Budget $200 million - ‘Deadpool & Wolverine’ seems to be sold out in cinemas around the world
POSTED BY: JAYNEZTOWN
UPDATED: Thursday, November 28, 2024 04:49
VIEWED: 5900
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Originally posted by second:Quote:I am thinking that you miss the entire point of Capitalism
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Why are movie budgets measured in hundreds of millions? Possibly because many so-called artists are overpaid before the first ticket is sold:
No shit. Nothing I haven't said 200 times before on these boards.
Do try to catch up.
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We know. You're a Communist. *yawn*.
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Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
Japan is always terrible for US Hollywood cinema release but France used to be a huge overseas market. Have French stopped going to the cinema?
China - $27.6M
U.K. - $25.0M
Mexico - $21.5M
Australia - $14.1M
Brazil - $10.8M
India - $10.6M
Germany - $10.5M
France - $10.3M
S. Korea - $8.9M
Italy - $8.5M
Spain - $7.8M
Argentina - $6.1M
They've got a little thing called the Olympics going on right now, so that might have something to do with it.
Not that I or anybody I know has seen any of it.
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Quote:6ixStringJack, a trip to watch ‘Deadpool & Wolverine’ at the theater will cost you in the vicinity of what a dozen beers cost and, like beer, will leave you worse off than before guzzling 12 beers in two hours, the length of this movie. Brewers have to put warnings on the cans, but they keep your money and don't suffer the health consequences of drinking their own product. Disney doesn't even have to warn you of the consequences for consuming the ‘Deadpool & Wolverine’ product.
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
We know. You're a Communist. *yawn*.
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Trump will be fine.
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Alternatively, you could download ‘Deadpool & Wolverine’ for free, consume it slowly in small doses at home, equivalent to drinking one beer per day, and not see it at theater and get stinking drunk on bloody cinematic murders.
Download an excellent copy of the $200 million movie for free using this info hash:
C1CF6371B2225FF88053487F6B032388D7834A97
Deadpool.And.Wolverine.2024.1080p.REPACK.TELESYNC.x264.COLLECTiVE.mkv
Total Size: 9.71 GiB
and qbittorrent, which can also be downloaded for free:
https://www.qbittorrent.org/download
Deadpool uses Wolverine's corpse as a puppet to say: "Nothing will bring me back to life faster than a big bag of Marvel cash." (Wolverine died in Logan 2017)
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
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I was torrenting when you were still shitting diapers dude. 
I just don't shit up somebody else's unprotected website with illegal download links for everything from comic books to books to movies and TV shows. This site is searchable by Google and any non-member in the world can come in and see everything that everybody has ever posted here. That includes government, law enforcement and copyright holders.
If we had any moderators here like nearly any other site does, every one of your links would be removed the second you post them and you would have been banned for it a long time ago.
I'm done worrying about Haken, since he isn't doing anything to protect himself from your behavior. It would just be a shame if one day we go to log in and this site is just gone forever with no explanation. If Haken ever gets a takedown notice he's likely just going to end the site on us. It would be far too much work to comb through thousands and thousands of posts to remove any potentially damning links.
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Hmmmmmmmmm.....
Way too early to tell, but I might be eating some crow on this one. I really should have factored in that R-Rating when making predictions on this one in relation to Inside Out 2. You just don't see the same summertime bumps on an R-Rated flick during the week that you do on anything that isn't R-Rated.
Cheap Seat Tuesday was only good for $25,300,000. Inside Out 2's first Cheap Seat Tuesday was $28,825,276. And as I mentioned yesterday, D&W made $24,427,969 on Monday vs. IO2's $22,421,841 on its first Monday when their opening weekends would have suggested that D&W should have made about $5 to $6 Million more. Now we already have the first day where IO2 grossed more than D&W after only 5 days, by $3.5 Million.
$3.5 Million might not sound like a whole lot when you're talking Billions in the end, but since the 1st week numbers send ripples down the rest of a movie's run, that's not looking great.
And I don't know why IO2's first Wednesday was even bigger than its first Cheap Seat Tuesday at over $30 Million, but if D&W doesn't also get a larger take on Wednesday, that gap is going to be even larger today.
At the end of the first week, IO2 might catch up about $12 Million before Weekend 2. Again, this seems like peanuts since D&W outgrossed IO2 on opening weekend by more than $180 Million, but if D&W was going to have any chance at 2 Billion I think Monday and Tuesday's numbers alone have already proven that this is very unlikely.
