Disney Studios first 2024 release: Inside Out 2
POSTED BY: 6ixStringJack
UPDATED: Monday, July 29, 2024 04:26
VIEWED: 5237
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... little did I know that Inside Out 2 was going to post the 3rd highest non-opening Wednesday of all time yesterday.
Yeah...
... I'd say it's going to make at least $40 Million on Wednesday and Thursday combined. Inexplicably, this movie made more on Wednesday than it did on Cheap Seat Tuesday, and that was coming off of "only" $22 Million on Monday. We're looking at a minimum of $50 Million and possibly even $60 Million+ for those two days in the US alone.
We'll see what happens over the weekend, but damn if it doesn't have a shot taking 1st place for 2024 after Sunday's numbers come in on Monday.
I think that's still a stretch, but that additional $10 Million it made today would push it up above Dune: Part 2 if it met or even overcame the high end of my predictions everywhere else through the weekend. The extra potential $10 Million it might have gotten today is just adding to that possibility.
If we saw something crazy like only a -30%/-35% drop from weekend 1 to weekend 2, it's going to blow Dune: Part 2 out of the water this weekend.
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Oh... BTW...
If IO2 does manage to pull in $60 Million+ for Wednesday/Thursday, it will make more money on those two days alone than every movie's opening 3-day weekend totals in the first half of 2024 except for Dune: Part 2 and Godzilla x Kong, which both made roughly $80 Million on opening weekend.
As impressive as that sounds, I guess it gets quite diminished when you realize that IO2 already pulled the same feat off yesterday when you add Tuesday's and Wednesday's numbers together.
Theater counts did not change from last week. Still at 4,440 theaters this weekend.
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Thursday's US numbers were more down to earth and exactly what I was expecting for both Wednesday and Thursday, originally. Less than $400k shy of $20 Million.
Unfortunatley, it would appear that Disney is going to report internationals whenever it suits them on this one, so making worldwide predictions for the next few weeks could be spotty. Instead of updating the entire International number on Monday like I expected them to, we've already been given an additional $69.3 Million on the internationals this morning. Was that extra countries that hadn't reported their first weekend until this late? Is that money from the week for some or all of the countries?
Who knows?
But we're at $481.9 Million Worldwide now, so unless the Monday International update clocks in at only around $88 Million and this was part of what should have been reported on Monday, we can just throw my predictions out the window.
If this is NEW money, IO2 easily takes first place in 2024 this weekend.
As of now, it's risen above the top 2 Chinese flicks and is settling briefly at 4th place behind Kung Fu Panda 4. This took 7 days.
To be fair, I did say that would be the case...
Quote:
Its next two steps up the ladder are the Chinese movies Pegasus 2 ($469,847,217 / 5th place) and YOLO ($479,597,304 / 4th place).
I'm expecting another $150 Million to $175 Million internationally alone, come Monday, so without the weekend even starting it's already leapfrogged over both of them. It's still going to make at least $40 Million more in the US on Wednesday and Thursday before the weekend begins, putting it right around $420 Million before any weekend numbers get added.
It got that additional $10 Million on Wednesday for some odd reason, and we just got that additional $69 Million from somewhere international early.
Time will tell if that's unexpected extra money or just an early reporting of the international first week, leaving us with only the second weekend being reported on Monday.
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Disney Pixar may avoid going bankrupt but what of other big studios that have lots and lots of flops?
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Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
Disney Pixar may avoid going bankrupt but what of other big studios that have lots and lots of flops?
Well Pixar seems to have redeemed itself for now, but it's always a tightrope. Can't forget all the negative talk surrounding Pixar and its problems making a hit up until this came out.
That's good news for Disney, but there isn't really much good news out there at all for Disney right now otherwise. They're still having park attendance problems from woke changes and higher prices. None of their toys from the last 5 years sell even at discounted places like Ollies. And "They Acolyte" may have finally destroyed Star Wars for good.
Who knows... that last one might be considered a Win at Disney. With how they've treated Star Wars from the beginning one would draw the conclusion that it was somebody's intention to destroy star wars.
But they are going to have the highest grossing movie of the first half of 2024, even if it's not the most profitable by budget/gross ratio.
...
Interesting bit of trivia...
Inside Out 2's second Friday was $30 Million last night. Outside of this movie, there have only been 2 other movies this year that saw one single day above $30 Million, and they were both Opening Night. Godzilla x Kong's opening Friday pulled in $36,807,592, and Dune: Part 2 pulled in $32,211,366. And Opening Friday numbers include the Thursday Preview numbers, so technically that isn't even true.
