports obtained by the Defense Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, the aggressor’s irrecoverable losses (killed and severely wounded) amount to 1.315 million people.
Particular attention in the report was paid to the change in the ratio between those killed and wounded. Currently, out of 100% of Russian losses, 62% are killed, and only 38% are wounded.
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
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How Russia tries and fails to hide its casualties in Ukraine
https://kyivindependent.com/impossible-to-ban-grief-how-russia-tries-a
nd-fails-to-hide-its-casualties-in-ukraine/
Russia has tightened control over information about its battlefield losses in Ukraine, cutting off data and closing one public loophole after another. The effort has not stopped the evidence of the dead from surfacing.
Researchers have turned to a patchwork of indirect Russian statistical figures to calculate Russia's battlefield losses. One useful resource used to be data on excess mortality, measured by comparing how many people die in a given period to the number expected based on prior years, using Russia's official death registrations.
In the first year of the full-scale invasion, researchers were able to use this data to reach a rough estimate of Russia's war-related casualties. This loophole, however, was closed in 2023, when Russia's statistical agency Rosstat was ordered to cease publications linked to demographics. These were never resumed.
Data on inheritance cases in Russia, which are published in a unique state register, emerged as another source of information. "To put it very simply, we look at the register and see if there is an abnormal number of inheritance cases for men in a given time period," Treshchanin said. "Together with other statistical data, this can give a relatively accurate estimate of the number of Russian soldiers who died in Ukraine."
But such cases were suddenly deleted, and in about 50 (out of 83) Russian regions, there are no cases left online at all.
While Russia limits access to these and similar statistics, the country's social media remains flooded with information on Russian soldiers killed in Ukraine. Even in an authoritarian regime, it's impossible to ban people from grieving for their relatives.
In a school there is some commemorative event for a Russian soldier killed in Ukraine, children plant trees or something similar, and someone puts up a commemorative plaque. As there are many events like this, this helps identify a lot of Russian casualties in Ukraine.
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
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