2025 Wide Release Prediction Game Thread
POSTED BY: 6ixStringJack
UPDATED: Tuesday, April 28, 2026 17:16
VIEWED: 30539
PAGE 39 of 53
Tron Ares weaker First Monday than Black Adam or Tomorrowland or Pacific Rim or Blade Runner 2049 ot Five Nights at Freddy’s
1st Monday
$3,613,933 / $36,855,366
they keep seeing him as A-List lead and keep casting him as a lead role so does he have blackmail on the producers of $180M budget movies
5 Reasons Why Tron: Ares Flopped At The Box Office
https://www.slashfilm.com/1996682/tron-ares-box-office-flop-reasons/
“No One Asked for This Reboot”: ‘Tron’ May Mark End of Jared Leto’s Franchise-Leading Days
https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/jared-leto-tron-ar
es-box-office-1236401068/
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Hollywood is crashing so hard they are blaming the Wuhan again
K-pop is selling on streaming, Japan toons are selling in cinema outselling Hollyweird culture
the Chinese didnt ban One Battle After Another, in China One Battle After Another only hit 116k
other cultures have stopped watching a lot of US movies, maybe its the politics in these movies that is annoying?
Lionsgate's The Strangers: Chapter 2 grossed $221K on Tuesday (from 1,878 locations). Total domestic gross stands at $14.01M
https://x.com/BORReport/status/1978544045879164938#m
‘One Battle After Another’ Projected to Lose $100 Million Theatrically as ‘Smashing Machine’ and Others Also Struggle Due to Oversized Budgets
https://variety.com/2025/film/box-office/one-battle-after-another-lose
-100-million-dollars-theaters-1236552914/
Week Box Office Est. - New Zealand
https://x.com/numeroboxoffice/status/1978631450057392402
1. #TronAres - $407k
2. #OneBattleAfterAnother - $214k
3. #PrimeMinisterDocumentary - $176k
Tron: Ares Proves That Jared Leto Is Box Office Poison
https://www.slashfilm.com/1996849/jared-leto-box-office-poison-tron-ar
es-opening/
Paramount & Miramax's Roofman grossed $1.26M on Tuesday (from 3,362 locations). Total domestic gross stands at $10.50M.
https://x.com/BORReport/status/1978546496803840001#m
Tron: Ares (2025) vs. Black Adam (2022) vs. Five Nights at Freddy’s (2023)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Tron-Ar
es-(2025)/Black-Adam-(2022)/Five-Nights-at-Freddys-(2023)#tab=day_by_day_comparison
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Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
other cultures have stopped watching a lot of US movies, maybe its the politics in these movies that is annoying?
The rest of the world grew tired of California putting its evil morals on everyone else.
--------------------------------------------------
For all that I've blessed, and all that I've wronged. In dreams until my death, I will wander on.
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Quote:I'm sure it is because the movies are NOT entertaining. (Plus, why pay for a movie you can watch for free?) https://uindex.org/search.php?search=one+battle+after+another&c=1
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
other cultures have stopped watching a lot of US movies, maybe its the politics in these movies that is annoying?
The rest of the world grew tired of California putting its evil morals on everyone else.
Leonardo DiCaprio's 'One Battle After Another' looks to be an unlikely box office failure
Variety estimates that the critically acclaimed film will lose about $100 million
By Dan Gentile, Senior Culture Editor Oct 16, 2025
https://www.sfgate.com/sf-culture/article/leonardo-dicaprio-one-battle
-after-another-failure-21104309.php
I wonder why the above article says unlikely box office failure?
From experience with the kind of movies Leonardo DiCaprio agrees to star in, it was a very likely failure:
Leonardo DiCaprio's Killers of the Flower Moon [2023] did not recoup its production and marketing costs from its box office revenue, leading to a significant financial loss. While estimates vary, the total estimated budget is around $200–$215 million for production, with marketing costs potentially pushing the total to over $300 million. The film's global box office gross was about $157 million, meaning it fell far short of breaking even and likely lost hundreds of millions of dollars.
