dead cat bounced... Barbenheimer era is over...Hollywood is dead?
POSTED BY: JAYNEZTOWN
UPDATED: Monday, July 20, 2026 15:43
VIEWED: 3062
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5-Week Box Office Forecasts & Tracking: Ryan Coogler’s SINNERS ($41M OW, $115M DOM) Early Prospects; Significant SNOW WHITE ($42M OW, $113M DOM) Update Ahead of Next Week’s Opening
https://boxofficetheory.substack.com/p/5-week-box-office-forecasts-and
-tracking-16e
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Live-action ‘Legend Of Zelda’ film is going up against ‘Sonic 4’: “This is my Barbenheimer”
https://www.nme.com/news/film/live-action-legend-of-zelda-film-is-goin
g-up-against-sonic-4-this-is-my-barbenheimer-3850553
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updates
Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:Quote:
1 Ne Zha 2 China $2,000,944,213
2 Lilo & Stitch $1,019,270,728
3 A Minecraft Movie $954,585,398
4 Jurassic World Rebirth $736,406,546
5 How to Train Your Dragon $635,057,987
6 F1: The Movie $626,078,702
7 Superman $614,697,221
8 Japan Demon Slayer $603,521,358
9 Mission: Impossible The Final Reckoning $591,353,074
10 The Fantastic Four: First Steps $521,270,127
11 Detective Chinatown 1900 $454,950,143
12 The Conjuring: Last Rites $436,612,353
13 Captain America: Brave New World $413,640,021
14 Thunderbolts* $382,436,365
15 Chinese Dead To Rights $372,012,256
16 Sinners $366,634,002
17 Final Destination: Bloodlines $313,930,814
18 Weapons $265,414,597
19 The Bad Guys 2 $215,092,630
20 Disney’s Snow White $205,679,463
I forgot that Snow White came out this year...
You know it's been a really bad year for Hollywood when Snow White is still in 20th place in the 4th Quarter.
Demon Slayer Japan Animation 2025 is holding Fourth Place
One Battle After Another, a Flop, has the number 1 spot
On Worldwide box office the Chinese film is still Top while Disney’s Snow White is still at 20th place
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US senators hint at “potential investigation” in letter to Paramount head David Ellison
https://www.screendaily.com/news/us-senators-hint-at-potential-investi
gation-in-letter-to-paramount-head-david-ellison/5214112.article
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Warner Bros.'s Wuthering Heights grossed an estimated $4.60M
Estimated total domestic gross stands at $50.41M.
https://bsky.app/profile/boxofficereport.bsky.social/post/3mfeyscwxd22
t
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Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
Warner Bros.'s Wuthering Heights grossed an estimated $4.60M
Estimated total domestic gross stands at $50.41M.
https://bsky.app/profile/boxofficereport.bsky.social/post/3mfeyscwxd22
t
$80 Million PB. Needs $200 Million to break even.
Has $119 Million after 8 days, which will probably be $130 Million by Sunday with the domestic numbers added after the weekend is done.
I have no idea if the international total is up to date or not since I wasn't following, so I can't say for sure if it will make it or not.
Not really going to be a money maker if it does manage to break even though.
Margot Robbie is just about finished in Hollywood. She's already hit the wall, and she's not a good actress. She's really just a dollar store clone of Jamie Pressly, but worse at acting and probably a lot less fun to be around IRL.
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Be Nice. Don't be a dick.
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It did worse than I thought it would in the US this weekend with larger than I expected drops for Sat/Sun based off of Friday's drop. Not by much though... just a few million.
Worldwide totals had not been updated either, so now the new worldwide total after 10 days is $151 Million. So they got around $22-$23 Million for all last week and the weekend internationally. They had a 57% drop on 2nd weekend here in the US, which if it matches the following 4 days, they will have around another $3.0-$3.5 Million US by next weekend. Assuming another 57% drop over next weekend, that would be around another $6 Million for Weekend 3. All in all, about $10 Million more US by next Sunday.
I don't know what the international drops are, so let's call it 55% for now. That would be around another $10-$12 Million international for the same week. (or day 17).
Now we're at $171-$173 Million worldwide by Day 17.
No reason to think it would keep anything better than 60% weekly drops from there.
End of Weekend 4 Worldwide: Around $180 Million by Day 24.
End of Weekend 5: Around $185 Million by Day 31.
End of Weekend 6: Around $188 Million by Day 38.
End of Weekend 7: Around $190 Million by Day 45.
At this point, I would expect it to be yanked from theaters since WB's current model seems to be only 45 day theater exclusivity and if a movie isn't still making money in theaters at that point they tend to just exit from the theaters entirely.
My guess right now is that this doesn't make $200 Million and break even. I think I'm being pretty generous with these numbers, but since I don't know the true state of the international numbers I'm doing that to give myself some padding here.
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Box Office: ‘Wuthering Heights’ Surpasses $150 Million, ‘GOAT’ Hits $100 Million Globally
https://variety.com/2026/film/box-office/box-office-wuthering-heights-
goat-milestones-globally-1236669645/
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Bone Temple has ended its 5 week run with $25,147,583
https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/28-Years-Later-The-Bone-Temple-(2026)
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Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
Bone Temple has ended its 5 week run with $25,147,583
https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/28-Years-Later-The-Bone-Temple-(2026
)
Production budget: $63 Million.
Keep putting the talentless DEI-hire Nia DeCosta in charge of movies and see where it gets you, Hollywood.
Congratulations. You killed another franchise, just like I said you would when this was announced.
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