The Little Mermaid Failure Thread

POSTED BY: 6IXSTRINGJACK
UPDATED: Wednesday, October 4, 2023 22:24
VIEWED: 8273
PAGE 11 of 12

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Sound of Freedom will cross $56M today.
Where does it fit on your 2 lists?
Each day, it earns another 20% of it's production budget.

---

I'll update it. I kind of stopped updating either of those lists when I put all the focus on just how bad Disney is doing. Probably about 7 or 8 flicks missing from that list now. I probably won't keep updating it beyond flicks that came out this week though because all I really want to do is see Disney's failure.



--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

UPDATED LISTS

All numbers from early-afternoon of 07/13 on The-Numbers... I fully expect SoF to jump from 10 to 6 by the end of the weekend on the 2nd list. It would have been 5th, but until/unless The Red Door slows down faster, it's going to be behind. Congratulations to The Red Door for coming out of nowhere and taking 1st place on the first list, for highest grossing opening weekend worldwide vs. production budget.

Keep in mind that Sound of Freedom is the only movie on this list that didn't have a worldwide box office, and all of these numbers are just from the US Box office... Otherwise, I think it had a very good chance of taking 1st place above The Red Door. I'm not even sure if SoF was shown in Canada or not, tbh...



Worldwide Opening Weekend and percentage of Production Budget made on opening weekend including all American made films currently in the global top 45 (Or that were in the top 35 on June 19th, which was the previous time I'd updated this list):

1 Insidious: The Red Door / Budget: $16,000,000 / WWO: $64,000,000 / 400%
2 The Super Mario Bros. Movie / Budget: $100,000,000 / WWO: $377,000,000 / 377%
3 M3GAN / Budget: $12,000,000 / WWO: $45,000,000 / 375%
4 Sound of Freedom / Budget: $14,000,000 / WWO: $42,000,000 / 300%
5 Evil Dead Rise / Budget: $19,000,000 / WWO: $40,000,000 / 210%
6 Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse / Budget: $100,000,000 / WWO: $209,000,000 / 209%
7 The Pope's Exorcist / Budget: $18,000,000 / WWO: $36,500,000 / 203%
8 Scream VI / Budget: $35,000,000 / WWO: $67,000,000 / 191%
9 John Wick: Chapter 4 / Budget: $100,000,000 / WWO: $138,000,000 / 138%
10 Creed III / Budget: $75,000,000 / WWO: $100,000,000 / 133%
11 Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania / Budget: $200,000,000 / WWO: $250,000,000 / 125%
12 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3 / Budget: $250,000,000 / WWO: $290,000,000 / 116%
13 Knock at the Cabin / Budget: $20,000,000 / WWO: $21,000,000 / 105%
14 Jesus Revolution / Budget: $15,000,000 / WWO: $15,000,000 / 100%
15 Fast X / Budget: $340,000,000 / WWO: $319,000,000 / 94%
16 Transformers: Rise of the Beasts / Budget: $195,000,000 / WWO: $170,000,000 / 87%
17 Cocaine Bear / Budget: $35,000,000 / WWO: $28,000,000 / 80%
18 The Little Mermaid / Budget: $250,000,000 / WWO: $164,000,000 / 66%
19 The Boogeyman / Budget: $35,000,000 / WWO: $20,000,000 / 57%
20 Shazam: Fury of the Gods / Budget: $125,000,000 / WWO: $66,000,000 / 53%
21 No Hard Feelings / Budget: $45,000,000 / WWO: $22,000,000 / 49%
22 Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves / Budget: $150,000,000 / WWO: $72,000,000 / 48%
23 Indiana Jones & the Dial of Destiny / Budget: $300,000,000 / WWO: $131,000,000 / 43.7%
24 AIR / Budget: $70,000,000 / WWO: $30,000,000 / 43%
25 65 / Budget: $45,000,000 / WWO: $12,300,000 / 27%
26 Magic Mike's Last Dance / Budget: $45,000,000 / WWO: $8,000,000 / 18%
27 The Flash / Budget: $200,000,000 / WWO: $75,000,000 / 37.5%
28 Elemental / Budget: $200,000,000 / WWO: $48,000,000 / 24%

It should probably be noted that 20 of the top 50 world wide box office were not US made so far in 2023.


SPECIAL MENTION:
Mummies / Budget: $12,000,000 / WWO: Unknown / ?

A movie that I've never even heard of until just right now called Mummies is currently 31st on the global list at $53,193,065 and needs a mention because only 8.04% (less than $5 Million) of that came from the domestic market, while the other 91.96% came from international box office. It has now made 442% of its production budget back, making it a clear winner based off of its low budget and its extremely high international take vs domestic take, two things which The Little Mermaid has never had in its favor.




