Russia Invades Ukraine. Again
POSTED BY: captaincrunch
UPDATED: Sunday, September 6, 2026 21:09
VIEWED: 562266
PAGE 504 of 1104
The nationalist pro-war Russian information space is reckoning with the possibility of a major demographic decline by weaponizing anti-migrant rhetoric. The Russian Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) published a new demographic forecast for the Russian Federation on October 20 that predicts that Russia's population will decrease to 138.77 million people by January 1, 2046.[15] Rosstat estimated that the rate of natural population decline will exceed 600,000 people per year between 2024-2032 but will slow to 400,000 people per year from 2032-2046.[16] Several Russian commentators seized on these statistics and warned that they portend “demographic catastrophe” if restorative measures are not undertaken immediately.[17] One Russian source blamed Russia’s declining population on migrants and called for ethnic Russians to immediately increase the national birthrate, as well as to automate many production systems to replace migrant labor.[18] ISW has previously reported on instances of vocal Russian nationalist enclaves within the pro-war information space amplifying anti-migrant rhetoric to explain away and try to remedy reports of Russian demographic transitions.[19] Such rhetoric is particularly noteworthy as the Russian force generation apparatus is increasingly exploiting migrant and other ethnic minority communities as a mobilization resource, which ISW outlines in the force generation section of today’s update.[20]
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campai
gn-assessment-october-22-2023
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Russian authorities are intensifying mobilization efforts targeting Central Asian migrant communities. Russian opposition outlets reported on October 22 that Russian riot police conducted a raid on a mosque in Kotelniki, Moscow Oblast on October 20, detained several dozen worshippers, took them on buses to military registration and enlistment offices, and forced them to sign military service contracts.[75] Russian singer and TV show finalist Mamut Useinov stated that he was among the detainees and reported that Russian authorities threatened him and other detainees with imprisonment if they did not sign one-year military service contracts.[76] Useinov stated that authorities told the detainees that they would fight in Ukraine but did not specify a timeline for their deployment.[77] A Russian insider source relatedly claimed on October 22 that the Russian command sent an order to all departments of the Main Directorate of the Investigative Committee to “identify naturalized citizens of the Russian Federation who arrived from Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) countries and are evading military service” and demanded that the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs (MVD) provide lists of the names and addresses of naturalized citizens from CIS states.[78] The insider source noted that the Investigative Committee and police are raiding hostels, apartments, catering units, and mosques using these lists and taking detainees straight to military registration offices.[79] Several Russian sources praised the raid, underlining intense xenophobic sentiment towards Central Asian migrants, and claimed that naturalized migrants have a duty to serve Russia.[80] Investigative Committee Head Alexander Bastrykin has notably pushed for the targeted mobilization of migrants from Central Asia and the Caucasus, claiming that migrants have a "constitutional responsibility to protect the country that received them."[81]
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campai
gn-assessment-october-22-2023
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Ukraine’s American-Made M39 Missiles May Have Wrecked 21 Russian Helicopters In A Single Operation
David Axe | Oct 22, 2023, 05:58pm EDT
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2023/10/22/ukraines-american-mad
e-m39-missiles-may-have-wrecked-21-russian-helicopters-in-a-single-operation/?sh=6afdcf494f23
The damage from Ukraine’s first-ever strike with American-supplied M39 missiles, targeting a pair of helicopter bases in Russian-occupied southern and eastern Ukraine, likely resulted in greater damage than even the Ukrainian defense ministry initially claimed.
Far greater.
The Ukrainians claimed the Oct. 17 attack, which reportedly saw three of the M39s strike airfields outside Berdyansk in southern Ukraine as well as in Luhansk Oblast in the east, destroyed nine Russian helicopters.
In fact, the M39 raid put out of action 21 helicopters, according to an analysis of commercial satellite imagery by GeoConfirmed, an open-source intelligence practitioner on the social-media site formerly known as Twitter.
“This is probably the biggest blow to the Russian air force since the beginning of the war,” GeoConfirmed commented.
A second analysis, by Ukrainian analysis team Frontelligence Insight, aligns with GeoConfirmed’s assessment. “While their number slightly exceeds our team's public estimate, it's important to note that their estimate is based on solid grounds.”
To confirm a destroyed or significantly damaged helicopter, the analysts looked for satellite imagery depicting scorch marks around the known recent location of a parked helicopter. They cross-referenced the overhead imagery with photos and videos from Russian social media—and also looked for evidence of the Russians hauling away, from either airfield, damaged and unflyable helicopters.
