2025 Wide Release Prediction Game Thread
POSTED BY: 6ixStringJack
UPDATED: Tuesday, April 28, 2026 17:16
VIEWED: 30539
PAGE 42 of 53
Behind ‘KPop Demon Hunters’ Sequel Deal: Netflix Awards Sony $15 Million Cash Bonus for First Film, Raising Total Payout to $40 Million
https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/kpop-demon-hunters
-netflix-awards-sony-1236420465/
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unpredictable overseas?
Cinemas in Singapore turn to private bookings as movie attendance falls
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/singapore/cinema-hall-bookings-private
-alternative-content-events-5462191
the latest hope for cash is Predator Badlands
Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015) vs. Predator: Badlands (2025) vs. Sarah’s Oil (2025)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Avenger
s-Age-of-Ultron/Predator-Badlands-(2025)/Sarahs-Oil-(2025)#tab=day_by_day_comparison
Predator: Badlands (2025) vs. Captain America: Civil War (2016) vs. Nuremberg (2025)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Predato
r-Badlands-(2025)/Captain-America-Civil-War/Nuremberg-(2025)#tab=day_by_day_comparison
Alien: Covenant (2017) vs. Predator: Badlands (2025) vs. AVP: Alien Vs. Predator (2004)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Alien-C
ovenant/Predator-Badlands-(2025)/AVP-Alien-Vs-Predator#tab=day_by_day_comparison
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Paramount, Comcast, Netflix Prepare Bids for Warner as Deadline Approaches
https://www.wsj.com/business/media/paramount-comcast-netflix-prepare-b
ids-for-warner-as-deadline-approaches-999cbec3
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Predator Badlands $15,898,455 on Friday
followed by a strong weekend
then first Thursday?
$1,712,829 /
$53,304,860
Predator: Badlands (2025) vs. A Quiet Place (2018) vs. Alien: Resurrection (1997)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Predato
r-Badlands-(2025)/Quiet-Place-A-(2018)/Alien-Resurrection#tab=day_by_day_comparison
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I've heard some people like Yellow Flash say he thought the movie would break even, but I don't see Predator making its money back. I think in Yellow Flash's case, he's been about as bored with Hollywood and movies as I have and he stopped paying attention and forgot how these things work.
It made less than 80% of its production budget back on opening weekend worldwide, and when I was paying attention and cataloging the Top 100 for 2 years there, only 2 or 3 other movies with an opening weekend under 80% came back. Universal's Migration came back and actually made Universal a lot of money. Disney's Elemental more or less broke even at the end of its run, which was a miracle with how low the opening weekend turnout was compared to how high Disney budgets usually are. But they were both kids movies.
I think this is a case of anybody who wanted to see it has already seen it, and there won't be many repeat viewings. Bruce is only predicting less than $16 Million this weekend, which is right around where I would have expected the fall to be from $40 Million. It made a projected $3.5 Million last night compared to $10,098,445 on opening Friday, which is a 65% drop. It's marked as a -78% drop when compared to the opening weekend including Thursday's previews.
To put that into perspective, with preview nights included, The Marvels (2023) dropped -87% on the 2nd Friday and Indiana Jones 5 only dropped -67%. Both were massive, massive flops for Disney.
It needs in the area of $260 Million to break even. Right now it's got $96. I'll add another $15 Million domestic for Sat/Sun just to be safe, and I'll give another $40 Million for the international market 1st week finish/2nd weekend. Now you're at $151 Million. (And I think this is pretty conservative and they won't get that high. I'm just not going to change it because there could be some new countries in there that would boost it back up even if there are sharp 2nd weekend drops everywhere else).
Where do you go from there? How are you going to get $110 more million when your 3rd weekend is going to be grossing somewhere around $6-$8 Million domestic, and the opening weekend was a pure 50/50 spit domestic/international?
Somehow this thing got a Cinemascore of "A-". I don't understand that since it sounds like word of mouth for this movie is not good.
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Be Nice. Don't be a dick. 
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that Japan Anime Chainsaw Man seems to struggle, the overall sucessful of Anime at US cinema might be more of a sign of Hollywood weakness than a sign of strength of those Japanese cartoons
'Keeper' movie, another horror that missed Halloween?
However its budget is reported as low as 6 Million
https://deadline.com/2025/11/box-office-now-you-see-me-3-running-man-p
redator-badlands-1236617534/
Predator: Badlands (2025) vs. The Predator (2018) vs. Prometheus (2012)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Predato
r-Badlands-(2025)/Predator-The-(2018)/Prometheus#tab=day_by_day_comparison
BLACK PHONE 2 | 50.3M overseas | 120.4M worldwide
https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/34060-the-black-phone-2-503m-
overseas-1204m-worldwide/
Running Man a 2025 dystopian action thriller remake, Now You See Me is a 2013 a criminal thriller talented magicians stealing items movie, American heist film, this is another remake a third installment, Now You See Me: Now You Don't
Friday, November 2025
https://x.com/BORReport/status/1989751301027274860
1. #NowYouSeeMe - $8.40M
2. #RunningManMovie - $6.45M
3. #PredatorBadlands - $3.50M
4. #RegrettingYouMovie - $1.22M
5. #Keeper - $1.05M
6. #BlackPhone2 - $740K
7. #NurembergFilm - $700K
Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Where do you go from there?
I dont know, maybe they are expecting a huge overseas in China, Germany, Japan, France, Australia?
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‘Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle’ Opens at No. 1 in China
https://variety.com/2025/film/box-office/demon-slayer-infinity-castle-
china-box-office-1236583392/
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David Ellison’s Paramount Skydance Said to Prep $71 Billion Warner Bros. Discovery Bid With Three Arab Sovereign Wealth Funds
https://variety.com/2025/biz/news/paramount-warner-bros-discovery-arab
-sovereign-wealth-funds-1236584624/
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Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
David Ellison’s Paramount Skydance Said to Prep $71 Billion Warner Bros. Discovery Bid With Three Arab Sovereign Wealth Funds
https://variety.com/2025/biz/news/paramount-warner-bros-discovery-arab
-sovereign-wealth-funds-1236584624/
We will see. There was an update that either you missed, or that happened after you posted the article. At the very top now:
Quote:
UPDATED: Paramount Skydance has denied a Variety report that the company was forming an investment consortium with the sovereign wealth funds of Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Abu Dhabi to submit a bid for Warner Bros. Discovery,
“The information Variety published is categorically inaccurate,” a rep for Paramount Skydance said in a statement. “This is a confidential process, which we respect and, as such, will not be commenting until the process is over.”
This is a huge fucking problem though, if true.
If you thought Woke was bad, just wait until the camel jockies buy up all of our media in fire sales, due to all of these companies destroying themselves with the woke shit.
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a kids movies usually does well during the Christmas period in 'The West' while Asia also takes a break but the celebration centers around New Year
Zootopia 2, big numbers expected
https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/32964-zootopia-ii/page/2/#com
ments
‘Moana’ Trailer Sails To 182M Views In First Day, 2nd Best For A Disney Live-Action Movie Behind ‘The Lion King’
https://deadline.com/2025/11/moana-trailer-record-traffic-1236624044/
‘Wicked: For Good’ Aims for Biggest Opening of 2025 With $150 Million to $180 Million Debut
https://variety.com/2025/film/box-office/wicked-for-good-box-office-op
ening-weekend-projection-record-1236584693/
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