Real World Event Discussions

Russian losses in Ukraine Now At 1 Million Killed Or Wounded

POSTED BY: THG
UPDATED: Monday, August 31, 2026 04:41
VIEWED: 66418
PAGE 108 of 130

Friday, May 10, 2024 4:25 PM

Ted thinks in political cartoons and article headlines.

But at least he thinks.

Second reads an article form some far leftist website or person and suddenly that becomes his thoughts in the moment. He has no ability to rationalize or question anything. He simply just is the propaganda at this point.

--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

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Friday, May 10, 2024 9:42 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

Second reads an article form some far leftist website or person and suddenly that becomes his thoughts in the moment. He has no ability to rationalize or question anything. He simply just is the propaganda at this point.

--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

Time is not on Russia‘s side

https://www.eeas.europa.eu/eeas/no-time-not-russia%E2%80%98s-side_en

The economic growth recorded in Russia in 2023 was the classic result of a policy of "wartime Keynesianism", which was already seen in Germany in the 1930s. With a 70% increase in 2024 defence spending compared to the previous year, some 30% of Russia’s budget and 6 % of its GDP are now officially dedicated to national defence with important additional resources earmarked as classified expenses. Military and security spending are back to Soviet era levels.

The Russian economy has been fuelled by this explosion of defence spending, including high payments to soldiers and the families of those killed in Ukraine, especially in ethnic minorities in the poorer regions. This dynamic is also reflected in regional economic imbalances, with regions with strong military industries or bordering Ukraine showing better economic performances, due to war-related activities.

For an authoritarian regime like Putin’s Russia, it is relatively easy to redirect the economy towards military production, albeit with massive negative consequences for other sectors. The shift towards a war economy necessarily means much less spending on education, health, social security, roads, civilian infrastructure, energy systems…

Currently, annual inflation rates in Russia surpass 8%, compared to the 2.6% seen in the Eurozone. This has been particularly true for food prices, with for example a 40 % rise in the price of eggs in 2023, a staple food for many Russians. The expenses for meals in the budget of an average Russian family has increased to more than 30% of the total.

Investor confidence in the future of the Russian economy is so low that the Russian government must borrow at a 10-year interest rate of almost 14% a year, compared with an average of 2.9% in the Eurozone. Russia has already experienced significant capital flight and even those who Russia labels as ‘friendly’ countries are not eager to bet their money on the future of Russia. With interest rates at such a high level, private investments in Russia are severely impacted and the Russian State itself can ill afford to borrow. The consecutive lack of investment will further dent Russia’s economic future.

Despite the ability of the Russian authoritarian regime to massively redirect the production of the country's economy towards weapons and ammunition production, its dependence on countries like Iran or North Korea to provide enough drones, ammunition or missiles to sustain its war effort reflects also a persistent industrial weakness aggravated by Western sanctions. The production of cars in Russia has plummeted to half of what it was before the war. The space industry, which was once the pride of the country, is in deep trouble. Air transport has become quite dangerous due to a lack of maintenance, software updates and spare parts.

A major labour market crisis in Russia

Moreover, in a rapidly ageing country, where the population has already been declining since 2000, the exodus of hundreds of thousands of qualified young people after February 2022 in addition to hundreds of thousands mobilised, dead or disabled for life due to Russia’s war has opened a profound labour market crisis in Russia. In an attempt to mitigate this crisis, the Russian government had opened the gates to immigration from Central Asia. However, after the tragic terrorist attack on Crocus City Hall, for which Daesh has claimed responsibility, many of these migrants are being sent back home, thus aggravating the workforce crisis in Russia.

Due to its war against Ukraine, the Russian

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Saturday, May 11, 2024 11:58 PM


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
"Stalin, not because of who he was or what he did but by who he SCARED.... US "
I guess beating the Nazis wasn't very important.
Neither was helping to chase the Japs out of China, and saving the fledging nationalist and, eventually, communist government.
Since those didn't affect US, directly, in his mind it never happened..

"We changed how everything would work"
Everything? Did we change anything in Africa? S and Central America? India? Asia?

