Real World Event Discussions

A.I Artificial Intelligence AI

POSTED BY: JAYNEZTOWN
UPDATED: Monday, September 7, 2026 07:08
VIEWED: 23635
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Sunday, July 7, 2024 11:56 PM

Nobody but the photographers bitched when cell phones put 90% of them out of business.

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Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

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Saturday, July 13, 2024 11:50 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by second:
Situational Awareness

By Scott Aaronson | June 8, 2024

https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=8047

My friend Leopold Aschenbrenner, who I got to know and respect on OpenAI’s Superalignment team, just released “Situational Awareness,” one of the most extraordinary documents I’ve ever read. With unusual clarity, concreteness, and seriousness, Leopold sets out his vision of how AI is going to transform civilization over the next 5-10 years.

Leopold foresaw the current AI boom, before most of us did, and apparently made a lot of money as a result. I don’t know how his latest predictions will look from the standpoint of 2030. In any case, though, it’s very hard for me to imagine anyone in the US national security establishment reading Leopold’s document without crapping their pants. Is that enough to convince you to read it?

Read it at https://situational-awareness.ai/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/situationa
lawareness.pdf


SITUATIONAL AWARENESS
The Decade Ahead
By Leopold Aschenbrenner | June 6, 2024

You can see the future first in San Francisco.

Shitty streets peopled by homeless addicts?

Quote:

Over the past year, the talk of the town has shifted from $10 billion compute clusters to $100 billion clusters to trillion-dollar clusters. Every six months another zero is added to the boardroom plans. Behind the scenes, there’s a fierce scramble to secure every power contract still available


However ....
Quote:

A Big Wreck Is About To Happen At The Intersection Of Artificial Intelligence Boulevard And Net Zero Avenue

https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/big-wreck-about-happen-intersection-a
rtificial-intelligence-boulevard-and-net-zero-avenue



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"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Why SECOND'S posts are brainless: "I clocked how much time: no more than 10 minutes per day. With cut-and-paste (Ctrl C and Ctrl V) and AI, none of this takes much time."
Or, any verification or thought.

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Sunday, July 14, 2024 12:02 AM

AI AND FUTURE INEQUALITY

Quote:

The Dark Ages were not entirely dark. Advances in agriculture and building technology increased Medieval wealth and led to a wave of cathedral construction in Europe. However, it was a time of profound inequality. Elites captured virtually all economic gains. In Britain, as Canterbury Cathedral soared upward, peasants had no net increase in wealth between 1100 and 1300. Life expectancy hovered around 25 years. Chronic malnutrition was rampant.

“We’ve been struggling to share prosperity for a long time,” says MIT Professor Simon Johnson. “Every cathedral that your parents dragged you to see in Europe is a symbol of despair and expropriation, made possible by higher productivity.”

At a glance, this might not seem relevant to life in 2023. But Johnson and his MIT colleague Daron Acemoglu, both economists, think it is. Technology drives economic progress. As innovations take hold, one perpetual question is: Who benefits?

This applies, the scholars believe, to automation and artificial intelligence, which is the focus of a new book by Acemoglu and Johnson, “Power and Progress: Our 1000-Year Struggle Over Technology and Prosperity,” published this week by PublicAffairs. In it, they examine who reaped the rewards from past innovations and who may gain from AI today, economically and politically.

“The book is about the choices we make with technology,” Johnson says. “That’s a very MIT type of theme. But a lot of people feel technology just descends on you, and you have to live with it.”

AI could develop as a beneficial force, Johnson says. However, he adds, “Many algorithms are being designed to try to replace humans as much as possible. We think that’s entirely wrong. The way we make progress with technology is by making machines useful to people, not displacing them. In the past we have had automation, but with new tasks for people to do and sufficient countervailing power in society.”

Today, AI is a tool of social control for some governments that also creates riches for a small number of people, according to Acemoglu and Johnson. “The current path of AI is neither good for the economy nor for democracy, and these two problems, unfortunately, reinforce each other,” they write.


MORE AT https://news.mit.edu/2023/power-and-progress-book-ai-inequality-0517

-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Why SECOND'S posts are brainless: "I clocked how much time: no more than 10 minutes per day. With cut-and-paste (Ctrl C and Ctrl V) and AI, none of this takes much time."
Or, any verification or thought.

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Sunday, July 14, 2024 12:11 AM

Just as aside, I think I can tell AI generated videos from real ones. What distinguishes them is that in real world videos, there's a lot of random variation...

Funny wrinkles on people's skin and in clothes. Randomness in background details.

That sort of thing.

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"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Why SECOND'S posts are brainless: "I clocked how much time: no more than 10 minutes per day. With cut-and-paste (Ctrl C and Ctrl V) and AI, none of this takes much time."
Or, any verification or thought.