Winners and losers from the previous list:

Winners:

1. M3GAN made 1,475% of its production budget of $12 Million. [FINAL]
2.

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

I'm thinking that, following Wed, SoF would be around 9th place on the 2nd list. Following Thursday, about 6th.
Then the 3 day weekend, which I don't know how many theaters it will be in.

It is possible that many theaters would prefer to have empty buildings showcasing Woke Trash, instead of Sold Out shows of a film the population apparently wants to see.

I think on Wednesday alone, it earned more than 31% of it's Production Budget.

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
I'm thinking that, following Wed, SoF would be around 9th place on the 2nd list.

---

No. It's 10th after Wednesday's grand total of $53,922,551 with 386%.

Quote:

---

Following Thursday, about 6th.

---

No. It will be 9th after Thursday's numbers post with somewhere in the area of 415-425%.

Quote:

---

Then the 3 day weekend, which I don't know how many theaters it will be in.


It is possible that many theaters would prefer to have empty buildings showcasing Woke Trash, instead of Sold Out shows of a film the population apparently wants to see.

I think on Wednesday alone, it earned more than 31% of it's Production Budget.

---

So... I was wrong with my prediction SoF wouldn't gain many, if any theaters this weekend. Bruce is reporting 3,265 theaters this week, for a whopping increase of 413 theaters. I've never seen this happen two weekends in a row like this before. Hopefully it doesn't drop the ball.

I still think it will be 6th place after this weekend, unless The Red Door suddenly flops. I don't see any possibility of SoF catching up with Miles Morales 2 by Sunday night, even with the additional theaters.

There are 2 reasons why I say only 6th place for the weekend for SoF.

Number 1 is because Insidious: The Red Door started out of the gates as the 1st place movie all year regarding the ratio of Worldwide Box Office vs. Production Budget and hasn't really slowed down all that much. SoF is going to have to catch up to that. It may take another week or two.

Number 2 is because there's a huge difference between the current #4 and numbers 5-9 which are all in the 400-500% range.

The Miles Morales sequel is 646%. It's slowed down to only $1 Million during weekdays and only had $2-3 Million per day last weekend, so SoF will gain quickly on it if it doesn't falter, but MM2 is still improving that ratio on what is already a decent gap. It will be 10 days to over two weeks before SoF catches up to it.

3rd place is Evil Dead Rise, which will not improve since it's out of theaters, but it's at 768%, so it will take even longer to reach that.

M3GAN and SMB are light years away. I'm not saying that SoF won't catch up to them, but they've both got about 1000% on SoF right now.

--------------------------------------------------

How you do anything is how you do everything.

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:

Quote:

---

Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
I'm thinking that, following Wed, SoF would be around 9th place on the 2nd list.

---

No. It's 10th after Wednesday's grand total of $53,922,551 with 386%.

---

You are correct. My comments were based upon your statement that you were not including the Wed figures in your totals/calculations. And I did not double check what you had said.

Quote:

---

Quote:

---

Following Thursday, about 6th.

---

No. It will be 9th after Thursday's numbers post with somewhere in the area of 415-425%.

---

Yes, our projections are in agreement, I was just off a day from the misunderstanding.

Quote:

---

Quote:

---

Then the 3 day weekend, which I don't know how many theaters it will be in.

It is possible that many theaters would prefer to have empty buildings showcasing Woke Trash, instead of Sold Out shows of a film the population apparently wants to see.

I think on Wednesday alone, it earned more than 31% of it's Production Budget./b]

---

So... I was wrong with my prediction SoF wouldn't gain many, if any theaters this weekend. Bruce is reporting 3,265 theaters this week, for a whopping increase of 413 theaters.

---

I'm thinking 313.

Quote:

---

I've never seen this happen two weekends in a row like this before. Hopefully it doesn't drop the ball.

I still think it will be 6th place after this weekend, unless The Red Door suddenly flops. I don't see any possibility of SoF catching up with Miles Morales 2 by Sunday night, even with the additional theaters.

There are 2 reasons why I say only 6th place for the weekend for SoF.

Number 1 is because Insidious: The Red Door started out of the gates as the 1st place movie all year regarding the ratio of Worldwide Box Office vs. Production Budget and hasn't really slowed down all that much. SoF is going to have to catch up to that. It may take another week or two.

Number 2 is because there's a huge difference between the current #4 and numbers 5-9 which are all in the 400-500% range.

The Miles Morales sequel is 646%. It's slowed down to only $1 Million during weekdays and only had $2-3 Million per day last weekend, so SoF will gain quickly on it if it doesn't falter, but MM2 is still improving that ratio on what is already a decent gap. It will be 10 days to over two weeks before SoF catches up to it.

3rd place is Evil Dead Rise, which will not improve since it's out of theaters, but it's at 768%, so it will take even longer to reach that.