Now I'm just interested to see which movie grosses more at the end of their runs. If D&W manages to out-gross IO2 in the end, it will also out-gross the first two Deadpool movies if you don't adjust for inflation. But since it almost certainly isn't going to gross $2 Billion, it will not out-gross both Deadpool movies when you adjust for inflation.
I fully expect D&W to do better on Weekend 2 than IO2 did, but unless it's weekend-to-weekend hold is phenomenal, it's not going to make up for the 3 to 4 days a week that it will probably be losing to IO2 going forward.
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After 5 days though, the Worldwide number is $545,863,260.
That means that even with the $200 Million budget, this movie has already made $46 Million profit for Disney/Marvel in only 5 days. This is roughly half the time it took IO2 to break even.
It would also appear that just like with IO2, we're getting spotty updates on the International numbers instead of getting one big dump of them weekly on Sunday/Monday.
So for now, it's kind of hard to tell what the Domestic/International breakdown for this movie is truly going to be in the end.
At 7 Weekends+ with IO2 we have a pretty good idea of the breakdown. We're looking at 40.8% Domestic / 59.2% International.
Currently, we're seeing 47.8% Domestic / 52.2% International for D&W. That number is essentially meaningless only 5 days in though. Typically, the 2nd week international numbers are just about 100% of what opening weekend international numbers were because of the additional 4 days that go unreported until the following Sunday/Monday.
It is quite possible that come Monday that International total is at $550 Million+. But if we're getting sporadic updates for money made after Sunday from overseas here, that is not going to be the case.
I think we'll have another $220 Million in the US by Monday morning as well.
My guess is that Daredevil & Wolverine comfortably breaks $1 Billion by EOD Sunday (10 days into its run).
But again, that depends entirely on the International box office and how it's being handled behind the scenes. If a sizable portion of the current $285 Million international that has been reported is from Monday and Tuesday, it won't see a Billion by the end of Weekend 2.
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OOOOfffffffffffff.....
Wow. D&W just got slaughtered on its first Wednesday compared to IO2.
All we have now are the studio projections, but it's not looking good at only $19,300,000. IO2 made $30,103,766.
But I may have an explanation for that... Government employees and bankers and some other jobs out there had the day off. I forget that Juneteenth is a thing most days, and June 19th is the Wednesday in question for IO2. So not only were the kids already off from school, but now a lot of their parents were also off that day and could give grandma a break from taking the kids to see it the 2nd or 3rd time.
We'll see what happens tomorrow, but despite D&W outgrossing IO2 by over $180 Million on opening weekend, IO2 has just gained $12.5 Million on D&W between Monday and Wednesday of their first week in theaters in the US.
Also, I'm a bit concerned that we're getting sporadic updates to international numbers as the week goes by. Yesterday, the worldwide total for D&W was $545,863,260. Today, that number is now $590,590,114. Subtract that $19.3 Million in the US from Wednesday and that means we got another $25.5 Million in international money since yesterday.
This is either really good or really bad news for D&W. If this additional international money we've seen several times this week now is just updates to opening weekend numbers internationally it's great news. But if Disney is reporting updated international numbers for the first week as they come in, it's going to be really bad news.
Over $600 Million in 7 days is nothing for Disney/Marvel to cry about either way, since by tomorrow they will have made around $110 Million profit so far in just one week. But if any portion of that current $310,100,000 international take is from Monday through Wednesday, it's really going to put a huge dent in the International side of the overall Domestic / International ratio.
However, if those are last weekend's numbers that are just being added late, the international update on Sunday/Monday is going to be even bigger than I expected it to be.
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Well... it would appear we have some rare answers on those questions from the man himself...
From Bruce's weekly theater count article:
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It was a massive opening weekend at the worldwide box office for newcomer Deadpool & Wolverine. The dynamic duo turned up a jaw-dropping $211 million in domestic receipts while collecting just over $233 million from overseas viewings. After six days, the sequel is creeping up on $600 million, currently enjoying $590 million in global sales. Although three new wide releases hit movie screens this weekend, Deadpool & Wolverine are poised to stay in the driver’s seat atop of the box office chart.
If this is legit and Bruce didn't misspeak, this doesn't bode well for the final box office number for D&W.
He's stating now that D&W did only make $233 Million overseas on Opening Weekend, which means that $77 Million of the $310 we currently see internationally did in fact come from sales between Monday and Wednesday after Opening Weekend.