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
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Quote:
Originally posted by second:Quote:I'm sure it is because the movies are NOT entertaining.
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
other cultures have stopped watching a lot of US movies, maybe its the politics in these movies that is annoying?
The rest of the world grew tired of California putting its evil morals on everyone else.
You'll get no argument out of anyone for that statement.
The ideologues in Hollywood are as creatively bankrupt as they are morally bankrupt.
--------------------------------------------------
For all that I've blessed, and all that I've wronged. In dreams until my death, I will wander on.
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Quote:Hollywood made another movie that is not entertaining and will lose money. But I don’t think it is an immoral movie:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
The ideologues in Hollywood are as creatively bankrupt as they are morally bankrupt.
A House of Dynamite (2025)
Worldwide Box Office $96,957
https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/House-of-Dynamite-A-(2025)#tab=summa
ry
Kathryn Bigelow's Nuclear Nightmare
By Tom Nichols | October 16, 2025, 9:52 AM ET
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2025/10/kathryn-bigelow-hous
e-of-dynamite/684569/
Hollywood and the American public have treated nuclear war as yesterday’s problem, a nightmare that was long ago somehow solved. Bigelow has broken this silence with a film that reminds us that the world is still in danger—perhaps more today than ever—from a nuclear conflict.
I am not a film critic; I watched A House of Dynamite as someone who has spent much of his professional life studying nuclear weapons and strategies. (I also had the opportunity to visit the set and watch parts of A House of Dynamite while it was being filmed, and to discuss the movie with the director as well as the producer Greg Shapiro and its writer, Noah Oppenheim.) Like Bigelow, I am a child of the Cold War, and as I wrote this summer, I have long been distressed by how quickly the threat of nuclear war has faded from both America’s collective consciousness and its popular culture. Bigelow shares that concern, and she has created a film whose settings and scenario are all too possible.
A House of Dynamite opens with a missile appearing over the Pacific, headed for the continental United States. The missile’s origin is a mystery: Somehow, the U.S. early-detection systems missed its launch. (Was it a glitch? Sabotage? No one knows.) It might be a mistake. It might be a desperate move by the North Koreans, a sneak attack by the Russians or the Chinese, or the first wave of a larger attack by a combination of America’s enemies. Or it might be, as one of the officers at U.S. Strategic Command muses to his boss, that “some fucking sub captain woke up, found out his wife left him, and snapped.” Within minutes of detection, the missile’s target is confirmed: Chicago.
Now what? The story is told three times, from three different vantage points, but always ends with the same stomach-churning request: “Your orders, Mr. President.”
When I first saw an early version of A House of Dynamite, I expected to have something of a “punch list” of gripes, things experts might notice that seem wrong or out of place. I found very few. (I would argue, for one, that the film is too generous in its estimation of the possible efficacy of U.S. missile defenses.) More to the point, I worked for a U.S. senator in Washington during the first Gulf War, and later taught at the Naval War College, and I was struck by how many people in the film spoke and acted like the policy makers and senior officers I’ve met over the years. Tracy Letts was especially effective as the commanding general of STRATCOM. He was, like many top officers I knew, capable of turning from snippy martinet to consummate professional almost in the same moment.
Experts might also quibble with, for example, the likelihood that some enemy might launch just one missile, and why. But the reality is that the Cold War scenarios of the previous century, which were based on nuclear exchanges erupting during a major war between the United States and the Soviet Union, are no longer the only ways a cataclysm could unfold. Nuclear deterrence was a dicey enough business when it was a two-player game; today, nine states can point nuclear arms at one another in a web of overlapping enmities and alliances. Wisely, Bigelow and Oppenheim did not stoop to making a morality play with villains and heroes. Everything in A House of Dynamite is plausible; the people at the center of the crisis follow procedures, make decisions carefully, and in general do things for sane and understandable reasons.