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Monday, July 15, 2024 5:49 AM

AI's problem: The missing revenues

By Kia Kokalitcheva | Jul 12, 2024

https://www.axios.com/2024/07/12/ai-bubble-revenue-missing

Follow the money: Goldman Sachs projects that companies and utilities will spend about $1 trillion on AI capacity expansion in the coming years.

• Nvidia data centers will be sold at a pace of about $150 billion per year on an annualized basis by the final quarter of 2024, estimates Cahn.

• Cahn’s rule of thumb is that companies in aggregate will need to generate about four times in revenue what they spend on Nvidia data centers in order to cover the cost of energy and their own margins.

Zoom in: The lack of revenue is at the core of the skepticism.

• Cahn notes that OpenAI is still generating the bulk of Al-related revenue right now, and its annualized revenue has been pegged at a mere $3.4 billion.

• Even his generous predictions of $5-$10 billion in annual revenue from major tech companies — from Google and Meta to Tencent and Tesla — still leaves a giant hole of $500 billion in revenue just to make up for 2024’s infrastructure investment, according to his calculations.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Monday, July 15, 2024 6:37 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Just as aside, I think I can tell AI generated videos from real ones. What distinguishes them is that in real world videos, there's a lot of random variation...



Well... You think you can, anyhow.

Some of the stuff that people on YouTube are coming out with is pretty damn impressive.

The government didn't just let that type of technology out into the wild if they didn't have something far superior to work with themselves.

I think we're already beyond the point where it would be foolish to believe that we can decipher what is real and what isn't when it comes to videos and even audio files now.

--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

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Monday, July 15, 2024 11:50 PM

“Superhuman” Go AIs still have trouble defending against these simple exploits

Plugging up "worst-case" algorithmic holes is proving more difficult than expected.

By Kyle Orland - 7/12/2024, 3:20 PM

Improving these kinds of "worst case" scenarios is key to avoiding embarrassing mistakes when rolling an AI system out to the public. But this new research shows that determined "adversaries" can often discover new holes in an AI algorithm's performance much more quickly and easily than that algorithm can evolve to fix those problems.

And if that's true in Go—a monstrously complex game that nonetheless has tightly defined rules—it might be even more true in less controlled environments. "The key takeaway for AI is that these vulnerabilities will be difficult to eliminate,” FAR CEO Adam Gleave told Nature. "If we can’t solve the issue in a simple domain like Go, then in the near-term there seems little prospect of patching similar issues like jailbreaks in ChatGPT."

More at https://arstechnica.com/ai/2024/07/superhuman-go-ais-still-have-troubl
e-defending-against-these-simple-exploits
/


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Thursday, July 18, 2024 2:28 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Just as aside, I think I can tell AI generated videos from real ones. What distinguishes them is that in real world videos, there's a lot of random variation...



Well... You think you can, anyhow.

Some of the stuff that people on YouTube are coming out with is pretty damn impressive.

The government didn't just let that type of technology out into the wild if they didn't have something far superior to work with themselves.

I think we're already beyond the point where it would be foolish to believe that we can decipher what is real and what isn't when it comes to videos and even audio files now.




The coomer autists are going to be the ones that really push this AI tech to the limits.



Victoria's Secret and other companies decided to put fat women and trannies in their fashion shows. By the time they decide they want to stop losing money and put beautiful women in their products again, they're not even going to have to pay real women to wear them anymore. I'll bet before 2035 we see the first completely virtual AI Victoria's Secret fashion show. It's way better for the bottom line if they have models that never age and they don't have to pay supermodels millions of dollars a year to wear their lingerie anymore. They can just pay super-nerds pennies on the dollar to put the whole production together on their computers while sitting at home.

--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

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Saturday, July 20, 2024 3:26 PM

China leads the world in adoption of generative AI, survey shows
https://www.reuters.com/technology/artificial-intelligence/china-leads
-world-adoption-generative-ai-survey-shows-2024-07-09
/


twitter posts aka 'X'

Meta won't release the multimodal versions of its AI products in the EU because of an unpredictable regulatory environment
https://x.com/ylecun/status/1814308324038381618


making poems, science documents, music and image generators


Is AuraFlow The Open Source Model Of The Future?




moment we stopped understanding AI


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Saturday, July 20, 2024 3:28 PM

OpenAI debuts mini version of its most powerful model yet

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/18/openai-4o-mini-model-announced.html

artificiallawyer?

Meridian AI – Client Listening Will Never Be The Same Again

https://www.artificiallawyer.com/2024/07/17/meridian-ai-client-listeni
ng-will-never-be-the-same-again
/

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