In other words, IO2's 2nd weekend is shaping up to look as good as the 1st weekend of the movies at the top of the 2024 chart. It really is, so far, the only movie that has performed like the blockbusters of 2023 did.
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‘Inside Out 2’ Jumps To $439M Worldwide, Sets Record Openings In Italy, Spain & More – International Box Office
https://deadline.com/2024/06/inside-out-2-global-international-box-off
ice-second-week-records-1235978854/#!
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Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
‘Inside Out 2’ Jumps To $439M Worldwide, Sets Record Openings In Italy, Spain & More – International Box Office
https://deadline.com/2024/06/inside-out-2-global-international-box-off
ice-second-week-records-1235978854/#!
How are you supposed to take anything anybody says seriously in their article when they can't even bother to get the amount it has made so far right?
I posted here on Friday evening that the worldwide gross was already $481.9 Million, but she said on Saturday morning that it was only $439 Million.
With the additional $30.5 Million it made last night, it's now sitting at $512.4 Million worldwide. Only the 4th movie to cross the half Billion mark. It's also only the 4th US movie to push China down out of the Top 10. The more time that passes the less confident I am that this won't be the first year in history that China makes the Top 10.
Do we have 6 more movies that can break a half-billion?
Dispicable Me 4 and Deadpool & Wolverine will for sure...
What else would? The Beetlejuice sequel, maybe? The Joker sequel, maybe? The Quiet Place prequel... not likely. The Twisters sequel... not likely. Another Venom sequel... I don't even know man... The fuckin' Crow remake? Is that another damn Transformers sequel I see in September???
The current listed release schedule for the rest of the year isn't looking very promising when you take how 2024 so far has gone as your reference point.
Last December had a few surprise hits that ran late into 2024 though, and this year's schedule has been so light that I wouldn't be surprised if you saw some things shuffled around that far from now.
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These numbers are very good not the greatest box office but good maybe very good profits, I don't know which prediction thread but I remember saying it could be a mistake writing off the bigger studios and yes some of the bigger studios will fail but not all.
Maybe getting into the whole SJW DEI thing later which was maybe killing movies before Covid.
I have a feeling DC Warner Bros has some hits but could be in bigger trouble, Blue Beetle, Suicide Squad, LeBron Space Jam 2, Black Adam, Transexual Feminist Resurrections of Matrix, The Flash etc although Disney / Marvel had terrible movies like Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny, The Marvels I think DC Warner Bros had more loss no exact numbers just a feeling. Warner Bros never had success like 'Avengers' movies but it did have 'Barbie' while Disney Marvel had some post Covid sucess like 'Spider-Man No Way Home'.
The New Top Gun made money for Paramount Pictures, Oppenheimer made money for Universal, the Japanese Sony has also been taking a share of profits from Spider-Man
One issue is politics, there is no point in forcing weird Hollywood politics on the rest of the world that SJW DEI thing Transexual Lesbian Gay weird politics, a lot of the world dislikes it even hates it, it costs studios money by doing this odd explict politics the inappropriate adult stuff, a lot of the world is Conservative against the improper, obscene, indecent, the vulgar forced into others will not help sales.
When other studios across the world make movies or indie US companies make movies they do not force their politics into films, all of the major studios are putting pervert messaging into the films.
A lot of people have moved to South Korean tv, indie films, European studios and Japanese cartoons and games for their entertainment not Hollywood anymore, the Japanese with Godzilla Minus One proved that you could make a movie in a political setting on a small Budget $10–12 million not shove politics down people's throats and the movie could still be very entertaining and successful.
'Inside Out 2' seems to have reverse the trend of political 'wokeness'
small horrors, small independent films show how money is made the 'Sound of Freedom' or Five Nights at Freddy's the Japan anime Demon Slayer, Japanese animation Jujutsu Kaisen or M3GAN show how to make money on a small budget yet the magazines and websites spent a lot of their energy attacking these film makers and trying to demonize them, sometimes calling them AltRight or Racists etc the Studios are getting desperate to get their hands on other cartoon and video game property.
Not everything is a guaranteed win anymore, entertainment giants can fall.
in order to try save the 'Batman' or DC comics brand, Warner Bros decided to have 'Batgirl' dumped and trashed, it is an unreleased picture already filmed but they would rather burn 100 Million Dollars than allow this film to ever see the light of day and damage their studio reputation and brands.
