2025 Wide Release Prediction Game Thread
POSTED BY: 6ixStringJack
UPDATED: Tuesday, April 28, 2026 17:16
VIEWED: 30539
PAGE 43 of 53
Paramount, Netflix & Comcast Submit Warner Bros Discovery Bids
https://deadline.com/2025/11/paramount-netflix-comcast-submit-wbd-bids
-1236625396/
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Oscars: Academy Reveals List Of Eligible Documentary, Animation & International Features
https://deadline.com/2025/11/oscars-eligible-films-2026-documentary-an
imation-international-1236625972/
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Brendan Fraser Says ‘Batgirl’ Cancellation Is an Example of Movies Being ‘Commodified’ in Hollywood: ‘It’s More Valuable to Burn it Down and Get the Insurance’
https://variety.com/2025/film/news/brendan-fraser-batgirl-movies-commo
dified-content-hollywood-1236589653/
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Looks like Wicked 2 is going to be the top grossing US movie of 2025 according to Bruce.
https://www.the-numbers.com/news/260340830-Weekend-projections-Wicked-
For-Good-soars-to-150-million-domestic-debut
Bruce must have forgotten that Avatar 3 drops on December 19th.
Although I'd love to see everyone check out of that and watch it make less than Wicked, I doubt very much that's going to happen.
C'mon Bruce. You do this for a living, dude.
Wicked 1 made $756 Million worldwide.
Avatar 1 made $2.923 BILLION worldwide back in 2009 which after 16 years and 4 years of Bidenflation in the middle of it is probably closer to $5 Billion today than it is to $3 Billion.
Avatar 2 three years ago made $2.322 BILLION.
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Wicked-
(2024)/Wicked-For-Good-(2025)/Avatar/Avatar-The-Way-of-Water-(2022)#tab=day_by_day_comparison
So what if Wicked 2 is making 30% more domestically and 17% more internationally on opening weekend? Absolute BEST case scenario it breaks $1 Billion (and I'm being EXTREMELY generous saying that).
For Wicked 2 to be the top grossing movie of 2025, Avatar 3 would have to lose about 60% of it's 2022 audience without even factoring in 3 years of inflation to those numbers.
Stop simping for the two Ozempic addicted, glassy-eyed weirdos. They're just not into you dude.
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Be Nice. Don't be a dick. 
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Disney / 20th Century's Predator: Badlands has passed the $150M global mark. The film grossed an estimated $7.2M internationally this weekend. Estimated international total stands at $83.3M, estimated global total stands at $159.6M.
https://bsky.app/profile/boxofficereport.bsky.social/post/3m6cqiv25lc2
t
part II of Wicked is expected to have a boost in the US with parents taking kids to the movie during Thanksgiving
nu Disney’s Snow White will probably fall down more on the yearly charts
the new Wicked might struggle in Europe and Asia but its doing very good in the English speaking world
https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/34054-wicked-for-good/#commen
ts
Wicked: For Good (2025) vs. Wicked (2024) vs. Frozen II (2019)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Wicked-
For-Good-(2025)/Wicked-(2024)/Frozen-II-(2019)#tab=day_by_day_comparison
Predator: Badlands (2025) vs. Wicked: For Good (2025) vs. Moana 2 (2024)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Predato
r-Badlands-(2025)/Wicked-For-Good-(2025)/Moana-2-(2024)#tab=day_by_day_comparison
Wicked: For Good (2025) vs. Rio 2 (2014) vs. Les Misérables (2012)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Wicked-
For-Good-(2025)/Rio-2/Miserables-Les-(2012)#tab=day_by_day_comparison
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Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
Disney / 20th Century's Predator: Badlands has passed the $150M global mark. The film grossed an estimated $7.2M internationally this weekend. Estimated international total stands at $83.3M, estimated global total stands at $159.6M.
https://bsky.app/profile/boxofficereport.bsky.social/post/3m6cqiv25lc2
t
And what did Jack have to say...
November 15th:
Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
It needs in the area of $260 Million to break even. Right now it's got $96. I'll add another $15 Million domestic for Sat/Sun just to be safe, and I'll give another $40 Million for the international market 1st week finish/2nd weekend. Now you're at $151 Million. (And I think this is pretty conservative and they won't get that high. I'm just not going to change it because there could be some new countries in there that would boost it back up even if there are sharp 2nd weekend drops everywhere else).
Where do you go from there? How are you going to get $110 more million when your 3rd weekend is going to be grossing somewhere around $6-$8 Million domestic, and the opening weekend was a pure 50/50 spit domestic/international?
Yerp.
Now they need $100 Million more, and they're going to make around $2.5 to $3.5 Million next weekend.
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Intl opening wknd for #WickedForGood is on track for about $76M with nearly one third of that ($24M) coming just from UK!
https://x.com/GiteshPandya/status/1992264161552740710
Nu Wicked
$69,117,615 /$69,117,615
1st Saturday
$43,415,440 /
$112,533,055
1st Sunday
$34,471,585 /
$147,004,640
1st Monday
$14,701,415 /
$161,706,055
1st Tuesday
$15,734,865 /
$177,440,920
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Disney / 20th Century's Predator: Badlands grossed an estimated $900K on Wednesday (from 2,750 locations). Estimated total domestic gross stands at $79.32M
https://x.com/BORReport/status/1994078733104558144#m
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James Cameron Says if Avatar: Fire and Ash Doesn't Make Enough Money to Justify Avatar 4 and 5, He's Ready to Walk Away and Write a Book to Resolve the One Thread It Leaves Open
https://www.ign.com/articles/james-cameron-says-if-avatar-fire-and-ash
-doesnt-make-enough-money-to-justify-avatar-4-and-5-hes-ready-to-walk-away-and-write-a-book-to-resolve-the-one-thread-it-leaves-open
Sisu: Road To Revenge North America Box Office: Nordic Action Sequel’s 23% Tuesday Jump Pushes It Into the Year’s Top 150 Domestic Earners
https://www.koimoi.com/box-office/sisu-road-to-revenge-north-america-b
ox-office-nordic-action-sequels-23-tuesday-jump-pushes-it-into-the-years-top-150-domestic-earners/
Sisu: Road to Revenge remains below par at the box office despite a wide release and a recent weekday push
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Disney's Zootopia 2 grossed an estimated $41.6M internationally on Wednesday (from 17 international markets), including $34.0M in China.
https://x.com/BORReport/status/1994077937956790359#m
Estimated global total through Wednesday stands at $81.1M
A24's Eternity grossed $616K on Thanksgiving Thursday (from 1,348 locations). 2-Day total domestic gross stands at $2.07M.
https://bsky.app/profile/boxofficereport.bsky.social/post/3m6p5az5puc2
x
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