Not only will this mean that the amount it makes internationally after the 2nd weekend concludes will only be a ratio of the $233 Million base, but it also means that $77 Million would now be subtracted from the 2nd weekend boost based off that $233 Million opening weekend number since they've already been counted early.
My observation over the last year and a half of tracking these things is that the 2nd week international total is usually right around 100% of the Opening Weekend numbers due to the additional 4 week days piling up without being reported until the 2nd weekend is finished.
So if Bruce didn't misspeak here, that would indicate that the additional international money come Sunday/Monday will only be around $156 Million more than the $310 already on record, or around $466 Million in total. If he did misspeak and that additional $77 Million was international numbers for last weekend that were slow to be reported, it would mean that the international number on Sunday/Monday would look something more like $620 Million. This is a huge swing early on and would make the final worldwide total differ drastically from one situation against the other. And because these opening weekend numbers have a huge ripple effect over the lifespan of a movie's box office, it will amount to several hundred millions of dollars difference in the final total.
This will also mean the difference between a roughly 40%/60% Domestic/International audience split after 2 weeks, or a much more even 46%/54% Domestic/International split, as well as about $166 Million less for D&W worldwide after 10 days. That 12% difference might not seem significant on face value, but when we're talking about a movie that could break $1.5 Billion or more if it has good legs, it's going to mean a whole lot, especially when the International take is larger than the Domestic take no matter which way you look at it.
Guess we'll see what happens here in 3 or 4 days.
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Thursday's take for Deadpool & Wolverine: $17,900,000 Ouch, again.
IO2's first Thursday: $19,630,560.
IO2 caught up around $14 Million on D&W during the first week in the States in total.
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Originally posted by 6ixStringJack (July 28th):
Oh yeah. It's already a box office hit at $200 Million.
In just 3 days it's grossed $438,300,000 worldwide, or 219% of the production budget. It's only $61.7 Million shy of breaking even for Disney/Marvel. It could make that in the US alone by Wednesday.
It was 12th place worldwide for 2024 after just 1 day, and now sits at 8th place worldwide after one weekend. By Thursday at the very latest it will have displaced both Chinese movies YOLO and Pegasus 2 and take 6th place.
Because international numbers were reported early, it's already done that and rocketed up to 4th place for 2024, displacing both Godzilla x Kong and Kung Fu Panda 4. It's now at $332 Million internationally, which is another $22 Million international increase just from early this morning when I last posted, or $99 Million above what Bruce said was the opening weekend international number of $233 Million in his theater count article. So had it not gotten this additional $99 Million international which may or may not have been reported early, it would be exactly where I said it would be, just under Kung Fu Panda 4 for 6th place, and above both of the Chinese movies.
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By the end of next weekend it is the 3rd place movie of 2024 easily, and may even beat Dune: Part 2 for 2nd place. At that point, only 10 days (maybe 11 days) into its run, Disney has the top 2 movies in 2024 and is just competing with itself.
It's only $80 Million behind Dune: Part 2, so that is going to be easy. Yesterday I estimated (I believe, conservatively) it will be at $400 Million after this weekend in the US, which means another $101 Million right there. Even though we may have gotten $100 Million international reporting prematurely, it will still make quite a bit more than it needs for 2nd place with the 2nd weekend international numbers come Monday.
So yeah... 2nd place in 10 days is pretty much in the bag, although because of how the international numbers have been reported so far it would be foolish for me to even try to guess within $150 Million where it's actually going to land on Monday.
It has a long way to climb to beat IO2. And really that's going to depend on what the truth is behind all of these daily international bumps. I've never seen this happen before. Either we're going to get a very lackluster weekend international bump, or it's going to be phenomenal. I have no clue what's going on there right now.
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Well.. Bruce is only guessing $94.2 Million for D&W this weekend in the states, or a -55% drop from Weekend 1. That's not too far off from the $101.5 Million or so it would need to hit $400 Million in the states like I said it would.
Honestly, given the performance this week I can't blame him for thinking it will drop that hard, but I think that had more to do with the R rating and it should do better than that over the weekend and make the $400 Million.
Either way, and no matter what shenanigans might be going on with the international reporting (or not), it's going to make enough to take 2nd place worldwide for 2024 come Monday morning reporting.
Looking forward to seeing just how much it's made by then though.
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