Some observers have questioned the analysts’ tallies. “The challenge arises from the limitations of commercially available imagery, which do not provide the resolution needed to detect hundreds of small scorch marks around helicopters in Berdyansk,” Frontelligence Insight conceded. “In the case of Luhansk airport, it's much easier since you can clearly see it from our higher-resolution imagery.”
And GeoConfirmed stressed that its count, while perhaps shockingly high, is consistent with the destructive power of the M39 missile.
The M39 Army Tactical Missile System, or ATACMS, is a two-ton, 13-foot ballistic missile with a solid rocket motor and a warhead containing 950 Msubmunitions. Fired by a tracked or wheeled launcher, the 1990s-vintage missile ranges as far as 100 miles under inertial guidance.
An M39 usually should strike within 50 yards or so of its aim-point. This isn’t super-accurate by modern standards, but it’s accurate enough considering that the M39 is an area weapon.
As the missile plummets toward its target, it spins and pops open, scattering 950 steel-and-tungsten bomblets across an area of potentially tens of thousands of square feet. Each M74 submunition has the explosive power of a hand grenade.
A submunition warhead is perfect for striking large installations crowded with unprotected equipment. An airfield, for example, with its fragile airplanes, helicopters, fuel bowsers and support equipment.
It’s not for no reason that, when it tested the M39, the U.S. Army aimed the missile at a mock airfield where the service parked old helicopters and trucks. Footage of the test depicts submunitions tearing into the vehicles.
Accurately aim an M39 at an airfield the size of the one outside Berdyansk, and you’ll sprinkle submunitions across half of it. “This whole airfield is covered with little holes,” GeoConfirmed explained.
The Russians flew dozens of helicopters from Berdyansk alone: it’s possible most of them were on the ground as the bomblets rained down. That’s why GeoConfirmed and Frontelligence Insight were comfortable standing by their new, much higher tallies of Russian losses from the Oct. 17 raids.
The M39, when used as the Americans intend, is perfect for wrecking helicopters. And the Russians offered
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Nobody cares.
--------------------------------------------------
Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.
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Quote:More accurately: Nobody who is stupid cares.
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Nobody cares.
One in 10 Russian equipment losses since Kyiv launched a counteroffensive in the summer occurred in the past 10 days, coinciding with intensifying clashes in the war-torn town of Avdiivka. It is day 607 of the 3-day war (Russia's prediction).
Moscow's forces lost 201 pieces of equipment in the past 10 days, and 2,156 units of equipment since Ukraine's counteroffensive began in early June, reported Agentstvo, a Russian investigative site launched in 2021.
https://www.newsweek.com/russia-equipment-vehicle-losses-counteroffens
ive-ukraine-avdiivka-1836808
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Where's the F-35?
In the hangar, of course. Getting fixed... again.Quote:
The number of major F-35 flaws is shrinking, but the Pentagon is keeping details of the problems under wraps
July 2021
WASHINGTON — As the F-35 program inches its way through operational testing, the number of critical technical deficiencies is slowly dwindling, dropping from 11 critical deficiencies in January to seven in July.
https://www.defensenews.com/smr/hidden-troubles-f35/2021/07/16/the-num
ber-of-major-f-35-flaws-is-shrinking-but-the-pentagon-is-keeping-details-of-the-problems-under-wraps/Quote:
The inside story of two supersonic flights that changed how America operates the F-35
WASHINGTON — The F-35 pilot who flew the two infamous supersonic missions that inflicted damage to the jet’s stealth coating and tail wants to set the record straight.
. . .
The Defense Department considers the issue “closed” as of December 2019 despite no plan to correct the problem. The F-35 Joint Program Office explained that “the operator value provided by a complete fix does not justify the estimated cost of that fix.”
https://www.defensenews.com/smr/hidden-troubles-f35/2020/05/22/the-ins
ide-story-of-two-supersonic-flights-that-changed-how-america-operates-the-f-35/
So don't, yanno, fly it too fast or it'll break.
That's not counting the software downloads that take hours.
-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger
Loving America is like loving an addicted spouse - SIGNYM
Advanced air craft have kinks to work out. The fact is the world is buying up different versions of the F35. Fact, nobody wants what Russia is selling.