For example, I spent much of my career
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Tron Ares
1st Wednesday $1,857,994 / $41,937,493
Thunderbolts* (2025) vs. A Minecraft Movie (2025) vs. Tron: Ares (2025)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Thunder
bolts-(2025)/Minecraft-Movie-A-(2025)/Tron-Ares-(2025)#tab=day_by_day_comparison
Captain America: Brave New World (2025) vs. Eddington (2025) vs. Tron: Ares (2025)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Captain
-America-Brave-New-World-(2025)/Eddington-(2025)/Tron-Ares-(2025)#tab=day_by_day_comparison
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Frankenstein on the 23rd day of October
Disney’s Snow White remake is at 18th place US Domestic, it has been knocked out of the top 20 Worldwide beaten by Weapons, Evil Unbound (731) , The Bad Guys 2 and Nobody a Chinese kids comedy toon
Warner Bros.'s One Battle After Another grossed $550K on Thursday (from 3,127 locations). Total domestic gross stands at $57.91M.
https://bsky.app/profile/boxofficereport.bsky.social/post/3m3g3fs6ncs2
e
Tron Ares
2nd Thursday
$1,501,319 / $43,438,812
2nd Friday
$3,000,000 /$46,438,812
Ari Aster Defends the “Mean-Spirited” Eddington
https://www.denofgeek.com/movies/ari-aster-defends-mean-spirited-eddin
gton/
Sony / Crunchyroll's Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba Infinity Castle grossed an estimated $330K on Friday (from 1,284 locations). Estimated total domestic (North America) gross stands at $130.21M.
https://x.com/BORReport/status/1979572123246252284#m
Amsterdam (2022) vs. Bone Lake (2025) vs. Black Phone 2 (2025)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Amsterd
am-(2022)/Bone-Lake-(2025)/Black-Phone-2-(2025)#tab=day_by_day_comparison
Black Phone 2 (2025) vs. Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Movie: Infinity Castle (2025) vs. Roofman (2025)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Black-P
hone-2-(2025)/Demon-Slayer-Kimetsu-no-Yaiba-The-Movie-Infinity-Castle-(2025-Japan)/Roofman-(2025)#tab=day_by_day_comparison
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Warner Bros.'s One Battle After Another grossed an estimated $1.10M on Friday (from 2,532 locations). Estimated total domestic gross stands at $59.01M.
https://bsky.app/profile/boxofficereport.bsky.social/post/3m3i43xv4wc2
7
Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Movie: Infinity Castle (2025) vs. Tron: Ares (2025) vs. One Battle After Another (2025)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Demon-S
layer-Kimetsu-no-Yaiba-The-Movie-Infinity-Castle-(2025-Japan)/Tron-Ares-(2025)/One-Battle-After-Another-(2025)#tab=day_by_day_comparison
Tron: Ares (2025) vs. Disney’s Snow White (2025) vs. The Long Walk (2025)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Tron-Ar
es-(2025)/Disneys-Snow-White-(2025)/Long-Walk-The-(2025)#tab=day_by_day_comparison
Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Movie: Infinity Castle (2025) vs. Him (2025) vs. Spinal Tap II: The End Continues (2025)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Demon-S
layer-Kimetsu-no-Yaiba-The-Movie-Infinity-Castle-(2025-Japan)/Him-(2025)/Spinal-Tap-II-The-End-Continues-(2025)#tab=day_by_day_comparison
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Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
Warner Bros.'s One Battle After Another grossed an estimated $1.10M on Friday (from 2,532 locations). Estimated total domestic gross stands at $59.01M.
https://bsky.app/profile/boxofficereport.bsky.social/post/3m3i43xv4wc2
7
Wow. Did not see this one grossing over $160 Million. It didn't have a good opening weekend, but its weekend-to-weekend drops after that seem to average in the low -40%, which is actually really good for a movie. It's the international money that got it this high though. Only $61 Million so far in the US, but it's made $100 Million + internationally at this point.
It's still a colossal flop, regardless. At only 2x, it needs $280 Million to break even. At 2.5x, it needs $350 Million. It ain't coming anywhere close to the lower of the two numbers.
--------------------------------------------------
For all that I've blessed, and all that I've wronged. In dreams until my death, I will wander on.
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