"We had to change how "the world" worked"
The world? Same question.

So that any one could safely go anywhere, interface with any market, any community, any commodity.."
Except the Warsaw pact countries, China, and S and Central American nations who were in thrall to the USA.
"We" were not about "free trade".
What we are about was maintaining our grip on our economic and financial colonies, including the Mideast (oil), Chile (copper) etc. And we regime-changed a bunchnif nations to keep it that way.

*****

I think you see where I'm going with this, THUGR. Altho he pretends to be a geopolitical wizard. Zeihan has a blind spot as big as the entire non- Western world.


THUGR: Ok comrade, let's see charts and graphs with numbers to back up what you ranted about. It's why you criticized Ziehan, and why I posted a video of his with charts, graphs and numbers. Or are you nothing but bullshit? Come on, show us the evidence showing you are correct.

Waiting here...



It's not a "rant".

I'm just pointing out logical inconsistencies in his first few statements, which all point in the same direction: Everything important that happened, happened in or to the western world + Japan (which in HIS mind is "the world") and everyplace else doesn't rate even a thought.

AFA the "demographic transition", it is such a well-known concept even Wikipedia has an entry on it. But if you were to do a websearch on it you'd find dozens of models and predictions
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographic_transition

Birth rates: He talks about how "the world" was affected. Looking at even present-day birth rates, it's clear that this has not happened throughout the world, and it happened in the Soviet Union, which was isolated from western trade by the self-imposed Iron Curtain.

World birth rates




Different maps show different rates with different levels of granularity but the source of this map has quite a few for comparison.
https://mungfali.com/explore/World-Birth-Rate




-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Why SECOND'S posts are brainless: "I clocked how much time: no more than 10 minutes per day. With cut-and-paste (Ctrl C and Ctrl V) and AI, none of this takes much time."
Or, any verification or thought.

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Sunday, May 12, 2024 12:26 AM

So, I listened to the video. The premises of his entire talk are that

1) China isn't going to exist in 10 years thanks to very low/ unsustainable birth rates (there goes cheap labor) and
2) Commodities from Russia will be unavailable bc Russia won't be able to keep up with the engineering and repair required by the harsh Siberian environment
3) Supply chains are unsustainably complex, some requiring 1,700 separate inputs (IIRC), each step constituting a potential point of failure, and requiring everything to work perfectly smoothly for continued production.

Well, I will have to independently research his premises on China and Russia to see if they're true.

But the upshot of what he is saying is that the USA needs to re-industrialize and untangle its supply chains, and since our working-age population is going to dip about then, we need to invest in automation.

I HAVE BEEN ADVOCATING FOR RE-INDUSTRIALIZATION SINCE WHENEVER!

I have been pointing out that we are still blessed with continental scale resources, we need to make ourselves less vulnerable to external shocks and internal natural disasters by not only re- industrializing but by duplicating production into different regions and dialing back on "just in time" deliveries, so if our chip fabs in Houston are flattened by a hurricane (for example) or our fully automated textile factory in N Carolina burns down, our stockpiles and factories elsewhere can limp along.

WHY IZZIT THAT IF ZEIHAN SAYS THIS, HE'S A WIZARD, BUT IF I say it, I'm a "comrade", COMRADE?

THIS, BTW, is the "Russian model", which aims to be as independent of other nations as possinle. As opposed to the "Chinese model" which absolutely deoends on global trade.

You're such a brainless tool, you can't even parse what people are saying, or why.


I also agree with him that green energy is not gonna work everywhere and, if attempted everywhere, will be net carbon positive.

-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Why SECOND'S posts are brainless: "I clocked how much time: no more than 10 minutes per day. With cut-and-paste (Ctrl C and Ctrl V) and AI, none of this takes much time."
Or, any verification or thought.

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Sunday, May 12, 2024 1:46 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
So, I listened to the video. The premises of his entire talk are that

1) China isn't going to exist in 10 years thanks to very low/ unsustainable birth rates (there goes cheap labor) and
2) Commodities from Russia will be unavailable bc Russia won't be able to keep up with the engineering and repair required by the harsh Siberian environment
3) Supply chains are unsustainably complex, some requiring 1,700 separate inputs (IIRC), each step constituting a potential point of failure, and requiring everything to work perfectly smoothly for continued production.