The F35 with the updated Block 4 software, and with the software updates still planned, leaves Russian and Chinese aircraft in the dust. So far behind they are in the stone age.
Russia is in a hot war with Ukraine. In a year and a half, Russia still cannot gain air superiority. So you don't have to take my word for it comrade signym, that's proof right there Russia can't even out fly a third rate Airforce. Too funny...
T
Watch this if you think you can take it.
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Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Ukraine’s American-Made M39 Missiles May Have Wrecked 21 Russian Helicopters In A Single Operation
David Axe | Oct 22, 2023, 05:58pm EDT
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2023/10/22/ukraines-american-mad
e-m39-missiles-may-have-wrecked-21-russian-helicopters-in-a-single-operation/?sh=6afdcf494f23
The damage from Ukraine’s first-ever strike with American-supplied M39 missiles, targeting a pair of helicopter bases in Russian-occupied southern and eastern Ukraine, likely resulted in greater damage than even the Ukrainian defense ministry initially claimed.
Far greater.
In fact, the M39 raid put out of action 21 helicopters, according to an analysis of commercial satellite imagery by GeoConfirmed, an open-source intelligence practitioner on the social-media site formerly known as Twitter.
“This is probably the biggest blow to the Russian air force since the beginning of the war,” GeoConfirmed commented.
A second analysis, by Ukrainian analysis team Frontelligence Insight, aligns with GeoConfirmed’s assessment. “While their number slightly exceeds our team's public estimate, it's important to note that their estimate is based on solid grounds.”
The M39 Army Tactical Missile System, or ATACMS, is a two-ton, 13-foot ballistic missile with a solid rocket motor and a warhead containing 950 M submunitions. Fired by a tracked or wheeled launcher, the 1990s-vintage missile ranges as far as 100 miles under inertial guidance.
An M39 usually should strike within 50 yards or so of its aim-point. This isn’t super-accurate by modern standards, but it’s accurate enough considering that the M39 is an area weapon.
And now the shit hits the fan. Comrade signym, can you see me laughing?
T
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Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Ukraine’s American-Made M39 Missiles May Have Wrecked 21 Russian Helicopters In A Single Operation
David Axe | Oct 22, 2023, 05:58pm EDT
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2023/10/22/ukraines-american-mad
e-m39-missiles-may-have-wrecked-21-russian-helicopters-in-a-single-operation/?sh=6afdcf494f23
The damage from Ukraine’s first-ever strike with American-supplied M39 missiles, targeting a pair of helicopter bases in Russian-occupied southern and eastern Ukraine, likely resulted in greater damage than even the Ukrainian defense ministry initially claimed.
Far greater.
In fact, the M39 raid put out of action 21 helicopters, according to an analysis of commercial satellite imagery by GeoConfirmed, an open-source intelligence practitioner on the social-media site formerly known as Twitter.
“This is probably the biggest blow to the Russian air force since the beginning of the war,” GeoConfirmed commented.
A second analysis, by Ukrainian analysis team Frontelligence Insight, aligns with GeoConfirmed’s assessment. “While their number slightly exceeds our team's public estimate, it's important to note that their estimate is based on solid grounds.”
The M39 Army Tactical Missile System, or ATACMS, is a two-ton, 13-foot ballistic missile with a solid rocket motor and a warhead containing 950 M submunitions. Fired by a tracked or wheeled launcher, the 1990s-vintage missile ranges as far as 100 miles under inertial guidance.
An M39 usually should strike within 50 yards or so of its aim-point. This isn’t super-accurate by modern standards, but it’s accurate enough considering that the M39 is an area weapon.
And now the shit hits the fan. Comrade signym, can you see me laughing?
T
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Quote:
Originally posted by second:Quote:More accurately: Nobody who is stupid cares.
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Nobody cares.
Only stupid people care.
FIFY
--------------------------------------------------
Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.
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Quote:The Russians got beaten very quickly by Finland in a 1939. The result was Germany soon invaded the incompetently run Soviet Union. In 2023, Russians are again showing that they are incompetent, but because it will take years for Ukraine to beat sense into Russians, rather than only months for Finland to beat up Russians, NATO won't be invading Russia soon.
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:Quote:
Originally posted by second:Quote:More accurately: Nobody who is stupid cares.
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Nobody cares.
Only stupid people care.
FIFY
--------------------------------------------------
Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Winter_War
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly
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