NYT: The Democratic Party Faces a Voter Registration Crisis

POSTED BY: 6ixStringJack
UPDATED: Saturday, September 27, 2025 14:52
VIEWED: 1141
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The party is bleeding support beyond the ballot box, a new analysis shows.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/20/us/politics/democratic-party-voter-
registration-crisis.html

Archive to avoid paywall: https://archive.ph/GtrQo

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The Democratic Party is hemorrhaging voters long before they even go to the polls.

Of the 30 states that track voter registration by political party, Democrats lost ground to Republicans in every single one between the 2020 and 2024 elections — and often by a lot.

That four-year swing toward the Republicans adds up to 4.5 million voters, a deep political hole that could take years for Democrats to climb out from.

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Your party is DEAD.

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“I don’t want to say, ‘The death cycle of the Democratic Party,’ but there seems to be no end to this,” said Michael Pruser, who tracks voter registration closely as the director of data science for Decision Desk HQ, an election-analysis site. “There is no silver lining or cavalry coming across the hill. This is month after month, year after year.”

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I was going to put this in the For Democrats thread.


Haven't they ... the DNC, THGR, SECOND, and everyone in between... figured out by now that TDS isn't a winning message? That constant whining just drives people away?

SECOND, THGR: Why don't you start practicing by posting positive ideas? Ideas that address the concerns of MOST AMERICANS, and that don't, for a change, mention Trump. Or Russia.

I'll be they're both incapable, their identities have been so taken over by TDS and RUSSIA!RUSSIA!

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"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Some people have figured it out, or at least it appears that they have anyhow. How genuine that actually is I'm sure is wildly subjective and actions will prove what value their words today have.

Bill Maher was ahead of the curve by years on this issue, but there's been quite a few lesser-known entities out there like the Liberal Patriot, and people in between like Stephen A. Smith and Ana Kasparian from The Young Turks who knew all of this years ago. But up until just very recently they were ignored or outright shunned by the party (and their formerly powerful Legacy Media Propaganda wing), depending on how much clout they had going into trying to sound this alarm when it still could have prevented the Party from destroying itself.

Too late for that now, I'm afraid.


I've heard more out of Joe the Intern Rapist and Murderer Scarborough in the last week than I have in the last 7 months, and all of it is telling his viewers to stop talking about Trump and try literally anything else since this is obviously a losing issue for them.



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"I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon

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voter IDs when?

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Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
voter IDs when?

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I don't know. Maybe you'll find the answer in one of the 10 dozen necroposts you've made in the last week.

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"I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon

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The Hill: Democrats alarmed over new data showing voters fleeing to GOP

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5462604-voter-registration-shift
-democrats/

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"I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon

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I won't be able to complete this post right away, but i wanted to look at how many of these shifts were in states which are already lost, or in states which were near Battleground or Swing status.



I'll start with this, from another thread:

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Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
So, how this data works moving forward in 2024:
The Pelosi/Biden Fake Census 2020 dropped TX seat gain to only 2, and FL to only 1, as well as 1 gained for MT, NC, CO. OR; and boosted CA and NY to losses of only 1 seat, as well as 1 seat losses for IL, MI, OH, PA, WV.

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Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

Of course, no state has voted for Democrats in every elections since 1971, but Minnesota has done so for every election after 1972. Even when the most conservative President we've had in modern times was running, every other state voted for Reagan, but not MN. But they only had an 8 percent margin in 2012, meaning that if 4% of their voters had shifted, the state would have gone to Romney. In 2008 they had a margin of 10%.

Consider these groups of states.
Group 1. 102 Electors.
TX, SC, AL, OK, UT, KS, MS, NE, ID, WY, ND, SD, AK.
These states have voted Republican in every election since 1979, and the closest margin in 2012 was SC with 10%. Most people can assume they will go to the GOP in 2016. This group had 91 Electors in 1980, but they have embraced progress and Free Enterprise and flourished, expanding their proportional population.

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TX 9% in 2016

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Group 2. 19 Electors.
GA, MT.
These 2 have voted for GOP in each election since 1982 except for 1992. Both can be assumed to go for GOP in 2016, although GA had only an 8% margin in 2012. They had 16 Electors in 1980.

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GA 5.1% in 2016

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Group 3. 59 Electors.
TN, AZ, MO, LA, KY, AR, WV.
These states have voted for GOP in almost all elections since 1979 except for the Perot years, 1992 & 1996. They also each have a margin in 2012 of 9% or more. They are likely to vote GOP in 2016.

Group 4. 26 Electors.
NC, IN.
These 2 states have voted Right every election since 1979 except 2008. In 2012 IN voted R by a margin of 10%, and 2008 voted D by a margin of 1.0%. NC voted R in 2012 by a margin or 2% and in 2008 voted D by a margin of 0.32%. These would likely vote Republican if there was a decent candidate.

5. 29 Electors.
FL*.
Florida has voted R since 1979 except 1996, 2008, and 2012. The margin in 2012 was 0.9%. This would easily go to Republican if a decent candidate was available. Florida had 17 Electors in 1980.

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FL 1.2% in 2016

Groups 1-5: 235 Electors, 25 States.


I'll insert a Group 10 here - the States which went to Trump but trended Dem.

OH - 18 EV. 8.1% to Trump.
WI - 10 EV. 0.77%
IA - 6 EV. 9.4%
PA - 20 EV 0.71%
MI - 16 EV 0.22%

If Trump retains OH and IA, that adds up to 259 Electors.
Another 11 Electoral Votes wins him another 4 years.

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6. 40 22 Electors.
CO*, VA, OH*.
These 3 States usually vote for the winner since 1979, and in 2012 voted Dem by a margin ranging between 3% and 5%. A decent candidate would put these back in the GOP column. Ohio has lost 28% of it's Elector count since 1980.

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CO 4.9%, VA 5.3%

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Group 7. 57 21 Electors.
NM*, MN, WI, IA, NV*, PA.
Other than the Reagan/Bush41 years, these states have mostly voted for Dems since then, and in 2012 had margins of between 5% and 10% for O

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