Well, I will have to independently research his premises on China and Russia to see if they're true.

But the upshot of what he is saying is that the USA needs to re-industrialize and untangle its supply chains, and since our working-age population is going to dip about then, we need to invest in automation.

I HAVE BEEN ADVOCATING FOR RE-INDUSTRIALIZATION SINCE WHENEVER!

I have been pointing out that we are still blessed with continental scale resources, we need to make ourselves less vulnerable to external shocks and internal natural disasters by not only re- industrializing but by duplicating production into different regions and dialing back on "just in time" deliveries, so if our chip fabs in Houston are flattened by a hurricane (for example) or our fully automated textile factory in N Carolina burns down, our stockpiles and factories elsewhere can limp along.

WHY IZZIT THAT IF ZEIHAN SAYS THIS, HE'S A WIZARD, BUT IF I say it, I'm a "comrade", COMRADE?

THIS, BTW, is the "Russian model", which aims to be as independent of other nations as possinle. As opposed to the "Chinese model" which absolutely deoends on global trade.

You're such a brainless tool, you can't even parse what people are saying, or why.


I also agree with him that green energy is not gonna work everywhere and, if attempted everywhere, will be net carbon positive.

-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Why SECOND'S posts are brainless: "I clocked how much time: no more than 10 minutes per day. With cut-and-paste (Ctrl C and Ctrl V) and AI, none of this takes much time."
Or, any verification or thought.




Overpopulation too.

Nobody is going to have that talk until it's too late to have that talk.

That is, assuming that the 1% of the 1%ers haven't already figured out their solution to that problem and it isn't already underway... Which they probably already have and it probably already is.





Like everything else is, even human life is a pyramid scheme the way we're doing things now. We just take and take and take all the gifts we were given without ever being able to contribute anything back in any impactful or meaningful way.

The only solution to almost every problem, especially financial problems, is more and more people to support every pyramid scheme we've built modern society on. Not having babies? We'll you're not going to get social security and you're going to pay 5 times as much for your car and homeowner's insurance. That is... unless you allow millions of people to come in and take over your country and keep that pyramid propped up for another generation.

Sure... Why not? Kick the can down the road again. It's just what we do.



We're already WAY beyond equilibrium at this point.

As evil as I think the true "TPTB" are, a big part of me almost hopes that they have solved this problem and are currently doing something about it. Because if they managed to do something about it now while people could be incentivized while we're not on the verge of having depleted all of the world's resources, it will go down a hell of a lot smoother than the solutions that would be taking place i

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Sunday, May 12, 2024 3:37 AM

If you believe Zeihan, one of the most populated countries in the world, China, is about to undergo a population crash, and all of the industrialized and all of the industrializing nations are already shrinking or will soon.

Also, by looking at world birth rates, the best way to reduce population growth is to industrialize, urbanize, and improve the standard of living.

-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Why SECOND'S posts are brainless: "I clocked how much time: no more than 10 minutes per day. With cut-and-paste (Ctrl C and Ctrl V) and AI, none of this takes much time."
Or, any verification or thought.

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THG
Sunday, May 12, 2024 3:59 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
"Stalin, not because of who he was or what he did but by who he SCARED.... US "
I guess beating the Nazis wasn't very important.
Neither was helping to chase the Japs out of China, and saving the fledging nationalist and, eventually, communist government.
Since those didn't affect US, directly, in his mind it never happened..

"We changed how everything would work"
Everything? Did we change anything in Africa? S and Central America? India? Asia?

"We had to change how "the world" worked"
The world? Same question.

So that any one could safely go anywhere, interface with any market, any community, any commodity.."
Except the Warsaw pact countries, China, and S and Central American nations who were in thrall to the USA.
"We" were not about "free trade".
What we are about was maintaining our grip on our economic and financial colonies, including the Mideast (oil), Chile (copper) etc. And we regime-changed a bunchnif nations to keep it that way.