M3GAN and SMB are light years away. I'm not saying that SoF won't catch up to them, but they've both got about 1000% on SoF right now.
-------------------------------------------------
How you do anything is how you do everything.

---

I think SoF will pass by Scream sometime today, and then Not Spiderman by next Thursday, then EDR by end of next weekend.
SoF gained about 54% just on Friday night alone, it's 2nd Friday. I expect Saturday to be even more. And Sunday to be more than Friday, also.

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME

Quote:

---

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
UPDATED LISTS

All numbers from early-afternoon of 07/13 on The-Numbers... I fully expect SoF to jump from 10 to 6 by the end of the weekend on the 2nd list. It would have been 5th, but until/unless The Red Door slows down faster, it's going to be behind. Congratulations to The Red Door for coming out of nowhere and taking 1st place on the first list, for highest grossing opening weekend worldwide vs. production budget.

Keep in mind that Sound of Freedom is the only movie on this list that didn't have a worldwide box office, and all of these numbers are just from the US Box office... Otherwise, I think it had a very good chance of taking 1st place above The Red Door. I'm not even sure if SoF was shown in Canada or not, tbh...



Worldwide Opening Weekend and percentage of Production Budget made on opening weekend including all American made films currently in the global top 45 (Or that were in the top 35 on June 19th, which was the previous time I'd updated this list):

1 Insidious: The Red Door / Budget: $16,000,000 / WWO: $64,000,000 / 400%
2 The Super Mario Bros. Movie / Budget: $100,000,000 / WWO: $377,000,000 / 377%
3 M3GAN / Budget: $12,000,000 / WWO: $45,000,000 / 375%
4 Sound of Freedom / Budget: $14,000,000 / WWO: $42,000,000 / 300%
5 Evil Dead Rise / Budget: $19,000,000 / WWO: $40,000,000 / 210%
6 Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse / Budget: $100,000,000 / WWO: $209,000,000 / 209%
7 The Pope's Exorcist / Budget: $18,000,000 / WWO: $36,500,000 / 203%
8 Scream VI / Budget: $35,000,000 / WWO: $67,000,000 / 191%
9 John Wick: Chapter 4 / Budget: $100,000,000 / WWO: $138,000,000 / 138%
10 Creed III / Budget: $75,000,000 / WWO: $100,000,000 / 133%
11 Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania / Budget: $200,000,000 / WWO: $250,000,000 / 125%
12 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3 / Budget: $250,000,000 / WWO: $290,000,000 / 116%
13 Knock at the Cabin / Budget: $20,000,000 / WWO: $21,000,000 / 105%
14 Jesus Revolution / Budget: $15,000,000 / WWO: $15,000,000 / 100%
15 Fast X / Budget: $340,000,000 / WWO: $319,000,000 / 94%
16 Transformers: Rise of the Beasts / Budget: $195,000,000 / WWO: $170,000,000 / 87%
17 Cocaine Bear / Budget: $35,000,000 / WWO: $28,000,000 / 80%
18 The Little Mermaid / Budget: $250,000,000 / WWO: $164,000,000 / 66%
19 The Boogeyman / Budget: $35,000,000 / WWO: $20,000,000 / 57%
20 Shazam: Fury of the Gods / Budget: $125,000,000 / WWO: $66,000,000 / 53%
21 No Hard Feelings / Budget: $45,000,000 / WWO: $22,000,000 / 49%
22 Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves / Budget: $150,000,000 / WWO: $72,000,000 / 48%
23 Indiana Jones & the Dial of Destiny / Budget: $300,000,000 / WWO: $131,000,000 / 43.7%
24 AIR / Budget: $70,000,000 / WWO: $30,000,000 / 43%
25 65 / Budget: $45,000,000 / WWO: $12,300,000 / 27%
26 Magic Mike's Last Dance / Budget: $45,000,000 / WWO: $8,000,000 / 18%
27 The Flash / Budget: $200,000,000 / WWO: $75,000,000 / 37.5%
28 Elemental / Budget: $200,000,000 / WWO: $48,000,000 / 24%

It should probably be noted that 20 of the top 50 world wide box office were not US made so far in 2023.


SPECIAL MENTION:
Mummies / Budget: $12,000,000 / WWO: Unknown / ?

A movie that I've never even heard of until just right now called Mummies is currently 31st on the global list at $53,193,065 and needs a mention because only 8.04% (less than $5 Million) of that came from the domestic market, while the other 91.96% came from international box office. It has now made 442% of its production budget back, making it a clear winner based off of its low budget and its extremely high international take vs domestic take, two things which The Little Mermaid has never had in its favor.




Winners and losers from the previous list:

Winners:

1. M3GAN made 1,475% of it

NOTIFY: Y  | REPLY  | REPLY WITH QUOTE  | PERMALINK  | TOP  | HOME