Star Wars however might be too far gone and destroyed
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I wouldn't be celebrating that Disney has actually learned anything here. They did just shit out the Acolyte in tandem with the largest hit of 2024 so far.
I believe all credit here goes to Pixar. They were potentially on the chopping block if this movie failed, so the last thing they wanted to do was inject a bunch of unpopular Lefty talking points like Disney did in nearly every film it released last year.
Hopefully other studios are paying attention.
Don't kid yourself that indie films and foreign films don't have politics in them. Many of them absolutely do. But the difference is that they have talented writers, actors and showrunners that can put their messaging in them without beating you over the head with them.
We talked a while back about Parasyte: The Grey, and I just finished watching the Japanese anime Parasyte: The Maxim and they both had some pretty heavy messaging about "aliens" and who actually has the right to live and who doesn't. But the messaging wasn't off-putting like it would have been with Disney, who would have done it with a diverse cast of 5 multi-ethnic Girl Bosses who never made any mistakes and don't need no men, or they would have had Space-Tranny's or something.
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Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack (June 17th):Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Movie Comparison: Inside Out 2 (2024) vs. Inside Out (2015)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons/Inside-Out-2-(20
24)/Inside-Out-(2015)#tab=day_by_day_comparison
If you overlook the inflation adjustment, only $555,000,000 separates the two movies.
Worldwide Box Office $295,000,000 $850,566,343
The inflation adjustment is $1.00 in 2015 (when the first cartoon arrived) equals $1.33 in 2024.
https://www.usinflationcalculator.com/
Inside Out 2 (2024) will have to sell $1,100,000,000 worth of tickets to match Inside Out (2015) $850,000,000 worth of tickets.
It might...
Per Bruce at The-Numbers...Quote:
Inside Out 2 is blasting past expectations and headed towards a $155-million opening, according to Disney’s Sunday-morning announcement. That’s comfortably more than the $146.4 million The Super Mario Bros. Movie made on its opening weekend last year, and second only to Incredibles 2 on the list of biggest opening weekends for animated movies. The Incredibles sequel opened with $182.7 million back in 2018. Mario ended its domestic run with almost $575 million, and Incredibles 2 finished its run with $608.6 million. With stellar reviews, Inside Out 2 seems like a lock for $500 million, and $600 million at the domestic box office seems within reach.
If it hits $600 Million in the US, it almost assuredly makes $1.1 Billion worldwide. The only thing it has working against it is that the ratio of Domestic to International so far is 52.5%/47.5%, while the first movie ended with 41.9%/58.1%. Otherwise, $500 Million in the US would have easily got it past that number.
But regarding that...Quote:
Disney are claiming the highest international and global animated opening of all time “assuming the same international release pattern and at current rates.”
Worldwide Box Office after 2 weekends is $724,383,116.
US Box Office: $355,183,116
International Box Office: $369,200,000
Weekend projections: Inside Out posts $100-million second weekend
https://www.the-numbers.com/news/257100830-Weekend-projections-Inside-
Out-posts-100-million-second-weekend
Quote:
Disney is projecting that Inside Out 2 will hit $100 million this weekend, although just barely (their projection is exactly $100 million). If it hits that milestone, it would be only the seventh film to do so, and the first since the pandemic—Barbie currently holds the post-pandemic record with $93 million. Meanwhile, The Bikeriders is doing respectable business on debut, and no less than three other new films will make the top 10.
...
Inside Out 2’s hold is nothing short of spectacular. After its opening weekend, our model predicted a final domestic total of $455 million for the film, based on comparable openings. Its new prediction this morning is $558 million, and something well beyond that remains a possibility. After a slow May, this is exactly the boost the market needed.
Bruce's model now shows $558 Million in the US, with something well beyond that remaining a possibility. And now that we have what looks to be up-to-date worldwide numbers, it would appear that it doesn't even have to make $600 Million in the US to do this since the Domestic/International ratio is now higher on the international side. $558 Million in the US ought to get it there pretty easily.
Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
These numbers are very good not the greatest box office but good maybe very good profits, I don't know which prediction thread but I remember saying it could be a mistake writing off the bigger studios and yes some of the bigger studios will fail but not all.
It will be very good profits. It's very likely a Billion$+ movie at this point.
With a $200 Million budget, it needed $500 Million to break even. After only 10 days, it's already grossed $224 Million in profits for Disney/Pixar. Every dime it makes going forwa
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