*****

I think you see where I'm going with this, THUGR. Altho he pretends to be a geopolitical wizard. Zeihan has a blind spot as big as the entire non- Western world.


THUGR: Ok comrade, let's see charts and graphs with numbers to back up what you ranted about. It's why you criticized Ziehan, and why I posted a video of his with charts, graphs and numbers. Or are you nothing but bullshit? Come on, show us the evidence showing you are correct.

Waiting here...



It's not a "rant".

I'm just pointing out logical inconsistencies in his first few statements, which all point in the same direction: Everything important that happened, happened in or to the western world + Japan (which in HIS mind is "the world") and everyplace else doesn't rate even a thought.

AFA the "demographic transition", it is such a well-known concept even Wikipedia has an entry on it. But if you were to do a websearch on it you'd find dozens of models and predictions
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographic_transition

Birth rates: He talks about how "the world" was affected. Looking at even present-day birth rates, it's clear that this has not happened throughout the world, and it happened in the Soviet Union, which was isolated from western trade by the self-imposed Iron Curtain.

World birth rates



Different maps show different rates with different levels of granularity but the source of this map has quite a few for comparison.
https://mungfali.com/explore/World-Birth-Rate






What are you talking about? The shift he talks about in populations is what Wikipedia lays out. That, failed economics and so on. That is what he is explaining.

Riddle me this comrade. Let's keep it simple. Explain to me how he is wrong about China. If you can, then there is room for disagreement with other claims he's made about the consequences of that. And if the best you can do is to just rant, spew out lies for the sake of propaganda's sake, forget it.

T

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Sunday, May 12, 2024 4:14 AM

THUGR, are you bring dense on purpose???

I didn't say he was "wrong" about China. I said I needed to independently research it.

Jeezus fucking Christ, THUGR. Having a discussion with you is impossible bc you CONSTANTLY misunderstand or misrepresent what people are saying!

-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Why SECOND'S posts are brainless: "I clocked how much time: no more than 10 minutes per day. With cut-and-paste (Ctrl C and Ctrl V) and AI, none of this takes much time."
Or, any verification or thought.

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Sunday, May 12, 2024 4:17 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
If you believe Zeihan, one of the most populated countries in the world, China, is about to undergo a population crash, and all of the industrialized and all of the industrializing nations are already shrinking or will soon.



Well... Like I said... A population crash will ruin their future and knock those pyramids over because of how we've set up everything in our world to be pyramid schemes that depend on never-ending growth to remain profitable and standing.

And I don't imagine it would just be China who sees their pyramids all collapsing before their eyes if it happens to them. China is kind of baked into all of our pyramids at this point.

Quote:

Also, by looking at world birth rates, the best way to reduce population growth is to industrialize, urbanize, and improve the standard of living.



But it's really not though.

Yes. Of course the birth rate falls among the urbanized/industrialized with a higher standing of living in general... But even if we had walls surrounding us like a castle and didn't let any body else in legally or illegally we'd still have plenty of our own people making more babies vs. the death rate.

But even that's not enough babies to prop up all those pyramids. Current predatory capitalism when only a handful of companies own virtually everything will require the further explosion of population growth from here until the end of time.

So the urbanized/industrialized are like an empty aquarium that will keep getting filled with people who aren't citizens if we aren't going to do it ourselves.


The only way urbanization/industrialization will actually curb population growth is if everybody was urbanized/industrialized and they were forced to find another way to be profitable that didn't require never-ending population growth.





--------------------------------------------------

Trump will be fine.
He will also be your next President.

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THG
Sunday, May 12, 2024 4:17 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
THUGR, are you bring dense on purpose???

I didn't say he was "wrong" about China. I said I needed to independently research it.

Jeezus fucking Christ, THUGR. Having a discussion with you is impossible bc you CONSTANTLY misunderstand or misrepresent what people are saying!






Ha, says you who thought he said China was land locked and went on a tear about it. Funny...Tell us how he is wrong about anything then. And tell me how I am wrong for agreeing with him.

T



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